Valiant23 Posted September 22, 2007 Share Posted September 22, 2007 Most of you interested in this system know the score, but for those that don't here is my OP; Something I have been watching elsewhere is a study regarding the parity of NFL teams and ATS (Against The Spread or Handicap) betting. The thinking behind the theory is that because of this parity on any given Sunday one NFL team can beat another. This is backed up by a study which claims that a high percentage of teams who have an ATS streak of 2 or more wins or losses would do the opposite in the third game. The longest winning streak (ATS) of the NFL teams is just under 2.84 games on average, and the longest losing streak (ATS) is at 2.8 games, on average. What I propose to do, with a starting bank of 1000 pts is to see if this can prove to be a profitable statistic not only on NFL, but also NBA. As an example only I will list the qualifying teams from tonights NFL games, most of which are already underway. Won 2 Arizona +6.5 New England -13.5 Won 3 Tennessee +7.5 Oakland -3.0 Dallas -3.5 Won 4 Buffalo +6.0 San Fran +7.0 Miami +1.0 Lost 2 St. Louis -6.5 Houston +3.0 Philadelphia +3.0 Lost 3 Detroit +13.5 Denver -4.0 Lost 4 Atlanta +4.0 NY Giants +3.5 Lost 5 Minnesota +9.5 So, if the team is on a winning streak I will be taking their opponents ATS, and if they are on a losing streak I will back them ATS. If I can get organised in time I'll put up picks for tonight. If not then I'll start tomorrow. :hope System Amendment 03/02/07 (applies to NBA only) - When the only reason for selecting a game is that only one team is on a 2 game ATS streak, the results after 121 bets are showing a loss of 55.70 pts. When these games are removed from the system there is a huge upturn in all system stats. For this reason I am no longer selecting games when teams are on a 2 game streak, unless the opponents are also on the opposing streak, eg, Miami Heat W2 @ Utah L2. This will still be a selection. See Post 170 for further details. Last season's results; 2006/2007 NFL End of Year Bank Total staked:380 Number of bets:38 Winning bets:23 Losing bets:15 Strike rate:60.53% Yield:17.34% Profit (or Loss):65.90 Selections to follow but having had a quick look I believe there could be 10 picks this week. :eek Starting bank of 100pts. All bets will be 5% of bank. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vitalyo Posted September 22, 2007 Share Posted September 22, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) GL I count 7 teams that fit the system. I am not gonna touch New England game.I think they will cover. GL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted September 22, 2007 Author Share Posted September 22, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Houston Texans have won 2 ATS Indianapolis Colts(-6) @ Houston Texans @ 1.91 Green Bay Packers have won 2 ATS San Diego Chargers(-5.5) @ Green Bay Packers @ 1.92 Philadelphia have lost 2 ATS Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles(-5.5) @ 1.94 New England Patriots have won 2 ATS Buffalo Bills(+16.5) @ New England Patriots @ 1.97 Pittsburgh have won 2 ATS San Francisco 49ers(+9.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1.94 Arizona have won 2 and Baltimore have lost 2 ATS Arizona Cardinals @ Baltimore Ravens(-9) @ 2.16 St. Louis have lost 2 ATS St. Louis Rams(+3.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 1.96 NY Giants have lost 2 ATS New York Giants(+3.5) @ Washington Redskins @ 1.94 Dallas have won 2 and Chicago have lost 2 ATS Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears(-3) @ 1.87 Tennessee have won 2 and New Orleans have lost 2 ATS Tennessee Titans @ New Orleans Saints(-4) @ 1.94 10 bets at 5pts per bet=50pts staked. :hope Please understand I cannot be held responsible for the times I make my picks and you follow them. If you get better lines than I, then kudos to you. All prices are Pinnacle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted September 22, 2007 Author Share Posted September 22, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) GL I count 7 teams that fit the system. I am not gonna touch New England game.I think they will cover. GL.Thanks Vitalyo. I agree with you that there are some that I wouldn't touch, but if it fits then its in. :\ However there have been times where the system ended up with some spectacular wins so I think its earned my blind(?) trust. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted September 26, 2007 Author Share Posted September 26, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Houston Texans have won 2 ATS Indianapolis Colts(-6) @ Houston Texans @ 1.91 PUSH :eyes Green Bay Packers have won 2 ATS San Diego Chargers(-5.5) @ Green Bay Packers @ 1.92 :( Philadelphia have lost 2 ATS Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles(-5.5) @ 1.94 :D New England Patriots have won 2 ATS Buffalo Bills(+16.5) @ New England Patriots @ 1.97 :( Pittsburgh have won 2 ATS San Francisco 49ers(+9.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1.94 :( Arizona have won 2 and Baltimore have lost 2 ATS Arizona Cardinals @ Baltimore Ravens(-9) @ 2.16 :( (17-3 Arizona 4th Qtr? :@) St. Louis have lost 2 ATS St. Louis Rams(+3.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 1.96 :( NY Giants have lost 2 ATS New York Giants(+3.5) @ Washington Redskins @ 1.94 :D Dallas have won 2 and Chicago have lost 2 ATS Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears(-3) @ 1.87 :( Tennessee have won 2 and New Orleans have lost 2 ATS Tennessee Titans @ New Orleans Saints(-4) @ 1.94 :( 10 bets at 5pts per bet=50pts staked. :hope 50pts staked 19.4pts returned Total staked:50 Number of bets:10 Winning bets:2 Losing bets:7 Push bets:1 Strike rate:20% Current Bamk:69.4 Yield:-61.20% Profit (or Loss):-30.60 Ah well. Onwards and upwards or this'll be the shortest 'season long' system of all time. :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted September 30, 2007 Author Share Posted September 30, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Baltimore have lost 3 AND Cleveland have won 2 ATS Baltimore Ravens(-4) @ Cleveland Browns @ 1.96 Chicago have lost 3 ATS (Detroit L1) Chicago Bears(-2.5) @ Detroit Lions @ 1.94 Green Bay have won 3 ATS Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings SU* @ 2.03 St. Louis Rams have lost 3 AND Dallas have won 3 ATS St. Louis Rams(+13) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 1.97 Buffalo have lost 2 ATS New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills(+3.5) @ 1.88 Tampa Bay have won 2 ATS (Carolina W1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers(-3) @ 2.12 San Diego have lost 2 ATS Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers(-11.5) @ 1.99 New England have won 3 ATS New England Patriiots @ Cinncinati Bengals(+7.5) @ 1.96 *The 'spread on Minny is +1 and I firmly believe that you may as well take the odds on the SU win if you're taking a +1 line as in this case. 8 bets @ 3.47pts per bet=27.76pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLeg Posted September 30, 2007 Share Posted September 30, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) I think you missed one: DENVER (+10) at INDIANAPOLIS Denver LLL Indy WLP (statfox has it as loss, but since we played at -6 I guess we shoud count it as a push) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted September 30, 2007 Author Share Posted September 30, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) I think you missed one: DENVER (+10) at INDIANAPOLIS Denver LLL Indy WLP (statfox has it as loss, but since we played at -6 I guess we shoud count it as a push) Fair point OLeg, thank you; :ok Denver have lost 3 ATS Denver(+10) @ Indianapolis Colts @ 1.95 1 bet @ 3.47pts staked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLeg Posted October 7, 2007 Share Posted October 7, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Hi, Valiant23. Will you post today's selections? Thanks. :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 7, 2007 Author Share Posted October 7, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Sorry for the delay... I'll put my picks up, then I'll do last weeks results which will give me this weeks stake. New Orleans have lost 3 ATS Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints(-3.5) @ 1.98 Tennessee have won 3 ATS Atlanta Falcons(+9) @ Tennessee Titans @ 1.80 Arizona have won 4 AND St. Louis have lost 4 ATS Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams(+3.5) @ 1.97 NY Giants have won 2 ATS New York JETS(+3.5) @ New York GIANTS @ 2.02 Tampa Bay have won 3 ATS Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts(-9.5) @ 2.04 Chicago have lost 4 AND Green Bay have won 4 ATS Chicago Bears(+3) @ Green Bay Packers @ 2.10 Dallas have won 4 ATS Dallas Cowboys @ Buffalo Bills(+10) + 1.93 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 7, 2007 Author Share Posted October 7, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Baltimore have lost 3 AND Cleveland have won 2 ATS Baltimore Ravens(-4) @ Cleveland Browns @ 1.96 :( Chicago have lost 3 ATS (Detroit L1) Chicago Bears(-2.5) @ Detroit Lions @ 1.94 :( Green Bay have won 3 ATS Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings SU* @ 2.03 :( St. Louis Rams have lost 3 AND Dallas have won 3 ATS St. Louis Rams(+13) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 1.97 :( Buffalo have lost 2 ATS New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills(+3.5) @ 1.88 :D Tampa Bay have won 2 ATS (Carolina W1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers(-3) @ 2.12 :( San Diego have lost 2 ATS Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers(-11.5) @ 1.99 :( New England have won 3 ATS New England Patriiots @ Cinncinati Bengals(+7.5) @ 1.96 :( *The 'spread on Minny is +1 and I firmly believe that you may as well take the odds on the SU win if you're taking a +1 line as in this case. 8 bets @ 3.47pts per bet=27.76pts staked :hope Denver have lost 3 ATS Denver(+10) @ Indianapolis Colts @ 1.95 :( 1 bet @ 3.47pts staked. 1 winner 8 losers 31.23pts staked 6.52pts returned Total staked:81.23 Number of bets:19 Winning bets:3 Losing bets:15 Push bets:1 Strike rate:13.04% Current Bamk:44.69 Yield:-68.09% Profit (or Loss):-55.31 :unsure Therefore, the stake for this weeks bets is 2.23pts per bet. 7 bets @ 2.23pts per bet=15.61pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 10, 2007 Author Share Posted October 10, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Sorry for the delay... I'll put my picks up, then I'll do last weeks results which will give me this weeks stake. New Orleans have lost 3 ATS Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints(-3.5) @ 1.98 :( Tennessee have won 3 ATS Atlanta Falcons(+9) @ Tennessee Titans @ 1.80 :D Arizona have won 4 AND St. Louis have lost 4 ATS Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams(+3.5) @ 1.97 :D NY Giants have won 2 ATS New York JETS(+3.5) @ New York GIANTS @ 2.02 :( Tampa Bay have won 3 ATS Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts(-9.5) @ 2.04 :D Chicago have lost 4 AND Green Bay have won 4 ATS Chicago Bears(+3) @ Green Bay Packers @ 2.10 :D Dallas have won 4 ATS Dallas Cowboys @ Buffalo Bills(+10) + 1.93 :D 5 winners 2 losers 15.61pts staked 21.94pts returned Total staked:96.84 Number of bets:26 Winning bets:8 Losing bets:17 Push bets:1 Strike rate:30.77% Current Bamk:51.02 Yield:-50.58% Profit (or Loss):-48.98 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 14, 2007 Author Share Posted October 14, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Houston have lost 2 and Jacksonville have won 2 ATS Houston Texans(+7) @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 1.84 NY Jets have lost 2 ATS (Philly L1) Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets(+3.5) @ 2.04 Baltimore have lost 5 ATS (St, Louis W1) St. Louis Rams @ Baltimore Ravens(-9) @ 2.03 New England have won 5 ATS (Dallas L1) New England Patriots @ Dallas Cowboys(+5) @ 1.96 New Orleans have lost 4 ATS (Seattle L1) New Orleans Saints(+6) @ Seattle Seahawks @ 1.92 5 bets @ 2.55pts per bet=12.75pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 15, 2007 Author Share Posted October 15, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Houston have lost 2 and Jacksonville have won 2 ATS Houston Texans(+7) @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 1.84 :( NY Jets have lost 2 ATS (Philly L1) Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets(+3.5) @ 2.04 :( Baltimore have lost 5 ATS (St, Louis W1) St. Louis Rams @ Baltimore Ravens(-9) @ 2.03 :D New England have won 5 ATS (Dallas L1) New England Patriots @ Dallas Cowboys(+5) @ 1.96 :( New Orleans have lost 4 ATS (Seattle L1) New Orleans Saints(+6) @ Seattle Seahawks @ 1.92 :D 5 bets @ 2.55pts per bet=12.75pts staked :hope 2 winners 3 losers 12.75pts staked 10.07pts returned Total staked:109.59 Number of bets:31 Winning bets:10 Losing bets:20 Push bets:1 Strike rate:32.26% Current Bamk:48.34 Yield:-47.14% Profit (or Loss):-51.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 21, 2007 Author Share Posted October 21, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Arizona have lost 2 ATS (Washington push) Arizona Cardinals(+9) @ Washington Redskins @ 1.855 Buffalo have won 2 ATS (Baltimore W1) Baltimore Ravens(-3) @ Buffalo Bills @ 2.04 Dallas have lost 2 ATS (Minnesota L1) Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys(-9.5) @ 1.96 New England have won 5 ATS (:eyes) (Miami L1) New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins(+16) @ 1.92 New York Giants have won 4 ATS (San Fran W1) San Francisco 49ers(+9.5) @ New York Giants @ 1.91 Houston have lost 3 ATS (Tennessee L1) Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans (ML) @ 1.95 Seattle have lost 2 (St. Louis L1) St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks(-9) @ 2.13 Denver have lost 5 ATS (Pittsburgh W1) Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos(+3.5) @ 1.91 8 bets @ 2.41pts per bet=19.28pts staked :hope :hope :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 28, 2007 Author Share Posted October 28, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Arizona have lost 2 ATS (Washington push) Arizona Cardinals(+9) @ Washington Redskins @ 1.855 :D Buffalo have won 2 ATS (Baltimore W1) Baltimore Ravens(-3) @ Buffalo Bills @ 2.04 :( Dallas have lost 2 ATS (Minnesota L1) Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys(-9.5) @ 1.96 :D New England have won 5 ATS (:eyes) (Miami L1) New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins(+16) @ 1.92 :( New York Giants have won 4 ATS (San Fran W1) San Francisco 49ers(+9.5) @ New York Giants @ 1.91 :( Houston have lost 3 ATS (Tennessee L1) Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans (ML) @ 1.95 :( Seattle have lost 2 (St. Louis L1) St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks(-9) @ 2.13 :D Denver have lost 5 ATS (Pittsburgh W1) Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos(+3.5) @ 1.91 :D 8 bets @ 2.41pts per bet=19.28pts staked :hope :hope :hope 4 winners 4 losers 19.28pts staked 18.93pts returned Total staked:109.24 Number of bets:39 Winning bets:14 Losing bets:24 Push bets:1 Strike rate:35.90% Current Bamk:47.99 Yield:-47.61% Profit (or Loss):-52.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted October 28, 2007 Author Share Posted October 28, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) St. Louis have lost 2 ATS (Cleveland W1) Cleveland Browns @ St. Louis Rams(+3) @ 1.89 New York Giants have won 5 AND Miami have lost 2 ATS New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins(+10) @ 1.96 Oakland have lost 2 ATS (Tennessee W1) Oakland Raiders(+7) @ Tennessee Titans @ 1.97 Buffalo have won 3 AND New York Jets have lost 4 ATS Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets(-3) @ 2.07 Houston have lost 4 AND San Diego have won 2 ATS Houston Texans(+9.5) @ San Diego Chargers @ 1.91 New England have won 7 ATS (Washington L1) Washington Redskins(+15.5) @ New England Patriots @ 1.95 6 bets @ 2.40pts per bet=14.40pts total staked. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 4, 2007 Author Share Posted November 4, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) St. Louis have lost 2 ATS (Cleveland W1) Cleveland Browns @ St. Louis Rams(+3) @ 1.89 :( New York Giants have won 5 AND Miami have lost 2 ATS New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins(+10) @ 1.96 :D Oakland have lost 2 ATS (Tennessee W1) Oakland Raiders(+7) @ Tennessee Titans @ 1.97 :D Buffalo have won 3 AND New York Jets have lost 4 ATS Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets(-3) @ 2.07 :( Houston have lost 4 AND San Diego have won 2 ATS Houston Texans(+9.5) @ San Diego Chargers @ 1.91 :( New England have won 7 ATS (Washington L1) Washington Redskins(+15.5) @ New England Patriots @ 1.95 :( 6 bets @ 2.40pts per bet=14.40pts total staked. :hope 2 winners 4 losers 14.40pts staked 9.43pts returned Total staked:123.64 Number of bets:45 Winning bets:16 Losing bets:28 Push bets:1 Strike rate:35.56% Current Bamk:43.02 Yield:-46.09% Profit (or Loss):-56.98 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 4, 2007 Author Share Posted November 4, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Kansas City have won 2 ATS (Green Bay W1) Green Bay Packers(ML) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 2.25 Tampa Bay have lost 2 ATS (Arizona W1) Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Bucaneers(-3.5) @ 2.02 San Francisco have lost 2 ATS (Atlanta W1) San Francisco 49ers(+3) @ Atlanta Falcons @ 2.03 Detroit have won 2 ATS (Denver L1) Denver Broncos(+3) @ Detroit Lions @ 1.86 Buffalo have won 4 ATS (Cincinnati L1) Cincinnati Bengals(-1) @ Buffalo Bills @ 1.93 San Diego have won 3 AND Minnesota have lost 2 ATS San Diego Chargers @ Minnesota Vikings(+7) @ 1.94 Cleveland have won 2 ATS (Seattle W1) Seattle Seahawks(ML) @ Cleveland Browns @ 2.03 Houston have lost 5 ATS (Oakland W1) Houston Texans(+3) @ Oakland Raiders @ 1.86 8 bets @ 2.15pts per bet=17.20pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 10, 2007 Author Share Posted November 10, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Kansas City have won 2 ATS (Green Bay W1) Green Bay Packers(ML) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 2.25 :D Tampa Bay have lost 2 ATS (Arizona W1) Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Bucaneers(-3.5) @ 2.02 :D San Francisco have lost 2 ATS (Atlanta W1) San Francisco 49ers(+3) @ Atlanta Falcons @ 2.03 :( Detroit have won 2 ATS (Denver L1) Denver Broncos(+3) @ Detroit Lions @ 1.86 :( Buffalo have won 4 ATS (Cincinnati L1) Cincinnati Bengals(-1) @ Buffalo Bills @ 1.93 :( San Diego have won 3 AND Minnesota have lost 2 ATS San Diego Chargers @ Minnesota Vikings(+7) @ 1.94 :D Cleveland have won 2 ATS (Seattle W1) Seattle Seahawks(ML) @ Cleveland Browns @ 2.03 :( Houston have lost 5 ATS (Oakland W1) Houston Texans(+3) @ Oakland Raiders @ 1.86 :D 8 bets @ 2.15pts per bet=17.20pts staked :hope 4 winners 4 losers 17.20pts staked 17.35pts returned Total staked:140.84 Number of bets:53 Winning bets:20 Losing bets:32 Push bets:1 Strike rate:37.74% Current Bamk:43.17 Yield:-40.35% Profit (or Loss):-56.83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 10, 2007 Author Share Posted November 10, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Denver have lost 2 ATS (Kansas L1) Denver Broncos(+3) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 1.94 Buffalo have won 5 ATS (Miami W1) Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins(+2.5) @ 1.97 St. Louis have lost 3 and New Orleans have won 2 ATS St. Louis Rams(+10.5) @ New Orleans Saints @ 1.91 Atlanta have won 2 and Carolina have lost 2 ATS Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers(-3.5) @ 2.01 Washington have lost 3 ATS (Philly L1) Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins(-3) @ 2.11 Green Bay have won 2 ATS (Minny W1) Minnesota Vikings(+6) @ Green Bay Packers @ 1.93 Dallas have won 2 ATS (New York L1) Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants(ML) @ 2.10 Detroit Lions have won 3 ATS (Arizona L1) Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals(-2) @ 1.94 Indianapolis have won 5 ATS (San Diego L1) Indianapolis Colts @ San Diego Chargers(+3.) @ 2.06 San Francisco have lost 3 ATS (Seattle L1) San Francisco 49ers(+9.5) @ Seattle Seahawks @ 1.93 10 bets @ 2.15pts per bet=21.50pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 18, 2007 Author Share Posted November 18, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Denver have lost 2 ATS (Kansas L1) Denver Broncos(+3) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 1.94 :D Buffalo have won 5 ATS (Miami W1) Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins(+2.5) @ 1.97 :( St. Louis have lost 3 and New Orleans have won 2 ATS St. Louis Rams(+10.5) @ New Orleans Saints @ 1.91 :D Atlanta have won 2 and Carolina have lost 2 ATS Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers(-3.5) @ 2.01 :( Washington have lost 3 ATS (Philly L1) Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins(-3) @ 2.11 :( Green Bay have won 2 ATS (Minny W1) Minnesota Vikings(+6) @ Green Bay Packers @ 1.93 :( Dallas have won 2 ATS (New York L1) Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants(ML) @ 2.10 :( Detroit Lions have won 3 ATS (Arizona L1) Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals(-2) @ 1.94 :D Indianapolis have won 5 ATS (San Diego L1) Indianapolis Colts @ San Diego Chargers(+3.) @ 2.06 :D San Francisco have lost 3 ATS (Seattle L1) San Francisco 49ers(+9.5) @ Seattle Seahawks @ 1.93 :( 10 bets @ 2.15pts per bet=21.50pts staked :hope 4 winners 6 losers 21.50pts staked 16.88pts returned Total staked:162.34 Number of bets:63 Winning bets:24 Losing bets:38 Push bets:1 Strike rate:38.10% Current Bamk:38.55 Yield:-37.85% Profit (or Loss):-61.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 18, 2007 Author Share Posted November 18, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Kansas City have lost 2 ATS (Indy L1) Kansas City Chiefs(+14.5) @ Indianapolis Colts @ 1.95 Oakland have lost 2 ATS (Minny L1) Oakland Raiders(+4.5) @ Minnesota Vikings @ 1.95 Cleveland have won 4 and Baltimore have lost 3 ATS Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens(+2.5) @ 2.02 Atlanta have won 3 ATS (Tampa bay W1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers(-4) @ Atlanta Falcons @ 2.03 Buffalo have won 6 ATS (New England L1) New England Patriots(-15.5) @ Buffalo Bills @ 1.99 Washington have lost 4 and Dallas have won 3 ATS Washington Redskins(+11) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 2.03 Carolina have lost 3 and Green Bay have won 3 ATS Carolina Panthers(+9.5) @ Green Bay Packers @ 1.99 New York Giants have lost 2 ATS (Detroit L1) New York Giants(-3) @ Detroit Lions @ 2.11 San Francisco have lost 3 ATS (St. Louis L1) St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers(+3) @ 1.98 9 bets @ 1.92pts per bet=17.28pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 19, 2007 Author Share Posted November 19, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Kansas City have lost 2 ATS (Indy L1) Kansas City Chiefs(+14.5) @ Indianapolis Colts @ 1.95 :D Oakland have lost 2 ATS (Minny L1) Oakland Raiders(+4.5) @ Minnesota Vikings @ 1.95 :( Cleveland have won 4 and Baltimore have lost 3 ATS Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens(+2.5) @ 2.02 :( Atlanta have won 3 ATS (Tampa bay W1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers(-4) @ Atlanta Falcons @ 2.03 :D Buffalo have won 6 ATS (New England L1) New England Patriots(-15.5) @ Buffalo Bills @ 1.99 :D Washington have lost 4 and Dallas have won 3 ATS Washington Redskins(+11) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 2.03 :D Carolina have lost 3 and Green Bay have won 3 ATS Carolina Panthers(+9.5) @ Green Bay Packers @ 1.99 :( New York Giants have lost 2 ATS (Detroit L1) New York Giants(-3) @ Detroit Lions @ 2.11 :D San Francisco have lost 3 ATS (St. Louis L1) St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers(+3) @ 1.98 :( 9 bets @ 1.92pts per bet=17.28pts staked :hope 5 winners 4 losers 17.28pts staked 19.41pts returned Total staked:179.62 Number of bets:72 Winning bets:29 Losing bets:42 Push bets:1 Strike rate:40.28% Current Bamk:40.68 Yield:-33.03% Profit (or Loss):-59.32 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toples Posted November 20, 2007 Share Posted November 20, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) sorry to report this but its even worse in NFL than in NBA 2+ ats Losing streak - 1,96 fair odds 2+ winning streak - 2,01 fair odds i suggest u try to find some system with dogs only, since they are 1,955 fair odds if u played ALL of them in last 10 seasons. home dogs even 1,94 :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 22, 2007 Author Share Posted November 22, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Green Bay have won 4 and Detroit have lost 2 ATS Green Bay Packers(-3.5) @ Detroit Lions @ 2.06 New York have won 2 ATS (Dallas L1) New York Jets @ Dallas Cowboys(-14) @ 1.89 Indianapolis have lost 2 ATS (Atlanta L1) Indianapolis Colts(-11.5) @ Atlanta Falcons @ 1.93 3 bets @ 2.03pts per bet=6.09pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yomica Posted November 22, 2007 Share Posted November 22, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Detroit, not Green Bay ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 22, 2007 Author Share Posted November 22, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Detroit' date=' not Green Bay ?[/quote'] Correct :ok Thanks mate. Green Bay have won 4 and Detroit have lost 2 ATS Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions(+3.5) @ 2.06 I've taken the odds of 1.87 which allthethings quotes (115 US odds). :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 23, 2007 Author Share Posted November 23, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Green Bay have won 4 and Detroit have lost 2 ATS Green Bay Packers(-3.5) @ Detroit Lions @ 2.06 :( New York have won 2 ATS (Dallas L1) New York Jets @ Dallas Cowboys(-14) @ 1.89 :D Indianapolis have lost 2 ATS (Atlanta L1) Indianapolis Colts(-11.5) @ Atlanta Falcons @ 1.93 :D 3 bets @ 2.03pts per bet=6.09pts staked :hope 2 winners 1 loser (see post above) 6.09pts staked 7.75pts returned Total staked:185.71 Number of bets:75 Winning bets:31 Losing bets:43 Push bets:1 Strike rate:41.33% Current Bamk:42.34 Yield:-31.05% Profit (or Loss):-57.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant23 Posted November 23, 2007 Author Share Posted November 23, 2007 Re: Contrary System (NFL 07/08) Denver have won 2 ATS (Chicago L1) Denver Broncos @ Chicago Bears(-2.5) @ 1.95 Tennessee have lost 2 ATS (Cincinnati L1) Tennesse Titans(-2) @ Cincinnati Bengals @ 1.94 Jacksonville have won 2 ATS (Buffalo L1) Buffalo Bills(+7.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 1.93 Oakland have lost 3 ATS (Kansas C W1) Oakland Raiders(+5) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 1.90 Tampa Bay have won 2 ATS (Washington W1) Washington Redskins(+3) @ Tampa Bay Bucaneers @ 2.19 San Francisco have lost 5 and Arizona have won 2 ATS San Francisco 49ers(+10) @ Arizona Cardinals @ 1.96 Baltimore have lost 4 ATS (San Diego L1) Baltimore Ravens(+8) @ San Diego Chargers @ 1.93 Philadelphia have won 2 ATS (New England W1) Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots(-24) @ 1.92 8 bets @ 2.11pts per bet=16.88pts staked :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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