Jump to content
** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

Rugby Quarb System


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 602
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of the rest of the weekend's games:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

104

20/10/2007

Guinness Prem

Harlequins

1.80

1.73

1.81

1.85

No Bet

105

20/10/2007

Guinness Prem

Leicester

1.16

1.14

1.20

1.22

Possible via Betfair

106

21/10/2007

Guinness Prem

Bristol

1.25

1.22

1.28

1.30

Possible via Betfair

107

21/10/2007

Guinness Prem

London Irish

3.25

3.18

3.34

3.40

No Bet

108

21/10/2007

Guinness Prem

Newcastle

1.90

1.75

1.84

1.87

No Bet

No bets via the bookies as no value prices available. Two potential selections via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Leicester - £45.00 @ 1.22 Bristol - £42.00 @ 1.30 As usual, will monitor potential selections and update before kick offs.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Only just been able to check Betfair account. Leicester bet was matched in full. Have taken screen dump of Betfair Betting History to confirm:

Market typeMarketSelectionBid typeBet IDBet placedLevel req.Stake(GBP)Avg. level matchedProfit/Loss(GBP)
OddsFixtures 20 October / Leicester v Worcester / Match OddsLeicesterBack19-Oct-07 22:04 1.2245.001.22Not Settled
Bristol bet still unmatched.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Results update for the weekend: South Africa beat England 15 - 6 :cow Leicester beat Worcester 28 - 20 :cow Bristol beat Leeds 39 - 13 :cow System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,052.07

Total Staked

£1,948.93

Number of Bets

41

Winning Bets

32

Losing Bets

9

Strike Rate

78.0%

Yield

2.7%

Profit / Loss

£52.07

3 out of 4 wins over the weekend but still a small loss
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of tomorrow's games :

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

109

26/10/2007

Magners League

Connacht

2.00

1.88

1.98

2.01

No Bet

110

26/10/2007

Magners League

Glasgow

2.20

2.09

2.19

2.23

No Bet

111

26/10/2007

Magners League

Ulster

2.03

1.91

2.00

2.04

No Bet

112

26/10/2007

EDF Cup

Cardiff Blues

1.33

1.26

1.33

1.35

Cardiff Blues

113

26/10/2007

EDF Cup

Leeds

3.75

3.50

3.68

3.75

No Bet

Only selection is Cardiff Blues - £44.00 @ 1.33 with Blue Square - :hope The Blues take on Sale in the first round of the EDF Cup matches. The Blues line up looks pretty strong on paper as opposed to the Sale team selected which is devoid of many of their international players (Chabal, Cueto, Sheridan, the two Lobbes, etc). The Blues have a good home record at the Arms Park, losing 1 match in all competitions since Jan 2007. Sale by comparison have an awful away record having recorded only 1 away win in all competitions since Oct 2006 (against Calvisano in the Heineken Cup in Jan 2007). According to the Euro Rugby index, Cardiff are in 11th position with an indexed rating of 76.89, whilst Sale are in 23rd position with an indexed rating of 55.10 (details of the Euro Rugby index can be found at www.eurorugby.com - its an excellent resource for club rugby data and well worth checking out). Sporting Index have the Blues supremacy over Sale pitched at 9-12, whilst the average handicap mark on the Blues is -9.0 points at 1.90.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of today's games:

Match No.DateTournamentHome TeamBest OddsAv OddsAv Odds +5%Av Odds +7%Selection
11427/10/2007EDF CupBath

1.56

1.48

1.56

1.59

Bath
11527/10/2007EDF CupGloucester

1.13

1.09

1.14

1.16

Possible via Betfair

11627/10/2007EDF CupWorcester

2.75

2.50

2.63

2.68

No Bet
11727/10/2007EDF CupDragons

1.90

1.80

1.89

1.93

No Bet
Only selection with the bookies is Bath - £37.00 @ 1.56 with BetChronicle - :hope Gloucester is a potential selection via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amount/price: Gloucester - £49.00 @ 1.16
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Gloucester bet partly matched to tune of £10.00. Screen dump of Betfair account taken for confirmation:

Market type

Market

Selection

Bid type

Bet ID

Bet placed

Level req.

Stake(GBP)

Avg. level matched

Profit/Loss(GBP)

Odds

Fixtures 27 October / Gloucester v Newcastle / Match Odds

Gloucester Rugby

Back

27-Oct-07 10:05

1.16

10.00

1.16

(10.00)

Sadly they went on to draw with Newcastle 18 - 18 Bath beat Leicester 20 - 14 :cow System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,077.31

Total Staked

£2,039.93

Number of Bets

44

Winning Bets

34

Losing Bets

10

Strike Rate

77.3%

Yield

3.8%

Profit / Loss

£77.31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of tomorrow's games:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

118

28/10/2007

EDF Cup

London Irish

1.62

1.50

1.57

1.60

London Irish

119

28/10/2007

EDF Cup

Bristol

2.37

2.26

2.38

2.42

No Bet

Only selection with the bookies is London Irish - £59.00 @ 1.62 with Boylesports - :hope
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System London Irish lost against the Harlequins 8 - 10 :@ System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,018.31

Total Staked

£2,098.93

Number of Bets

45

Winning Bets

34

Losing Bets

11

Strike Rate

75.6%

Yield

0.9%

Profit / Loss

£18.31

Just about still in the black!
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Not able to access a computer yesterday to post selections, so will exclude for the system. On to today's selections:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

124

03/11/2007

EDF Cup

Leicester

1.25

1.19

1.25

1.27

Leicester

125

03/11/2007

EDF Cup

Harlequins

1.25

1.21

1.27

1.29

Possible via Betfair

126

03/11/2007

EDF Cup

Newcastle

1.36

1.31

1.37

1.40

Possible via Betfair

127

03/11/2007

Magners League

Munster

1.16

1.13

1.19

1.21

Possible via Betfair

128

03/11/2007

Top 14

Toulouse

1.53

1.47

1.54

1.57

Possible via Betfair

129

03/11/2007

Top 14

Clermont

1.08

1.05

1.11

1.13

Possible via Betfair

130

03/11/2007

Top 14

Montauban

1.66

1.56

1.64

1.67

No Bet

The only selection via the bookies is Leicester - £42.00 @ 1.25 with Stan James - :hope Several potential selections via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Harlequins - £42.00 @ 1.29 Newcastle - £39.00 @ 1.40 Munster - £45.00 @ 1.21 Toulouse - £45.00 @ 1.57 Clemont - £48.00 @ 1.13
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Results update: Leicester beat Cardiff 42 - 20 :cow Munster beat Edinburgh 19 - 16 :cow Newcastle beat Dragons 29 - 24 :cow System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,053.61

Total Staked

£2,224.93

Number of Bets

48

Winning Bets

37

Losing Bets

11

Strike Rate

77.1%

Yield

2.4%

Profit / Loss

£53.61

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Selections for tomorrow's matches:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

131

04/11/2007

EDF Cup

Wasps

1.83

1.70

1.78

1.82

No Bet

132

04/11/2007

EDF Cup

Saracens

1.28

1.24

1.30

1.33

Possible via Betfair

133

04/11/2007

EDF Cup

Ospreys

1.07

1.04

1.09

1.11

Possible via Betfair

No bets via the bookies as no value prices available. Two potential selections via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Saracens - £42.00 @ 1.33 Ospreys - £51.00 @ 1.11
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Saracens bet was not matched (they won) Ospreys beat London Irish 51 - 16 :cow System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,058.94

Total Staked

£2,275.93

Number of Bets

49

Winning Bets

38

Losing Bets

11

Strike Rate

77.6%

Yield

2.6%

Profit / Loss

£58.94

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of tonight's game in the European Challenge Cup:

Match No.DateTournamentHome TeamBest OddsAv OddsAv Odds +5%Av Odds +7%Selection
13408/11/2007Euro Challenge CupSale1.041.021.071.09Sale
No value with the bookies, so trying to get matched via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Sale - £52.00 @ 1.09 Not hopeful of being matched as there is currently nearly £1,900 awaiting matching at 1.08 and hardly likely to be a huge amount of liquidity on the game.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Sale bet was not matched (they won) Prices now available for the majority of the Heineken Cup and some of the European Challenge Cup matches over weekend:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

135

09/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Perpignan

1.08

1.07

1.12

1.14

Possible via Betfair

136

09/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Ulster

2.87

2.52

2.65

2.70

No Bet

137

09/11/2007

European Cup

Brive

1.16

1.14

1.19

1.22

Possible via Betfair

138

09/11/2007

European Cup

Leeds

2.25

2.09

2.20

2.24

No Bet

139

10/11/2007

Heineken Cup

London Irish

1.05

1.03

1.08

1.10

Possible via Betfair

140

10/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Ospreys

1.16

1.12

1.17

1.20

Possible via Betfair

141

10/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Stade Francias

1.05

1.04

1.09

1.11

Possible via Betfair

142

10/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Wasps

1.61

1.55

1.63

1.66

No Bet

143

10/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Edinburgh

4.40

3.79

3.98

4.06

No Bet

144

10/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Leinster

2.25

2.10

2.20

2.24

No Bet

145

11/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Cardiff Blues

1.25

1.17

1.23

1.25

Cardiff Blues

146

11/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Saracens

1.14

1.12

1.17

1.20

Possible via Betfair

147

11/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Clermont

1.22

1.18

1.24

1.26

Possible via Betfair

The only selection via the bookies is Cardiff Blues - £63.00 @ 1.25 with Boylesports - :hope Several potential selections via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Perpignan - £49.00 @ 1.14 Brive - £47.00 @ 1.22 London Irish - £51.00 @ 1.10 Ospreys - £47.00 @ 1.20 Stade Francias - £51.00 @ 1.11 Saracens - £47.00 @ 1.20 Clemont - £45.00 @ 1.26
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Nothing else was matched on Betfair (which is a shame as they all won). Results update for bets that were matched: Stade Francias beat Harlequins 37 - 17 :cow Cardiff Blues beat Bristol 34 - 18 :cow Clermont beat the Scarlets 48 - 21 :cow System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,088.41

Total Staked

£2,408.93

Number of Bets

52

Winning Bets

41

Losing Bets

11

Strike Rate

78.8%

Yield

3.7%

Profit / Loss

£88.41

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of tomorrow's European Challenge Cup match:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

148

15/11/2007

European Cup

Newcastle

1.16

1.15

1.20

1.23

Possible via Betfair

No value with the bookies, so trying to get matched via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Newcastle - £47.00 @ 1.23 Not hopeful of being matched, however, as already there is £400+ awaiting matching @ 1.20. We live in hope . . .
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Newcastle bet not matched as expected (they won). Prices available on a number of Heineken Cup matches over weekend:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

149

16/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Glasgow

1.06

1.03

1.08

1.10

Possible via Betfair

150

16/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Gloucester

1.44

1.37

1.44

1.46

Gloucester

151

17/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Leicester

1.04

1.03

1.09

1.11

Possible via Betfair

152

17/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Biarritz

1.33

1.26

1.33

1.35

Biarritz

153

17/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Harlequins

1.90

1.74

1.83

1.87

No Bet

154

17/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Scarlets

1.53

1.62

1.70

1.73

No Bet

155

18/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Bristol

4.00

3.53

3.70

3.77

No Bet

156

18/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Toulouse

1.36

1.25

1.31

1.33

Toulouse

3 selections via the bookies and 2 potential selections via Betfair. Bookie bets are: Gloucester - £42.00 @ 1.44 with Stan James - :hope Biarritz - £45.00 @ 1.33 with Paddy Power - :hope Toulouse - £81.00 @ 1.36 with Boylesports - :hope Toulouse price with Boylesports currently 9% above the mean hence the high stake. Betfair amounts/prices requested: Glasgow - £53.00 @ 1.10 Leicester - £53.00 @ 1.11
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Neither Glasgow or Leicester bets were matched (both won) Gloucester beat the Ospreys 26 - 18 :cow Biarritz beat Saracens 22 - 21 :cow System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,121.89

Total Staked

£2,495.93

Number of Bets

54

Winning Bets

43

Losing Bets

11

Strike Rate

79.6%

Yield

4.9%

Profit / Loss

£121.89

The system's on a roll with 9 wins on the trot :rollin
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Enough prices available to assess the last of the weekend's Heineken Cup matches:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

157

18/11/2007

Heineken Cup

Munster

1.32

1.23

1.30

1.32

Munster

Selection is Munster - £63.00 @ 1.32 with BetChronicle - :hope Two big bets on for tomorrow's games. Lets hope the roll continues as 2 losses here would effectively wipe out all profits and send the system back into the red!
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System A good day for the system as both bets won. Munster beat Clermont 36 - 13 :cow Toulouse beat Leinster 33 - 6 :cow System update:

Starting Bank

£1,000.00

Current Bank

£1,171.21

Total Staked

£2,639.93

Number of Bets

56

Winning Bets

45

Losing Bets

11

Strike Rate

80.4%

Yield

6.5%

Profit / Loss

£171.21

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of Friday's matches:

Match No.

Date

Tournament

Home Team

Best Odds

Av Odds

Av Odds +5%

Av Odds +7%

Selection

158

23/11/2007

Guinness Prem

Worcester

2.87

2.63

2.76

2.82

No Bet

159

23/11/2007

Magners League

Connacht

2.62

2.28

2.40

2.44

No Bet

160

23/11/2007

Magners League

Glasgow

1.61

1.56

1.64

1.67

No Bet

161

23/11/2007

Magners League

Ospreys

2.00

1.89

1.98

2.02

No Bet

No bets as no qualifiers.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...