Rugby Quarb System

[2hcb]

Re: Rugby Quarb System

Blues bet wasn't matched.

lucky escape that!

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System

lucky escape that!

Indeed! England beat Tonga 36 - 20 :cow System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£1,045.50
Total Staked	£885.00
Number of Bets	18
Winning Bets	15
Losing Bets	3
Strike Rate	83.3%
Yield	5.1%
Profit / Loss	£45.50

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Remainder of tomorrow's games assessed:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
59	29/09/2007	RWC 2007	Australia	1.00	1.00	1.05	1.07	No Bet
60	29/09/2007	RWC 2007	Wales	1.10	1.07	1.12	1.14	Possible via Betfair
61	29/09/2007	RWC 2007	New Zealand	1.00	1.00	1.05	1.07	No Bet
63	29/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Bath	1.53	1.44	1.52	1.55	Bath
64	29/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Gloucester	1.12	1.08	1.13	1.15	Possible via Betfair
65	29/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Newcastle	1.90	1.70	1.79	1.82	No Bet

Only outright selection with the bookies is Bath - £43.00 @ 1.53 with William Hills. Bath are currently unbeaten in 11 matches in all competitions at home. Sale haven't won away in the Guinness Premiership for nearly a year whilst have only won once in the last 9 attempts at the Rec. Both sides are currently 1 from 2 (winning their home matches and losing their aways) for the season. No other bets via the bookies as no value prices available. Two potential selections via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Gloucester - £49.00 @ 1.15 Wales - £49.00 @ 1.14 Gloucester are currently top of the Guinsess Premiership, winning both their away games with bonus points. They are unbeaten in 13 matches in all competitions at home. Worcester have drawn, lost one since the start of the season and have never beaten the hosts at Kingsholm. Wales go into their must win game on Saturday having never lost to the Fijians, although it was touch and go the last time they played with the Welsh scraping a 11 - 10 win courtesy of a drop goal late on in the match. Planet Rugby's analysis concludes that Fiji will eventually run out of steam during the game and Wales will go on to win by 10 points. Based on the IRB ratings, Wales (76.83) should beat Fiji (73.07) at a neutral venue by around 8 points. Sporting Index have the Welsh supremacy over the Fijians pitched considerably higher at 18-21, whilst the average handicap mark on Wales is -19.5 points at 1.90. Will update before kick offs to advise whether amounts/prices have been matched.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Wales bet matched in full. Gloucester bet not yet matched.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System

Wales bet matched in full.

No lucky escape this time as Fiji cause the biggest upset of RWC 2007 to date by beating Wales 38 - 34 :sad Gloucester bet was not matched. Outcomes of today's other system selections: Bath beat Sale 21 - 19 :cow Scotland beat Italy 18 - 16 :cow System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£1,044.29
Total Staked	£1,027.00
Number of Bets	21
Winning Bets	17
Losing Bets	4
Strike Rate	81.0%
Yield	4.3%
Profit / Loss	£44.29

Despite the Wales loss, the system is still in the black and is showing a small profit so far of £7.20 for the weekend.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of tomorrow's matches:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
66	30/09/2007	RWC 2007	South Africa	1.01	1.00	1.05	1.07	No Bet
67	30/09/2007	RWC 2007	France	1.00	1.00	1.05	1.07	No Bet
68	30/09/2007	RWC 2007	Argentina	1.72	1.62	1.70	1.73	No Bet
69	30/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Bristol	1.80	1.69	1.77	1.81	No Bet
70	30/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Leeds	4.00	3.50	3.68	3.75	No Bet
71	30/09/2007	Guinness Prem	Wasps	2.20	1.99	2.09	2.13	No Bet
72	30/09/2007	Magners League	Ospreys	1.25	1.19	1.25	1.28	Ospreys

Only selection tomorrow is with the bookies and is Ospreys - £41.00 @ 1.25 with BetChronicle. The Ospreys have had a lousy start to the defence of their Magners League title losing 3 from 3. One of these losses was at home to the Scarlets (the system's first selection and also its first loss :@), whilst the other 2 defeats were aways at the Blues and at Ulster. Glasgow started their campaign last week with an away loss to the Blues. They have poor record playing away against Welsh opposition having only won once away in 13 attempts since 2004/05. Based on the ELO ratings, the Ospreys should win by around 11 points. Sporting Index have the Ospreys supremacy over Glasgow pitched at 11-14, whilst the average handicap mark on them is -11.0 points at 1.90.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Ospreys win 37 - 23 :cow System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£1,054.54
Total Staked	£1,068.00
Number of Bets	22
Winning Bets	18
Losing Bets	4
Strike Rate	81.8%
Yield	5.1%
Profit / Loss	£54.54

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Ample prices available to assess the RWC quarter finals on the weekend:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
80	06/10/2007	RWC 2007	Australia	1.25	1.19	1.25	1.27	Australia
81	06/10/2007	RWC 2007	New Zealand	1.20	1.16	1.22	1.24	Possible via Betfair
86	07/10/2007	RWC 2007	Argentina	1.20	1.15	1.21	1.23	Possible via Betfair
87	07/10/2007	RWC 2007	South Africa	1.03	1.02	1.07	1.09	No Bet

Only outright selection with the bookies is Australia - £46.00 @ 1.25 with Stan James - :hope A re-run of the RWC 2003 final between Australia and England, with the Wallabies no doubt out for revenge for that defeat. Australia have cruised through their group and have looked far more impressive than England to date. Australian injuries are a concern, however, particularly in the backs. Based on the IRB ratings, Australia (87.73) should beat England (80.10) at a neutral venue by around 15 points. Sporting Index have the Australian supremacy over the English pitched at 11-14, whilst the average handicap mark on the Wallabies is -12.0 points at 1.90. No other bets via the bookies as no value prices available. Two potential selections via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: New Zealand - £45.00 @ 1.24 Argentina - £46.00 @ 1.23 I would be very suprised if either of these bets are matched. We live in hope. As usual, will monitor and update before kick offs.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Suprisingly, the Argentina bet has been matched in full. Bet therefore is Argentina - £46.00 @ 1.23 with Betfair - :hope Argentina have been one of the most impressive sides in the RWC, dispatching both France and Ireland (plus respective minnows) to top the 'Group of Death', with the added benefit of avoiding the All Backs the quarter finals. Scotland looked as good as they could (particularly their pack) against Romania and Portugal and even their B side did moderately well against a full strength New Zealand team. However, they only just scraped past Italy to qualify out of the group, especially as the Italians had a chance to potentially win the game in the dying minutes (narrowly failed with a penalty). Whilst the Scots have the kicker of the RWC in Paterson, it is unlikely he will get enough opportunities to win this game with the boot alone. I can't see them scoring the necessary tries either against a mean Puma's defense that has only conceeded twice in the last 4 games. Scotland have not beaten the Argentians since 1990, losing the last 5 matches played since then between the two. Based on the IRB ratings, Argentina (85.78) should beat Scotland (77.09) at a neutral venue by around 19 points. Sporting Index have the Puma's supremacy over the Scottish pitched at 12-15, whilst the average handicap mark on Argentina is -13.0 points at 1.90. Such is the importance of this game to Argentina, even the sacred Boca v River football fixture has been brought forward to avoid a timing clash. I'm reasonably confident the Puma's will win this comfortably, although I am reminded from my records that the path of my gambling life has often been strewn with cowpats from the devil's own satanic herd.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Prices now available for Friday's domestic action:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
73	05/10/2007	Guinness Prem	London Irish	1.66	1.54	1.62	1.65	No Bet
74	05/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Newcastle	1.11	1.08	1.14	1.16	Possible via Betfair
75	05/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Sale	1.80	1.63	1.71	1.74	No Bet
76	05/10/2007	Magners League	Edinburgh	2.37	2.24	2.35	2.40	No Bet
77	05/10/2007	Magners League	Glasgow	1.50	1.39	1.45	1.48	Glasgow
78	05/10/2007	Magners League	Leinster	1.36	1.28	1.35	1.37	Leinster
79	05/10/2007	Magners League	Munster	1.61	1.44	1.51	1.54	Munster

A lot of action as three outright selections identified with the bookies. The first selection is Glasgow - £63.00 @ 1.50 with Bet 365 - :hope Glasgow have lost their opening 2 games in the Magners League, although both of these have been away to Welsh opposition. Connacht won their opening home game against the Dragons, but then went on to lose last time out away against the Scarlets. Indeed, Connacht have not won away since Sept 2006 in Magners League and have failed to win in Glasgow over the past 3 seasons (although it was close last time). Based on the ELO ratings, Glasgow should win by around 11 points. Sporting Index have the Glasgow supremacy over Connacht pitched rather low I think at 3-6, whilst the average handicap mark on them is -7.0 points at 1.90. The second selection is Leinster - £51.00 @ 1.36 with Blue Square - :hope Leinster have won 2 from 2 so far in the Magners League, including an impressive away win over the Cardiff Blues last time out (at the same time ending a 17 match home winning streak for the Blues in the Magners League stretching back to Jan 2006). Leinster have a fantastic home record in the Magners League, having lost only 2 matches at home since Sept 2004 with their last loss at home in the league occuring in Nov 2005. The Scarlets have had a mixed start to their campaign, winning 2 of their opening 4 games. Although one of these wins was away to a lacklustre Ospreys side, their overall away record in the Magners League is not great and they have failed to win in Leinster over the past 3 seasons. Based on the ELO ratings, Leinster should win by around 8 points. Sporting Index have the Leinster supremacy over the Scarlets pitched at 8-11, whilst the average handicap mark on them is -8.5 points at 1.90. The last selection is Munster - £87.00 @ 1.61 with Sky Bet - :hope The biggest bet of the system so far as Sky Bet have priced Munster at an incredible 1.61 or some 12% above the bookies mean price. I can't see this price lasting as it is well above the standard line taken. Munster are 2 for 2 for the season todate, although they were relatively lucky last week as the Dragons threw away a 16-0 lead to eventually gift them the match. Munster do not lose very often at home, having only been beaten 4 times since Sept 2004. Although worryingly for the selection the Blues are one of the few sides to have beaten them away, winning there last season by 19-12. The Blues have won 3 out of 4 in the Magners League this season, although they did lose at home against Leinster last week. Based on the ELO ratings, Munster should win by around 5 points. Sporting Index have Munster's supremacy over the Blues pitched at 4-7, whilst the average handicap mark on them is -6.0 points at 1.90. For me, this match would be one to watch a la Dr Who style i.e. from behind the sofa with clenched buttocks. As it is not live on the telly, it'll be one I'll follow with a tightened sphincter via the internet. No other bets via the bookies as no value prices available. One potential selection via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amount/price: Newcastle - £49.00 @ 1.16 As usual, will monitor potential selection and update before kick off.

[2hcb]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Starting to get serious here now, best of luck! Cardiffwould have to be the biggest danger here with the way they've started the season. I'll be behind the Munstermen also due to the season outright bet. :hope

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Cheers 2hcb for the good wishes. I've currently got nearly 28% of the entire bank out in bets so you're right about it getting a bit serious. A few bad results here would certainly set the system back a notch or two. Whilst I generally cheer on all the Welsh sides when playing Irish or Scottish opponents in the Magners League, I really hope the Blues don't win tomorrow. I still can't believe the price that was offered on Munster. Best price has literally just dropped to 1.57 which is still great value (I don't think that this price will be there much longer either).

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System

A few bad results here would certainly set the system back a notch or two

Me and my big mouth. Munster lost 17 - 19 :wall :@ :wall Leinster lost 23 - 52 :$ Glasgow just about managed to win 16 - 15 (with a penalty in the 80th minute!) :cow Newcastle bet was not matched (they won) System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£948.04
Total Staked	£1,269.00
Number of Bets	25
Winning Bets	19
Losing Bets	6
Strike Rate	76.0%
Yield	-4.1%
Profit / Loss	-£51.96

Back in the red!

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of the remainder of the weekend's games as follows:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
82	06/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Harlequins	1.54	1.47	1.54	1.57	Harlequins
83	06/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Leicester	1.86	1.75	1.83	1.87	No Bet
84	06/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Worcester	2.42	2.31	2.43	2.47	No Bet
85	06/10/2007	Magners League	Dragons	1.57	1.49	1.56	1.59	Dragons

Once more unto the breach as two outright selections identified. The first selection is Harlequins - £31.00 @ 1.54 with BetChronicle - :hope Harlequins are 2 from 3 this season, winning both their home games but losing away to Newcastle last week. Bristol are 1 from 3, recording their first win last week at home against London Irish. Harlequins have only lost once at home in their last 8 fixtures, whilst Bristol have lost their last 7 aways and have not won on their travels in the Guinness Premiership since Jan 2007. Furthermore, thy have not won at the Quins since Sept 2001. Sporting Index have the Harlequins supremacy over Bristol pitched at 7-110, whilst the average handicap mark on the Quins is -6.0 points at 1.90. The second selection is Dragons - £51.00 @ 1.63 with Betfair - :hope This is an uneasy selection / bet for me and in my current fragile state, one I really wish the system hadn't flagged up. However, it did and so I am on! The Dragons are 1 from 3 for the season and are on a run of 3 consecutive home defeats. Ulster are 1 from 2, losing away last week to Edinburgh. The Dragons have lost the last 2 corresponding fixtures and have not beaten Ulster since the 2004/05 season. Based on the ELO ratings, Ulster should win by around 1.5 points. Sporting Index however, have the Dragon's supremacy over the Scarlets pitched at 4-7, whilst the average handicap mark on them is -6.0 points at 1.90. I don't really know why the Dragons are such short priced favourites here. Gulp!

[Cymro]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Dragons and Quins did the business tonight Wump. Dragons were never in doubt and ran out comfortable winners at a nice price. Hopefully that brings you back into profit :hope. Seems like there are a lot of short priced teams going down at this stage in the season, maybe it's worth waiting till the WC players are back for the respective teams as it would seem that the bookies are all over the place with their odds and results are becoming pretty tough to pick?

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Cheers Cymro for the input. Probably good advice, but I am going to tough it out with the system selections. Indeed, after a truely depressing Friday and equally lousy start on Saturday, the system has managed to win with the last 3 selections. Strange how the most uneasy selections for the weekend for me (i.e. the Dragons) won the easiest! Results update: Australia lost to England 10 - 12 :@ Harlequins beat Bristol 24 - 18 :cow Dragons beat Ulster 31 - 11 :cow Argentina beat Scotland 19 - 13 :cow Systems update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£959.35
Total Staked	£1,443.00
Number of Bets	29
Winning Bets	22
Losing Bets	7
Strike Rate	75.9%
Yield	-2.8%
Profit / Loss	-£40.65

Creeping back towards the black!

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of the RWC semi finals on the weekend:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
88	13/10/2007	RWC 2007	France	1.40	1.33	1.39	1.42	France
89	14/10/2007	RWC 2007	South Africa	1.35	1.29	1.36	1.38	South Africa

First selection is France - £40.00 @ 1.40 with BetChronicle - :hope Both France and England will be upbeat after last weeks wins over the All Blacks and the Wallabies. Although they beat the French earlier this year in the 6 nations, England lost both autumn warm up games. Furthermore, England haven't won in France since 2000. Based on the IRB ratings, France (88.38) should beat England (83.63) at home by around 17 points. Sporting Index have the French supremacy over the English pitched at 7-10, whilst the average handicap mark on the French is -8.0 points at 1.90. Next selection is South Africa - £37.00 @ 1.38 with Betfair - :hope In the 11 games played between the two sides, South Africa have won every match. Neither side looked that impressive in the QFs. Based on the IRB ratings, South Africa (86.44) should beat Argentina (88.04) at a neutral venue by around 1 point! Sporting Index have the Boks supremacy over the Pumas pitched at 8-11, whilst the average handicap mark on the South Africans is -9.5 points at 1.90.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Enough prices available to review 4 out of tomorrow's 5 games:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
90	12/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Leeds	2.33	2.08	2.18	2.23	No Bet
91	12/10/2007	Magners League	Cardiff Blues	1.12	1.10	1.16	1.18	Possible via Betfair
93	12/10/2007	Magners League	Glasgow	1.80	1.70	1.78	1.82	No Bet
94	12/10/2007	Magners League	Scarlets	1.53	1.38	1.45	1.48	Scarlets

One selection identified with the bookies and 1 possible via Betfair. The selection with the bookies is Scarlets - £74.00 @ 1.53 with William Hills - :hope Another big bet for the system, primarily as Hills have priced up the Scarlets at a whopping 11% above the bookies mean price. I cannot see this price lasting as it is well above the consensus. The Scarlets are 3 from 5 for the season, including a high scoring win away at Leinster last week (biggest defeat at home for Leinster in the league, most points conceded, etc). Ulster are 2 for 3 to date, losing both their away matches. The Scarlets have a good record against Ulster, beating them 3 out of 4 in the league and Heineken Cup matches last season. Furthermore, Ulster have never won at Stradey in the Magners League or in other tournies. Based on the ELO ratings, the Scarlets should win by around 5 points. Sporting Index have the Scarlets supremacy over Ulster pitched at 6-9, whilst the average handicap mark on them is -7.0 points at 1.90. My concerns are that this bet has shades of the Munster v Cardiff Blues game selection last week as that was a high stake bet due to a stand out bookie price. Lets just hope for a better result. No other bets via the bookies as no value prices available. One potential selection via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amount/price: Cardiff Blues - £44.00 @ 1.18 As usual, will monitor potential selection and update before kick off.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Last of tonight's games assessed:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
92	12/10/2007	Magners League	Edinburgh	1.75	1.67	1.76	1.79	No Bet

£7.00 of Cardiff bet matched so far! Will update later if anymore matched.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System £20.93 matched in total on the Blues

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Results update: Scarlets beat Ulster 32 - 8 :cow Blues beat Connacht 30 - 16 :cow System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£1,002.15
Total Staked	£1,537.93
Number of Bets	31
Winning Bets	24
Losing Bets	7
Strike Rate	77.4%
Yield	0.1%
Profit / Loss	£2.15

System back in profit - just!

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of remaining games on the weekend:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
95	13/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Bath	1.50	1.44	1.52	1.54	Possible via Betfair
96	13/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Gloucester	1.22	1.19	1.25	1.28	Possible via Betfair
97	14/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Bristol	1.57	1.50	1.57	1.60	Bristol
98	14/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Saracens	1.80	1.66	1.75	1.78	No Bet
99	14/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Wasps	1.53	1.44	1.51	1.54	Wasps
100	14/10/2007	Magners League	Ospreys	1.53	1.42	1.49	1.52	Ospreys

Several selections for the weekend with the bookies plus a few possibles with Betfair. First actual bet is Bristol - £34.00 @ 1.57 with Bet 365 - :hope Bristol have a good record at home as opposed to Newcastle's poor away form. Indeed, the Falcons have won only once in their last 15 away games and have also not managed a win in Bristol since 1997. Next selection is Wasps - £46.00 @ 1.53 with SkyBet - :hope Wasps have had an awful start to the season, recording only a draw in their last 4 games. The current Heineken Cup champions have a good home record however, and will be looking to kick start their campaign against a London Irish side which are also struggling. Indeed, the exiles are 1 from 4 for the season and have a poor away record. The last selection is Ospreys - £64.00 @ 1.58 with Betfair - :hope The big guns are back for the Ospreys as they look to mount their challenge to retain their title of the Magners League. They have a great record at home, losing only 4 times at the Liberty Stadium in the ML since 2004/05. Munster also bring back a few of their internationals to try and bounce back from last week's shock home loss to the Blues. They have a good away record in the ML but have yet to record an away win against the Ospreys. Based on the ELO ratings, the Ospreys should win by around 5 points, whilst the average handicap mark on them is -7.0 points at 1.90. No other bets via the bookies as no value prices available. Two potential selections via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amounts/prices: Bath - £35.00 @ 1.54 Gloucester - £42.00 @ 1.28 As usual, will monitor potential selections and update before kick offs.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Didn't get a chance to update system potential selections earlier due to family commitments. Checked Betfair, Bath bet was matched in full whilst Gloucester was unmatched. Have taken screen dump of Betfair Betting History to confirm:

Market type	Market	Selection	Bid type	Bet ID	Bet placed	Level req.	Stake(GBP)	Avg. level matched	Profit/Loss(GBP)
Odds	Fixtures 13 October / Bath v Harlequins / Match Odds	Bath	Back		12-Oct-07 21:22	1.54	35.00	1.54	18.90
Odds	Fixtures 12 October / Cardiff Blues v Connacht / Match Odds	Cardiff Blues	Back		11-Oct-07 20:29	1.18	20.93	1.18	3.77

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Results update: Bath beat Harlequins 25 - 10 :cow France lose to England 9 - 14 :wall System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£980.11
Total Staked	£1,612.93
Number of Bets	33
Winning Bets	25
Losing Bets	8
Strike Rate	75.8%
Yield	-1.2%
Profit / Loss	-£19.89

Back in the red again :$

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Results update for today's selections: South Africa beat Argentina 37 - 13 :cow Bristol beat Newcastle 23 - 16 :cow Wasps beat London Irish 28 - 14 :cow Ospreys beat Munster 16 - 3 :cow System update:

Starting Bank	£1,000.00
Current Bank	£1,071.92
Total Staked	£1,792.93
Number of Bets	37
Winning Bets	29
Losing Bets	8
Strike Rate	78.4%
Yield	4.0%
Profit / Loss	£71.92

A good weekend with 7 out of 8 selections winning and an overall £110+ profit :rollin

[staffy]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Nice one mate.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System

Nice one mate.

Cheers staffy. Its been a bit of a roller coaster ride over the past several weeks so was nice to have a more up than down weekend. Lets just hope the ups continue to outweigh the downs :ok

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Plenty of bookie prices available to assess the RWC final on Saturday:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
103	20/10/2007	RWC 2007	South Africa	1.41	1.36	1.43	1.46	Possible via Betfair

No bet via the bookies as no value price available, however, South Africa is a potential selection via Betfair. As such, I've requested the following amount/price: South Africa - £39.00 @ 1.46 Not at all confident this will be matched as can see price shortening from current level of 1.44. Will monitor potential selection and update before kick off.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System

Not at all confident this will be matched as can see price shortening from current level of 1.44

Just checked Betfair account. Bet has been matched in full. Just goes to show how much I know :$ Selection is therefore South Africa - £39.00 @ 1.46 with Betfair - :hope Well, this is the big one for both teams. South Afria have been one of the favourites to lift the RWC cup for many, many months whereas England have come from nowhere to reach the final. Recent results between the two sides favour the Boks, who have won the last 4 games played by 11, 48, 33 and 36 points respectively. Based on the IRB ratings, South Africa (89.32) should beat England (87.18) at a neutral venue by around 4 points. Sporting Index have the Boks supremacy over the English pitched at 8-10, whilst the average handicap mark on South Africa is -8.0 points at 1.90. If England can keep it close then they stand a chance of winning via the boot of Wilkinson. If the Boks manage to put a few points on the board however, then I just cannot see England having the game plan necessary to pull back a big lead.

[Wumpking]

Re: Rugby Quarb System Assessment of tomorrow night's matches:

Match No.	Date	Tournament	Home Team	Best Odds	Av Odds	Av Odds +5%	Av Odds +7%	Selection
101	19/10/2007	RWC 2007	France	1.30	1.23	1.29	1.31	France
102	19/10/2007	Guinness Prem	Sale	2.00	1.83	1.92	1.96	No Bet

Only selection is France - £52.00 @ 1.32 with Betfair - :hope Not keen to back this, particularly as France have a poor record against Argentina. However, it is a system pick and I am determined to follow the system as it stands until the end of this season. I just hope France will be trying to atone for their opening night loss against the Pumas as well as for last week's loss against England.