Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Another Bet 4:00 Salisbury £40 Shorthand @ 11/2 (stan James) or better 4th £35 Barshiba @ 6/4 £75 loss Day1 Profit £203.00 Total £203.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Day 1 Profit £203 Day 2 4.15 Salisbury £15 @ 35/1 Humungous Non runner £30 @ 5.8/1 Royal Oath Non runner £15 @ 12.5/1 Ordnance Row 2nd £15 Loss 3:40 Salisbury £44 @ 5.6/1 Cushat Law 2nd £6 @ 24/1 Lindy Lou £50 Loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips More Bets. 2:00 Salisbury £40 @ 6.6/1 Stubbs Art 3rd £10 @ 3.4/1 Pha Mai Blue £50 Loss 2:30 Salisbury £50 @ 5.2/1 Palmerin £20 @ 14/1 Richcar Non Runner £50 Loss Day2 Loss £165.00 Total £38 Profit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Day 2 £165 Loss Total £38 Profit Day 3 August 17th. 1:40 Newbury £133 @ 2/1 Eastern Gift 2nd £20 @ 7.2/1 Miesko £11 @ 14/1 Ridge Dance £164 loss 2:10 Newbury £30 @ 13/1 Eva Soneva So Fast £50 @ 3/1 Silver Suitor 2nd £14 @ 7.2/1 Noojoom £9 @ 11/1 Madaarek £103 loss 2:40 Newbury £22 @ 15.5/1 Littlemisssunshine £10 @ 2.35/1 (place market) Littlemisssunshine extra bet £15 @ 6/1 (each way) Littlemisssunshine £62 loss Day3 £329 loss Total -£291.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Day 4 3:20 Newbury £60 @ 9/2 (Corals) Wake Up Maggie £18 @ 4.4/1 Silver Touch £13 @ 7/1 Stronghold 3rd £91 Loss 4:25 Newbury £40 @ 6.8/1 Mullien Non-runner £13 @ 3.6/1 Rinterval 1st £46.80 Profit (less reduction factor) 2:45 Newbury £133 @ 2.35/1 Classic Punch £133 loss Day 4 loss £177.20 Total £468.20 loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 4212:00 York £25 each way @ 11/1 Nacho Libre £50 loss 2:35 York £15 @ 4/1 Purple Moon 1st £25 @ 10.5/1 Honalulu 2nd £22 @ 18/1 Group Captain £4 @ 18.5/1 Hitchcock £3 @ 28/1 Wing Collar £3 @ 22/1 Strategic Mount £3 Profit Day 5 loss £47 Total loss £515.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips More bets in 3:10 York £33 @ 14/1 Kingsgate Native 1st £25 @ 8.4/1 Moorhouse Lad £8 @ 10/1 Red Clubs £5 @ 17/1 Amadeus Wolf £2 @ 41/1 Desert Lord 2nd £2 @ 69/1 Sierra Vista £420 profit 1:35 York £25 @ 10.5/1 Philario £25 @ 2.85/1 Dark Angel 1st £10 @ 7/1 Johar Jamel £36.25 Profit Day 6 £456.25 Profit Total £58.95 loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 1:20Newbury £45 @ 7/1 Fastha £20 @ 6.6/1 Chatham Islands 2nd £15 @ 14/1 Regal Rhythm 3rd £80 loss 2:50 Newbury £40 @ 6.6/1 Teodora Adivina 3rd £20 @ 2.05/1 Kahara 1st £1 profit 12:50 Newbury £57 @ 4.4/1 Morestead £18 @ 7/2 We’Re Delighted £75 loss Day 8 £154 loss Total £212.95 loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 3:10 Goodwood £45 @ 7.4/1 Blue Ksar 3rd £10 @ 20/1 Selinka £10 @ 6/1 (WHills) Dunelight £65 loss 2:05 Goodwood £75 @ 7/2 (Bet Fred) Samuel 2nd £5 @ 17.5/1 Land 'N' Stars £3 @ 33/1 Souvenance £83 loss 4:50 Goodwood £100 @ 1.8/1 Gilded Youth 3rd £100 loss Day 9 £248 loss Total £460.95 loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 4:30 Goodwood £24 @ 20/1 Waterside 3rd £24 @ 14/1 Jedburgh £14 @ 21/1 Ivory Lace £14 @ 5/1 King Of Argos 1st £14 @ 4.8/1 Vitznau £6 loss 3:20 Goodwood £40 @ 7/1 Cliche 2nd £20 @ 10.5/1 Flying Clarets £20 @ 100/30 Measured Tempo £80 loss 5:05 Goodwood £40 @ 7/1 Dauberval 1st £15 @ 22/1 Shadow Fall £265 Profit Day 10 £179 Profit Total £281.95 loss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Profit /loss does not include unsettled bets: St Leger £40 @ 9/1 (Tote) Honolulu 1000 Guinees £25 @ 16/1 Sense Of Joy and let's have another £8 @ 25/1 (Ladbrokes) Sense Of Joy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Things have been going better for me recently than my tips suggest. e.g. Backed Nice To Know and Samuri Gold (saw he was behaving himself in the paddock) yesturday. Lucarno in Voltigeur. Went in again for Kingsgate Native (with the drying ground wanted to get on Dandy Man late, that price had gone but saw Kingsgate Native was out to 18.5/1 so backed it to win another £100). So if there is still anyone interested in my views keep with it I am sure it will show a profit some time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips My computer problems are now hopefully a thing of the past as it was diagnosed as a faulty fan. Over heated computer caused automatic shut down (crashed). Hopefully cleaning it has done the trick. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Profit /loss does not include unsettled bets: St Leger £40 @ 9/1 (Tote) Honolulu 1000 Guinees £25 @ 16/1 Sense Of Joy and let's have another £8 @ 25/1 (Ladbrokes) Sense Of Joy I put this last bet up at 3:25 Monday 27th Aug, 11:35 in Ante-Post bets thread (had the bet myself this morning at around 11:00 a.m.). But I see the price had gone by 5:00pm. So if this bet was not available at 3:25 will delete it. Anyone else try to back it today? Eh? How come when I log out then return to this quoted post it shows my last edit to be 2:25 yet here it says 3:25? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 28, 2007 Author Share Posted August 28, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Total Staked So Far (TS) £1833.00 Total Return (TR) £1551.05 Total Loss (TL) £281.95 Horses Backed 65 All percentages e.g. 4/1=20% 867.39% Average Price of Horse Backed (AvPH) 13.34% 13/2 Average Price Taken Per Race (AvPR) 33.36% 2/1 Average Priced Winner (AvW) 18.47% 9/2 8 Wins from 26 races (8/26) 30.77% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips With the biggest field at Salisbury today being 14 it seems likely there will be a false rail up the far side. When this rail is in place I believe there is little or no draw bias on a sound surface (good or firmer). 6:10 Salisbury On good-firm going McCartney is worth taking on at around evens. He won impressively last time in the style of one likely to go on. But that was like his debut on good-soft and he is also by a sire who usually stamps his stock with a liking for some give in the ground. I still make him favourite on good-firm but would want better than 6/4 to back it. Scintilo run well enough last time but I do not see why he should be a shorter price than Donagal who was ahead of the Hannon horse in the Champagne at Goodwood. Andrew Balding was not in as good form then as he is now and Donegal may be able to improve. Art Master won a maiden well and is bred to improve at the trip (needs to). Strategic Mover will no doubt improve for his first run but surly has too much to find. Quick Release does not look good enough. Yahrab unlike most of his main rivals is proven on a firm surface. He won in good style at Newbury last time and related to Arc winners so should get the mile well. Because Clive Brittain is known for tilting at windmills his runners with a chance can often be backed at bigger prices than they should be. £50 @ 7.4/1 Yahrab £8 @ 8.2/1 Donegal £6 @ 11/1 Art Master Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 5:10 Salisbury £125 @ 1.86/1 Mizooka £20 @ 6.4/1 Golden Penny 7:10 Salisbury £105 @ 5/2 (ladbrokes) Duty Free £17 @ 7/1 Maid To Believe £3 @ 48/1 Lord Oroko Analysis to come Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 5:10 Salisbury With Ghetto a non-runner this does not look that competative. Siberian Tiger looks too short considering the trainer does not look in that good a form. He only scrambled home last time in a maiden Auction event. Not sure to stay, although by Xaar (miler) comes from a speedy female line. Golden Penny also by Xaar is out of a mile family. Got no sort of run last time. Stables 2 year olds tend not to reach their peak until late season, so improvement likely. Ability to cope with the ground unknown. Mizooka also yet to run on a firm surface, his sire Tobougg was 3rd in the Derby on firm going. Ralph Beckett is in excellent form. Mizooka wasn’t stopping when showed vastly improved form here last time at 7 furlongs and has breeding to do better over this trip. Kylie Elieson has a chance on form, had excuses last time but looks exposed. King Bathwick ran poorly last time and possibly lacks a turn of foot. Space Pirate showed his first bit of form last time ( 66/1possibly flattered). If he can improve on that run is not without a chance. However, looks a non stayer on breeding, neither sire or dam stayed a mile. Abfabfong was fairly well fancied on debut judged by his SP (5/1 from 15/2) but has done little on the track. 7:10 Salisbury Again with the 2nd fav Seeking The Buck coming out this does not look so competaive. Fourteenth was progressive before a long way below form at Goodwood last time. Interesting his trainer brings him out fairly soon afterwards. Fretwork seems one paced, likely to find one or two too good again. Maid To Believe can get warm and an evening kick off might help her. If the form of her slowly run Windsor win can be believed (possibly flattered) has a good chance here. Duty Free has been running really well at 14f lately but on breeding should do better back to 12f. (by miler Rock Of Gibralter). May be able to show further improvement today. Starry Messenger is not handicapped out of things but looks one paced so will need a strong pace here. By and out of staying influences. Love Brothers looks exposeed unless professional jockey can make a difference (can take a pull). Down The Brick might still be able to improve, no luck in running last time and won 2 prior to that all be it not the standard of todays race. Lord Oroko comes from unfashionable connections and not sure to act on the ground. However, ran O.K first time up after an absence last time (10f on soft) and is bred to do much better at 12 furlongs. Half brother to staying hurdler Blazing Bailey. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 1, 2007 Author Share Posted September 1, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Ante Post 2000 Guinees £30 @ 12/1 (Bet Direct) Ravens Pass Brilliant time seldom seen by a 2 year old at this time of year. Surely has a better than 7.7% (12/1) chance. More analysis in Ante-Post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 1, 2007 Author Share Posted September 1, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Fridays Profit / loss 5:10 Salisbury £125 Mizooka 1.86/1 2nd £20 Golden Penny 6.4/1 3rd £145 loss 6:10 Salisbury £50 Yahrab 7.4/1 3rd £8 Donegal 8.2/1 £6 Art Master 11/1 £64 loss 7:10 Salisbury £105 Duty Free 5/2 £17 Maid To Believe 7/1 1st £3 Lord Orocho 48/1 £11 Profit Fridays loss £198.00 Total Loss £479.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 3, 2007 Author Share Posted September 3, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 3:45 Goodwood £60 @ 9/2 Lovelace £13 @ 5.6/1 Racer Forever On form Dunelight does look poor value at current prices (5/2). Though he concievably could get a soft lead. Beckermett is the other horse that likes to lead but is drawn wide and may need to be covered up to get the trip. Bygone Days, Assertive, Presto Shinko and Tawaasol are also doubtful stayers but a slow pace would bring them in to play. Bygone Days possibly the one most likely to get the trip, ran poorly in France last time. Mac Love would be interesting at around 20/1 if getting a truly run race. Always held up. Racer Forever seemed to turn it in at York last time but if his mind is o.k. looks backable at around 11/2. An each way or just a saver bet may be best on him. Lovelace looks the one to be on, unlikely to get the Racing Post Forecast price, 9/2 looks very fair. Improving and acts on any going, provided Jamie does not get too far behind should go close. Mr. Spencer must be a negative as he has a poor record at Goodwood, particularly in slowly run races. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 3, 2007 Author Share Posted September 3, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 4:55 Goodwood £60 @ 9/2 Titan Triumph £17 @ 12/1 Murrin This race depends on the pace. Glencalvie, Don't Panic, Music Note, Minnis Bay and Empire Dancer all arguably run best out in front. Therefore an overly strong pace favouring the hold up horses seems likely. Unless the connections read the Racing Post and change tactics (always possible). At least two of them look as though they have to lead. Titan Triumph won well here over 7f when held up in a truly run race and provided he stays a mile (bred to but can take a pull if pace is not strong) should go well again. Another course winner Murrin is also suited by a truly run mile (did not get it last time) and could well improve (needs to). Spriggan's best form is at 7f and Salient and Lazy Darren ran poorly last time. Handsomelle looks a danger, ran well in a listed race at Sandown and looks progressive. From an under rated trainer ridden by a 3lb claimer, Handsomelle could drift in the betting. If so a saver bet could be in order. Minnis Way obviously has his chance but the number of pace horses puts me off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 3, 2007 Author Share Posted September 3, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Will put 2:00 bet here if and when my bets are taken. Pobably in the morning. Ginge Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 4, 2007 Author Share Posted September 4, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips 2:00 Goodwood £60 @ 7/2 Goodwood Starlight £20 @ 16/1 Maybe I Will £12 @ 7.8/1 Classical World Not much time, keep it brief. Saw GStarlight in paddock at Goodwood, anything but impressed, small. However, won really well, bred to do better at 1m. Trainers 2 yo usually come on for run. Ghetto has been NR on similar ground to todays recently though acted on it well enough first time before improving last time on soft. Stable companion had no room last time, progressive prior and is over priced. Classical World ran poorly last time but that was on soft, looked capable of better before (on good-firm). Townkab's form looks suspect (slowly run). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mowgli77 Posted September 4, 2007 Share Posted September 4, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Well done ginge :nanaGreat minds think alike and all that. :ok I was impressed that Spencer had already ridden it to victory from the front, way out of his comfort zone there but more impressed with the 5-1 SP, did it drift before the off??? A very close race judging by winning distances but was good enough to hold off Dunelight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 4, 2007 Author Share Posted September 4, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Tuesdays Profit / loss 2:00 Goodwood £60 Goodwood Starlight 7/2 Dead Heat 1st £20 Maybe I will 16/1 £12 Classical World 7.8/1 After reduction factor of 15.8% and half stake £56.41 profit 3:45 Goodwood £60 Lovelace 9/2 1st £13 Racer Forever 5.6/1 £257 profit 4:55 Goodwood £60 Tartan Triumph 9/2 3rd £17 Murrin 12/1 £77 Loss Days Profit £236.41 Total Loss £243.54 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 4, 2007 Author Share Posted September 4, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Unlucky in one way not to win outright when Goodwood Starlight hung accross to the stand rail. Then again lucky to get anything back when showing temperament. Surprised Lovelace drifted so much on course, SP 5/1, no aparrent reason . Tartan Triumph was given plenty to do by Hughes, may have thought they would come back to him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 5, 2007 Author Share Posted September 5, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Thursdays Bets 3:10 Salisbury £50 @ 5.6/1 Joffe’s Run 3:40 Salisbury £50 @ 5.6/1 Steam Cuisine 4:10 Salisbury £200 @ 1.6/1 Fashion Rocks £25 @ 8/1 Vive Les Rouges Analysis to come Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 6, 2007 Author Share Posted September 6, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Analysis 3:10 Salisbury There are some nicely bred newcomers in this race, particularly Snow Indian. M. Stoute does not have a great record with two year old debutants and no group entry puts me off. Clive Cox and Ralph Beckett do do well first time but Secret Gem is not that well bred and Mount Lavinia not well fancied (look for market move). Barry Hills is another whos debutants usually need a run (Shamayel) as does Brian Meehan. Joffe’s Run therefore ran a very encouraging race at Ascot, seemingly given time since, looks worth a bet (now just under 13/2). 3:40 Salisbury Open contest. If the reason for Our Faye running below form last time was the trip of 1m (improved form this season at 7f), should be difficult to beat. There are though several who could improve, namely Medley, Miss Lucifer, Steam Cuisene and Perfect Star. Gaelic Princess is well handicapped on her best form and I have heard from a pal of mine she is fancied today. Steam Cuisene has not had the best of luck / rides lately and at around 13/2 looks over priced. Hopefully either Medley or Perfect Star will set a good pace for the selection. Perfect Star needs a test at the trip anyway (winner at a mile here). Medley scrambled home last time but that was at Newmarket and showing improved form. Miss Lucifer is capable of improvement if she stops pulling hard early, a fast pace should suit her. 4:10 Salisbury Fashion Rocks form last time in the Lowther makes her form far better than the rest and should start odds on (not will but should). The Racing Post points out the dangers Dubai Power ran an encouraging race for a stable whos 2 y olds always need a run, and Vive les Rouges showed marked improvement last time. Both are some way short of Fashion Rocks but if you do not like short prices are each-way material. Joffe's Run 1st Fashion Rocks 1st Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingertipster Posted September 7, 2007 Author Share Posted September 7, 2007 Re: Gingertipsters Tips Thurs Profit £525 Total Profit £271.46 Sept 7th 2:55 Newbury £26 @ 14.5/1 Woodcraft £30 @ 2.4/1 Gulf Express £15 @ 3.8/1 King Charles 3:30 Newbury £50 @ 6/1 Greenslades £20 @ 18/1 Obe Gold £7 @ 12/1 Barney McGrew 4:05 Newbury £50 @ 5.2/1 Gib £25 @ 14/1 Viva La Flag £12 @ 7.2 Royal Fantasy Analysis to come Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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