Seen2001 Posted February 7, 2004 Share Posted February 7, 2004 Paul Nicholls - Chepstow (1996-97+) TOTAL RUNS 235 runs 74 wins (31.49%) +32.45 LSP +13.81% ROI Impressive stats - backing all of Nicholl's runners blindly here since the 1996-97 season would have reaped a LSP of +32.45. However, the stats are even more impressive if we split them into SP (starting price) groups.... SP <8/1 180 runs 73 wins (40.56%) +76.45 LSP +42.47% ROI SP 8/1+ 55 runs 1 wins (1.82%) -44.00 LSP -80.00% ROI A massive difference in results, an incredible return on investment (ROI) of +42.47% backing blindly his runners which are sent off shorter than 8/1, yet just one winner (at 10/1) from 55 runners from the longer priced group. The finest day was on the 24th of Oct 2001, when all 4 of his runners at Chepstow that day were returned shorter than 8/1, and they all won.... PERCOLATOR WON 6/1 IVANOPH WON 4/1 GALAPIAT DU MESNIL WON 5/2 STENNIKOV WON 7/4 .....resulting in a nice 336/1 4-timer. On Saturday, Nicholls sends these horses to Chepstow (fc price in brackets)..... 2.05 - IT'S BEYOND BELIEF (15/2) 2.35 - HARAPOUR (7/2) 3.45 - EAST LAWYER (7/1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tulenos Posted February 7, 2004 Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats Do you happen to know how many of these that failed to win were placed, Seen? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seen2001 Posted February 7, 2004 Author Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats Less than 5 runners (win only) 22 runs 14 wins 5-7 runners 74 runs 28 wins 14 2nds 32 unplaced (57% placed) 8+ runners 84 runs 31 wins 9 2nds 11 3rds 33 unplaced (61% placed) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tulenos Posted February 7, 2004 Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats Thanks a lot, Seen, as I am a keen place-only backer and the above should be about and over evens to do the job tomorrow. We'll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest beamer Posted February 7, 2004 Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats You could have told me this eight years ago, Seen:lol Are you able to do a split between pro jockey & claiming jockey, for those stats ? Thanks beamer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seen2001 Posted February 7, 2004 Author Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats Pro jockey 160 runs 66 wins (41.25%) +70.81 LSP +44.26% ROI Claiming jockey 20 runs 7 wins (35%) +5.64 LSP +28.20% ROI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest beamer Posted February 7, 2004 Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats Thanks Seen. No negatives at all. Thanks beamer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seen2001 Posted February 7, 2004 Author Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats Here's another one... M Pipe + AP McCoy + nov chases + SP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seen2001 Posted February 7, 2004 Author Share Posted February 7, 2004 Re: Trainer stats I'm going to back these to 1pt level stakes. Looks like 2 qualifiers today, ITS BEYOND BELIEF is trading at 22.0 on BF so is not likely to start at shorter than 8/1, but both HARAPOUR (5.3) and EAST LAWYER (7.0) probably will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seen2001 Posted February 8, 2004 Author Share Posted February 8, 2004 Re: Trainer stats Not a good start, with all three bets running poorly. -3pts Nothing today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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