RussP's Specialisation - Flat Handicaps

[RussP]

Wanted to keep my jumps and flat bets seperate so opened this new thread. In the past, I have stayed away from the AW but have found some good winners since Sat with winners @ 11/1, 10/1 and 8/1, and placed horses at 16/1 and 10/1 so thought I might try my hand at this AW game. Personally, I prefer the flat so hold on tight and I'll be back shortly with my opening bets in the handicaps at Lingfield tomorrow.:ok

[Woodie]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Good luck with this mate, will be following with interest. Personally I can't wait for the proper racing to start again soon;)

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Cheers Jon:ok There are 2 big field handicaps at Lingfield, both of which are pretty open and difficult to solve. Personally, I'm not 100% confident in either race but, for what it's worth, my thoughts and selections are:- 3.20.....His Masters Voice (RPF 14/1) It's pretty difficult to win here over 7f from a wide draw so will have to oppose leading fancies Special Place, Imperium and Loyal Tycoon. Small Stakes should run a big race as it seems better going left handed, like today, but its current mark combined with the move up from sprint distances doesn't give me confidence. Danetime Lord should go close with conditions in its favour today, and Mistral Sky is another with a chance if coping with the extra furlong. Romany Nights has been dropped in the weights and would win on the pick of its turf form but is 0 from 12 on the AW and that remains a major doubt. Speculative selection is His Masters Voice. CD winner, who seems better at this trip. Won off 2lb higher mark last summer so a repeat of that form would be enough. Steadily dropping in weights despite racing at wrong trip so far this term, so definitely got an EW chance in a poorer event than it has been contesting. 3.50.....Flint River (RPF 8/1) Again, not a race to get overly enthusiastic about. Another 7f 14 runner race so discount the high drawn horses - that gets rid of lto winners Beneking and Wahoo Sam, as well as Moon Bird and The London Gang. State Dilemna is the likely fav but seems best at 6f, whilst Goose Chase seems suited to a stiffer stamina test. Our Kes continues to tumble in the weights, and a drop in trip here should see this horse go close today - maybe a saver on this is the call. The selection however is Flint River. Stable in terrific form, having a 14L winner today in a competitive (well, it looked it on paper!) handicap at Southwell. Dropped 3lb in the weights, this horse has won off 78, yet races here off a lowly mark of 57. 7f is its trip and, if it can recapture a bit of form, is a decent EW bet.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat)

3.20.....His Masters Voice (RPF 14/1) It's pretty difficult to win here over 7f from a wide draw so will have to oppose leading fancies Special Place, Imperium and Loyal Tycoon. Small Stakes should run a big race as it seems better going left handed, like today, but its current mark combined with the move up from sprint distances doesn't give me confidence. Danetime Lord should go close with conditions in its favour today, and Mistral Sky is another with a chance if coping with the extra furlong. Romany Nights has been dropped in the weights and would win on the pick of its turf form but is 0 from 12 on the AW and that remains a major doubt. Speculative selection is His Masters Voice. CD winner, who seems better at this trip. Won off 2lb higher mark last summer so a repeat of that form would be enough. Steadily dropping in weights despite racing at wrong trip so far this term, so definitely got an EW chance in a poorer event than it has been contesting. 3.50.....Flint River (RPF 8/1) Again, not a race to get overly enthusiastic about. Another 7f 14 runner race so discount the high drawn horses - that gets rid of lto winners Beneking and Wahoo Sam, as well as Moon Bird and The London Gang. State Dilemna is the likely fav but seems best at 6f, whilst Goose Chase seems suited to a stiffer stamina test. Our Kes continues to tumble in the weights, and a drop in trip here should see this horse go close today - maybe a saver on this is the call. The selection however is Flint River. Stable in terrific form, having a 14L winner today in a competitive (well, it looked it on paper!) handicap at Southwell. Dropped 3lb in the weights, this horse has won off 78, yet races here off a lowly mark of 57. 7f is its trip and, if it can recapture a bit of form, is a decent EW bet.

Both selections unpl, however I did call both races as too difficult to call. In the first race, the selection finished 6th in a bunched finish, less than a 1L behind the winner, at 10/1. Finished well but all too late. Solid analysis therefore. Saying that, I also highlighted the winner Danetime Lord at 8/1:ok ("Danetime Lord should go close with conditions in its favour today"). Also highlighted the horse in 3rd, Small Stakes, albeit at poor odds of 4/1 ("Small Stakes should run a big race") In the second race, nothing to shout about. The selection, Flint River, finishing midfield at 11/1, albeit again only 1L behind the 3rd horse. No returns for those who backed the selections, but I did indicate confidence wasn't high, and hopefully some of you read a bit deeper (and with your own analysis) managed to pick out the 8/1 winner I highlighted, Danetime Lord:ok

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) And on to Friday... 4.00.....Daring Affair (RPF 15/2) I have to oppose the 2 market leaders here in this Cl 4 handicap over 9f at Wolverhampton. Peruvian Prince, the likely fav, has been upped another 7lb for its latest effort and now contests a much hotter race than its previous efforts. The other horse vying for favouritism is Dragon Slayer, the horse won lto coming back from an absence of over 4 months. Up in class but looked like there was plenty more to come, however this horse carries a 6lb penalty and there has to be doubts about whether it can reproduce last weeks effort. Waterline Twenty is a capable horse but probably needs a little help from the handicapper, and Paktolos could be anything but is making its AW debut and has been off the track for a while. The 3 that I thing could fight it out, all at decent EW prices, are Daring Affair (15/2), Kildare Sun (7/1) and Primo Way (8/1). Primo Way is on the same mark as its last 2 runs, one being a close 3rd in a Cl 5 CD handicap, but is interesting because of its trainers hot form at the minute. Kildare Sun has run 6 times over CD, winning 3, being placed in 2 and once unplaced - however that run can be ignored as the rider lost its irons. It's last run was in this class over CD, finishing 2nd to runaway winner Chicken Soup. That effort puts it in with a chance of being involved, but harshly raised 2lb for that run. This leaves us with the selection, Daring Affair, who has won 4 times here. Has won 2 of 3 over CD here this season, being placed the other time. The last 2 being in this class. Forgive lto as raced at a different track, and the extra furlong did not suit. Only 3lb higher than last win, but on same mark as last run so must go close today. Look at forecast / tricast too, with the last mentioned 3 horses.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat)

And on to Friday... 4.00.....Daring Affair (RPF 15/2) I have to oppose the 2 market leaders here in this Cl 4 handicap over 9f at Wolverhampton. Peruvian Prince, the likely fav, has been upped another 7lb for its latest effort and now contests a much hotter race than its previous efforts. The other horse vying for favouritism is Dragon Slayer, the horse won lto coming back from an absence of over 4 months. Up in class but looked like there was plenty more to come, however this horse carries a 6lb penalty and there has to be doubts about whether it can reproduce last weeks effort. Waterline Twenty is a capable horse but probably needs a little help from the handicapper, and Paktolos could be anything but is making its AW debut and has been off the track for a while. The 3 that I thing could fight it out, all at decent EW prices, are Daring Affair (15/2), Kildare Sun (7/1) and Primo Way (8/1). Primo Way is on the same mark as its last 2 runs, one being a close 3rd in a Cl 5 CD handicap, but is interesting because of its trainers hot form at the minute. Kildare Sun has run 6 times over CD, winning 3, being placed in 2 and once unplaced - however that run can be ignored as the rider lost its irons. It's last run was in this class over CD, finishing 2nd to runaway winner Chicken Soup. That effort puts it in with a chance of being involved, but harshly raised 2lb for that run. This leaves us with the selection, Daring Affair, who has won 4 times here. Has won 2 of 3 over CD here this season, being placed the other time. The last 2 being in this class. Forgive lto as raced at a different track, and the extra furlong did not suit. Only 3lb higher than last win, but on same mark as last run so must go close today. Look at forecast / tricast too, with the last mentioned 3 horses.

Winner at 17/2:clap :clap :clap Decent race analysis today, so am pleased..... Peruvian Prince ("the likely fav, has been upped another 7lb for its latest effort and now contests a much hotter race than its previous efforts")....UNPL 13/8 Dragon Slayer ("the horse won lto coming back from an absence of over 4 months. Up in class but looked like there was plenty more to come, however this horse carries a 6lb penalty and there has to be doubts about whether it can reproduce last weeks effort")....3RD 2/1 Paktolos ("could be anything but is making its AW debut and has been off the track for a while").....2ND 22/1 Daring Affair ("has won 4 times here. Has won 2 of 3 over CD here this season, being placed the other time. The last 2 being in this class. Forgive lto as raced at a different track, and the extra furlong did not suit. Only 3lb higher than last win, but on same mark as last run so must go close today")......WON 17/2

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Let's see if we can keep this going today:- 2.55.....Reaching Out (RPF 10/1) Only 1 race to concentrate on at Lingfield today, the 13 runner 1m2f handicap at 2.55. Kilimandscharo, on a hat trick, will assume favouritism here but can be opposed as it faces a 6lb higher mark, Lingfield track debut and a rise in grade. Luxurix is interesting but not for me at 7/2, having been off the track for 893 days. Topiary Ted could easily be the one, despite being 6lb higher. Another on a hat trick but has won in this grade lto and hails from the in form Morrison yard. Should finish in the 3, but another making course debut which puts enough of a question mark against a horse quoted around the 9/2 mark. Thats the front 3 taken care of, now onto the EW horses. Ile Facile ran a promising race after a year off at Kempton lto, but doubts remain that the horse will progress from that run, whilst Storm of Arabia will struggle in this grade. Berkhamsted disappointed lto and has something to prove, but Sky Quest has an outside EW chance judged on 2nd lto in Cl 4 race here. The selection is Reaching Out, who has bottom weight here. Won over this C&D 3 starts ago in Cl 6 (this is Cl 5) and is 7lb higher. However, was a good 2nd off its revised mark at Wolverhampton, over a trip too short when staying on to good effect all too late. Was stepped up to this grade on its last run and finished a creditable 4th that day. Wasn't helped though by the slow pace that day, and the race suited those close to the pace, therefore that may just be a better effort than it seems in hindsight from this late finisher. Will be back later with selections from Wolverhampton.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) 1 for Wolverhampton too:- 4.25.....Gold Response (RPF 12/1) Cl 6 1m1f handicap here and several of these reoppose. The betting revolves around Shrewd Dude and Global Traffic. The latter is on a hat trick and should be in the frame but is raised again and has a wide draw to overcome, whilst the former is closely matched with Global Traffic but needs to improve again to figure today. Kings Of The Beers had a number of todays behind when winning recently, but that was a weak race so I'll be happy to reoppose this horse along with Its No Problem, Voss, Citrus Chief, Hayleys Flower an Color Man. Handicap debut is enough to put me off Port Macquarie, whilst My Sara has a squeak after a good run earlier in the week. Selection however goes to Gold Response, who has something to find with Global Traffic but is in form, is on the same mark at lto 3rd and finishes its races with a late rattle. A truer pace here should see this horse in the mix at the end. Given too much to do lto, the time before the horse unseated before the off, yet finished in the places both times.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat)

Let's see if we can keep this going today:- 2.55.....Reaching Out (RPF 10/1) Only 1 race to concentrate on at Lingfield today, the 13 runner 1m2f handicap at 2.55. Kilimandscharo, on a hat trick, will assume favouritism here but can be opposed as it faces a 6lb higher mark, Lingfield track debut and a rise in grade. Luxurix is interesting but not for me at 7/2, having been off the track for 893 days. Topiary Ted could easily be the one, despite being 6lb higher. Another on a hat trick but has won in this grade lto and hails from the in form Morrison yard. Should finish in the 3, but another making course debut which puts enough of a question mark against a horse quoted around the 9/2 mark. Thats the front 3 taken care of, now onto the EW horses. Ile Facile ran a promising race after a year off at Kempton lto, but doubts remain that the horse will progress from that run, whilst Storm of Arabia will struggle in this grade. Berkhamsted disappointed lto and has something to prove, but Sky Quest has an outside EW chance judged on 2nd lto in Cl 4 race here. The selection is Reaching Out, who has bottom weight here. Won over this C&D 3 starts ago in Cl 6 (this is Cl 5) and is 7lb higher. However, was a good 2nd off its revised mark at Wolverhampton, over a trip too short when staying on to good effect all too late. Was stepped up to this grade on its last run and finished a creditable 4th that day. Wasn't helped though by the slow pace that day, and the race suited those close to the pace, therefore that may just be a better effort than it seems in hindsight from this late finisher. Will be back later with selections from Wolverhampton.

First past the post @ 8/1:clap :clap :clap later disqualified and placed 2nd, but got paid out on the win:ok

1 for Wolverhampton too:- 4.25.....Gold Response (RPF 12/1) Cl 6 1m1f handicap here and several of these reoppose. The betting revolves around Shrewd Dude and Global Traffic. The latter is on a hat trick and should be in the frame but is raised again and has a wide draw to overcome, whilst the former is closely matched with Global Traffic but needs to improve again to figure today. Kings Of The Beers had a number of todays behind when winning recently, but that was a weak race so I'll be happy to reoppose this horse along with Its No Problem, Voss, Citrus Chief, Hayleys Flower an Color Man. Handicap debut is enough to put me off Port Macquarie, whilst My Sara has a squeak after a good run earlier in the week. Selection however goes to Gold Response, who has something to find with Global Traffic but is in form, is on the same mark at lto 3rd and finishes its races with a late rattle. A truer pace here should see this horse in the mix at the end. Given too much to do lto, the time before the horse unseated before the off, yet finished in the places both times.

3rd @ 12/1:clap

[Woodie]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Nice mate, wondering would it be worth keeping a p/l?

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat)

Nice mate' date=' wondering would it be worth keeping a p/l?[/quote'] Cheers Jon:ok Yes, mate. I'll be keeping P/L for sure. Good winner for you too today, Exotic Dancer @ 6's;)

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Current situation, assuming 5pts EW per bet:- Bets = 5 Wins = 2 (incl 1 first past the post) Places = 1 % in the money = 60% Av Back Price = 9.9/1 Staked = 50.00pts Returned = 141.00pts P/L = +91.00pts Yield = +182.0% * I have included the "first past the post" as a winner, as I got paid out on the win. Hope this is ok. If not, let me know:ok

[socky1]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat)

Current situation, assuming 5pts EW per bet:- Bets = 5 Wins = 2 (incl 1 first past the post) Places = 1 % in the money = 60% Av Back Price = 9.9/1 Staked = 50.00pts Returned = 141.00pts P/L = +91.00pts Yield = +182.0% * I have included the "first past the post" as a winner, as I got paid out on the win. Hope this is ok. If not, let me know:ok

Of course I dont think there are too many bookies left they dont pay out on both.:ok

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Nothing that stands out today. A few possibles but none strong enough for a bet. Sunday....day of rest:sad

[bowles10]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) resting that wallet Russ:ok well done so far, great start

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Cheers Bowles.:ok Don't tell the missus or else the wallet will be empty;)

[bowles10]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat)

Cheers Bowles.:ok Don't tell the missus or else the wallet will be empty;)

Thats ok, she is downstairs making me brekkie :lol

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Just the one for Monday, from Lingfield:- 2.50.....Bienheureux (RPF 9/1) 14 go to post for this Cl 6 handicap over 2m. As usual, we'll start with the fav which looks to be Josh You Are. On a hat trick today but dismissed on 3 counts - 6lb higher mark, and that last 2 wins came at Kempton (now at Lingfield) and Cosgrave on board (now W Buick). Yet to be seen whether this horse is as effective going left handed, a point which can be aimed at the 2nd fav, Dream Mountain. Another lto winner, again at Kempton, but that was a very poor horse. The positive to this horse is that young James Doyle takes the ride. Mamonta reopposes today and could turn the tables but the last run had the assistance of Jamie Spencer, a privelige the horse does not have today. Come What Augustus is in decent form, 3rd last 2 runs, but may struggle to reverse placings with Josh You Are. Lady Pilot and Pocket Too both need to step up on the runs in claimers lto, with the latter named winning lto but receives a hike in the weights which will stop the horse. Papeete, Dolzago and Openide are all capable but haven't shown enough recent form to carry my money here. The vote therefore goes to Bienheureux, a horse with valuable course experience who has won here in the past. Has been thereabouts in its most recent races. Should have a big chance judged on 2nd 4 starts ago in a Cl 5 handicap. Since then, has finished 3rd twice in races shorter than ideal, and last week finished 5th back over this trip. Had a big shout that day but probably hit the front too soon that day and faded, in a race where they went off at a break neck pace. Came travelling well and burst through with a decent turn of foot that it couldn't quite sustain. Ridden with a little more restraint, this is a good EW bet at around the 9/1 mark.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat)

Just the one for Monday, from Lingfield:- 2.50.....Bienheureux (RPF 9/1)

Non Runner:$

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) First one of the week (after a NR on Monday), from Lingfield:- 3.00.....Nikki Bea (RPF 12/1) Cl 6, 12 runner, 1 mile handicap to concentrate on here. Fav will be runaway Kempton winner Spot The Subbie. 3 things that make me want to oppose this horse today - inside draw not ideal for come from behind horse, raised 8lbs for lto win and yet to win here at Lingfield. On top of that, Egan is not on top today, although adequate replacement in Mongan. Mystic Man must have a chance off a 1lb lower mark than 2nd lto in similar race to this, but the extra furlong is unlikely to be in its favour. Im Ova Ere Dad is another lto winner but having won by only a neck, its seems doubtful it can repeat the feat with a penalty. Green Pirate has met trouble in running the last twice but is capable, however very wide draw may be a problem. King After has a bout of 2nd'itis and seems undecided over its best distance so should be opposed today, whilst Moyoko could go close at its best but is yet to prove it can go left handed and is well held by Spot The Subbie. Roman Boy is raised 5lb for a 5L beating by the subsequently disappointing Picador, State Dilemna has an outside chance but may be better over shorter. This leaves us with Nikki Bea, which hails from the same stable as fav, Spot The Subbie. C&D winner which is a plus, and lto over C&D was a close 1L 4th of 9 in a Cl 5 handicap. This is a drop in class, as well as racing off a 4lb lower mark (is due to go up 3lb in the future). Well drawn in box 4 for a horse that races up with the pace too. Back in this grade, this horse should run well at rewarding odds.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Last tip was rubbish:sad

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Onto Friday, and over to Wolverhampton it is:- 4.25.....Must Be Keen (RPF 7/1) Poor Cl 6 handicap in which only 2 of the 13 runners have won a race this season. 6f race in which we currently have a fav priced at 4/1, Mind Alert. Certainly the horse in form but placed on its last 5 outings (without winning), all in this class and off this mark, it's questionable whether this horse has the will to stick its head in front and anyone betting on this horse is taking that chance. Vying for favouritism is Dark Moon, a horse that has not shown much form until lto when 3rd over this trip. Stayed on that day rather than showing a turn of foot, and this makes me strongly think this horse needs at least another furlong. Grand View ran a creditable 4th lto over a trip too short, and has been dropped 1lb. Has a chance but the horse doesn't seem to have much improvement at it at the grand old age of 11, and has not won a handicap since its 3yo days. Teyaar is one of only 2 horses to win this season, that was in a banded event, and has since finished 3L behind one of todays rivals, Must Be Keen. Navigation, if back to its best, would be thereabouts but has shown nothing for a while and has been off the track for a while so treat with extreme caution. Nothing else catches my eye, so that leaves us with Must Be Keen, a horse I backed when winning at Kempton 2 starts ago. That was in a Classified Stakes (Cl 7) event so up in class today, but showed a decent turn of foot that day to suggest its capable of taking a race like this. Finished in front of both Teyaar and Dark Moon that day too. 4lb higher today, but showed enough lto in this class when just behind Grand View off this mark to put it in the mix today. It found 5f too short that day. Not an ideal draw in 10, but is a hold up horse so it shouldn't be a huge problem. Very good EW shot at around the 7/1 mark.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Poor run today from Must Be Keen. I am very disappointed with its run as I was very confident today. The only horse in the field to have previously shown a turn of foot so very disappointing that it finished out of the places:( That's the last 2 out of the money...the bad run has started.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) 3.25.....Classic Encounter Really competitve heat with not much to choose between Areyoutalkingtome, Qadar and Maltese Falcon but the EW horse for me here is Classic Encounter. Doubts over the trip for several of its rivals today but this horse is a 5f specialist, as when 3rd in the Norfolk Stakes 18 months ago. Travelled easily lto but had a nightmare passage. Repeat of that should see this horse go close, at a decent 10/1 with Sporting Odds. Same mark as that run. One More Round could go well too with young James Doyle on board at a big price, although struggles to win, usually gets going all too late.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Poor run yesterday too. No returns. Onto Sunday, at Kempton, we have:- 2.50.....Gifted Gamble (RPF 10/1) Competitive 10 runner 1m Cl 4 handicap, with one prominent NR in 2nd fav Evident Pride. This leaves us with a clear, short priced fav in Atlantic Story, ridden by Jamie Spencer. Has the form in the book, 4 from 4 on the AW and keeps going up the weights but still may have something in the locker. However, at 6/4, this is no sort of bet for me, in which is a better race than it has competed it to date. Armada hails from the shrewd Willie Haggas yard, but 218 day absence is a cause for concern, as is its experience with 2 maidens runs only to its name. Ninth House was beaten only half a length by Atlantic Story lto but has a 3lb rise for that effort, and the stable is not really firing so overlooked here. Gallantry would have a chance on the pick of its turf form and stable is in form, but confidence would be tempered by its AW inexperience and trip, better at 7f. Royal Amnesty looked progressive last year, but generally struggles in this grade, whilst Cape Greko has a chance under John Egan and off a winning mark, but has to step up on previous efforts. Gifted Gamble is the bet though here, currently available at around 8/1. Has been thereabouts in its last 4/5 races in this grade off this mark, but sometimes struggles to find as much as looks likely. Stepped up to 1m today which may help for this consistent type. Interesting though is the form of the trainer / jockey combo, whose record for the last 10 runs is 1-1-3-2-2-0-3-1-1-2, whereas trainers record for the last 10 runs with other jockeys on board has yield 1 place, and 9 unplaced.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Nothing from Gifted Gamble either. We have 2 selections for Wednesday, both at Lingfield, starting with:- 1.50.....First Friend (RPF 7/1) Decent return 2 weeks ago after a 2 month absence when 2L 5th over 12f at Kempton. Drop back down to 1m seems to be the right move here, and should go well for a horse that races prominently. Question marks are there to be asked about all its rivals, but 7/1 seems a great price to me. 3.00.....Cool Tiger (RPF 7/1) Trappy heat with fav RPF price of 4/1 in only a 10 runner race. This horse has won twice on its last 4 outings, albeit in banded company. This race is not any stronger than that, and with this extra furlong in its favour, should reach the frame.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) On a pretty poor run lately with 2 more unplaced. Just the one for Thursday, at Southwell:- 4.30.....Wodhill Schnapps (RPF 6/1) Very open race going 4/1 the field, but the vote goes too Wodhill Schnapps, a maiden after 13 attempts, but expected to finally make its mark today. Goes well here and on a fair mark, and should run its race with conditions to suit. With plenty of pace expected, this horse should get the tow it needs and will challenge at the business end. Excuses last twice when campaigned at different course / trip lto and previous to that, in a much better race than this off a much higher mark.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Wodhill Schnapps, 3rd @ 4/1. Should have won but drifted badly in the closing stages. Advising 1 bet for Sunday at Southwell:- 2.40.....Vibrato (12/1 Ladbrokes) Won at the backend of Dec here over C&D, off 4lb higher mark today. Since then, has run 3 races here finishing 3-5-5 but, reading further into the form, has been drawn out very wide in all 3 of those races. Now in stall 2, so expected to go better today. With question marks over the market leaders (Mademoiselle yet to win on AW, Majehar with poor draw and all winning form in banded races), Vibrato looks sure to give a good account.

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Poor run, was expecting much better:wall

[RussP]

Re: RussP's Specialisation - Big Field Handicaps (Flat) Let's start the week with a winner at Wolverhampton. 1.50.....Seldemosa (RPF 6/1) Admittedly, this horse hasn't won for 2 years but here's hoping today is its day. Has been running very consistently over CD and looked all over the winner lto before finding nothing. Interestingly today, it has very accomplished 5lb claimer on board, which could make the difference. Pretty poor race which shouldn't take much winning.