aliando Posted August 25, 2006 Share Posted August 25, 2006 This is a kind of paper trial system (ie minimum stakes) which I will look at 2 things with; 1) staking plan this term, i intend to play around with different staking patterns and will analyse close-season to establish the better staking plans for me. For this system, I will employ a split of the total bank into 5 sections - each bet will be to the nearest lowest full point and I will bet the bank each weekend over the 5 bets. 2) asian handicaps/draw no bet there are various ways of placing the same bet, just under a different title and can sometimes lead to a better price. The types of bet will vary in accordance to the bets available. Games will be from England and Scotland leagues for now (may add in the Welsh league at some point) and bets are from a simple analysis of teams and form. I will pick the 5 most suitable games and split the bank between them. I have no particular aim for my odds, but hope to have a good strike rate. I will start with a bank of 100 points and aim to reach 250 points first off. Obviously, if I hit that bad weekend of 5 losers, the system dies. Its likely to be a volatile ride, so hang on to your hats folks! :loon :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 25, 2006 Author Share Posted August 25, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 i have chosen a shite of a weekend to start this as there is little that really jumps out at me. I did have a list of around 15 teams to look at but have found too many black marks. There are five teams I dont expect to lose though. Weekend 1 - bet 1: Cardiff City v Birmingham: Birmingham to win -0 AH - 2.11 @ Bet1128 Weekend 1 - bet 2: Accrington Stanley v Rochdale: Accrington Stanley to win, draw no bet - 1.36 @ bet365 Weekend 1 - bet 3: Tamworh v Exeter: Exteter to win, draw no bet - 1.57 @ bet365 Weekend 1 - bet 4: Peterhead v Morton: Morton to win, draw no bet - 1.57@ Sporting Odds Weekend 1 - bet 5: Elgin v East Fife: East Fife to win, draw no bet - 1.61 @ Sporting Odds 5 x 20 point bets = 100 points. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted August 26, 2006 Author Share Posted August 26, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 Not the greatest of starts but Birminghams defeat means the City go clear at the the top! :loon "Are you watching, are you watching, are you watching Bowles'n'Kevshat, are you watching Bowles'n'Kevshat?" :lol Weekend 1 - bet 1: Cardiff City v Birmingham: Birmingham to win -0 AH - 2.11 @ Bet1128 :wall;):D lost (-20 points) Weekend 1 - bet 2: Accrington Stanley v Rochdale: Accrington Stanley to win, draw no bet - 1.36 @ bet365 :\ push (returns 20 points) Weekend 1 - bet 3: Tamworth v Exeter: Exteter to win, draw no bet - 1.57 @ bet365 :wall lost (-20 points) Weekend 1 - bet 4: Peterhead v Morton: Morton to win, draw no bet - 1.57@ Sporting Odds :D won (Returns 31.4 points) Weekend 1 - bet 5: Elgin v East Fife: East Fife to win, draw no bet - 1.61 @ Sporting Odds :D won (returns 32.2 points) Start Bank = 100 points Current Bank = 83.6 points :( Overall Profit/Loss = -16.4 points Next betting bank = 5 x 16 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 1, 2006 Author Share Posted September 1, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 no play for me this weekend - hopefully back next weekend when the proper football returns ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 1, 2006 Share Posted September 1, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 good luck on your return Ali. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 1, 2006 Author Share Posted September 1, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 good luck on your return Ali. :ok cheers mate a bit of a wander into the dark with this but :hope can tweak it into a profit. There were a couple of games I could've played but want to practise better discipline also and wait until I get 5 that i believe are winners/very good value - i didnt want to just make the numbers up with 'possibles'. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 8, 2006 Author Share Posted September 8, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 round 2 then; Weekend 2 - bet 1: Everton v Liverpool: away win, draw no bet - 1.50 vic chandler Weekend 2 - bet 2: Ipswich v Southampton: away win +0 AH - 1.98 ladbrookes Weekend 2 - bet 3: Notts County v Accrington Stanley: home win, draw no bet - 1.44 vic chandler Weekend 2 - bet 4: Northwich v St Albans City: home win, draw no bet - 1.50 bet365 Weekend 2 - bet 5: Montrose v East Fife: away win, draw no bet - 1.57 sporting odds 16 points on all 5 bets :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 11, 2006 Author Share Posted September 11, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 what a shite weekend all round with the results. 23 points returned from notts county and thats it! Start Bank = 100 points Current Bank = 26.6 points :( Overall Profit/Loss = -73.4 points Next betting bank = 5 x 5 points. i'll continue with current bank and keep going for a bit. if it does bomb out, i will try the staking strategy with straight results, as its something i want to play around with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 30, 2006 Author Share Posted September 30, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 Start Bank = 100 points Current Bank = 26.6 points :( Overall Profit/Loss = -73.4 points Next betting bank = 5 x 5 points. will plod on to fine tune this :lol round 3 Weekend 2 - bet 1: brentford v yeovil: brentford dnb - 1.75 with bet365 Weekend 2 - bet 2: motherwell v kilmarnock: kilmarnock +0 ah - 1.87 with stan james Weekend 2 - bet 3: partick v ross county: partick dnb - 1.57 with sporting odds Weekend 2 - bet 4: dundee v st johnstone: st johnstone dnb - 1.80 with sporting odds Weekend 2 - bet 5: east fife v dumbarton: East fife dnb - 1.50 with sporting odds 5 points on each bet :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 30, 2006 Author Share Posted September 30, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 Start Bank = 100 points Current Bank = 26.6 points :( Overall Profit/Loss = -73.4 points Next betting bank = 5 x 5 points. will plod on to fine tune this :lol round 3 Weekend 2 - bet 1: brentford v yeovil: brentford dnb - 1.75 with bet365 :wall Weekend 2 - bet 2: motherwell v kilmarnock: kilmarnock +0 ah - 1.87 with stan james :wall Weekend 2 - bet 3: partick v ross county: partick dnb - 1.57 with sporting odds :loon Weekend 2 - bet 4: dundee v st johnstone: st johnstone dnb - 1.80 with sporting odds :) Weekend 2 - bet 5: east fife v dumbarton: East fife dnb - 1.50 with sporting odds :loon 5 points on each bet :hope ho hum.... 25 points placed, 20.4 points returned :\ Start Bank = 100 points Current Bank = 22 points :( Overall Profit/Loss = -78 points Next betting bank = 5 x 4 points. i'll continue to flog this to death - its not over until the bookies says "I dont accept the buttons off your shirt" :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 30, 2006 Share Posted September 30, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 Blimey, you're going to run out of bank soon Ali!! Suppose it'll make it even more sweeter when you start heading up and up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted September 30, 2006 Author Share Posted September 30, 2006 Re: Aliando's Weekend 5 Blimey, you're going to run out of bank soon Ali!! Suppose it'll make it even more sweeter when you start heading up and up. nothing like optimism mate :lol this was more about the staking system than the picks and i think i've learnt everything i needed too ;) - will continue for fun and try to re-establish the starting bank :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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