Mr Intensity Posted January 15, 2006 Share Posted January 15, 2006 Very simple. Back all qualifiers in the first and second round matches. The basic theory is just they will have had some matches on the surface and in the same conditions, and of course will have had some wins and thus confidence. I won't include Lucky Losers, because, well, they are losers. I'm sure I've seen this done for a short period, just not sure where:unsure . As the range of prices will be very large, I will use 2pt fixed profit staking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 15, 2006 Author Share Posted January 15, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers FLEISHMAN v Norman @ 2.07 Pinnacle 1.87pts LU v Braccialli @ 2.25 Blue Sq 1.6pts SIMON v Massu @ 3.00 Ladbrokes 1pt FAUREL v Waske @ 2.75 Blue Sq 1.14pts SNOBEL v Sluiter @ 3.00 Coral 1pt BENNETEAU v Daniel @ 1.424 Pinnacle 4.72pts TIPSAREVIC v Seppi @ 3.61 Pinnacle 0.77pts BURGSMULLER v Schuettler @ 2.42 Pinnacle 1.41pts GREMELMAYR v Bjorkman @ 3.80 Pinnacle 0.71pts ADAKTSSON v Sanguinetti @ 4.92 Pinnacle 0.51pts LEVY v Kim @ 2.00 Blue Sq 2pts I'm not going to play anything above 5.00, as basically I don't think there is any money to be made in that part of the market. Here are the matches above that price, but will not be played by me: UDOMCHOKE v Nalbandian @ 14.50 Pinnacle MARACH v Hrbaty @ 9.00 Pinnacle RHENQUIST v Stepanek @ 7.00 Stan James LAMMER v Roddick @ 36.00 Pinnacle BOGOMOLOV JR v Gonzalez @ 8.50 Pinnacle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 16, 2006 Author Share Posted January 16, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers LU v Braccialli @ 2.25 Blue Sq 1.6pts :@ LOST loss 1.6pts SIMON v Massu @ 3.00 Ladbrokes 1pt :D WON profit 2pts FAUREL v Waske @ 2.75 Blue Sq 1.14pts :D WON profit 2pts BENNETEAU v Daniel @ 1.424 Pinnacle 4.72pts :D WON profit 2pts BURGSMULLER v Schuettler @ 2.42 Pinnacle 1.41pts :D WON profit 2pts GREMELMAYR v Bjorkman @ 3.80 Pinnacle 0.71pts :D WON profit 2pts ADAKTSSON v Sanguinetti @ 4.92 Pinnacle 0.51pts :@ LOST loss 0.51pts W/L = 5/2 Staked = 11.09pts Profit = 7.89pts Yield = 71.15% Fabulous start from the qualifiers, hopefully day 2 will bring more goodness:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sgt.Sunshine Posted January 16, 2006 Share Posted January 16, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Awesome :loon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 17, 2006 Author Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers FLEISHMAN v Norman @ 2.07 Pinnacle 1.87pts :@ LOST loss 1.87pts SNOBEL v Sluiter @ 3.00 Coral 1pt :@ LOST loss 1pt TIPSAREVIC v Seppi @ 3.61 Pinnacle 0.77pts :D WON profit 2pts LEVY v Kim @ 2.00 Blue Sq 2pts :@ LOST loss 2pts W/L = 6/5 Staked = 16.73pts Profit = 5.02pts Yield = 30.01% So a good first round from the qualifiers. Of the ones that I didn't include, Bogomolov won @ 8.50:eek :eek and Udomchoke and Marach took there opponents to 5 sets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 17, 2006 Author Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Let's see how the qualifiers do in round 2 BURGSMULLER v Gaudio @ 4.6 Pinnacle 0.55pts BENNETEAU v Garcia-Lopez @ 2.4 Pinnacle 1.43pts BOGOMOLOV v Mathieu @ 3.00 Bet365 1pt Not going to play: GREMELMAYR v Ginepri @ 8.1 Pinnacle FAUREL v Blake @ 12.75 Pinnacle SIMON v Berdych @ 5.86 Pinnacle TIPSAREVIC v Ferrero @ 5.0 Betdirect So not many plays as a lot of the guys are playing big time players so I don't think it's worth it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted January 17, 2006 Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Not a bad start MR I. Might find a bit tougher in the 2nd round but you never know, fingers crossed for you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 17, 2006 Author Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Not a bad start MR I. Might find a bit tougher in the 2nd round but you never know, fingers crossed for you. Aye, but even if the 3 of them lose it's a profit for the tournament:ok. Not sure I fancy any of them, but we'll see what happens:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 18, 2006 Author Share Posted January 18, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers The ones last have already played: BURGSMULLER v Gaudio @ 4.6 Pinnacle 0.55pts :@ LOST loss 0.55pts BENNETEAU v Garcia-Lopez @ 2.4 Pinnacle 1.43pts :D WON profit 2pts W/L = 7/6 Staked = 18.71pts Profit = 6.47pts Yield = 34.58% And of the ones that weren't played due to too high a price - Faurel lost in 4, Gremelmayr won @ 8.1:eek :eek and Simon won at 5.86:eek :eek :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 19, 2006 Author Share Posted January 19, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers BOGOMOLOV v Mathieu @ 3.00 Bet365 1pt :@ LOST loss 1pt W/L = 7/7 Staked = 19.71pts Profit = 5.47pts Yield = 27.75% And the one not included, Tipsarevic takes Ferrero to 5 sets before going out. A good first tournament for the qualifiers:dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Qualifiers this week: Delray Beach: Widom Rehnquist Salzenstein Kendrick Vina del Mar: Marccacio Friedl Armando Cuadrado Zagreb: I can't seem to find the final qualifying results, but here are the guys they are going to play: v Stepanek v Bracciali v Seppi v Minar Looking for prices:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers WIDOM v Moodie @ 3.25 Ladbrokes 0.89pts CUADRADO v Behrend @ 2.50 Ladbrokes 1.33pts MARCCACIO v Horna @ 4.65 Centrebet 0.55pts ARMANDO v Marin @ 2.00 VC Bet 2pts The rest play tomorrow:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers I was confused - Armando doesn't play till tomorrow and Widom is through the night so I'll update. How hot are these qualifiers?:dude CUADRADO v Behrend @ 2.50 Ladbrokes 1.33pts :D WON profit 2pts MARCCACIO v Horna @ 4.65 Centrebet 0.55pts :D WON profit 2pts W/L = 9/7 Staked = 21.59pts Profit = 9.47pts:eek Yield = 43.86%:eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tulenos Posted January 30, 2006 Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Hmm... a good start today, Mr I;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers And now we see the problem with this system - bookmakers often can't be arsed to price up the 1st round matches:@. Here are the matches in Zagreb, first couple start at 10am UK time, I'll look for prices in the morning: CAKL v Stepanek OKUN v Seppi KOUBEK v Minar BOZOLJAC v Bracciali Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Hmm... a good start today, Mr I;) Cheers T;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers OKUN v Seppi @ 3.53 Pinnacle 0.79pts KOUBEK v Minar @ 1.8 Coral 2.5pts BOZOLJAC v Bracciali @ 3.19 Pinnacle 0.91pts Not taking: CAKL v Stepanek @ 7.64 Pinnacle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers WIDOM v Moodie @ 3.25 Ladbrokes 0.89pts :D WON profit 2pts W/L = 10/7 Staked = 22.48pts Profit = 11.47pts:eek Yield = 51.02%:eek I love qualifiers:rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers FRIEDL v Berlocq @ 3.83 Pinnacle 0.71pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted January 31, 2006 Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Can't get over how successful this system has been so far Mr I.:eek Looks like you may of found a potential gold mine!:loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Can't get over how successful this system has been so far Mr I.:eek Looks like you may of found a potential gold mine!:loon I can't believe it either so far - there has to be a massive losing run coming up soon:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers You may have noticed that when I'm winning I tend to update a bit more often:lol OKUN v Seppi @ 3.53 Pinnacle 0.79pts :@ LOST loss 0.79pts KOUBEK v Minar @ 1.8 Coral 2.5pts :D WON profit 2pts W/L = 11/8 Staked = 25.77pts Profit = 12.68pts:eek Yield = 49.2%:eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers SALZENSTEIN v Sabau @ 1.337 Pinnacle 5.93pts REHNQUIST v Muller @ 3.25 Ladbrokes 0.89pts KENDRICK v Lee @ 2.51 Pinnacle 1.32pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers ARMANDO v Marin @ 2.00 VC Bet 2pts :@ LOST loss 2pts BOZOLJAC v Bracciali @ 3.19 Pinnacle 0.91pts :D WON profit 2pts W/L = 12/9 Staked = 28.68pts Profit = 12.68pts:eek Yield = 44.21%:eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers This is unreal:eek FRIEDL v Berlocq @ 3.83 Pinnacle 0.71pts :D WON profit 2pts W/L = 13/9 Staked = 29.39pts Profit = 14.68pts:eek Yield = 49.95%:eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers KOUBEK v Wawrinka @ 2.62 Bet365 1.23pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 1, 2006 Author Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers This is crazy:rollin SALZENSTEIN v Sabau @ 1.337 Pinnacle 5.93pts :D WON profit 2pts REHNQUIST v Muller @ 3.25 Ladbrokes 0.89pts :@ LOST loss 0.89pts KENDRICK v Lee @ 2.51 Pinnacle 1.32pts :D WON profit 2pts W/L = 15/10 Staked = 37.53pts Profit = 17.79pts:eek Yield = 47.40%:eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 1, 2006 Author Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers CUADRADO v Ginemo-Traver @ 2.37 Bet365 1.46pts WIDOM v Garcia-Lopez @ 3.00 Centrebet 1pt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aphex Method Posted February 1, 2006 Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Amazing start with this Mr.I, great idea! Keep em coming!:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 1, 2006 Author Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: Tennis: The value in Qualifiers Amazing start with this Mr.I, great idea! Keep em coming!:clap Thanks mate - as you type Koubek goes 2-0 up against Wawrinka so hopefully we can keep rolling:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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