Jump to content

How do you calculate the strength of a team?


Recommended Posts

Re: How do you calculate the strength of a team? This is a huge subject. This was an excellent thread, heavy going in places but well worth sticking with: http://punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=12655&highlight=mr.onemore The stats you use are entirely up to you. But I would say the following process is fairly standard: 1. Decide which factors you think are important (e.g. form from last 6 games, goal difference etc.) 2. Get some historical data and look at how your factors have affected games in the past. 3. Use this to generate a relationship between your factors and each outcome 4. Apply it to future games and compare your predicted chances of a particular outsome with the bookies odds. If your system suggests there is a greater chance of a particular outcome than the bookies odds suggest then this selection would represent 'value'. This is by no means the only way, a simple way would be to look at the match previews and league table to generate your predicted chances. Good luck and hope you find a winner:ok

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This thread has more posts. To see them, you'll need to sign up or sign in.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...