BMW PGA Championship

[Johnrobertson]

Matt Fitzpatrick 20/1 ew 8 places bet365 - Last year he was about half these odds, his run of form lately is 2-9-3 and he has a good record around here.

Shane Lowry 20/1 ew 8 places bet365 - Hoping he is coming back into form after a great finish in the Irish Open, won this last year and his record around here is good.

[MinellaWorksop]

Decent strength field tee it up at Wentworth this week.

Going to play a live experiment game to small stakes from here on with the Golf bets.

The experiment will be called the highly imaginative title of: 'The A Team vs The B Team'

I will pick four players for each 'team' and stick them in Six Full Cover Doubles Bets (therefore 12 bets in total) to finish in the Top40 places with PaddyPower

The A Team will consist of players picked from a shortlist of who finished in the Top20 last time out.

The B Team will consist of players picked from a shortlist of who just missed the cut last time out.

Now in theory, the A team should beat the B Team, but the B Team players should be teeing off at bigger odds therefore possibly being more profitable. I'm curious to see how it all plays out, so here goes:

A Team

Marcel Siem 3.00

Hurly Long 3.25

Julien Brun 3.50

Rikuya Hoshino 3.50

 

B Team

Dan Bradbury 4.00

Johannes Veerman 4.00

Marc Warren 5.50

Jeremy Freiberghaus 9.00

[harry_rag]

16 hours ago, MinellaWorksop said:

I will pick four players for each 'team' and stick them in Six Full Cover Doubles Bets (therefore 12 bets in total) to finish in the Top40 places with PaddyPower

I admire the inventiveness! I assume you’re doing the 6 doubles on the A team players and same for B but not covering the “cross team” doubles so nothing back if you get one in each group?

My gut feel is you’re up against it to make a profit as it’s unlikely that you’ll find 8 players on offer at value prices with a single firm in one week. If the prices don’t represent value then you’re long term expectation is negative.

[MinellaWorksop]

5 hours ago, harry_rag said:

I admire the inventiveness! I assume you’re doing the 6 doubles on the A team players and same for B but not covering the “cross team” doubles so nothing back if you get one in each group?

My gut feel is you’re up against it to make a profit as it’s unlikely that you’ll find 8 players on offer at value prices with a single firm in one week. If the prices don’t represent value then you’re long term expectation is negative.

Yes, that is a correct assumption mate. They are rival teams (even if they don't know it themselves lol) so no player mingling crossover doubles will be allowed in the experiment ha.

And that's a fair and valid point regarding the value angle. I think that's why my instincts were telling me small stakes. As I do admittedly think some random idea's, strategies and games for all kinds of sports. It's probably wiser for people to paper trade. Though i never really stick at anything when just paper trading. So for small stakes it will give me an interest to follow the tournament, track how the rival teams fare against each other and it may lead to something more value orientated if I have a eureka moment while playing this experiment/game.

[MinellaWorksop]

As I type, really close stuff in regards to who will make the cut for their respective teams.

Team A: Siem looks to have missed the cut, Hurly Long could just sneak in, Brun still playing though within the cut band and Hoshino the star player comfortably within the cut line.

Team B: Warren and Bradbury also on 1 under which looks to be the cut line currently so could just sneak in, Freiburghaus on 1 over though has over half his round to play, so not without a chance and Veerman hustling away at 2 under also giving him a chance to make the weekend action.

[MinellaWorksop]

Quick update.

They made me wait til this morning to finish their second rounds, though the players to successfully get over the first hurdle of making the cut are:

A Team: Hoshino, Brun and Long.

B Team: Veerman, Bradbury and Freiburghaus.

Big shout outs to Bradbury and Freiburghaus for performing minor miracles to make the cut. Bradbury sitting at 4 over after round one really knuckled down in his second round. And Freiburghaus.... take a bow my son. Sitting at 1 over with two holes left to play and requires to get to 1 under to make the cut... he only goes and delivers the bacon!

Now I can only pray to the golfing Gods that they all kick on and acquire Top40 finishes. So pray I will lol.

[fd1972uk]

Not had time to put my bets up, Fox and Kim who's a bit further back.

Dad had went all in with Rory but has put on Fleetwood for last round.

[MinellaWorksop]

2 hours ago, fd1972uk said:

Not had time to put my bets up, Fox and Kim who's a bit further back.

Dad had went all in with Rory but has put on Fleetwood for last round.

Fox going well mate. Really close leaderboard going into the final day. Fingers crossed for a good final round 🤞

Going into the final day, my prayers have not been answered yet by the golfing Gods lol.

A Team: Hoshino going well, Brun in and around the Top40 and Hurly Long struggling with the stragglers.

B Team: Veerman hustling around the Top40 mark, Bradbury and Freiburghaus used all their energies up just making the cut and are struggling with the stragglers also lol.

[fd1972uk]

Fox playing well but that 3rd looks like it's a goner.

Hatton playing like a man possessed.

[fd1972uk]

Kept composed and done the job, well done Ryan.

Now for Davis to hopefully come through tonight or at worst Theegala holds on.

[MinellaWorksop]

4 hours ago, fd1972uk said:

Kept composed and done the job, well done Ryan.

Now for Davis to hopefully come through tonight or at worst Theegala holds on.

Great shout mate. Brilliant back nine from the Fox. I thought he was out of it with the Triple bogey early on.

Final results from my teams;

A Team: Hoshino and Brun successfully in the Top40, Long way off the pace.

B Team: No Top40 finishers, with Veerman and Bradbury closest but just outside the Top40.