Premier League Predictions > May 24th - 28th

[StevieDay1983]

The final weekend of Premier League matches for the 2022/23 season are coming up this weekend. The league title has been won by Manchester City. Arsenal, Newcastle, and Manchester United look like the teams that will be joining them in the Champions League. Liverpool and Brighton look set to be the representatives for England in the Europa League. The Europa Conference League qualification spot is then going to be contested between Aston Villa, Tottenham, and Brentford.

Real drama can be found in the relegation dog fight. Southampton had their fate sealed last week and they will be joined by two of Leeds, Leicester, and Everton. Only one can survive. Who will it be? Tell us your predictions for these games and be sure to keep an eye out for our Premier League betting previews on our main site ahead of the big matches. 

[StefanBB]

Brighton vs Manchester City

Brighton will be hoping for another win after their last result, a 3-1 Premier League success against Southampton. In that match, Brighton & Hove Albion had 62% possession and 26 shots on goal with eight on target. The home side will likely secure a Europa League ticket since they are three points ahead of the 7th-placed Aston Villa. Now they face the newly-crowned champions, hoping to continue with good performances and book a confidence-boosting win. However, they will go to this game without Jeremy Sarmiento (Metatarsal Fracture) and Tariq Lamptey (Knee Injury), who are unavailable for Brighton boss Roberto De Zerbi.

Manchester City comes into this clash following on from a 1-0 Premier League win in the defeat of Chelsea in their most recent fixture. In that game, Manchester City managed 65% possession and 15 shots on goal, with 2 of them on target. Although they needed to chase Arsenal throughout the campaign, the defending champions managed to retain the crown. The Citizens are on an incredible run, failing to win only twice on the previous 20 occasions in all competitions. Although the result in this match is not crucial for the Citizens, they want to extend their winning streak. Due to a mostly healthy squad, there is just the sole fitness problem for the Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola to be concerned about. Nathan Aké (Hamstring Injury) won’t be playing here. Benjamin Mendy cannot play in this game through suspension.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Both teams enter this game without any pressure, and it can go either way. The odds on Man City are quite tempting, and we think they can return home with all three points from Amex Stadium.

Goals Market Prediction

Their h2h matches have been quite interesting lately. Just one of their last eight encounters stayed under a 2.5 margin. Therefore, we believe the tradition will continue, and the crowd should enjoy at least three goals in total on Tuesday evening.

Manchester City to Win @ 1.85

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.55

Correct score 1:2 @ 8.60

[yossa6133]

Wonder if Brighton are worth backing at around 5/2 here, can't see City being too bothered about winning and they won't want to risk injuries before the two finals.

Will look at the City lineup before deciding.

[harry_rag]

Incoming mug bet klaxon (let's be charitable and call it a "fun" bet; certainly not "serious" based on the stakes allowed).

MacAllister to have the furthest shot for Brighton at 5/1 and to have a shot from 25+ yards at 13/8 with Sky Bet

Caicedo heads the market based on an average distance of 24 yards based on 27 shots (no pens or direct free kicks taken). Mac weighs in at 22.4 yards from 77 shots (6 pens and 8 free kicks taken). Enciso next at 19.3.

Mac takes more shots, the gap between him and Caicedo closes if you exclude the penalties and he's likely to take any free kicks. Not a market I intend to go down a rabbit hole with but, based on the high level stats, I'll take an interest at the prices in this game.

[harry_rag]

11 minutes ago, yossa6133 said:

Wonder if Brighton are worth backing at around 5/2 here, can't see City being too bothered about winning and they won't want to risk injuries before the two finals.

Will look at the City lineup before deciding.

Been pondering it from a Bet Builder angle (365 25% boost offer applies to the game). How about Brighton double chance (win or draw), btts = yes and Brighton >1 goal at 9/4.

Quite fancy the Brighton win angle but will get the draw on side as well, wouldn't want to bet on City not scoring and Brighton might well need (and be capable of) more than 1 to avoid defeat.

[yossa6133]

City have put out a strong looking team so I'm not getting involved.

[StefanBB]

Manchester United vs Chelsea

Manchester United fans will want a repeat of their previous result, the 1-0 Premier League triumph against Bournemouth. In that match, Manchester United had 59% possession and 20 attempts on goal with five on target. After that success, the Red Devils need only one point to lock the top-four finish. They are currently three points ahead of the fifth-placed Liverpool, with a game in hand. Man Utd will also search their third straight Premier League win on Thursday evening. However, Tom Heaton (Ankle Injury), Scott McTominay (Unknown Injury), Marcel Sabitzer (Meniscal Injury), Lisandro Martínez (Metatarsal Fracture), and Donny van de Beek (Knee Injury) aren't available for Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag.

Since tasting defeat last time out to Manchester City in Premier League action, Chelsea and their traveling supporters will be hoping that they can get a better result in this one. In that game, Chelsea managed 35% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 6 of them on target. The Blues want to forget this disappointing campaign since they are closer to the relegation zone than the continental qualification spots. They won only once on the previous 12 occasions in all competitions, and a lot of work will be ahead of their new boss Maurizio Pochettino. Chelsea manager Frank Lampard has to choose from a squad that has some fitness concerns. Marc Cucurella (Muscle Injury), Benoît Badiashile (Unknown Injury), Ben Chilwell (Hamstring Injury), N'Golo Kanté (Groin Injury), Reece James (Hamstring Injury), Mason Mount (Pelvis Injury), and Armando Broja (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) can't be considered.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Although this is considered a derby match, Manchester United has a much better momentum ahead of this game. The hosts will be more motivated to stay in the top-four zone, and we expect them to beat the Blues at Old Trafford.

Goals Market Prediction

Manchester United was involved in games with at least three goals only twice on the previous nine occasions. They tend to get the lead and play without much risk. On the other hand, Chelsea has trouble in front of the opponent's net, and this game should stay under a 2.5 margin.

Manchester United to win @ 1.65

Under 2.5 FT @ 2.35

Correct score 1:0 @ 8.40

[yossa6133]

I've had various bets on Everton to beat Bournemouth.

1/2 to win (3 pts).

7/2 -2 handicap (0.5 pt).

40/1 5-0 (0.1 pt). 

Everton aren't great but got to fancy them fully motivated at home to a disinterested Bournemouth. Need an early goal for the handicap and correct score bets to have a chance.

 

Edited May 25 by yossa6133

[malabgd]

Aston Villa vs Brighton

2023-05-28T17:30+02:00

 

Aston Villa

Doubtful: Diego Carlos (3/0 d)

Out (injuries/other): Alex Moreno (19/0 d), Philippe Coutinho (20/1 m), Jed Steer (0/0 g)

Suspended: -

 

Brighton

Doubtful: Robert Sánchez (23/0 g, personal reasons)

Out (injuries/other): Solomon March (33/7 m), Jakub Moder (0/0 m), Tariq Lamptey (20/0 d), Jeremy Sarmiento (9/0 f), Adam Lallana (16/2 m), Enock Mwepu (0/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics

Aston Villa scored at least one goal in 89% of home games.

Brighton scored at least one goal in 94% of away games.

Brighton scored at least two goals in 61% of away games.

64% chance that both Aston Villa and Brighton will score in this game.

56% chance that both team will score and goal count will be over 2.5 goals.

89% chance that there will be more than 1 goal in this game.

67% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game.

83% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half.

[StefanBB]

Chelsea vs Newcastle United

It has been a disappointing campaign for Chelsea since they will finish in the bottom half of the table. The Blues are the biggest underachievers this season, and they won’t compete on the continental stage in September. Going into this contest, Chelsea had been without a win at home for the past six matches in the league. That's never good. The fans hope that things will get  better when Maurizio Pochettino takes over the bench this summer. However, Kante, Mount, James, Cucurella, Chilwell, and Badiashile have been struggling with injuries of late, speaking of the home side, and won’t be featuring for this match.

Newcastle United returns to the Champions League after many troubles during the last decade. The Magpies have secured the top-four finish, and they have a chance to improve. Newcastle lost only three games on the road this season, and they want to finish the campaign in style. They’ve been doing well lately, losing just twice on the previous 13 occasions. Ahead of this game, all Saint-Maximin, Murphy, and Gordon are pushing for recalls to the starting XI, while all Ritchie, Lascelles, and Krafth remain in the recovery room. Joe Willock is unlikely to be risked against Chelsea.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Momentum is on the Magpies’ side, and we don’t see Chelsea improving in this game. Therefore, we won’t be surprised if Newcastle United grabs a win at Stamford Bridge on Sunday afternoon.

Goals Market Prediction

Six of their last seven h2h matches stayed under a 2.5 margin, and this one shouldn’t be much different. Chelsea struggles in front of the opponent’s net, while Newcastle’s defense has been quite disciplined. That’s why we shouldn’t see more than two goals in total.

Newcastle United to Win @ 2.37

Under 2.5 FT @ 2.25

Correct score 0:2 @ 13.50

[Middle East Leagues Expert]

StevieDay1983

Mate why you dont write anymore previews and Tips for the EPL games ?

[yossa6133]

Thought Everton made that way harder than it needed to be. Changing to 3 at the back for this game seemed bonkers to me. Still, just about got it done.

[StevieDay1983]

On 5/28/2023 at 1:00 PM, Middle East Leagues Expert said:

StevieDay1983

Mate why you dont write anymore previews and Tips for the EPL games ?

My role has changed. We are looking to get more previews written. We still provide previews and tips on our football news section on the new mainsite. So be sure to keep an eye on that! MLS coverage starting this coming week and we still have a load of cup finals to go through starting with Sevilla vs Roma betting tips tomorrow.