Premier League Predictions > Apr 1st - 5th

[StevieDay1983]

The international break is coming up but the Premier League will be back in two weeks so we might as well get the odds up now so we can get some discussion going before then. Manchester City versus Liverpool is the big one that weekend and with Arsenal playing a lowly Leeds at home you have to feel that if Pep Guardiola's men fail to win that game then the gap at the top will increase. Tottenham also face a tricky away game against a more resolute Everton. Will Antonio Conte still be in charge by then or could it even be his last game at the helm? Let us know your predictions below! 

[malabgd]

Manchester City vs Liverpool

2023-04-01T13:30+02:00

 

Manchester City

Doubtful: Erling Haaland (26/28 f, top scorer)

Out (injuries/other): Philip Foden (24/9 m)

Suspended: -

 

Liverpool

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Calvin Ramsay (0/0 d), Luis Diaz (8/3 f), Thiago Alcantara (14/0 m), Konstantinos Tsimikas (14/0 d), Naby Keita (8/0 m), Stefan Bajcetic (11/1 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics

Manchester City scored at least one goal in 100% of home games.

Manchester City scored at least two goals in 85% of home games.

Manchester City scored in both halves in 62% of home games.

70% chance that Manchester City will win this game.

62% chance that Manchester City will win and over 1.5 goals will be scored.

74% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game.

47% chance that there will be more than 3 goals in this game.

85% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half.

62% chance that there will be at least 2 goals in the first-half.

[Mindfulness]

No predictions for individual games but Brentford +0.50 AH @ 2.40 is a value bet in my view. 2.47 on Betfair Exchange at the time of writing this.

[Fader]

I think Bournemouth have a good chance tomorrow. Fulham are missing their manager, Mitrovic and Willian. Villa are also on my radar (5.30pm) think they've been playing some good stuff and I'm not convinced by Chelsea, still. I've gone BTTS but I reckon Villa on the handicap would be a worthy bet, too.

In the afternoon game I've gone City to win and over 2.5 goals at 5/4. We've seen goals galore in this fixture in the past and whilst I also like City and BTTS, the 5/4 bet covers the chance of a 3-0 City if Pool don't turn up.

[StefanBB]

Manchester City vs Liverpool

Manchester City will be looking for a repeat result of the 6-0 FA Cup victory versus Burnley. However, the defending champions are eight points behind Arsenal, having one game in hand. Their most recent results highlight the fact that not much more can be done by the Manchester City rearguard. Manchester City has been miserly, seeing the number of goals that have gone in at their end over the course of their last six games standing at 1. The Citizens should keep up good form if they want to continue challenging for the trophy.

Following on from being beaten in their last game against Real Madrid in Champions League action, Liverpool and their fans will hope to get a better result this time. The Reds have suffered two straight defeats, and they cannot allow more setbacks if they want to clinch a Champions League ticket. The trend of at least one side getting a clean sheet in games featuring Liverpool has become evident of late. Looking at their last six games shows that it has happened five times. In these clashes, opposing sides have managed a goal total of 7, and Liverpool has scored 11. We shall soon see if that trend will be continued in this game. Undoubtedly, Liverpool will have a tricky challenge at Emirates Stadium.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It is an important game for both teams to accomplish their current ambitions in the Premier League campaign. However, we think Manchester City is closer to a victory, and the hosts should deliver it.

Goals Market Prediction

Their recent h2h clashes have been pretty efficient, as eight of the past ten went over a 2.5 margin. Moreover, the BTTS Yes pick was successful in seven of their last eight encounters. We believe that tradition will continue on Saturday afternoon.

Manchester City to Win @ 1.65

BTTS Yes @ 1.70

Correct score 2:1 @ 6.60

[StefanBB]

Newcastle United vs Manchester United

Newcastle United will be looking for another win after the 2-1 Premier League success vs Nottingham Forest. It was the Magpies' second straight victory after a winless period, which kept them in the race for the Champions League ticket. It has been seldom in recent times that Newcastle United hasn't conceded. The facts show that Newcastle United has seen its defense breached in 6 of their previous six matches, letting in 9 goals during that time. We will have to see whether or not that trend will be continued in this game. The hosts haven't lost in the league to Manchester United in their previous two games. Almiron (Thigh injury), Fraser (Illness), Krafth (Knee injury), and Gordon (Ankle injury) will be out of selection for this match.

Manchester United comes into this meeting after a 3-1 FA Cup win over Fulham in their most recent fixture. However, the Red Devils failed to celebrate in the previous two Premier League rounds. Proving their fondness for high-scoring matches, the back of the net has been hit 21 times in the last six games in which Manchester United has taken to the pitch, giving a mean average of 3.5 goals per fixture. Their opponents have managed 10 of those goals. Going into this one, Manchester United remains unbeaten by Newcastle United in away games against them for the last two league matches. Van de Beek (Knee injury), Eriksen (Ankle injury), Garnacho (Ankle injury), Casemiro (Suspended), and Greenwood (Out of squad) won't feature in the selection for this encounter.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It will be an exciting game that can easily go either way. Both sides need points, so we won't be surprised if they split points at St. James's Park on Sunday evening.

Goals Market Prediction

Newcastle United has the toughest defense in the competition, allowing only 19 goals this season. It will be a close game, and we don't expect to see more than two goals in total.

Draw @ 3.55

Under 2.5 FT @ 1.97

Correct score 1:1 @ 5.40

[StefanBB]

Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur

Everton enters this game following a 2-2 Premier League tied result vs Chelsea. That point could boost the Toffees' confidence ahead of the crucial part of the season, where survival is at stake. Sean Dyche's Everton has hit the back of the net six times in their prior six outings. The comparative number of goals that have been scored against them in that time amounts to 10. Ahead of this clash, Everton has not emerged victorious against Tottenham Hotspur in their last four league games. Breaking that bad record would be priceless for the home side. Andy Lonergan (Knee Problems) and Andros Townsend (Cruciate Ligament Injury) won't be playing for Everton boss Sean Dyche.

In the game prior to this, Tottenham Hotspur drew 3-3 in the Premier League match with Southampton. Despite staying in the top-four zone, the Spurs are just two points ahead of Newcastle, who also has two games in hand. Cristian Stellini's Tottenham Hotspur has converted a total of 8 times in the course of their most recent six matches. The number of goals they conceded during those same clashes equals 6. Tottenham Hotspur boss Cristian Stellini, an interim manager after sacking Antonio Conte, has to contend with reduced team options currently. Yves Bissouma (Ankle Fracture) and Rodrigo Bentancur (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) won't be making appearances.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Everton has tied three games without tasting a defeat, while Tottenham is not in good momentum. The home side might take advantage of that to pick up priceless points at Goodison Park.

Goals Market Prediction

The hosts' offense has been struggling this season, while the Spurs have conceded in three games in a row. Therefore, we think both teams will be able to find the back of the opponent's net in this clash.

Everton AH +0.5 @ 1.75

BTTS Yes @ 1.87

Correct score 1:1 @ 6.50

[StefanBB]

Chelsea vs Liverpool

Chelsea is playing a season to forget, currently occupying the eleventh position in the table. Continental football next season is quite far, and the Blues should focus on rebuilding their squad, even after huge investments in the past year. Graham Potter's Chelsea has netted eight times over their preceding six outings. The corresponding number of goals that have been scored against them in those games is 7. Chelsea has found the back of the opponent's net only 29 times in 28 matches, and they haven't won in the previous two rounds. Thiago Silva (Ligament Injury), Raheem Sterling (Hamstring Injury), Mason Mount (bruised pelvis), and Armando Broja (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) aren't available for Chelsea coach Graham Potter.  

Since suffering a loss in their previous game against Manchester City in Premier League action, Liverpool will be hoping to turn things around here. It was their third straight defeat in all competitions after thrashing Manchester United 7-0. A tendency of at least one team not managing to score in games involving Liverpool has become noticeable in recent matches. A glance at their last six outings reveals that it has happened five times. In these clashes, opposing sides have hit a goal aggregate of 6 while Liverpool has scored 10. The Reds will have the tough task of finishing the campaign among the top four teams. Liverpool manager Jürgen Klopp has some current player fitness concerns. Luis Díaz (Knee Injury), Thiago (Problems with the hip flexor), Darwin Núñez (Unknown Injury), Joe Gomez (Muscle Injury), Calvin Ramsay (Knee Surgery), and Stefan Bajcetic (Tear in the abductor muscle) miss out here.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It is going to be a tight clash of two out-of-form teams. Although it could easily go either way, we think Liverpool is a bit closer to a victory, and we are going to back the Reds.

Goals Market Prediction

Six of the previous seven h2h clashes of these two sides stayed under a 2.5 margin. Interestingly, neither team managed to score in 90 minutes of their last three encounters. Therefore, we don't see this game producing more than two goals in total.

Liverpool to Win @ 2.85

Under 2.5 FT @ 2.07

Correct score 0:1 @ 9.90

[Fader]

I think Villa look a good price to win again tonight. I know that Chelsea dominated against them but bottom line is, if you don't score then you can't deserve to win and I thought Villa took their chances really well.Leicester continue to look awful and have now lost 5 of their last 6 matches. They're sightly better at home with 1 win and a draw from their last 4 at home but Villas away record is pretty impressive. Only Man City and Arsenal are above them in form away for the last 8 matches with 5 wins from those 8 and only 2 defeats. One of those being Man City. 

Leicester beat Villa 4-2 when Villa were at home but I'm going with Villa to get some revenge tonight on that Leicester form.

4pts Villa to beat Leicester 7/4
1pt treble tonight - Villa, Brighton & Leeds 13/2 paddypower

[Fader]

[StevieDay1983]

It feels like the Manchester United and Newcastle double is too short value... but then can I really see Brentford getting something on the road after giving the Red Devils a footballing lesson earlier in the season and with Casemiro likely to still be absent and West Ham turning over the Magpies at home given both teams' current form? The Hammers have only won 1 of the last 8 meetings but are undefeated in the previous three encounters. What are you all thinking?

The sensible bet is the Manchester United and Newcastle double @ 2.31/1 with Bet365 but there is temptation with that Brentford and West Ham double at the odds of 19/1 with the same bookmaker! 

[StefanBB]

West Ham vs Newcastle United

West Ham has been playing in solid form lately. Four points from the last two rounds lifted them above the relegation zone. Nevertheless, the Hammers need to continue in the same fashion since they are only one point away from the bottom three spots. Sunday's win over Southampton brought some fresh air to London Stadium, but a much tougher task is ahead of them on Wednesday. Over their past six fixtures, David Moyes's West Ham United has scored a total of 9 times, with that being an average number of goals scored per match of 1.5. The West Ham United manager David Moyes has no fitness worries at all coming into this match thanks to a fully healthy group to pick from.

Newcastle United heads into the meeting following on from a 2-0 Premier League win vs Manchester United in their most recent game. It is a massive success for the Magpies since those three points returned them to the top-four zone. The numbers tell their own story, and Newcastle United has been scored against in 5 of their last six games, conceding eight goals overall. Defensively, Newcastle United has seen their frailties exposed. Newcastle United boss Eddie Howe has not got a full squad to pick from. Matty Longstaff (Knee Injury), Emil Krafth (Cruciate Ligament Rupture), and Miguel Almirón (Thigh Problems) are names that won't be on the team sheet.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It is an important game for both teams, and three points from it would help them achieve their goals this season. Although the game could go either way, we think the visitors are a bit closer to a victory.

Goals Market Prediction

West Ham's offense is one of the least efficient in the Premier League, while Newcastle United has conceded only 19 goals so far. Although neither team managed to keep a clean sheet in their last four h2h clashes, we don't expect to see more than two goals in total on Wednesday evening.

Newcastle United to Win @ 2.17

Under 2.5 FT @ 1.80

Correct score 0:1 @ 6.90

[Fader]

Tough one to call tonight for West Ham. They haven't lost at home in 2023. They've also scored in every one of those home fixtures. Newcastle look to have a good away record but when you look at who they've beaten, they are all bottom 6 teams. Last 2 fixtures have ended 1-1 and I fancy a similar kind of outcome. I was tempted with going BTTS and X to win but I couldn't decide which team was going to win. Perhaps an edge to Newcastle. However the bet for me is BTTS

5.5pts BTTS (West Ham vs Newcastle) 10/11 bet365
 

[Fader]

I always like to have a big odds bet in a match. Here is what I'm going with for a 'build a bet' tonight with Paddypower. It's money back if one leg lets you down.

Kehreh 2+ fouls
BTTS
Newcastle (corner bet)
Rice to attempt 50+ passes
10/1 paddypower

[Mrjol.]

A bet builder combining both tonight's games

 

[Fader]

2 hours ago, Fader said:

I always like to have a big odds bet in a match. Here is what I'm going with for a 'build a bet' tonight with Paddypower. It's money back if one leg lets you down.

Kehreh 2+ fouls
BTTS
Newcastle (corner bet)
Rice to attempt 50+ passes
10/1 paddypower

So BTTS, Newcastle winning the corner bet. Rice with the passes fine. Kehreh with 1 foul and he takes him off on 66min. Moyes I hate you. That would have come in.