StevieDay1983 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 To be run over just short of three miles of the new course this is the final of an ongoing series of qualifiers run throughout the season. Qualification has been amended this season with a horse having to finish in the first four in one of the qualifiers. Gordon Elliott has an excellent record in the race winning three of the last five renewals. Lightly raced horses have a good record in the race with 9 of the last 11 winners having run ten times or fewer over hurdles. Last year's winner Third Wind (25/1) broke a six year run for Irish trained winners as well as being the biggest prices winner for nine years. Current favourite for this stamina test is the Charlie Byrne’s trained Shoot First who hasn’t been seen since landing a gamble over course and distance back in October. He’s been shunted up 8lb for that success but does look rather skinny at the front of the market currently. Nicky Henderson’s Walking On Air is up 5lb for his win at Exeter in February and as a lightly raced six year old fits the stats as one so inexperienced. Henderson also has Steal A March here who won a qualifier at Wincanton on Boxing Day and is a consistent sort owned by The King and HM The Queen Consort as well as Captain Morgs who looked impressive winning over the course and distance back in December. As already mentioned Irish handler Gordon Elliott has an excellent record in the race and has six currently entered with Maxxum, who won a Leopardstown qualifier with consummate ease over Christmas, towards the top of the market. He does however have to put a poor showing at the same track five weeks later behind him where he came back with graze on his leg. He’s also been re-assessed to the tune of 18lb. Maybe of more interest is Salvador Ziggy who’s not been seen since October when fourth to the aforementioned Shoot First beaten 4L and is now 8lb better off with that one. Good ground seems important to him and if getting his optimum conditions can go well. Another Irish challenger who can run well is the Gavin Cromwell trained Perceval Legallois who won the Leopardstown qualifier which Maxxum flopped in. Owned by JP McManus he looks a major player here. McManus also has the David Pipe trained Thanksforthehelp who won on the bridle in the final qualifier at Chepstow in late February off of a mark of 117 and will need to be given a fair rise to get into the contest. If he does he too can be a major player. Willie Mullins has Shewearsitwell here as well as in the Mares Hurdle on the opening day and if taking this route would have obvious claims. Charlie Longsdon is having a good season and is likely to saddle his consistent mare Glimpse Of Gala who although on the small side is very tough and comes here following wins at Kempton and Warwick. He’s formed a great partnership with 7lb conditional jockey Bradley Roberts who will be disappointed if not getting the call up to ride here. She’s a player for sure. Back in third and looking held was another Gordon Elliott runner in Level Neverending. As one would expect a typically wide open handicap with the Irish holding major claims once again. At the current prices there maybe be some each way value with the Charlie Longsdon trained Glimpse Of Gala who acts on any ground and is as tough as nails. Punters Lounge Tip: Glimpse Of Gala EW @ 20/1 1/5 12345 NR NB at BetVictor - Click Here To Bet by The Brigadier Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tumbleweed King Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 The Pertemps Final is open to horses aged five or older. It is also run on the new course over a distance of three miles. There are twelve flights of hurdles to be jumped in what is the longest of the three handicap hurdles at the meeting. Six of the last seven winners of the race have all been Irish trained and every one of those winners wore a tongue tie. The only horse wearing a tongue tie last year was only beaten a neck by the winner in Third Wind, so it appears to be a massive help. Five of the recent Irish winners used the Leopardstown qualifier run over the Christmas period as a stepping stone prior to coming here. Many of the runners use qualifiers to get into this final and a positive performance from them last time would obviously be key to doing well in this. Year Horse Age Trainer Jockey 2022 Third Wind 8 Hughie Morrison Tom O’Brien 2021 Mrs Milner 6 Paul Nolan Bryan Cooper 2020 Sire Du Berlais 8 Gordon Elliott Barry Geraghty 2019 Sire Du Berlais 7 Gordon Elliott Barry Geraghty 2018 Delta Work 5 Gordon Elliott Davy Russell 2017 Presenting Percy 6 Pat Kelly Davy Russell 2016 Mall Dini 6 Pat Kelly Davy Russell 2015 Call The Cops 6 Nicky Henderson Andrew Tinkler 2014 Fingal Bay 8 Philip Hobbs Richard Johnson 2013 Holywell 6 Jonjo O’Neill Richie McClernon 2012 Cape Tribulation 8 Malcolm Jefferson Denis O’Regan Selected Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Final Runners Below are selected runners who hold entries for the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Final I shall provide some recent form notes to help point you in the right direction of identifying the winner. Salvador Ziggy Trainer: Gordon ElliottJockey: Aidan Kelly Was fourth to Shoot First over this course and distance in a similar race back in October and now is burdened with top weight here. The yard has an excellent record in this race recently and Aidan Kelly can claim off his partner. The form of that last race is working out well with wins for Botox Has, Panic Attack and The Real Whacker. Has every right to make the frame. Itchy Feet Trainer: Olly MurphyJockey: Sean Bowen Still looks well in on the best of his old form and he has been fairly consistent this year. He already has the beating of The Changing Man who is set to re-oppose but needs to reverse form with Wakool. This is his sort of trip these days but this course has not been too kind to him in recent years. Yet to win in four runs here, he may well struggle to get home once more. Good Time Johnny Trainer: Tony MartinJockey: Liam McKenna Has been beaten a combined thirty-five lengths in his last two handicaps and is woefully out of form. Without a win in over a year, the handicapper shows no sign of relenting with him. Looks like he will struggle once more. Wakool Trainer: Nick AlexanderJockey: Conor O'Farrell Won a Grade Two hurdle last time out beating the re-opposing Itchy Feet. He will be attempting to defy a career-high mark here and this seven-year-old grey son of Motivator has no previous experience of this track. Could travel well for a long way before succumbing to his big weight. Captain Morgs Trainer: Nicky HendersonJockey: Sam Twiston-Davies Has plenty of experience at this track including most recently when winning a class two handicap by seven lengths. The form of that last win here back in December is not really working out and that has to be a concern for his backers here today. Coltor Trainer: Roger FellJockey: Kevin Brogan Has his third run for Roger Fell since leaving Dermot Weld and has been slowly improving for his new handler. Has the beating of Wakool on their most recent meeting at Musselburgh and no surprise to see him confirm that form. In good form and could well sneak a place. Green Book Trainer: Venetia WilliamsJockey: Charlie Deutsch Operates much better on flatter tracks as wins at Sandown, Haydock and Ludlow all prove. Was a lacklustre fifth of six when beaten over twenty lengths by Wakool in a Grade Two last time out. Looks way of his depth. An Tailliur Trainer: Jonjo O'NeillJockey: Jonjo O'Neill JR Has been off the track for almost five months but ran a fair race behind Shoot First in a similar event over the course and distance back in October. He certainly knows how to win races having won seven of his fifteen starts over hurdles. Always goes well after a break and looks to be in with a great chance despite a career-high mark. Mill Green Trainer: Nicky HendersonJockey: Daryl Jacob Has to be respected given that he was a gallant third to Third Wind in this same race last season and gets in here off the exact same mark. This race has clearly been the target all season and Nicky Henderson has done well to keep him ticking over. Has obvious claims and is another worthy of respect. Thanksforthehelp Trainer: David PipeJockey: Mark Walsh Showed much-improved form when absolutely hacking up at Chepstow in a qualifier for this race. He saw off the attentions of My Bobby Dazzler with the minimum of fuss under Kevin Brogan. That run came after a bout of wind surgery which was clearly needed. With a much-needed and confidence-boosting win further improvement could not be ruled out as the further they went the better he looked. An eleven-pound rise in the ratings may not be enough to stop this David Pipe runner. Maxxum Trainer: Gordon ElliottJockey: Davy Russell Won the Leopardstown qualifier at Christmas in order to participate here and was then injured himself a little when not giving his true running behind Perceval Legallois again over the same course and distance last month. If fully recovered he has to be high on any shortlist given his trainers’ enviable record in this race. He has improved hand over fist since joining his new yard from that of Eugene O’Sullivan and no surprise to see him bounce right back here. The Bosses Oscar Trainer: Gordon ElliottJockey: Ben Harvey He has to come into this as one of the better-handicapped horses in the race. He was a fine second in this race a couple of seasons ago off a nine-pound higher mark. He has been lightly raced since and it has to be remembered that he pulled up in the County Hurdle last season having done so in his two previous races as well. He seems to be edging back to good form and ran a big race at a ridiculous price at Musselburgh just last month. He is still only an eight-year-old and he can make the frame. Walking On Air Trainer: Nicky HendersonJockey: Nico De Boinville Looks to be a little too inexperienced for a race of this nature despite winning the Exeter qualifier for this race. Sabrina is a good mare, but she is not top class and he only beat her by just over three lengths. Exeter is also a very flat track and his two previous two runs came at Doncaster and Aintree which are also quite level. The undulations of this track could find him out and he would not be the most confident of selections. Hector Javilex Trainer: Charlie LongsdonJockey: Lily Pinchin Has to come into the equation because he won a handicap over this course and distance on New Year’s Day beating Jet Of Magic and Abuffalosoldier. He was beaten off this mark next time out in what was a qualifier for this that was run at Huntingdon. If his yard were in better form, he would have a much more realistic chance. He is hard to recommend based on that though. Ante-post Prices 5/1 Thanksforthehelp , 6/1 Maxxum , 13/2 Walking On Air , 10/1 The Bosses Oscar , 10/1 Good Time Jonny , 10/1 Captain Morgs , 10/1 Salvador Ziggy , 14/1 An Tailliur , 14/1 Hector Javilex , 16/1 Itchy Feet , 20/1 Mill Green , 20/1 Green Book , 20/1 Coltor , 20/1 Bear Ghylls , 20/1 Glimpse Of Gala , 25/1 Wakool , 25/1 Jet Of Magic , 25/1 Level Neverending , 25/1 The Changing Man , 50/1 Burrows Park , 50/1 Takarengo , 50/1 Brandy Mcqueen , 50/1 Moka De Vassy , 66/1 Risk And Roll Pertemps Network Hurdle Handicap Final Key Trends Gordon Elliott boasts a fantastic recent record having won three of the last five renewals. Nine of the past eleven winners had run ten times or less over hurdles. Eight of the last nine winners were 14/1 or shorter in the market. Pertemps Network Hurdle Handicap Final Summary This is as open and competitive as it gets at Cheltenham but if he can be encouraged back to anywhere near his best form, The Bosses Oscar would look to have a compelling chance. He has been given a chance by the handicapper and is relatively lightly raced for an eight-year-old. If the ground stays soft he will likely put together a fairly big run and can give Gordon Elliott another victory in this race. Selection: The Bosses Oscar e/w @ 11/1 with Unibet All odds are accurate at the time of writing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Key statistics for this race Ignore those with low weights Those not in the top 16 have a record of 0 from 71 Those that last ran 12 to 26 days ago have 5 wins from 62 runs with a profit of 8 points This leaves BEAR GHYLLS 33/1 ITCHY FEET 50/1 WAKOOL 40/1 GREEN BOOK 33/1 MILL GREEN 25/1 I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers paying 6 places Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Mill Green 3rd at 25/1, Green Book 4th at 40/1, happy enough with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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