Bundesliga I Predictions > Feb 10th - 12th

[StevieDay1983]

Here are the odds for the next round of Bundesliga I matches coming this weekend. Our ELO ratings are experiencing some issues at the moment so they will be posted when we have them. The form table is beginning to settle after the top three all won last weekend. It's still tight at the top though with just 4 points separating the top four teams. Are Werder Bremen and Eintracht Frankfurt worth backing in their respective tricky games? Attractive prices for teams in-form but two potentially difficult opponents. Give us your predictions and picks below! 

[malabgd]

Schalke 04 vs VfL Wolfsburg

2023-02-10T20:30+01:00

 

Schalke 04

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Kaminski (1/0 d), Van den Berg (4/0 d), Heekeren (0/0 g), Polter (14/1 f), Tauer (0/0 m), Latza (12/0 m)

Suspended:

 

VfL Wolfsburg

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): -

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

 

Over/Under Goals
Schalke 04 10 home games	VfL Wolfsburg 10 away games

80%	Over 1.5 goals	90%
60%	Over 2.5 goals	50%
50%	Over 3.5 goals	20%
30%	Over 4.5 goals	10%
20%	Over 5.5 goals	0%
20%	Under 1.5 goals	10%
40%	Under 2.5 goals	50%
90%	Over 0.5 goals at half-time	80%
40%	Over 1.5 goals at half-time	40%
30%	Over 2.5 goals at half-time	10%

[StefanBB]

Schalke vs Wolfsburg

Schalke goes into this game coming off the back of a goalless Bundesliga draw against Borussia Mönchengladbach. Although it is their second straight game without losing, Schalke hasn't tasted a win for the previous five Bundesliga rounds. An interesting feature of more recent Schalke games is the high number of scores with nil in them. Taking their last six clashes before this one, in as many as 5 of them, a wager on "Both Teams to Score" would have been a losing one. The hosts need to find a recipe for better results if they don't want to get relegated at the end of the campaign. Justin Heekeren (Cruciate Ligament Rupture), Sepp van den Berg (Torn Ankle Ligament), and Sebastian Polter (Cruciate Ligament Injury) won't be playing for Schalke boss Thomas Reis.

Since being beaten in their last game against Bayern Munich in Bundesliga competition, VfL Wolfsburg and their traveling supporters will be hoping that they can get a better result in this one. It was their second defeat in a row, which kept them five points away from the top-six zone. Showing their appetite for high-scoring encounters, goals have been seen as many as 26 times in the last six matches in which VfL Wolfsburg have taken to the pitch, giving a mean average of 4.33 goals each fixture. Their opponents have managed 9 of those goals. Going into this encounter, VfL Wolfsburg remains undefeated over Schalke in away games against them for the last two league games. Thanks to a fully injury-free squad ready to go, the VfL Wolfsburg boss Niko Kovač has zero fitness worries to report ahead of this clash.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Schalke has been struggling throughout the season, and despite not being in good form, Wolfsburg could take advantage of that. Therefore, we believe the visitors can pick up all three points from this encounter.

Goals Market Prediction

The hosts have had trouble finding the opponent's back of the net this season, being the worst goalscoring team in the competition. Moreover, they didn't score against Wolfsburg in their last four encounters, and we think that trend can continue on Friday evening.

Wolfsburg to Win @ 2.00

BTTS No @ 2.25

Correct score 0:2 @10.00

[Mrsha]

Freiburg o2.5 @2.00
Min price to bet: o2.5 @1.91 or o2.75 @2.15
Model +value: yes, strong
Significant team news: Freiburg's rb Sildillia and coach Streich are both suspended; key cf Guirassy and fwd/wng Tiago Tomas unavailable for Stuttgart
Note: This is a Baden-Wurttemberg derby, although given the historical results in games between these two, that is not a negative fact for goals (last 2 have gone under 2.5 line, but 16 of last 20 have had at least 3 goals). However, Stuttgart's team-news is negative, especially as Guirassy is their clear first choice cf and best player in attack. Still, he has missed 2 league games this season (since his transfer from Rennes), they have scored in both (5 gls in total), and cf Pfeiffer will get another chance to prove himself; he dominated last season in 2BL with Darmstadt, but has yet to score in 1BL this season. With cm Ahamada recently sold, and wng Silas just back from injury, Stuttgart's general situation ahead of this game is a bit worse than team-news indicate, and we do have a strong pref for Freiburg hcap as well; although the hosts had a difficult Cup game on Tue at 2BL side Sandhausen (2-0 win, but Freib were far from convincing, having survived a few scares before scoring the first goal in 87th min). No clean sheets for Freiburg in their last 6 BL games, for Stuttgart in last 15 (they've conceded at least a goal in 18/19 BL games), TG est 2.90-2.95

/will leave one BL2 pick here as well, it's prob better to post it here than to open a new thread for that, not much forum activity anyway/

Paderborn -1/4 @2.10
Min price to bet: -1/4 @2.04
Model +value: yes
Significant team news: Hanover's first choice cb Neumann is suspended
Note: Just 4 points between these two teams after 19 rounds, which is quite insane considering the difference in level off general play they have shown so far. We've already touched upon Hannover's luck in the first part of the season, but incredibly, they are still in top 10 and even silently sttill hoping for promotion... not gonna happen. They have lost both league games after the winter break, and unless vast improvement in general play is shown, they should be expected to get nearer the relegation zone as the season goes on. Paderborn had a dip in form in weeks before the World Cup, with 4 straight defeats and 2+ goals sonceded in each, but are back with 2/2 league wins after the break, and very strong performance indeed vs strong Dusseldorf side last week (4-1 home win, game was played just 3 days after Paderborn's exhausting Cup match v Stuttgart, which lost with 2 very late goals). Paderborn lead the league in xG and shots on target per match, they are 2nd in the number of big chances created and 6th in xG against - in all of these categories Hann are in bottom half of the table (2nd from bottom in xGa). Also, Paderborn lead the league in shots differential (+4.6) and shots on target diff (+2), where Hannover are again in bottom half of the standings, actually rock bottom in shots diff (-4.7) and 5th from bottom in shots on tgt diff (-1.1). This gets even worse if we look just at last 5 games, with Hannover's poor numbers being the worst in BL2. We also know that Paderborn will not sit back here, they are an offensive-minded side who will go for 3 pts against teams they find inferior or equal in quality; so even from mentality point of view, no problems for us to back minus hcap favorite in this situation. Paderborn are more than likely to play like proper favs, estimated away win 45.5-46%

[ALEXXXXXXXX]

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig are the league's best home team because they have yet to lose at home this season.The most recent home loss came in a tie with Bayern. Instead, Union Berlin do not play well on the road, with a 40% losing rate. Additionally, Union Berlin must prepare for the UEFA Europa League, which begins in five days. Thus RB Leipzig stand a better chance to win.

RB Leipzig @1.70
Over 2/2.5 @ 1.86
RB Leipzig -0.5/-1 @1.99