JdsGooner90 Posted February 12, 2023 Author Share Posted February 12, 2023 Bet 8 (0-1 4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 12, 2023 Author Share Posted February 12, 2023 Bet 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 Bet 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 Bet 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 Bet 12 (0-0 9) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 Bet 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 Bet 14 (0-0 12) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Some nice odds so far - giving the bank a nice boost early on ? JdsGooner90 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 33 minutes ago, aldric said: Some nice odds so far - giving the bank a nice boost early on ? Thats the plan - would rather get the higher odds out the way now and then take it slower once I hit 30 or 40. Would just be nice to hit a decent run as its been a while aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 Bet 15 (0-0 1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 13, 2023 Author Share Posted February 13, 2023 Just can’t get a run going Was going to go for goal in Liverpool match at the same odds but saw it was 19th vs 2nd in Italy so went for a goal in that ? aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 25 shots from Inter and no goal.. ? Over .5 goals is such a frustrating market. alexcaruso808 and JdsGooner90 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 Post in wrong thread bet 1 below has won aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 Bet 2 (1-0 14) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 0-0 FT ? Don’t know what I have done lately but had the worst luck Its like I have been backing odds at evens or above not 1.05 or less! Definitely worst run I have been on for many years aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I hate it when you go on runs like this, seems you never pick a winner even at 1.01 ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, aldric said: I hate it when you go on runs like this, seems you never pick a winner even at 1.01 ? It feels like the only way I can get on a run is by going with 1.01 only but even then I probably wouldn’t get far Hopefully I am due a run sometime this year aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 I knew I should have put my house on this , not time wasting now are you ??? aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 On 2/13/2023 at 7:42 PM, JdsGooner90 said: Thats the plan - would rather get the higher odds out the way now and then take it slower once I hit 30 or 40. Would just be nice to hit a decent run as its been a while Your prices suggest you are more driven by the money side of a bet rather than just winning bets. Somewhere down the line the percentages will catch you out. Bets @ 1.06 should fail 6 times in every 100. Bets @ 1.01 are obviously less likely to fail. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, Skittle said: Your prices suggest you are more driven by the money side of a bet rather than just winning bets. Somewhere down the line the percentages will catch you out. Bets @ 1.06 should fail 6 times in every 100. Bets @ 1.01 are obviously less likely to fail. Ha 1.06 for me fails every 3 or 4!! It is what it is , I have had a few losers at 1.02 lately and even one at 1.01! I went over my best run of 232 earlier and a lot of the bets were at 1.03 with a few at 1.04. You need a lot of luck and I just haven’t had any for a while now but its surely due soon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, JdsGooner90 said: I went over my best run of 232 earlier and a lot of the bets were at 1.03 with a few at 1.04. You need a lot of luck and I just haven’t had any for a while now but its surely due soon I assume they’re just tracked on here & not recorded on a spreadsheet? I’d be really interested to know whether you make a profit to level stakes or not (I’d guess not but pretty close to break even). Bottom line is we only hit a big winning run as a result of luck whether we beat the odds or not. We get the number of losing bets we deserve (based on the quality of our selections) in the long run but they aren’t delivered nice and evenly, they’re peppered randomly. If you want to essentially fluke a run of 200+ bets once in a while you have to accept as necessary and inevitable the occasionally “unbelievable” streak of losers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, harry_rag said: I assume they’re just tracked on here & not recorded on a spreadsheet? I’d be really interested to know whether you make a profit to level stakes or not (I’d guess not but pretty close to break even). Bottom line is we only hit a big winning run as a result of luck whether we beat the odds or not. We get the number of losing bets we deserve (based on the quality of our selections) in the long run but they aren’t delivered nice and evenly, they’re peppered randomly. If you want to essentially fluke a run of 200+ bets once in a while you have to accept as necessary and inevitable the occasionally “unbelievable” streak of losers. I am accepting it May think about starting a value thread though, couldn’t believe Martinez was 11/2 to be booked earlier in our game when I checked the odds harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 31 minutes ago, JdsGooner90 said: May think about starting a value thread though, couldn’t believe Martinez was 11/2 to be booked earlier in our game when I checked the odds Well I definitely think it's a good idea to bet at a wider range of odds rather than just stick to the "shorty" zone, but for me this type of betting is probably my 3rd priority after spread betting and my eternal tussle with the anytime goalscorer market! So I only bet in here when time allows (and I try to be selective as well). But it's worth making the distinction that "value" does not just equate to "big" odds. If there's one thing that I'd like to see more often in this section it's a record of how the bets are doing to level stakes. I appreciate that this is just fun for a lot of posters so they don't want to bother recording their bets in a spreadsheet but it's not that difficult and can be of benefit. I suspect most punters would show a loss to level stakes but perhaps just don't want to know that. The difference between being just the right side of break even as opposed to the wrong side is a better chance of hitting longer winning runs more often. Anyway, I'll get off my soap box now and see if there's any bets to be had this evening before doing what the young folks might refer to as "chilling". JdsGooner90 and aldric 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 Bet 1 (0-0 4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 Bet 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 Good luck ? JdsGooner90 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 Bet 3 (0-1 14) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 Bet 4 (4-2 91) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 Bet 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 Bet 6 (1-2 91) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.