Premier League Predictions > Jan 12th - 15th

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

The Premier League is having a week off this weekend with the FA Cup 3rd Round coming up but there's no reason we can't take a look at the odds and ratings for the next round of games now. Give us your tips and predictions below! 

[Gedkip]

Fulham vs Chelsea

Odds @bet365 (1)3.75 (x) 3.50 (2) 1.95

Stats for Fulham:

Fulham is currently in position 7, is in good shape, and has never had any issues playing against teams in lower positions, particularly groups in positions 8 to 15. Fulham has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 1 of its last four home games. Fulham's record in the four London derbies has been dismal, with only one victory (Crystal Palace) and three defeats (to Arsenal, Tottenham, and West Ham). The last time Fulham beat Chelsea 1-0 was in 2006. Marco Silva has lost several times to Chelsea, losing four times, drawing once, and winning once. Fulham has experienced poor results against Chelsea in all 30 encounters: 1 win, 10 draws, and 19 losses.

Stats for Chelsea:

Chelsea is currently in position 10, is in bad shape, is going through a goal drought, and has struggled and never prevailed over any team higher than them. It has not won the last four away games; it has drawn two and lost two. Chelsea has excelled in the four London derbies this season, winning two (West Ham, Crystal Palace), drawing one (Tottenham), and losing one (Arsenal). Since a 1-0 loss in 2006, Chelsea has never lost to Fulham. Chelsea has beaten Fulham six times in a row since 2013. Graham Potter has lost once and drawn twice in his three games against Fulham. In all 30 meetings, Chelsea has prevailed, with 1 loss, 10 ties, and 19 victories against Fulham.

 

Hot stats:

Graham Potter is under pressure, so he will try to perform well and avoid losing two games in a row by scoring or at the very least defeating Fulham to keep his job. Marco Silva, on the other hand, will be aiming for a fourth straight victory, break the curse, and at the very least produce positive results against Chelsea.

Prediction

1-1FT (x) 3.50

Edited January 11, 2023 by Gedkip

[Gedkip]

Tottenham vs Arsenal

Odds @bet365 (1)3.60 (x) 3.40 (2) 2.00

Stats for Tottenham:

Tottenham is currently ranked fifth, is in good shape, and has never defeated a team ranked higher, especially those in positions 1 to 6. The last four games played by Tottenham in the English Premier League overall (WLDW) and at White Hart Lane (LWLL). The Spurs have had a strong offensive play but average defensive play. With only one win (Crystal Palace), two draws (West Ham and Chelsea), and one loss (to Arsenal), Tottenham's performance in the four London derbies has been mediocre. At White Hart Lane, Arsenal defeated Tottenham the last time by a score of 1-0 in 2014. Antonio Conte has struggled against Arsenal, falling short five times, drawing three times, and triumphing twice. In all 61 meetings, Tottenham has had dismal results against Arsenal: 15 victories, 23 ties, and 23 defeats.

Stats for Arsenal:

The only time Arsenal has lost to teams below them was against Manchester United, and the team is currently ranked first, and in great shape. The Gunners have scored in all but one EPL game, a 0-0 draw against Newcastle, and are ranked second to Newcastle in both defense and offense behind Manchester City. Arsenal's last four EPL games overall (DWWW), but its most recent four away games (WWWD). Arsenal's performance has visitors have been superbly and contributed to half of its points. Arsenal has a perfect record in the four London derbies, having won all four games (against Crystal Palace, Tottenham, West Ham, and Chelsea). In 2014, Arsenal defeated Tottenham 1-0 at White Hart Lane for the last time. Mikel Arteta has a 3-3 record against the Spurs, losing 3 and winning 3. In all 61 meetings, Arsenal has had successful outcomes against Tottenham: 23 victories, 23 ties, and 15 defeats. In the 2014–2015 season, Arsenal defeated Spurs in both of their Premier League games.

Hot stats:

Antonio Conte will try to put on a strong performance because he is under pressure to do so in order to either defeat Arsenal or refrain from losing two straight games at White Hart Lane for the second time. Tottenham will strive to defeat its London rivals in order to maintain its chances of finishing in the top four. In contrast, Mikel Arteta will be aiming for his first victory at White Hart Lane and his second straight victory over the Spurs, which occurred last in the 2014–2015 season. Arsenal, which lost out to Spurs for fourth place last season, will be aiming to keep Manchester City at bay and at the very least win the English Premier League, which they last did in 2004 when they were considered Invincible. Furthermore, the Gunners will attempt to maintain their best away record by winning at least the game and maintaining a commanding lead.

Prediction

1-2FT (2) 2.00

[StefanBB]

Fulham vs Chelsea

Following on from their previous result, Fulham will be hoping for more of the same after the 2-0 FA Cup victory over Hull City. It was the Cottagers' fourth straight win in all competitions after being successful in the Premier League three times in a row. They have claimed a sum of 10 during that period and have conceded a total of five. Nonetheless, we will have to wait and see whether that trend will be sustained here in this game. Going into this encounter, Fulham has not beaten Chelsea in their previous 20 matches in the league. A shocking run, it really is. Nevertheless, the hosts are full of confidence, and they hope to break that terrible streak on Thursday evening.

Since being defeated in their last game at the hands of Manchester City in FA Cup action, Chelsea and their traveling supporters will be hoping that they can get a better result in this one. It is not the only concern for the Blues since they sit in a disappointing 10^th place in the Premier league table. They celebrated only one win in the previous eight rounds, and the away side is far from Champions League qualification. The Blues have had trouble finding the back of the opponent's net this season, while their defense has not been tight enough. Chelsea boss Graham Potter has a number of players out of action. Edouard Mendy (Shoulder Injury), Christian Pulisic (Knee Problems), Raheem Sterling (Hamstring Injury), Ben Chilwell (Hamstring Injury), Wesley Fofana (Knee Injury), Reece James (Knee Injury), N'Golo Kanté (Hamstring Injury), and Armando Broja (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) miss out here.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

The momentum is on Fulham's side, and although they are slight underdogs, we think they can do well in this game. Therefore, we will support them to remain undefeated against the London rival.

Goals Market Prediction

Fulham has been involved in many high-scoring games this season, and that trend might continue. We believe both teams should be able to find the back of the rival's net in this encounter. 

Fulham AH +0.5 @ 1.78

BTTS Yes @ 1.72

Correct score 1:1 @ 6.80

[ALEXXXXXXXX]

Fulham vs Chelsea

Fulham currently have a four-match winning run. Chelsea have gone three games without a victory because of a lot of injured players. Fulham have not defeated Chelsea in their previous ten meetings, giving Chelsea the psychological advantage. As Fulham are in form while Chelsea are in a poor state, it is time for Fulham to revenge.

Pick: 1

O/U Pick: Over 2.5

[silver fox]

Fulham to beat Chelsea

Chelsea looks like a team without a direction at the moment and were knocked out of the cup at the weekend very tamely at Manchester City losing 4-0. They are 10th in the league 10 points off a Champions League place for next season and with a couple of tricky Champions League round of 16 ties to come against Borussia Dortmund. They have managed just 1 win in their last 7 games in all competitions, a 2-0 home win against Bournemouth. Fulham on the other hand are enjoying a great season in 7th place in the table 3 points ahead of Chelsea. Since the return to league football after the break for the World Cup they have won all 4 games (3 League, 1 FA Cup) played scoring 8 and conceding 1 and in Mitrovic have a forward in top form. Head-to-head favour Chelsea who are on a 21 game unbeaten run stretching back to 2006, but I think Fulham will not have a better chance of ending that run against a Chelsea side low on confidence and suffering a bad injury crisis with the likes of James, Fofana, Kante and Chilwell to name just 4 all unavailable

[StevieDay1983]

I'm torn between a draw and a Chelsea win here. I do feel Graham Potter has been hard done by with injuries but the results don't lie. Aleksandar Mitrovic missing for Fulham is a big factor and if he was playing I would even have been tempted to back a home win at 16/5 with SpreadEx. I still feel Chelsea haven't been as bad as their results suggest but poor finishing and a lack of quality available right now is holding them back. I'm going to stick with backing a draw at 5/2 with Bet365.

[Charon84]

My model gives Fulham good edge so I take Fulham win (0.5u) @4.10 and Draw (0.5u) @3.60.

[Gedkip]

2 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

I'm torn between a draw and a Chelsea win here. I do feel Graham Potter has been hard done by whasn'turies but the results don't lie. Aleksandar Mitrovic missing for Fulham is a big factor and if he were playing I would even have been tempted to back a home win at 16/5 with SpreadEx. I still feel Chelsea haven't been as bad as their results suggest but poor finishing and a lack of quality available right now is holding them back. I'm going to stick with backing a draw at 5/2 with Bet365.

Draw is a bit safe. If it were not for two hard fought wins for Manchester City and Manchester United, Fulham would be having 9 unbeaten games. Chelsea don't have the capability to win against stubborn Fulham.

[malabgd]

Aston Villa vs Leeds United

2023-01-13T21:00+01:00

 

Aston Villa

Doubtful: Matty Cash (15/0 d), Alex Moreno (0/0 d, newcomer)

Out (injuries/other): Ludwig Augustinsson (3/0 d), Jed Steer (0/0 g), Diego Carlos (2/0 d), John McGinn (17/0 m)

Suspended: Leander Dendoncker (10/0 d)

 

Leeds United

Doubtful: Adam Forshaw (5/0 m)

Out (injuries/other): Crysencio Summerville (12/4 f), Luis Sinisterra (9/2 f), Stuart Dallas (0/0 d), Archie Gray (0/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Overall Stats
Aston Villa 9 home games	Leeds United 8 away games

1.4	Goals scored per game	1.3
1.1	Goals conceded per game	2.1
22%	Clean sheets	13%
78%	Team scored	63%
33%	Team scored twice	50%
33%	Scored in both halves	38%
67%	Goal in both halves	50%

[StefanBB]

Aston Villa vs Leeds United

Aston Villa will want a better result here after the 2-1 FA Cup defeat last time out to Stevenage. Although the Villans won three times in the previous five Premier League rounds, they failed to celebrate in the last two home games in all competitions. Matches involving Aston Villa have tended to be entertaining affairs of late, with a lot of goalmouth action being a common characteristic. Over their past six games, a total of 20 goals have been scored for both teams combined (at an average of 3.33 goals per game), with 9 of those coming from Aston Villa. Diego Carlos (Achilles tendon rupture) and John McGinn (Thigh Muscle Strain) are not available for Aston Villa manager Unai Emery.

In their previous fixture, Leeds United drew 2-2 in the FA Cup tie with Cardiff City. However, the visitors have been searching for a Premier League win for the past four rounds. Nevertheless, two consecutive draws hold their heads above the water, being two points ahead of the relegation zone. Demonstrating their partiality to high-scoring matches, the back of the net has been hit 20 times in the previous six games in which Leeds United have taken to the field, giving a mean average of 3.33 goals each clash. Opposition teams have got 12 of those goals. Out of a mainly available group of players, there is just a single fitness problem for Leeds United boss Jesse Marsch to be concerned with. Stuart Dallas (Femoral Fracture) won't be playing here.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Leeds United has had issues on the road this season, and it's going to be tough for them at Villa Park. Therefore, we think the home side will pick up three important points in this encounter.

Goals Market Prediction

Their head-to-head clashes in Birmingham have been pretty entertaining recently, with many goals scored. We expect a similar display and at least three goals in total.

Aston Villa to Win @ 1.98

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.83

Correct score 2:1 @ 8.40

[silver fox]

Aston Villa to bt Leeds

Aston Villa look a different side under Unai Emery and their only league defeat under him came at home to Liverpool. They lost in the Cup at the weekend at home to Stevenage, but Emery fielded a far from full strength side. Leeds are 14th in the league 3 places and 5 points behind Villa but have been inconsistent all season and their only win on the road this term in the league was a shock 2-1 win at Liverpool. Head-to-head favours Villa who are unbeaten against Leeds in their last 5 meetings and in that time Leeds have scored just 3 goals and that was in a 3-3 draw at Villa Park in February last year. Leeds first half performance against Cardiff in the cup at the weekend will be a cause for concern if repeated tonight as they never showed up and had to rely on two late goals to grab a draw. I fancy Villa to continue their recent good run and take 3 points. 

 

 

[StevieDay1983]

Absolutely agree, @silver fox. Aston Villa to win & BTTS @ 14/5 with William Hill looks a decent price. I do think Leeds will score. They seemed to grow in confidence against Cardiff on the weekend as their big guns came on so if they start with those players that made a difference late on then they should offer something.

[Gedkip]

On 1/11/2023 at 12:32 PM, Gedkip said:

Tottenham vs Arsenal

Odds @bet365 (1)3.60 (x) 3.40 (2) 2.00

Stats for Tottenham:

Tottenham is currently ranked fifth, is in good shape, and has never defeated a team ranked higher, especially those in positions 1 to 6. The last four games played by Tottenham in the English Premier League overall (WLDW) and at White Hart Lane (LWLL). The Spurs have had a strong offensive play but average defensive play. With only one win (Crystal Palace), two draws (West Ham and Chelsea), and one loss (to Arsenal), Tottenham's performance in the four London derbies has been mediocre. At White Hart Lane, Arsenal defeated Tottenham the last time by a score of 1-0 in 2014. Antonio Conte has struggled against Arsenal, falling short five times, drawing three times, and triumphing twice. In all 61 meetings, Tottenham has had dismal results against Arsenal: 15 victories, 23 ties, and 23 defeats.

Stats for Arsenal:

The only time Arsenal has lost to teams below them was against Manchester United, and the team is currently ranked first, and in great shape. The Gunners have scored in all but one EPL game, a 0-0 draw against Newcastle, and are ranked second to Newcastle in both defense and offense behind Manchester City. Arsenal's last four EPL games overall (DWWW), but its most recent four away games (WWWD). Arsenal's performhas visitors have been superbly and contributed to half of its points. Arsenal has a perfect record in the four London derbies, having won all four games (against Crystal Palace, Tottenham, West Ham, and Chelsea). In 2014, Arsenal defeated Tottenham 1-0 at White Hart Lane for the last time. Mikel Arteta has a 3-3 record against the Spurs, losing 3 and winning 3. In all 61 meetings, Arsenal has had successful outcomes against Tottenham: 23 victories, 23 ties, and 15 defeats. In the 2014–2015 season, Arsenal defeated Spurs in both of their Premier League games.

Hot stats:

Antonio Conte will try to put on a strong performance because he is under pressure to do so in order to either defeat Arsenal or refrain from losing two straight games at White Hart Lane for the second time. Tottenham will strive to defeat its London rivato to maintain its chances of finishing in the top four. In contrast, Mikel Arteta will be aiming for his first victory at White Hart Lane and his second straight victory over the Spurs, which occurred last in the 2014–2015 season. Arsenal, which lost out to Spurs for fourth place last season, will be aiming to keep Manchester City at bay and the very least win the English Premier League, which they last did in 2004 when they were considered Invincible. Furthermore, the Gunners will attempt to maintain their best away record by winning at least the game and maintaining a commanding lead.

Prediction

1-2FT (2) 2.00

Any team under pressure fails to win. For instance, all the teams under pressure, namely; Liverpool, West Ham, Everton, Leicester, and Manchester City, all lost their matches.

Both Tottenham and Arsenal are under pressure, but Spurs have a lot of pressure due to inconsistency in results,poor performance at White Lane, and pressure to finish in the top four. I think Arsenal's pressure is a bit low because Manchester City lost and the gap is 5 points and will remain 5 or more regardless of today's results.

I will go for Arsenal's narrow win.

Edited January 15, 2023 by Gedkip

[StevieDay1983]

Tottenham vs Arsenal

The North London Derby is the focus of attention in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon when Tottenham play Arsenal in a 4:30pm GMT kick-off from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. It’s a high-stakes fixture with the home side hoping to move into the Champions League qualification places and the away team aiming to extend their lead at the top of the table.

Tottenham were predicted to make big moves this season under Antonio Conte but it’s just not quite happened for them. Don’t get me wrong, Spurs are currently in 5th place but could be in the top four if results go their way. However, there were some touting them to be in the title challenge conversation yet they are 11 points off the pace of top spot. Only 3 wins from their last 8 league games and losing 3 of their previous 4 home league matches has contributed to this falling short of high expectations.

A common trend recently with the team has been starting games slowly. The club have scored 27 of their 37 league goals this season in the second half of the matches and, even more worryingly, they have only scored one first half goal in their last 13 games across all competitions. This could be a game to back Harry Kane as anytime scorer. The England striker has scored 9 goals in 8 Premier League home matches against Tottenham. He is also just 1 goal short of joining Jimmy Greaves as Tottenham’s all-time top scorer and is just 2 goals short of reaching 200 Premier League goals.

Arsenal continue to lead the way in the top flight of English football. Mikel Arteta’s side will have been delighted to see Manchester City dropped points against Manchester United. It now means the Gunners will move 8 points clear at the top of the table if they win this game. Arsenal have won all 6 of their London derby matches in the league so far this season and a victory here would secure them 7 consecutive London derby wins in the league for the first time since 2007/08.

An impressive statistic is that Arsenal have picked up 6 of their 8 clean sheets in the league on their travels. The club are also unbeaten in their last 6 away league games including winning their last 3 in a row. A surprise candidate for anytime scorer in this game is Eddie Nketiah. The English youngster has stepped in after the injury to Gabriel Jesus and has bagged 5 goals in his last 5 appearances. Is he finally fulfilling his potential?

I’m fascinated to see how this game unfolds. Tottenham need a win to boost morale otherwise they risk having the fans start to turn on Conte. It is disconcerting that Conte has only won 2 of his 10 league games against Arsenal down the years. Arsenal want a victory to stretch their lead at the top but Arteta has lost all three of his away league games against Tottenham as Arsenal manager. I’m not sure I can separate these two for this game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a high-scoring game ending in a draw.

Draw @ 13/5 with SpreadEx

BTTS @ 5/6 with Betfair

[george44]

Difficult to predict this matchday in PL. Everton should have won. Great performance by Arsenal and MU (even I don't like their coatch). You surly need tool to have safe predicts.