harry_rag Posted February 17, 2023 Author Share Posted February 17, 2023 Bet 46.9: 15 points on neither team to score 0 points in Panthers v St Helens at 1/16 with 365 Saints fancied to stay with a 20 point handicap, the hosts maybe a bit rusty, I don’t see either team being nilled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 Bet 47.10: 10 points on >1.5 goals in A Villa v Arsenal at evens with Hills Ive not put the last couple of “Epic Odds” in here with one winning and one losing. This one makes enough appeal and is trading at around 1.4 on the exchange so I’m going to give it a go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 That’ll do! Especially as I was on Watkins to score too. alexcaruso808 and aldric 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 Bet 48.11: 15 points on Leinster highest scoring half v Dragons at 1/20 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2023 Author Share Posted February 19, 2023 Bet 49.12: 15 points on >0.5 goals in Union Berlin v Schalke at 1.1 Surprised to see this at quite that big a price. Schalke look poor, the hosts good for a couple of goals. Not a game I'd want to risk dodging a bullet on but worth risking for the value I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 20, 2023 Author Share Posted February 20, 2023 Once again the weekend ends with a losing bet although, despite that, it was still a profitable week with the other 11 bets being winners. 41 winners from 49 bets so far. 31.63 points down overall. 3-4 on the even money "Epic Odds" bets now so they're responsible for 10 points of the loss. The quest to get back in the black continues! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 20, 2023 Author Share Posted February 20, 2023 15 points on both teams shown a card in Getafe v Valencia at 1/25 with 365 Game has a an expectation of over 70 points and the history is insane thought the ref appointment tempers enthusiasm slightly. He seems to have calmed down from average for La Liga to below average over the last 3 seasons but has still shown more cards in the games he's handled involving either of these two teams. With this being a relegation battle it's hard to see either team avoiding a single card. Rich history of red cards in this game suggesting 2/1 is a huge price but, again, ref history does make it less appealing. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 20, 2023 Author Share Posted February 20, 2023 Bet 51.2: 15 points on 30+ booking points in Benfica v Boavista at 1/12 with Sky Bet Bookings expectation in the low 70s and ref hasn't shown less than that this season or last (50 being his lowest this season). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 20, 2023 Author Share Posted February 20, 2023 Definite sigh of relief with 6 cards for Getafe but Valencia only getting their sole card in the 89th minute! Slightly more comfortable in Portugal with 5 shown and 5 minutes to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 Ref bookings could be more encouraging but I still think it's worth chancing 2+ cards in both of tonight's CL games. Bet 51.3: 9 points on >1 cards in each of tonight's 2 CL games (at Inter and RB Leipzig) at 1.555 with 365 I'd say 4-6 cards looks reasonable in the Inter game assuming it's odds against and I'd probably take the best available unders line in the other game (though both games saw a red card when the teams met last season). alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 No joy last night as a card short in the City game. 3 that appeal tonight given how the tie is poised and the ref appointment. Bet 52.1: 12.5 points on >1 card in the games at Man U, Monaco and Midtjylland at 1.1032 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 Bets 53.2 and 54.3: 10 points on Fulham to score v Wolves at evens with Hills 15 points on Wigan to reach 20 points v Wakefield at 1/10 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Bet 56.4: 15 points on Italy to trail at anytime v Ireland at 1/33 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 25, 2023 Author Share Posted February 25, 2023 Bet 57.5: 15 points on 30+ booking points in the Madrid derby at 1/16 Sky Bet As short as 1/200 (laughably) elsewhere. This appears to be the ref's first Madrid derby in his 11 seasons officiating the top flight. He doesn't look like one to go low on cards in a big game. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 Bet 58.6: 15 points on 30+ bookings points in Rangers v Celtic at 1/10 Sky Bet There are safer options but I prefer this for the balance of risk/reward. Games between these two are always a solid 4-6 cards bet at odds against but 21/20 is skinny enough for me to leave it alone. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 Bet 59.7: 15 points on >2 cards in Sevilla v Osasuna at 1/14 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 27, 2023 Author Share Posted February 27, 2023 (edited) 9-1 this week for modest profit. 50 winners from 59 bets so far. 22.02 points down overall with an ROI of -2.7% 4-4 on the even money "Epic Odds" bets now so they're breaking even with the loss coming from the five other losing bets. Edited February 27, 2023 by harry_rag Cock up on the counting front aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 27, 2023 Author Share Posted February 27, 2023 Bet 60.8: 15 points on both teams shown a card in Lazio v Sampdoria at 1/7 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 2, 2023 Author Share Posted March 2, 2023 Bets 61.9 and 62.10: 15 points each on Warrington to reach 14 points at 1/9 and Salford to trail at anytime at 1/8 with 365 Could possibly have combined them as a bet builder but usually end up limited on those so going double jeopardy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Bet 63.11: 15 points on Glasgow to have the highest scoring half v Zebre at 1/12 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 Bet 64.12: 15 points on 30+ booking points in Benfica v Famalicao at 1/8 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 3, 2023 Author Share Posted March 3, 2023 No cards until the 62nd minute then 3 by the 74th. An element of “phew” with that one! Bet 65.13: 15 points on a 1st half goal in Man City v Newcastle at evens with Hills alexcaruso808 and aldric 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 5, 2023 Author Share Posted March 5, 2023 Bet 66.14: 15 points on both teams shown a card in Roma v Juventus at 1/9 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 5, 2023 Author Share Posted March 5, 2023 First 2 cards arrive just after the half hour mark, with the required split of one each so ending the week without a loss. Will update tomorrow but think I’m still just shy of break even but in the best shape since day 2 of this thread. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 7-0 this week; a blemish free week for a change. 57 winners from 66 bets so far. 1.66 points down overall with an ROI of -0.17% 5-4 on the even money "Epic Odds" bets now so 10 points up on them. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Bet 67.15: 15 points on 30+ booking points in Sassuolo v Cremonese at 1/7 with Sky Bet Ref has only gone under this line once in his 31 Serie A appointments. Could well do so for a second time today but I like the bet at the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 6, 2023 Author Share Posted March 6, 2023 Bet 68.16: 15 points on 30+ booking points in Torino v Bologna at 1/8 with Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 Bet 69.17: 15 points on both teams shown a card in Chelsea v Dortmund at 1/7 with 365 Bet 70.18: 15 points on >1 card in Benfica v Brugge at 1/14 with 365 The first game has the better scenario for cards (more chance the other one could be over as a contest if Benfica exert their superiority) but the 2nd one has the better ref appointment. All in all I'm happy with the bets taken at the prices offered. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 7, 2023 Author Share Posted March 7, 2023 Bet 71.19: 15 points on Dortmund +4 v Chelsea at 1/25 with Lads I don't like Chelsea's chances of scoring 4 nor of keeping Dortmund out and I'm surprised by the prices on the handicap lines for this game. Enough to tempt me back into a market I'm less than fond of! aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 8, 2023 Author Share Posted March 8, 2023 Bet 72.20: 15 points on 30+ booking points in B Munich v PSG at 1/8 with Sky Bet Reasonable enough ref appointment, finely balanced tie, fairly intense rivalry. Prospects of at least 30 points seem better than those odds imply. Heisenberg68 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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