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** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

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MCLARKE

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1 hour ago, Budgie 65 said:

Nice one clarkey should have given it Ur grandkids

They get too much anyway.

For years I've given the kids £20 each if I made a profit each Saturday as an incentive for them to watch the racing with me. I think they watched it for a couple of weeks and then never bothered. They still expect £20 each week even though they are now in their 30s. It's cost me thousands over the years !

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  • 2 weeks later...
1 hour ago, MCLARKE said:

@kenisbusyfights back with a 40/1 shot to win the title.

I know some are sceptical with big prized winners but to get 8 with average odds over 40/1 is a very impressive performance.

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You put up a similar table for 2021. How do the above results - collectively and individually- compare ?

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Attached is the table based on 2 years performance. To make a profit over a 2 year period is a truely commendable feat.

Particulary well done to those who made a profit in both years.

It is a sobering thought that the top 3 in 2021 all made a loss in 2022.

Having said that if you had followed the top 16 from 2021 you would have made a profit of 86 points in 2022.

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I class my wins in it as real achievements it's very difficult to no how to approach it , some go 50/1 or big prices everyday if someone gets one of them when there's 80 people in  more often  than not they get one  it almost game over. I mainly look for class droppers who have won over CD who are now below there winning marks with a jockey on that's won on them before and trainer with a bit of form  this system threw up plenty of big priced winners in last year if I have the time . but trawling through the form can be very testing  the ATR site highlights CD winners who are below there winning marks to make easier for anyone who maybe of interest .

Thanks again Michael for your no doubt endless time 

Best of luck always gazza 

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48 minutes ago, Gary66 said:

I class my wins in it as real achievements it's very difficult to no how to approach it , some go 50/1 or big prices everyday if someone gets one of them when there's 80 people in  more often  than not they get one  it almost game over. I mainly look for class droppers who have won over CD who are now below there winning marks with a jockey on that's won on them before and trainer with a bit of form  this system threw up plenty of big priced winners in last year if I have the time . but trawling through the form can be very testing  the ATR site highlights CD winners who are below there winning marks to make easier for anyone who maybe of interest .

Thanks again Michael for your no doubt endless time 

Best of luck always gazza 

Looks a good system. What do you class as a trainer with a bit of form ?

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30 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

Looks a good system. What do you class as a trainer with a bit of form ?

Just a winner in the last week maybe 10 days the one you ignore  and don't put up Will be a big price but probably the start of of a stable in form. If no winner and the price was big and way below mark ie 6lb I would still have a go ew 

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Just now, Gary66 said:

Just a winner in the last week maybe 10 days the one you ignore  and don't put up Will be a big price but probably the start of of a stable in form. If no winner and the price was big and way below mark ie 6lb I would still have a go ew 

Horses for courses is massive in my betting plan 

Love to no others strategies 

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3 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

Indeed. Although it doesn't show you and I in a good light !

 

Was smiling thinking that this year i am minus about 40 points for my disqualifications but even those added its still crap. must do better, i think i will take it a bit more serious this year tonight eg 3 winners 1 loser my nap was the loser. ??

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51 minutes ago, Gary66 said:

Horses for courses is massive in my betting plan 

Love to no others strategies 

My 5 key categories for the jumps are  :-

1. Career runs - I prefer relatively unexposed / unknown horses. These tend to be younger than 7

2. Weight - I avoid horses carrying more than 10st 12lbs

3. Fitness - I prefer horses that have had a decent rest, preferably more than 3 weeks

4. I ignore horses ridden by inexperienced jockeys, i.e. those with more than a 3lb claim

5. Distance winners - I prefer horses that have not won over the distance

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Looking at both years :

Overall the performance improved from 2021 to 2022 with a lower total loss, win rate improving from 16.76% to 18%, and rate of loss improving from loss on turnover of 4.52% to 3.67%. This improvement may be down to smaller field sizes in 2022 as a consequence of the long period of dry weather. 

Of the 182 listed punters 134 were active in both years. Of these 15 showed a profit in both years with 5 registering a profit of £30 or more in both years, and 4 returning a profit on turnover of 15% or more in both years.

Although Silver Fox finished 3rd I think the rate of winners and consistency of returns achieved are the most impressive.

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On 1/6/2023 at 12:46 PM, Alastair said:

Looking at both years :

Overall the performance improved from 2021 to 2022 with a lower total loss, win rate improving from 16.76% to 18%, and rate of loss improving from loss on turnover of 4.52% to 3.67%. This improvement may be down to smaller field sizes in 2022 as a consequence of the long period of dry weather. 

Of the 182 listed punters 134 were active in both years. Of these 15 showed a profit in both years with 5 registering a profit of £30 or more in both years, and 4 returning a profit on turnover of 15% or more in both years.

Although Silver Fox finished 3rd I think the rate of winners and consistency of returns achieved are the most impressive.

I've done a more detailed analysis of the 2021 results with a view as to the performance the following year.

If you apply 2 simple filters, strike rate greater than 9% and more than 159 selections you end up with the following results for 2022

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Applying the same logic to the 2022 data the following players could be worth following

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We shall see, no pressure !

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Looks like I have no choice in the matter...Quite fancied having one of those mugs ;0(

 

I just been told by Paypal I, because I am not Thai, can no longer use my account in Thailand. Apprently more than a few countries have the same problem with them.

They reimbursed me for a product that never arrived but not in full..it left 2 quid in the account which I can't buy anything with LOL and I can't log on to get it out..No big deal.

I find Skrill and Neteller money wallets much easier to use and with hassle zero.

 

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  • 4 weeks later...

I don't care about the money MC but not everyome has or can have a paypal account.

Takes 2 minutes to open  a skrill or neteller account with a credit or debit card. Then all you do is transfer using the  persons email and the amount is transferred immediatlly less a small fee.

Just saying:0)

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