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Racing Chat-Thursday 1st December.


kensland

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In the 12.07 Gerard Mentor won a better race than this in good style last time out, has another penalty to contend with here but that extra 7lb might not be enogh to stop him as he won that Class 4 race very easily indeed, winning by 18 lengths as he pleased, 4.3 on the exchanges, as we all know though, weight stops trains so I'll be having a saver on the Venetia Williams trained Natty Night, the stable is in great nick and a stable to follow in the coming weeks for sure, Natty Night was 3rd on seasonal debut and not given a hard time of it, the second and 8th came out to win next time out. Currently around the 4.4 mark.............wow....money spoke in that race, the winner well backed (halved in price)

 

Dollar Bae looks thrown in for the Mares race in the 2.17 at Leicester. Second last time out to Poetic Music at levels, that one went on to be placed in a Listed Race and is rated 120 so Dollar Brae getting in here for her Handicap debut off 101, Jonjo's had 4 winners from his last 16 so is in fair form. Dollar Bae is currently around the 2.86 mark on betfair and is drifitng a little which is surprising. I'll have a saver on the Donald McCain trained Somewhat Clouday at 8.2.............Dollar Bae did looked thrown in and won nicely, nice to get the early price of 2.86

 

In the last at Thurles at 3.35, Champagne Auction looks too big, current around the 9.8 mark on the exchanges and a small amount at 2.4 exchanged in the 4 tbp market, early days of course. Last time out he was a first time stable switcher and came home at 40/1 having been pulled up in his previous two races. This race is similar in strength to the one he won but he is coming back in trip hence the price. The second and third in that race have both come out and won giving the form a solid look to it and his 7lb rise in the weights looks fair to me. Win and place bet (4tbp)....11 and 3.0 tbp taken........................hit 1.01 in the place market but was headed on the line to finish 5th.

 

Good luck whatever you back/lay today.

 

An edit here, this is what Middleham Racing are saying about Parkhill Dancer in the 1.10 Market Rasen, housed in the Hendserson stable. Currently 2.46 on betfair.

Racing Update: Possibly the most exciting young National Hunt horse we have on our books. Unbeaten in his two races so far, this half-brother to the Grade 2 winning hurdler, Song For Someone, spreadeagled his opposition in his latest bumper at Exeter, sauntering to a 17 lengths, head in chest victory in a very good time. Awarded both Racing Post and Timeform ratings that day, commensurate with those of a high-class recruit. Undergoing the schooling process at Nicky’s Seven Barrows Stables, he’s pretty much ready to debut, and who knows where he will take us….? Goes about his business in a no-nonsense fashion at home. Grand National winning, former jockey, Marcus Armitage often rides him at home and they get on well. His race entries/declarations will show on this page: He is entered at Market Rasen on Thursday.
Edited by jonjo
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12.25 Win Happy News 1 pt win at 6.2 @The Brigadier's selection at a price of 5/2.  Drifted out to 9/2 but looks worth a punt

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1.25 Win Midnight Glance 5/2

2.25 Win Born At Midnight 5/2

8.30 Chelm Michaelos Boy 9/4

1 x 1 pt win Trixie = 4 pt poss return of 74.80

Singles and savers

1.25 Win Putdecashonthedash 0.50 ew at 13/2 La Cavsa Nostra 0.50 ew at 11/1

2.25   Win No Hubs No Hoobs 1 pt win at 5.39

8 pts staked today

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Trying to be a bit more cautious this month.  Midnight Glance lost but Born at Midnight won

Will do a couple of savers in the 8.30 at Chelms.  Grace Angel 2 pts win at 4.3 and Diomed Spirit 1 pt win at 6.2.  Will B/E if the favourite wins and mitigate the loss if either of the other two win. 

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I think Grace Angel would have got a lot closer had it not missed the break at the start of the race.  However, the double with Michaelos Boy, thanks to @Alastairwas the best outcome for me.  Pity that Midnight Glance didn't win.  Broke even on the day making 0.38 profit = MTD, YTD -263.06

Some class racing at Sandown tomorrow but a lot of short priced favourites.  A class 2 and class 3 at Newcastle looks interesting

Edited by The Equaliser
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