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Racing Chat - Thursday 24th November


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1 hour ago, Villa Chris said:

2.50 Taunton , Irish Hill 5/2 

5 points win 

I think the main danger could come from Quoi De Neuf and was tempted to have him as the bet . I’ll have 1 point reverse forecast with the selection 

Wish I'd got time to rate this but on way to work .....not sure what's going on at Taunton...advertising ...good watered ...but going stick is 5.8 to 6.0 which is soft .....I think some courses are misreporting goings to stop trainers pulling horses out cos I'm seeing it a lot lately .....

In this race the horse I was interested in was notri pari....he's soft ground horse and has been crap over fences but is a,way better hurdler and is coming back to hurdles now on a good mark .....won't back him blind so I'll watch this one with interest 

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Thurles

Teaching grannies to suck eggs as the saying goes.

But Thurles 1230

Sees 

Churchtown Warrior likely to land this.

Win evens ( boost)

Good placed efforts in a multiple number of races behind the devilscoachman, Gerri columbe who is unbeaten to name just two.

The other interesting runner here is  Irascible ridden by Racheal Blackmore and I take this runner to place at least . (Three places.)

There is also a Charles Byrnes runner in here that has been very well backed 40s down to mid teens. You never know what goes on in that yard and they have landed some huge touches in the past and this autumn. 

Edited by sporting sam
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12.48 Kel Coniston Clouds 6/1

1.20 Kel Rockman 11/4

1 x 3 pt win double = poss return 78.75

Singles and savers

12.48 Kel Chapel Green 0.50 win at 6/1

Doing some longer-priced selections.  Hopefully back soon with some

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Had visitors so unable to post.  All square on above bets as @Trotter's nap Chapel Green wins  .

The 2.50 at Taunton looks tricky and taking 6/4 about Irish Hill in a handicap looks suicidal.  I am having 0.25 ew on Pasvolsky at 10/1 @Donnyflyerand 0.25 ew on Quoi De Neuf at 22/1 @Villa Chris' forecast bet

3.20 Taun Milady Grace 1 pt ew at 9/1

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Just one winner today.  Very strange that the horse was 9/4 last night and drifted out to beyond 8/1.  It almost fluffed the second to last fence but got going again. The favourite fell early doors so that may have helped its cause.  A profit on the day of 8.8 which leaves my MTD -36.77 and YTD -248.51

Some interesting races tomorrow with Doncaster and Newbury in full swing.  Fingers crossed I will find something of value to back

Edited by The Equaliser
Results Update
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Thurles 1pm

Arthur's Baby

Each way

Unseated rider last time when held.

Lots to like about this runner.

Chameron

Win

Off for many a day but last three runs include a win off 130 and appearance at Cheltenham.

Ex Paul Nicholls.

 

 - ARCTIC AMBITION

Win

Second run for Gordon Elliott.

Given plenty to do over further last time. This is his trip. Talented runner for Robert Tyner.

Edited by sporting sam
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Thurles 1.35

Gordon Elliott is on a hat-trick so probably not the best time to oppose him.

But his two runners include the favourite a course and distance winner.

First bet the winning distance

Over 6 lengths 13/8 any runner.

Harry Des ongrais

Win without the favourite @ 3.5.

So if the favourite romps home you are covered so long as Racheal Blackmore follows at a respectable distance.

 

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Taunton

2.20

Hopefully

Huelgoat

Win

For Paul Nicholls can complete the five timer in a much deeper race than contested recently.

Has to give lumps of weight away here so this is a first real test, but has done it well up to now.

Holds a couple of these on comparable form through coal stock who has beaten at least one of these.

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8 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

2.50 Taunton , Irish Hill 5/2 

5 points win 

I think the main danger could come from Quoi De Neuf and was tempted to have him as the bet . I’ll have 1 point reverse forecast with the selection 

Won well 

10p rule 4 applied 5.25 profit on day 

P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 + 73.92

Edited by Villa Chris
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2 hours ago, sporting sam said:

Taunton

2.20

Hopefully

Huelgoat

Win

For Paul Nicholls can complete the five timer in a much deeper race than contested recently.

Has to give lumps of weight away here so this is a first real test, but has done it well up to now.

Holds a couple of these on comparable form through coal stock who has beaten at least one of these.

Unlucky , would have been the Owners Group's 200th win if he'd had obliged .

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