alexcaruso808 Posted November 14, 2022 Share Posted November 14, 2022 Getting in early: Course Time Selection Odds / Bet Type Result Lingfield 13:00 My Silver Lining 3.75 / win 14:30 Waikiki Waves 8.75 / EW (4 places) Fakenham 13:22 Sabbathical 3.50 / win 14:22 Princess T 4.50 / win Good luck ? MCLARKE, azzybear, Wildgarden and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted November 14, 2022 Share Posted November 14, 2022 5yo selections The 4 biggest odds I have included in a lucky 15 Fakenham 1.22 Master Malcolm 13/2 Hereford 1.45 Lyrical Genius 10/1 Lingfield 2.00 Heros 12/1 Fakenham 2.52 Voice Of Hope 25/1 Fakenham 3.22 Grangeclare North 9/1 Newcastle 3.42 King Of The South 9/4 The Equaliser, azzybear, alexcaruso808 and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted November 14, 2022 Share Posted November 14, 2022 Hereford Double. 3.50. Galaxy Moon. 3/1 1.45. Foillan. . 7/1. singles & double. Good luck all. azzybear, The Equaliser, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Gunnerside 6 15 New/ 33/1 {£ 25 ew } 1/20th of a pt staked alexcaruso808, The Equaliser, azzybear and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Lingfield 2.00 Kannapolis 2.50 points ew 16/1 4 places black rabbit, The Equaliser, alexcaruso808 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 13 hours ago, MCLARKE said: 5yo selections The 4 biggest odds I have included in a lucky 15 Fakenham 1.22 Master Malcolm 13/2 Hereford 1.45 Lyrical Genius 10/1 Lingfield 2.00 Heros 12/1 Fakenham 2.52 Voice Of Hope 25/1 Fakenham 3.22 Grangeclare North 9/1 Newcastle 3.42 King Of The South 9/4 Old heros must have dig daddy riding it now out to 40/1 ? good thing Williams horses like the rain ? The Equaliser, alexcaruso808, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 13 hours ago, MCLARKE said: 5yo selections The 4 biggest odds I have included in a lucky 15 Fakenham 1.22 Master Malcolm 13/2 Hereford 1.45 Lyrical Genius 10/1 Lingfield 2.00 Heros 12/1 Fakenham 2.52 Voice Of Hope 25/1 Fakenham 3.22 Grangeclare North 9/1 Newcastle 3.42 King Of The South 9/4 Are these 'sole 5yo' in a race ? Does it make a difference, turf flat, turf NH, All weather ? alexcaruso808 and azzybear 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Bang on said: Are these 'sole 5yo' in a race ? Does it make a difference, turf flat, turf NH, All weather ? Administrators 5.7 k Posted November 4 Posted by Michael @MCLARKE Still fine tuning my systems for the winter jumps season but one factor that stands out is the success of 5 year olds in November and December. The AE for them is 1.05. I have read somewhere that horses reach their peak at 4.5 years, which is equivalent to 5 for UK horses (as they all have the same birthday, 1st January). It would seem logical then to back them in races where they are the only 5 year old. Tomorrows selections. Fontwell 1.40 Sayadam 11/4 Down Royal 2.05 David Garrick 80/1 Fontwell 2.15 Family Business 16/1 Hexham 2.35 Twoshotsoftequila 8/1 Down Royal 2.40 Alice Avril 11/2 Down Royal 3.50 Carnfunnock 9/4 azzybear, Bang on and alexcaruso808 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Just now, The Equaliser said: Administrators 5.7 k Posted November 4 Posted by Michael @MCLARKE Still fine tuning my systems for the winter jumps season but one factor that stands out is the success of 5 year olds in November and December. The AE for them is 1.05. I have read somewhere that horses reach their peak at 4.5 years, which is equivalent to 5 for UK horses (as they all have the same birthday, 1st January). It would seem logical then to back them in races where they are the only 5 year old. Tomorrows selections. Fontwell 1.40 Sayadam 11/4 Down Royal 2.05 David Garrick 80/1 Fontwell 2.15 Family Business 16/1 Hexham 2.35 Twoshotsoftequila 8/1 Down Royal 2.40 Alice Avril 11/2 Down Royal 3.50 Carnfunnock 9/4 I didn't think that this would include the flat races so a bit curious about the 3.42 at Newcastle alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) 2 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: Old heros must have dig daddy riding it now out to 40/1 ? good thing Williams horses like the rain ? Big Daddy has decided to ride mine now. Yours into 14s Edited November 15, 2022 by Villa Chris LEE-GRAYS and alexcaruso808 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 my silver lining 1.00 fountains chief 1.15 sabbathical 1.22 broomfield hall 1.37 silver trix 1.52 the street 1.45 The Equaliser, alexcaruso808 and jonjo 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 braganza bay 2.15 The Equaliser, alexcaruso808 and calva decoy 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 1.00 Lin White Heart Lady 1 pt win at 5.8 and Lost Connection 0.50 ew at 7/1 @trainmad091. I know that My Silver Lining is the favourite and supported by @alexcaruso808and @Johnrobertsonbut I don't fancy it and won't take 5/2 in a handicap anyway alexcaruso808, Bang on, calva decoy and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) 200 lin thirtyfourstitches 1845 new Emily post mbo 1845 new jack Daniel b365 1945 new Rory b365 Good luck all. Edited November 15, 2022 by fd1972uk alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 29 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: 1.00 Lin White Heart Lady 1 pt win at 5.8 and Lost Connection 0.50 ew at 7/1 @trainmad091. I know that My Silver Lining is the favourite and supported by @alexcaruso808and @Johnrobertsonbut I don't fancy it and won't take 5/2 in a handicap anyway Good selection on White Heart Lady and Lost Connection. Sadly My Silver Lining was pulled up, so you made the right choice in not backing it. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: I didn't think that this would include the flat races so a bit curious about the 3.42 at Newcastle I did some further analysis and this showed that AW flat horses are more profitable to follow than jump horses in November / December. In fact overall 5 year olds did better on the flat than the jumps and they made a profit backing them blindly. alexcaruso808 and The Equaliser 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) Lol, one of two horses in Lingfield and go for the one that pulls up after a few fences, other coasts it. Knew I shoulda done something from childhood past, lol. Edited November 15, 2022 by fd1972uk alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) Awful race to watch at Lingfield 2.00. Mines refuses to race anymore after the third hurdle and 5 others pull up way before the finish . P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 -51.83 Edited November 15, 2022 by Villa Chris fd1972uk and alexcaruso808 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) 3.00 Lin French Du Large 4/1 3.15 Her Princess Midnight 5/1 (drifting) @Ferki 3.30 Lin San Pedro 3/1 1 x 1 pt win Trixie = 4 pts Poss return 194.00 Singles and savers 3.00 Lin Tallow For Coal 1 pt win at 4.8 @The Brigadier. I can get 4/1 for the Nichols horse; I wonder why? 3.15 Her Jobsgreen Lad 1 pt win at 5.11 3.30 Lin Last Quarter 0.50 ew at 14/1 Rule 4 = 8.44 poss return 7 points +2 earlier = 9 pts staked today It looks as though PL members expect some outsiders to win at Newcastle later so I may have a little look later --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6.45 NC Eldelbar 0.50 ew at 50/1 @Craig bluenose Looks to be the best of the outsiders posted up so I'll take a chance with this one ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Last one withdrawn. Four winners today but unfortunately none in my Trixie. Funny enough had I put my singles and savers in a Trixie I would have been paid out in full. That's racing for you. Anyway a profit of 14.88 on the day. My MTD is -30.12 & YTD is -241.86 Four meetings later, 2 flat 2 over the jumps so there should be a bet or two Edited November 16, 2022 by The Equaliser RESULTS UPDATE azzybear, alexcaruso808 and Wildgarden 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 19 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said: Getting in early: Course Time Selection Odds / Bet Type Result Lingfield 13:00 My Silver Lining 3.75 / win 14:30 Waikiki Waves 8.75 / EW (4 places) Fakenham 13:22 Sabbathical 3.50 / win 14:22 Princess T 4.50 / win Good luck ? Results: Course Time Selection Odds / Bet Type Result Lingfield 13:00 My Silver Lining 3.75 / win PU 14:30 Waikiki Waves 8.75 / EW (4 places) 2nd Fakenham 13:22 Sabbathical 3.50 / win 1st ? 14:22 Princess T 4.50 / win 5th Not too bad. I shouldn't have chosen the EW extra for Waikiki Waves, should have just went with 2 places. Oh well, at least I got something back and had a winner - which is what makes it fun. Villa Chris, LEE-GRAYS, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 29 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Awful race to watch at Lingfield 2.00. Mines refuses to race anymore after the third hurdle and 5 others pull up way before the finish . P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 -51.83 do you think it's the weather and the soft ground? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 23 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: do you think it's the weather and the soft ground? Pretty certain it was the case for all those pulled up . Mine just didn’t seem to want to race anyway so probably more to it, but ground would have been a problem as well. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannotbebeat Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Newcastle 5.15 - Absolute Queen 7/4 6.15 - Pockley 4/1 Singles & double Good luck all CNBB. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Emily post winning negated my annoyance at optimus earlier, it even went out to 11/1 so all good. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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