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La Liga Predictions > Oct 14th - 17th


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Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe CF

2022-10-14T21:00+02:00

 

Rayo Vallecano

Doubtful: Álvaro García (7/0 m)

Out (injuries/other): Andrés Martín (0/0 f), Raúl de Tomás (0/0 f)

Suspended:

 

Getafe CF

Doubtful: Arambarri (6/0 m), Maksimović (6/0 m)

Out (injuries/other):

Suspended:

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Over/Under Goals
Rayo Vallecano
3 home games
Getafe CF
3 away games
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
0% Under 1.5 goals 0%
33% Under 2.5 goals 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals at half-time 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals at half-time 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals at half-time 33%
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Girona o2 @1.88
Min price to bet: o2 @1.81 or o2.25 @2.15
Model +value: yes
Significant team news:
Note: Girona 'overs' delivered again last week, their 4th straight game that has gone over 2.5 line with both teams scoring; and we gotta try goals again here, as price seems a bit high (yet again). This time they play against one of the most defensive sides in the league, offensively challenged Cadiz, but we can't go below est TG 2.40; especially if we consider that we have a home fav of around 50% hw est. No clean sheets for Girona yet, they won't change their style under Michel, and should easily dominate possession tomorrow, be able to create chances as well; but they'll be vulnerable to counter-attacks, and Cadiz should fancy their chances to score. The visitors have failed to score in first 5 La Liga games, but they've scored in 2 of their last 3, including 2 in 2-2 draw v Espanyol last week, so things are slowly improving on the offensive front! Ok weather conditions, both teams should treat this as a winnable game.

Sevilla dnb @1.90
Min price to bet: dnb @1.86 or -1/4 @2.30
Model +value: no, negative
Significant team news: Mallorca are without their key cf Muriqi (suspended)
Note: Two games and two 1-1 draws for coach Sampaoli, and while Sevilla were quite poor in last 20 mins v Bilbao last week, and could've lost the game, it was an improved performance in CL in Dortmund. So, perhaps a better future for them after a dreadful start to this season under coach Lopetegui, we know they have enough talents and are not as bad as La Liga standings suggest. Still, we wouldn't have touched them at this price, if it weren't for a piece of a VERY negative team-news for the hosts, which is that their key cf Muriqi is out suspended. His importance to this Mallorca team can not be overstated, he became an important figure almost immediately after arrival (signed in winter transfer from Lazio last jan), he played an absolutely vital role in their fight against relegation last season, and his importance has grown over time. A true key player, so much of what they do offensively goes through him; he is a typical target man upfront, with distinctive physical presence; and they have noone near his quality as a replacement, plus both of their cf options for tomorrow are just different type of players, so the team's style when in possession will need to be changed as well. This is a good opportunity for Sampaoli to get his first win, we est Sevilla 39.5-40% and like this dnb offer.

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Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao prepares for this match following a 1-1 La Liga drawn game vs Sevilla. It broke their three-match winning run, but the hosts remained 3rd in the standings. Fixtures featuring Athletic Bilbao have usually been lively ones lately, with a lot of goalmouth action expected. Over their past six clashes, the sum of 21 goals has been scored for both teams combined (at an average of 3.5 goals per game), with 16 of these credited to Athletic Bilbao. The home fans hope their team can pick up where it left off and secure the Champions League ticket at the end of the season. Yuri Berchiche (Heel pain) and Dani Vivian (Ankle Injury) will be missing for Athletic Bilbao boss Ernesto Valverde.

Atlético Madrid will go into the meeting after a 2-1 La Liga win with the defeat of Girona FC in their most recent match. It was their second straight win that launched them to 4th spot. Looking at their form, Atlético Madrid has been scored against in 5 of their last six games, conceding eight goals in all. Defensively, Atlético Madrid has been far from perfect. Los Colchoneros have been winless against Athletic Bilbao in away games against them for the last four league games. They really have not been traveling well at all, but they hope for a better result this time. Thanks to a completely injury-free squad to choose from, Atlético Madrid manager Diego Simeone has zero fitness concerns at all before this game.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It is going to be a very interesting match in which both teams have equal chances of winning. Bilbao hasn't lost to Atletico Madrid four times in a row as host, and we think they will remain undefeated again.

Goals Market Prediction

Athletic Bilbao has been pretty efficient lately, while the visitors' defense leaked too many goals in the past few matches. Therefore, we don't think either side will keep a clean sheet on Saturday evening.

Athletic Bilbao AH +0 @ 1.75

BTTS Yes @ 1.90

Correct score 2:1 @ 9.50

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Sociedad dnb @2.13
Min price to bet: dnb @2.04
Model +value: yes
Significant team news: - (still quite a few absentees for the visitors, but pretty much the same squad as in last couple of months; only rb Sola recently inj)
Note: Sociedad are in superb form, they have won their last 6 in all competitions, and they're 8-1-1 in last 10. They were simply superb v Villarreal last week, we have lost on both away dnb and o2.25 there, and it was a thoroughly deserved loss on the hcap, as Sociedad were the much better side right from the kick off, they were more ambitious, very active, and didn't stop playing after taking 1-0 lead in 33rd minute. If anything was off with their game, it was efficiency - they def should've scored some more goals, as they wasted massive 5 big chances. This is an early 14h cet kick off, which would be a worry with Sociedad playing UEL game a few days ago, but it was a very easy game against Sheriff (3-0 home win), in which they had a man advantage for 60 mins and rotated quite a bit, plus could've afforded to sub out a few starters at the beginning of 2nd half. Celta are blowing hot & cold, which is a standard for this side in last few years, they have lost 3 of last 4, and the only win was undeserved 1-0 against Betis at home, in a game in which their gk Marchesin was man of the match, despite the fact that Betis were reduced to 10 after just 20 minutes. Sociedad have won on their last 3 La Liga visits here, and we make them small 37% favs to make it 4 in a row.

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid heads into this match after a 1-1 Champions League drawn result versus Shakhtar Donetsk. Los Blancos have also been successful in La Liga, having just one hiccup in the first eight matches. Real Madrid has been on a persistent run of goalscoring form, hitting the target in one hundred percent of their last six games. They’ve totted up the amount of 9 during that time while also conceding a total of 4. Ahead of this clash, Real Madrid is unbeaten in their previous seven league matches at home. The home fans hope their team can extend that streak and beat their arch-rivals on Sunday afternoon.

Barcelona will go into the game following a 3-3 tie against Inter in their last Champions League fixture. That failure kept them away from the top two spots, and Barca will have a tough task of securing the playoffs ticket. A tendency of at least one team not managing to score in games involving Barcelona has been apparent of late. Checking on their last seven games shows that it has occurred six times. In these clashes, their opponents have hit a goal tally of 6 while Barcelona has scored 12. Coming into this meeting, Barcelona is unbeaten in their last 19 away league matches. Not many clubs can boast an away record as good as that. However, they need to be more confident to return home with a positive result from Madrid.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It is going to be an exciting match, and both teams have realistic chances of winning. However, Real Madrid has been a bit more convincing lately, and we believe they can secure an important victory against fierce rivals.

Goals Market Prediction

Both sides have significant attacking potential, and we expect another entertaining clash. Therefore, we see each team scoring at least once in this encounter. 

Real Madrid to Win @ 2.35

BTTS Yes @ 1.50

Correct score 3:2 @ 21.00

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Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona

Real Madrid will have had an extra day to rest before this match, while Barcelona were involved in a match with Inter throughout the week that required a lot of energy. However, Xavi's team is tough to predict in the league right now. A close game might conclude with the points being split.


Under 3.5 Goals

FT Score: 1-1

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