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Ligue 1 Predictions > Oct 7th - 9th


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Lyon vs Toulouse FC

2022-10-07T22:00+02:00

 

Lyon

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Pollersbeck (0/0 g), Faivre (5/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Toulouse FC

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Healey (3/1 f)

Suspended: Desler (9/0 d)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics
Lyon scored at least two goals in 80% of home games.
78% chance that Lyon will win this game.
78% chance that Lyon will win and over 1.5 goals will be scored.
55% chance that Lyon will win and both teams will score.
90% chance that there will be more than 1 goal in this game.
78% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game.
88% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half.
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Lyon vs Toulouse

Lyon will be hoping to bounce back here after a 1-0 Ligue 1 defeat in their last game at the hands of RC Lens. That was L’OL’s fourth straight defeat that saw them decline to 7th place. Although they didn’t lose in the first five rounds, Lyon has entered a very poor streak. It has been seldom in recent times where Lyon has shown defensive steel. The reality is that Lyon has failed to prevent opponents from scoring in 5 of their previous six clashes, leaking eight goals along the way. Coming into this contest, Lyon is unbeaten in the league by Toulouse in their last 11 matches. It is a long run without a loss, but they need to do much better to keep it running.

Toulouse will go into this match following on from a 4-2 Ligue 1 win to beat Montpellier in their previous game. The newly promoted team has been in solid form lately, winning twice on the previous three occasions. The stats tell the story, and Toulouse has been scored against in 5 of their last six matches, seeing opposing sides hit 12 goals overall. At the back, Toulouse has seen their frailties exposed. Coming into this meeting, Toulouse has not won away from home in their last three matches in the league. However, they will try to exploit the rival’s weaknesses in this encounter. Out of a mainly full-strength squad, there’s just the lone fitness issue for the Toulouse boss Philippe Montanier to be concerned with. Rhys Healey (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) misses out for this game.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Although the hosts haven’t been playing well lately, they haven’t lost to Toulouse at home for more than three decades. Therefore, we think Lyon will return to the winning track and pick up valuable three points.

Goals Market Prediction

Neither team has shown defensive steel lately, and the crowd should see an entertaining clash. We don’t believe either side will keep its net intact on Friday evening.

Lyon to Win @ 1.53

BTTS Yes @ 1.65

Correct score 3:1 @ 11.00

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Monaco -1/2 @2.01
Min price to bet: -1/2 @1.93 or -3/4 @2.20
Model +value: yes
Significant team news: first choice gk Omlin back in the squad for Montpellier
Note: Monaco had UEL game on Thu, but it wasn't a demanding one, as they beat Trabzon 3-1 at home, after playing with man advantage since 10th minute. 3-0 up early in the 2nd half, so they could've afforded to substitute Ben Yedder, Embolo, Vanderson and Camara with 30 mins left, and we can expect close to best 11 for them in this game in Montpellier. The hosts have lost at Toulouse last week, in another shambolic defensive performance, massive 21 goals scored, but also massive 19 conceded in 9 games for Montpellier, that is 4.4 goals on avg in their games, 8 of 9 have gone over 2.5 line, and each of their last 4 home games v Monaco (in last 4 seasons) has seen both teams scoring, with at least 4 goals in total - there should be goals in this one as well, we would love to get on overs, but current price is just not good enough, hopefully some pro money on unders until tomorrow that could help us get on goals! As already mentioned, Montpellier are simply the least balanced Ligue 1 side, with some high quality upfront and creativity in midfield, and absolutely terrible defence, both individually and in terms of teamwork and communication. Monaco are in a very good form, they have won 4 straight league games and 6 of last 7 in all competitions; they have scored 3+ in each of last 3 and it's not hard to envisage similar feat against this poor Montpellier defence, even though their first choice gk Omlin should be back in 11.

Strasbourg dnb @1.96
Min price to bet: dnb @1.90 or -1/4 @2.30
Model +value: yes
Significant team news: cb Nyamsi suspended and cf Ajorque still out for Strasbourg; cf Diony inj for Angers, cb Sabanovic also still likely out
Note: Strasbourg are still win-less after 9 rounds (0-5-4), we've already mentioned that they've shown signs of improvements about a month ago, in 1-1 draw v Brest (which they played with 10 men for 3/4 of the match), but then they failed to beat Clermont at home (0-0 draw with oppo gk Diaw making a few spectacular saves) and their inj/susp situation got ridiculously bad, so losses at Montpellier (2-1, they conceded the 2nd goal in 95th min) and Rennes (1-3 at home, they were again down to 10 early in the first half) followed. Coach Julien Stephan is of course under pressure, but it would be a shame if he got sacked and hopefully Strasbourg can get over this crisis soon. This is essentially the same team that impressed last season, their injury/susp situation is much better now than in last couple of games, their key am Thomasson is also finally back in the squad, and we make them 40% to beat Angers tomorrow. The hosts have 3 points more and their lw Boufal is in superb form, but they are inferior to the visitors in terms of quality and they have conceded a league-high 21 goals so far. Strasbourg have won here on their last 2 visits and could make it 3 in a row if they stay disciplined, of course, as another bloody red card should really be avoided.

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