Racing Chat - Saturday 1st October

[The Brigadier]

The ground is crucial at the three televised UK Cards on Saturday with a big band of rain moving across the country mid afternoon Friday into the evening and I’m taking a chance that the ground will be on the easy side at all three meetings. If the forecast is right we may be able to seek out some value on the soft ground performers now. Let’s hope the rain arrives in bucket loads or it’s going to be an expensive afternoon !

 

Newmarket 1.31

Newmarket’s card kicks off with a 10F class 2 handicap for fillies where we have many lightly raced types. My two against the field are George Boughey’s I’ll Be There and Sir Michael Stoute’s Crystal Estella with the latter making her handicap debut today. Both won last time out in soft ground so they’ll be no issues with not handling the ground here. A couple whom have yet to encounter easy ground are favourite Al Husn and Persist. I’ll split my two fancies and back both win only with the Stoute runner Crystal Estella the favoured of the duo with her latest winning jockey William Buick stating after he had won on her at Goodwood back in May that she ‘likes the ground which was key’. She has an absence to overcome but can be competitive with Richard Kingscote now in the plate. Boughey’s I’ll Be There will be ridden by Buick himself having won on her on her stable debut at Sandown 17 days ago on soft ground. She’s been raised 6lb for that success.

 

CRYSTAL ESTELLA 1 point win @ 7/1 Paddy Power

I’LL BE THERE 1 point win @ 7/1 bet365

 

Ascot 1.51

A dozen speedsters go to post for the listed 5F Rous Stakes and with Friday’s rain hopefully getting into the Berkshire turf I’m looking for mudlarks there this afternoon. Last year’s winner Tis Marvellous has claims though did run a bit flat when easy to back at Newbury last time out. John Ryan’s Manaccan has been pulled out twice in his career due to softening ground conditions so is over looked. Julie Camacho has her team in fine shape and her Ainsdale is one that will appreciate any easing of the ground. Andrew Balding’s Kings Lynn is another who won’t mind the conditions but a 7lb penalty may put paid to his chances. I’m going to take a chance on Ed Walker’s Came From The Dark who must have softish ground and was thought of by his shrewd handler at the start of the season as a possible group one horse. Things havn’t worked out for the grey though with two lack lustre efforts in the spring on fast ground and reappears here having had a wind surgery and with his trainer stating in this week’s Weekender that his recent work has been excellent and the operation has been a success. On the figures he only has 4lb to find with the top weighted here Acklam Express and at double figure odds is worth chancing with Danny Tudhope in the saddle for the first time.

 

CAME FROM THE DARK 1 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 1234

 

Newmarket 2.06

A bumper field of 29 go to post for this 6F Tattersalls October Auction Stakes with many here easy to strike a line through. Current favourite is the Ed Walker trained Amichi who won a similar contest on the July course five weeks ago on only his third start. Form that has stood up with the third Eddies Boy winning a Group 3 at Chantilly since. He should go well but is hardly value at around the 3/1 mark for a horse that is officially (at these weights) rated a stone inferior to his stable mate Union Court. She’s the highest rated here but hasn’t won since bagging a brace of victories in May and June. Rod Millman has done well in these type of sales races in the past and saddles a couple with chances in the Neil Callan ridden Safari Dream and Trevor Whelan ridden Woolhampton. The former is the most interesting of the duo to me having won two nurseries this season at the minimum trip and steps up to 6F today. He’s progressive and in a race I don’t really have too strong an opinion on is worth a small each way bet with additional places.

 

SAFARI DREAM 1/2 point each way @ 10/1 1/5th 12345

 

Ascot 2.25

The Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes is up next with just nine runners. William Haggas saddles his smart Hamish who looked likely to topple the smart Kyprios in the Irish St Leger last time until that game one battled on well. It was still a hell of an effort and he’ll be hard to beat today on easy ground that suits. Aidan O’Brien’s High Definition is actually the highest rated in the race but he’s become rather disappointing despite keeping good company all season. He’s not won since taking the Beresford Stakes at The Curragh a couple of years ago, some eleven runs ago and he’ll hopefully make the market for Hamish who is a confident selection despite his 3lb penalty.

 

HAMISH 3 points win @ 13/8 BetVictor

 

Newmarket 2.42

The feature race of the day is the Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes run over a mile for fillies and mares and has attracted a field of nine this year. The race revolves around Jane Chapple-Hyam’s flag bearer Saffron Beach who won this event last year by three lengths. She’s gone from strength to strength this season winning at Ascot (Group 2) and Deauville (Group 1) before a slightly below par second to Pearls Galore at Leopardstown in the Group one Matron Stakes three weeks ago. She had Dermot Weld’s three year old Homeless Songs 2 1/2L behind that day and on two pound better terms can confirm the form even though Homeless Songs now sports a first time tongue tie. She’s probably better than that run but at around 11/4 I’m not going to pay to find out. The unexposed one is the John and Thady Gosden trained Laurel who takes a massive step up in class following wins at Newmarket on the July course from perpetual loser Mashaaer and a comfortable win on the all weather at Kempton. She looks highly promising but has yet to encounter give in the ground and on official ratings has 22lb to find with Saffron Beach who has to be the selection.

 

SAFFRON BEACH 3 points win @ 13/8 William Hill

 

Ascot 3.00

Fourteen go to post for the Group 3 Bengough Stakes run over 6F of the Berkshire track. Best in at the weights and the one I like is David Evans’ Rohann who is three from four at the track and has won on all types of ground so the weather can do what it likes! His latest 3rd in the Group 1 Betfred Sprint Cup at Haydock is a good piece of form (Flaming Rib 3/4L further back)and this drop in class looks ideal for this Andrea Atzeni ridden four year old. He may have most to fear from the smart handicappers Comanche Falls and Summerghand who were separated by just a length in the Ayr Gold Cup last time out with the former 7lb better off for the length beating and should turn the tables on his rival today. Easing of the ground would be against the super mare Gale Force Mayo, Ehraz, Tiber Flow and Diligent Harry and it’s all about Rohaan for me.

 

ROHAAN 2 points win @ 7/2 Paddy Power

 

Redcar 3.21

A field of seventeen assemble for the William Hill Two Year Old Trophy, a listed contest run over 6F for two year olds. Cold Case comes here on the back of a good win at Doncaster in their sales race ( Holguin 3rd and looks held) and holds every chance today for trainer Kevin Ryan and jockey Clifford Lee. Also on the short list has to be Richard Fahey’s Barefoot Angel who was a Group 3 winner at Ayr last time. The best in at these weights today is the Michael Bell trained Maylandsea and it would be no shock were she to run well here off of her allotted weight. I’ll stick with Barefoot Angel if she can cope with the likely softish ground (she was a 6L runner up to the smart Swingalong on her debut on good to soft) and she looks good each way value.

 

BAREFOOT ANGEL 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 1234

 

Ascot 3.36

The Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup is a class 2 handicap run over the straight 7F and feature eighteen handicappers. On similar ground Fresh beat Silent Film and River Nymph over course and distance in a similar handicap a month ago by a neck and a short head challenging out wide in the middle of the course and is only a pound worse off with that pair. He’s drawn near to the stand side this time and will need luck in running from there though should be thereabouts. The third that day, Clive Cox’s River Nymph won last year’s Victoria Cup on soft ground over course and distance and is now just 2lb higher. He must have the mud and has to be part of the staking plan under Adam Kirby. James Horton’s Asjad did us a favour at Doncaster on his favoured soft ground three weeks ago and a 3lb rise may not be enough to stop him taking a hand in the finish. Softening of the ground may not be in the favour of Blue For You whilst Safe Voyage will love and cut and has fallen to a very nice mark. River Nymph for me but a small ew saver on Asjad as well.

 

RIVER NYMPH 1 1/2 points each way 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345

ASJAD 1/2 point each way @ 16/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 12345

 

 

[ipswich45]

Le Longchamp Raiders

1223 (Group 2)
#2 Al Qareem   (R Moore / K Burke)
#6 Whileuweresleeping  (T Marquand / E O'Neill)

1258 (Arab Group 1)
#2 Monda  (J Crowley / X Thomas - Demeaulte)

1333 (Fillies Group 1)
#4 Sea La Rose (T Marquand / W Haggas)
#8 Emily Dickinson (R Moore / A O'Brien)
#9 Perotan (Y Take / A O'Brien)

1450 (Stakes)
#2 Denmark (R Moore / A O'Brien)

1525 (Group 1)
#3 Quickthorn (T Marquand / H Morrison)
#4 Tashkhan (B Robinson / B Ellison)
#7 Kyprios  (R Moore / A O'Brien)
#10 Princess Zoe (J Sheridan / A Mullins)
#11 Lismore (S Pasquier / H de Bromhead)

1600 (Group 2)
#2 Addeybb (T Marquand / W Haggas)
#3 Grocer Jack (R Moore / W Haggas)
#6 Anmaat (J Crowley / O Burrows)
#9 West Wind Blows (T Bachelot / S & E Crisford)

1635 (Group 2)
#2 Raadobarg (B Coen / JP Murtagh)
#6 Triple Time (K Stott / K Ryan)
#9 Checkandchallenge (M Guyon / W Knight)
#10 Glounthaune (R Moore / A O'Brien)

[black rabbit]

Asjad       3 36 Asc      1/20th of a pt win   16/1

Cairn Gorm   7 30 Wol   1/20 th of a pt win   14/1

Candleford  2 25 Asc     1/2oth of a pt win  28/1

Fonteyn  2 42 New       1/20th  of a pt win   38/1

Ehraz   3 00 Asc          1/20th of a pt win       14/1

Tiber Flow   3 00 Asc    1/20th of a pt win   20/1

 

 

 

P/L    +  159. 8/10th   PTS

Edited October 1, 2022 by black rabbit

[calva decoy]

Think I'll keep my powder dry until tomorrow just to see how much rain / going changes / non runners  they'll be up & down the country .

[richard-westwood]

3.00 ascot 

Rohaan  8.4 7/2 

Flaming rib  8.2 8/1 

Commanche falls   7.9 

Gale force maya  

Tiber flow 

5pt wins top 2 

 

330 asc 

Symbolise   9.0 8/1 

Mum's tipple  8.8 22/1 

Rhoscolyn   8.5 12/1 

Asjad      8.4 

Safe voyage 8.1 

 

5pt wins top 3 

2pt win doubles top 2 in 3.00 with top 3 in 330 

[kensland]

Ralph Beckett runners. 

Redcar. 

Double. 

3.21. Funny Story.     11/1... unpl 

5.37. Helvetique.       10/1.... 1st 

singles & double. 

Good luck all. 

 

Edited October 1, 2022 by kensland

[Tedthewolf]

3,36 Ascot  two for me backed RHOSCOLYN  last night 5 places  bog @ 14's  (around 12's now)has been threatening to win a big handicap all season must surely be in the thick of things here has a 5lb claimer on top big  e/w chance imho. This would be my main bet but also had a bit on each way on SILENT FILM 14/1 bog top run lto if can match that should go very close.

Good Luck All

[kensland]

Newmarket. 

Double 

1.31. I'll Be There.      4/1... unpl 

3.17. Leadenhall.         10/3... unpl 

singles & double 

Good luck all. 

Edited October 1, 2022 by kensland

[kensland]

William Muir & Chris Grassick only runner. 

Redcar. 

5.37. Swayze.        7/1..... unpl 

Good luck all. 

Edited October 1, 2022 by kensland

[alexcaruso808]

Just a few today....

Course	Time	Selection	Odds / Bet Type	Result
Fontwell	14:35	Mascat	8.50 / Win
	15:10	Zacony Rebel	2.62 / Win
	15:45	Chapmanshype	4.00 / Win
	16:20	Fresh New Dawn	17.00 / EW 2 places
Newmarket	15:17	Leadenhall	3.75 / win

 

 

Good luck ?

[ipswich45]

Longchamp Treble  - Bet365 prices

1450 - Denmark     11/4
1600 - Addeybb     8/1
1635 - Triple Time    11/2

[cannotbebeat]

Redcar

2.47 Dubai Poet 11/4

5.07 Billy No Mates 4/1

Singles & double

Good luck all CNBB.

[MCLARKE]

BET365 4/1 TV offer selections

September was a better month with 5 winners from 25 selections and a profit of £525. 

Poor overall though with 33 winners from 269 selections and a loss of £1,997.50.

Today's selections

NEWM	1.31	Ill Be There (4)	5/1
ASCO	1.51	Manaccan (10)	4/1
ASCO	2.25	Cresta (5)	9/2
NEWM	2.42	Laurel (7)	15/2

[MCLARKE]

Trends for the heritage handicap at Ascot (3.36)

Not bred in Ireland, 1 from 53

8th to 10th in weights, 4 from 17, AE 3.57

This leaves BLUE FOR YOU and SHELIR

Odds greater than 14/1, 0 from 42

This leaves BLUE FOR YOU at 14/1, 5 places

 

[The Equaliser]

Hopefully, I have done these right this time @Bang on

(A) 1.31 Nmj I'll Be There 13/2

(B) 2.25 Asc Hamish 11/8

(C) 2.47 Red I'm A Gambler 5/2

(D) 4.27 Nm Mellow Yellow 5/4

(E) 3.00 Asc Rohaan 10/3

AE, BC, BD, CD 4 x 1.50 win doubles and BCD 1 x 1 win Treble = poss return of 98.13

Singles and savers

1.51 Asc Came From The Dark 0.30 ew at 10/1

2.25 Asc Candleford 0.15 ew at 22/1

3.00 Asc Flaming RIb 0.60 ew at 8/1

3.36 Asc Simbolised 0.60 ew at 13/2 and Escobar 0.30 ew at 18/1

2.06 Nm Safari Dream 0.30 ew at 10/1

4.22 Nm Winter Wyldes 060 ew at 8/1

2.47 Red Dubai Poet 2.10 win at 3.45

3.57 Red Spirit Catcher 0.60 ew at 13/2

No time to list PL contributors but will do so if any win

Total stakes 16.00

Good luck you all

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pity that Mellow Yellow didn't fire, it would have got me off to a great start for the month.  Instead I had to settle for a won double of 11.58.  Funnily enough my bet in the 3.36 at Ascot helped me make a profit.  It wasn't rocket science.  David O'Meara had 4 runners in the race and Andrea Atzini was on Escobar.  I felt that I had to have a bit on that despite all the work that other members had done to put up various selections.  My net profit was 4.85 on the day, so at least a positive start for the new month. My YTD is -169.13

I may be tempted to have a small bet in the Arc tomorrow but will focus on the jumps at Uttoxeter and Kelso if I get the time.  I don't like betting outside the UK.  Good luck to all brave punters who do though

 

 

 

Edited October 1, 2022 by The Equaliser
RESULTS UPDATE

[MCLARKE]

Trends for the Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (Newmarket 2.06)

Top 3 in weights, 0 from 21

Not drawn in top 14, 2 from 103

1st last time, 4 from 33, AE 1.90

This leaves KING OF ITHACA at 40/1, 5 places

[MCLARKE]

Trends for the Benbough Stakes (Ascot 3.00)

Drawn 1 to 4, 0 from 26

Age = 3, 4 from 23, AE 2.05

This leaves EHRAZ, FLAMING RIB, TIBER FLOW and PRINCESS SHABNAM

1st or 2nd last time, 2 from 18, this removes PRINCESS SHABNAM

Not drawn in top 8, 1 from 21

This leaves TIBER FLOW at 12/1, 4 places

[Bang on]

A VERY busy Saturday. 

2.12 Red - Can't stop now - 4/1 (1/5 4 places) - 2pts EW

2.25 Asc - Hamish - 11/8 - 4pts win

2.35 Font - Wet and Windy - 2/1 - 4pts win

3.57 Red - Spirit Catcher - 13/2 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW

5.00 Wolv - Liberated Lad - 4/1 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW

5.37 Red - Fast Response - 4/1 (1/5th 5 places) - 2pts EW

7.30 Wolv - Swiss Ace - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW

8.30 Wolv - Midnight Train - 5/2 - 4pts win

32pts staked

[MCLARKE]

1 hour ago, MCLARKE said:

BET365 4/1 TV offer selections

September was a better month with 5 winners from 25 selections and a profit of £525. 

Poor overall though with 33 winners from 269 selections and a loss of £1,997.50.

Today's selections

NEWM	1.31	Ill Be There (4)	5/1
ASCO	1.51	Manaccan (10)	4/1
ASCO	2.25	Cresta (5)	9/2
NEWM	2.42	Laurel (7)	15/2

Manaccan wins so a free bet on the 2.06 at Newmarket, I'll go with Prairie Falcon at 5/1

[MCLARKE]

Trends for the 2yo trophy (Redcar 3.21)

Odds > 7/1, 1 from 136

This leaves COLD CASE, BAREFOOT ANGEL and MAYLANDSEA

Not drawn in top 12, 0 from 71, this removes MAYLANDSEA

Last ran more than 22 days ago, 1 from 69

This leaves BAREFOOT ANGLE at 15/2, 5 places

[black rabbit]

On 9/30/2022 at 3:11 PM, black rabbit said:

Asjad       3 36 Asc      1/20th of a pt win   16/1

Cairn Gorm   7 30 Wol   1/20 th of a pt win   14/1

Candleford  2 25 Asc     1/2oth of a pt win  28/1

Fonteyn  2 42 New       1/20th  of a pt win   38/1

Ehraz   3 00 Asc          1/20th of a pt win       14/1

Tiber Flow   3 00 Asc    1/20th of a pt win   20/1

 

 

 

P/L    +  159. 8/10th   PTS

Candleford   3rd

Fonteyn  {  delivers the goods ?   hope you had a few shekels  on ted ?

Asjad   3rd { not "donohoe" finest ride ?"}

Other punts U/P     but i'll settle for the "bullseye"  on Fonteyn ?

Edited October 1, 2022 by black rabbit

[azzybear]

fresh 3.36

[azzybear]

chapmanshype 3.45

[Tedthewolf]

39 minutes ago, black rabbit said:

Candleford   3rd

Fonteyn  {  delivers the goods ?   hope you had a few shekels  on ted ?

Nope but will keep a closer eye on your big ones in future

[azzybear]

Franco de port 4.02

[richard-westwood]

18 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

3.00 ascot 

Rohaan  8.4 7/2 

Flaming rib  8.2 8/1 

Commanche falls   7.9 

Gale force maya  

Tiber flow 

5pt wins top 2 

 

330 asc 

Symbolise   9.0 8/1 

Mum's tipple  8.8 22/1 

Rhoscolyn   8.5 12/1 

Asjad      8.4 

Safe voyage 8.1 

 

5pt wins top 3 

2pt win doubles top 2 in 3.00 with top 3 in 330 

I'm gutted ...rohaan won ..mums tipple was 2nd at 25/1,!!....woukd have been big win ....unlucky 

[alexcaruso808]

5 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said:

Just a few today....

 

Course	Time	Selection	Odds / Bet Type	Result
Fontwell	14:35	Mascat	8.50 / Win
	15:10	Zacony Rebel	2.62 / Win
	15:45	Chapmanshype	4.00 / Win
	16:20	Fresh New Dawn	17.00 / EW 2 places
Newmarket	15:17	Leadenhall	3.75 / win

 

 

Good luck ?

 

Some results:

Course	Time	Selection	Odds / Bet Type	Result
Fontwell	14:35	Mascat	8.50 / Win	2nd
	15:10	Zacony Rebel	2.62 / Win	1st
	15:45	Chapmanshype	4.00 / Win	Last
	16:20	Fresh New Dawn	17.00 / EW 2 places	NR
Newmarket	15:17	Leadenhall	3.75 / win	NR

 

Not too bad, at least I had a win, 2nd place and some money back from non-runners.  Chapmanshype..... the less said about that one the  better, eh @azzybear ?

[The Brigadier]

On 9/30/2022 at 8:35 AM, The Brigadier said:

The ground is crucial at the three televised UK Cards on Saturday with a big band of rain moving across the country mid afternoon Friday into the evening and I’m taking a chance that the ground will be on the easy side at all three meetings. If the forecast is right we may be able to seek out some value on the soft ground performers now. Let’s hope the rain arrives in bucket loads or it’s going to be an expensive afternoon !

 

Newmarket 1.31

Newmarket’s card kicks off with a 10F class 2 handicap for fillies where we have many lightly raced types. My two against the field are George Boughey’s I’ll Be There and Sir Michael Stoute’s Crystal Estella with the latter making her handicap debut today. Both won last time out in soft ground so they’ll be no issues with not handling the ground here. A couple whom have yet to encounter easy ground are favourite Al Husn and Persist. I’ll split my two fancies and back both win only with the Stoute runner Crystal Estella the favoured of the duo with her latest winning jockey William Buick stating after he had won on her at Goodwood back in May that she ‘likes the ground which was key’. She has an absence to overcome but can be competitive with Richard Kingscote now in the plate. Boughey’s I’ll Be There will be ridden by Buick himself having won on her on her stable debut at Sandown 17 days ago on soft ground. She’s been raised 6lb for that success.

 

CRYSTAL ESTELLA 1 point win @ 7/1 Paddy Power

I’LL BE THERE 1 point win @ 7/1 bet365

 

Ascot 1.51

A dozen speedsters go to post for the listed 5F Rous Stakes and with Friday’s rain hopefully getting into the Berkshire turf I’m looking for mudlarks there this afternoon. Last year’s winner Tis Marvellous has claims though did run a bit flat when easy to back at Newbury last time out. John Ryan’s Manaccan has been pulled out twice in his career due to softening ground conditions so is over looked. Julie Camacho has her team in fine shape and her Ainsdale is one that will appreciate any easing of the ground. Andrew Balding’s Kings Lynn is another who won’t mind the conditions but a 7lb penalty may put paid to his chances. I’m going to take a chance on Ed Walker’s Came From The Dark who must have softish ground and was thought of by his shrewd handler at the start of the season as a possible group one horse. Things havn’t worked out for the grey though with two lack lustre efforts in the spring on fast ground and reappears here having had a wind surgery and with his trainer stating in this week’s Weekender that his recent work has been excellent and the operation has been a success. On the figures he only has 4lb to find with the top weighted here Acklam Express and at double figure odds is worth chancing with Danny Tudhope in the saddle for the first time.

 

CAME FROM THE DARK 1 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 1234

 

Newmarket 2.06

A bumper field of 29 go to post for this 6F Tattersalls October Auction Stakes with many here easy to strike a line through. Current favourite is the Ed Walker trained Amichi who won a similar contest on the July course five weeks ago on only his third start. Form that has stood up with the third Eddies Boy winning a Group 3 at Chantilly since. He should go well but is hardly value at around the 3/1 mark for a horse that is officially (at these weights) rated a stone inferior to his stable mate Union Court. She’s the highest rated here but hasn’t won since bagging a brace of victories in May and June. Rod Millman has done well in these type of sales races in the past and saddles a couple with chances in the Neil Callan ridden Safari Dream and Trevor Whelan ridden Woolhampton. The former is the most interesting of the duo to me having won two nurseries this season at the minimum trip and steps up to 6F today. He’s progressive and in a race I don’t really have too strong an opinion on is worth a small each way bet with additional places.

 

SAFARI DREAM 1/2 point each way @ 10/1 1/5th 12345

 

Ascot 2.25

The Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes is up next with just nine runners. William Haggas saddles his smart Hamish who looked likely to topple the smart Kyprios in the Irish St Leger last time until that game one battled on well. It was still a hell of an effort and he’ll be hard to beat today on easy ground that suits. Aidan O’Brien’s High Definition is actually the highest rated in the race but he’s become rather disappointing despite keeping good company all season. He’s not won since taking the Beresford Stakes at The Curragh a couple of years ago, some eleven runs ago and he’ll hopefully make the market for Hamish who is a confident selection despite his 3lb penalty.

 

HAMISH 3 points win @ 13/8 BetVictor

 

Newmarket 2.42

The feature race of the day is the Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes run over a mile for fillies and mares and has attracted a field of nine this year. The race revolves around Jane Chapple-Hyam’s flag bearer Saffron Beach who won this event last year by three lengths. She’s gone from strength to strength this season winning at Ascot (Group 2) and Deauville (Group 1) before a slightly below par second to Pearls Galore at Leopardstown in the Group one Matron Stakes three weeks ago. She had Dermot Weld’s three year old Homeless Songs 2 1/2L behind that day and on two pound better terms can confirm the form even though Homeless Songs now sports a first time tongue tie. She’s probably better than that run but at around 11/4 I’m not going to pay to find out. The unexposed one is the John and Thady Gosden trained Laurel who takes a massive step up in class following wins at Newmarket on the July course from perpetual loser Mashaaer and a comfortable win on the all weather at Kempton. She looks highly promising but has yet to encounter give in the ground and on official ratings has 22lb to find with Saffron Beach who has to be the selection.

 

SAFFRON BEACH 3 points win @ 13/8 William Hill

 

Ascot 3.00

Fourteen go to post for the Group 3 Bengough Stakes run over 6F of the Berkshire track. Best in at the weights and the one I like is David Evans’ Rohann who is three from four at the track and has won on all types of ground so the weather can do what it likes! His latest 3rd in the Group 1 Betfred Sprint Cup at Haydock is a good piece of form (Flaming Rib 3/4L further back)and this drop in class looks ideal for this Andrea Atzeni ridden four year old. He may have most to fear from the smart handicappers Comanche Falls and Summerghand who were separated by just a length in the Ayr Gold Cup last time out with the former 7lb better off for the length beating and should turn the tables on his rival today. Easing of the ground would be against the super mare Gale Force Mayo, Ehraz, Tiber Flow and Diligent Harry and it’s all about Rohaan for me.

 

ROHAAN 2 points win @ 7/2 Paddy Power

 

Redcar 3.21

A field of seventeen assemble for the William Hill Two Year Old Trophy, a listed contest run over 6F for two year olds. Cold Case comes here on the back of a good win at Doncaster in their sales race ( Holguin 3rd and looks held) and holds every chance today for trainer Kevin Ryan and jockey Clifford Lee. Also on the short list has to be Richard Fahey’s Barefoot Angel who was a Group 3 winner at Ayr last time. The best in at these weights today is the Michael Bell trained Maylandsea and it would be no shock were she to run well here off of her allotted weight. I’ll stick with Barefoot Angel if she can cope with the likely softish ground (she was a 6L runner up to the smart Swingalong on her debut on good to soft) and she looks good each way value.

 

BAREFOOT ANGEL 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 1234

 

Ascot 3.36

The Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup is a class 2 handicap run over the straight 7F and feature eighteen handicappers. On similar ground Fresh beat Silent Film and River Nymph over course and distance in a similar handicap a month ago by a neck and a short head challenging out wide in the middle of the course and is only a pound worse off with that pair. He’s drawn near to the stand side this time and will need luck in running from there though should be thereabouts. The third that day, Clive Cox’s River Nymph won last year’s Victoria Cup on soft ground over course and distance and is now just 2lb higher. He must have the mud and has to be part of the staking plan under Adam Kirby. James Horton’s Asjad did us a favour at Doncaster on his favoured soft ground three weeks ago and a 3lb rise may not be enough to stop him taking a hand in the finish. Softening of the ground may not be in the favour of Blue For You whilst Safe Voyage will love and cut and has fallen to a very nice mark. River Nymph for me but a small ew saver on Asjad as well.

 

RIVER NYMPH 1 1/2 points each way 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345

ASJAD 1/2 point each way @ 16/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 12345

 

 

Profit of just over 6 points on the day with winners at 13/8 & 7/2 and a few places as well.

[black rabbit]

4 hours ago, black rabbit said:

Candleford   3rd

Fonteyn  {  delivers the goods ?   hope you had a few shekels  on ted ?

Asjad   3rd { not "donohoe" finest ride ?"}

Other punts U/P     but i'll settle for the "bullseye"  on Fonteyn ?

great card tomorrow at Longchamp  good hunting to all ?

[Bang on]

6 hours ago, Bang on said:

A VERY busy Saturday. 

2.12 Red - Can't stop now - 4/1 (1/5 4 places) - 2pts EW

2.25 Asc - Hamish - 11/8 - 4pts win

2.35 Font - Wet and Windy - 2/1 - 4pts win

3.57 Red - Spirit Catcher - 13/2 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW

5.00 Wolv - Liberated Lad - 4/1 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW

5.37 Red - Fast Response - 4/1 (1/5th 5 places) - 2pts EW

7.30 Wolv - Swiss Ace - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW

8.30 Wolv - Midnight Train - 5/2 - 4pts win

32pts staked

Very frustrating, Can't stop now and Hamish both won, Spirit,Fast both placed , Wet and Windy unseated very early so who knows? Midnight bad ride IMO should have won. Swiss  never put in race at all-total, non trier today as on a fair mark. All in all finished about level (+0.2).

Had another couple of bets myself, one won, one lost (3.45 Font -Highway one o two -went about 20 clear and claiming jock looked round, eased down.. and got caught on line !)