Bundesliga I Predictions > Sep 9th - 11th

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

Check out the latest odds and ratings for the next round of German Bundesliga I matches coming our way this weekend. Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund are the surprise leaders after Bayern Munich dropped points in two league games. Union Berlin and Mainz 05 both enjoying encouraging starts to their campaigns too. VfL Bochum remain on 0 points after 5 league games. Can they pick up their first points away to Schalke 04? Hit us with your predictions below! 

[malabgd]

Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg

2022-09-09T20:30+02:00

 

Werder Bremen

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Bittencourt (4/2 m), Mbom (0/0 m), Salifou (0/0 m)

Suspended:

 

FC Augsburg

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Udokhai (3/0 d), Dorsch (0/0 m), Oxford (0/0 m), Sarenren Bazee (0/0 m), Strobl (0/0 m), Winther (0/0 d)

Suspended:

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

[ALEXXXXXXXX]

Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
Augsburg have been poor this season, losing seven of their last Ten away league games, although a triumph at Leverkusen earlier this season suggests we should not take anything for granted in this duel.

Historically, Werder Bremen has a good record against Augsburg, winning 4 of their last 6 encounters, including each of their last 3 at this stadium, while 11 of the last 15 meetings have also seen Both teams to score.

Werder Bremen   @ 1.57
OU Over 2.75  @ 1.80

[StefanBB]

Werder Bremen vs Augsburg

The Bundesliga matchday six kicks off with this Friday matchup between Werder Bremen and Augsburg at the Weserstadion on the north bank of Bremen's Weser River. The hosts have enjoyed a fairly solid start to the 2022/23 league campaign, netting two wins, two draws, and a loss to put them eighth in the league table in the early days of the season. Bremen's last match was a 2-0  away victory against Bochum, and they have now won two of their previous three matches. Werder enjoys a good start after being promoted from Bundesliga 2. Lee Buchanan (Knee Injury), Leonardo Bittencourt (Strain), Eren Dinkci (Muscular problems), Jean Manuel Mbom (Achilles tendon rupture), and Dikeni Salifou (Tear in the abductor muscle) will not be taking part for Werder Bremen boss Ole Werner.

There are big problems in this Augsburg attacking unit. The visitors have scored only three goals in total this season and have only conceded one goal in their last three league matches. What's even more worrying, however, is that the basic stats confirm how bad Augsburg has been in the first five matches of the season. It would be one thing if the team were creating chances and only getting an unfortunate end to things, but the opposite is true for Enrico Massen's men. The visitors want to stop their three-game losing run, but they won’t have an easy job in Bremen.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Although the hosts still haven't celebrated at home, they have a much better momentum ahead of this clash. We think all three points will stay in Bremen, and Werder will remain in the top half of the table.

Goals Market Prediction

The home side has been involved in many high-scoring matches this season. On the other hand, Augsburg struggles in defense, and we should see another game with at least three goals in total.

Werder Bremen to Win @ 1.55

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.65

Correct score 3:1 @ 12.00

[StefanBB]

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund

All eyes will be on Red Bull Arena when Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund square off against each other at Red Bull Arena. The Red Bulls have been anything but impressive in the first half of the season, with the team collecting only five points in total from a possible 15. Domenico Tedesco's troops experienced all sorts of problems at the back in a 4-0 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt, which is probably the main reason why a home win should not be considered. Domenico Tedesco was under pressure following RB Leipzig’s poor start to the season and Marco Rose replaced him on the RB Leipzig bench. We will see if he can drive the team towards the top half of the table.

On the other hand, the Yellow-Blacks recorded a very important hard-fought 1-0 win over Hoffenheim at the weekend to overtake Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga standings. Anyhow, the share of spoils is on the cards at Red Bull Arena as Leipzig is tough to beat at home. Meanwhile, Dortmund has won four of their first five assignments and looked more solid defensively following the arrival of Nico Schlotterbeck. They now have to show stability and readiness to challenge for the title. An away win at Leipzig would certainly be a big boost of confidence.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

RB Leipzig comes off a heavy Champions  League defeat by Shakhtar, and Borussia Dortmund is in a better momentum. That's why we believe the visitors might return home with all three points.

Goals Market Prediction

Their head-to-head matches have been a joy to watch lately since neither side managed to keep a clean sheet on the previous five occasions. The tradition should continue, and we should see goals in both nets again.  

Borussia Dortmund to Win @ 2.85

BTTS Yes @ 1.55

Correct score 2:3 @ 23.00

[StevieDay1983]

Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach

Due to the Premier League and Championship games being postponed this weekend after the death of Her Majesty the Queen I am branching out into the European leagues that are still going ahead this week. In the Bundesliga, I'm looking at Freiburg versus Borussia Monchengladbach in a 4:30pm BST kick-off on Sunday afternoon from the Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg.

Freiburg could not have hoped for a better start to this league season with the club sitting proudly, and dare we say surprisingly, on top of the Bundesliga table. Head coach Christian Streich has led his team to 4 wins from their opening 5 league games and seen them beat Bundesliga II side Kaiserslautern in the DFB-Pokal 1st Round. There is an argument that the Breisgau Brazilians have only encountered one tricky opponent in Borussia Dortmund and they suffered a 3-1 loss at home in that fixture. However, the 3-2 win away to Bayer Leverkusen was certainly impressive. The team also picked up a 2-1 win at home in their opening Europa League group stage game against Qarabag last week. Streich himself is still managing expectations claiming the team are simply looking to stay up this season but with the team top of the table it's hard to see how the fans will remain that grounded.

Borussia Monchengladbach have experienced a solid start to their league campaign. Head coach Daniel Farke will be familiar to Premier League fans as the former gaffer of Norwich and they won't be surprised to see him doing a decent job with the club. Just 1 loss in their opening 5 league matches has seen the team sit in 8th place and just 4 points off the top of the table. A 1-1 draw away to Bayern Munich was the stand out result so far but the 1-0 loss at home to Mainz 05 in their latest outing will feel like a missed opportunity. Marcus Thuram is the player to watch with 6 goals in 6 games for the club so far. Those figures were helped by a hat-trick scored in the dominant 9-1 win away to Oberliga Baden-Wurttemburg side SV Oberachern in the DFB-Pokal 1st Round.

This could prove to be a tense game. The opportunity is there for Freiburg to add another vital 3 points to their glowing start to the season but Borussia Monchengladbach have shown they can grind out results on the road against the best of teams already. It is true that Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 12 home games against Gladbach and with the last four Gladbach away games ending in a draw plus their last three league games delivering less than 2.5 goals scored I can see this ending in a low-scoring draw.

Draw @ 3.80 with Bet365

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.38 with BetVictor

[Mrsha]

We disagree on Freib TG, Stevie   But ok, always good to have different views, cheers & GL!

Freiburg o3 @2.04
Min price to bet: o3 @1.97
Model +value: yes, strong
Significant team news: cb/dm Itakura suspended for Gladbach, lw/fw Plea injured
Note: Ok weather and good game expected here, TG 3.30-3.35 for us. It is a fact that Gladbach played 3 low-scoring games in a row, but there was a huge element of luck in first two, 1-0 win v Hertha and 1-1 draw at Bayern, with chances wasted, posts hit and penalty missed in first one; and gk Sommer making Bundesliga high 19 saves (!) in Munchen. Even last week, 0-1 v Mainz was not a true refection of game events, Gladbach really should have scored, they wasted 3 big chances and hit the post, but early 2nd half red card to Itakura basically killed the game, with Mainz taking advantage in the end. Freiburg's last home game v Bochum didn't go as we anticipated, at least not in terms of number goals scored, as it ended 1-0 despite some crazy scenes and chances, posts hit, miraculous saves and incredibly high final xG (5.20 combined!)... hopefully higher efficiency tomorrow! Freiburg are in UEL, they beat Qarabag 2-1 on Thu and travel to Greece to meet Olympiacos next Thu, but are not expected to rotate here. Btw both meetings last season were quite bizarre and both produced 6 goals.

Union Berlin dnb @2.19
Min price to bet: dnb @2.13 or +1/4 @1.81
Model +value: no, small negative
Significant team news: cb Doekhi out for Union (he has started last 3 and played well, but came into 11 only after injury to cb Leite, who is available again); cf Siebatcheu is back in the squad; rb Schmitz and fwd Uth still out for KOln
Note: With Bayern, these are the only two unbeaten teams in Bundesliga this season, it may stay like that after this game but we make it a clear 50-50 shot and like current prices on Union Berlin as underdogs. Both are playing well and both are participating in Europe, with Union losing their home game v Union St Gilloise 0-1 in UEL, and Koln drawing 1-1 away at Nice in UECL; both games on Thu. It was not a good performance by Union at all, but perhaps it is Koln who spent more energy and had a bit more emotional game, with thousands of traveling fans supporting them in Nice - if anything, we would say that Koln are in small disadvantage here compared to Union, due to that game on Thu, considering the circumstances (trip to Nice, fans, enthusiasm for European game), and the visitors could be sharper tomorrow - they have scored 2 goals in each of last 3 Bundesliga visits here (last 3 seasons), and are unbeaten with 2-1-0 (plus they won all 3 home games for 5-1-0 overall record in last 3 seasons), hopefully a trip to Koln will be fruitful for them yet again. Model does not like this, but is not aware that Koln had some 'luck' with first half red cards to Schalke and Leipzig, and then early 2nd half red card to Stutgart, so man-advantage for them for quite some time in 3 of 5 BL games so far.

That was c/p from our site, I'll add one from Ger2 in this topic at PL as well - no separate topic for this league, and perhaps better not to open it for one game, so will just throw this here:

Darmstadt -1/4 @1.90
Min price to bet: -1/4 @1.83 or -1/2 @2.11
Model +value: yes
Significant team news: -
Note: Just 2 points between these two teams, and only 1 defeat for both - however, we strongly like Darmstadt at these prices, after what they've shown last season and also what they've been showing this season so far, they have to be rated as one of the promotion candidates. Kaiserslautern are a bigger club and they don't lack ambition, but quality at the moment is not really there, they were quite lucky to get this many points and should be expected to slow down in the near future. If you look at shot and shots on target differential after 7 games, Kaiserslautern are quite negative in both, and 3rd worst in shots diff in BL2; while Darmstadt are strongly positive and 3rd best in shots diff. Darmstadt's performance last week v Bielefeld (1-1) wasn't good, though it was still tough to concede 94th min equalizer, but other than that and 1st game of the season at Regensburg, they have pretty much impressed with their play and also got a huge 2-1 win at title-favorites HSV a few weeks ago. Kaiserslautern is not an easy place to visit, but we est Darsmtadt at 51-51.5% to get 3 points tomorrow.