The Brigadier Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 *Weather warning* There is the potential for York racecourse to get plenty of rain over the next 24 hours with a forecast that is very localised. My synopsis has been done on good ground so keep an eye on the forecast as obviously were the ground to turn soft it would change my thoughts. York 1.50 York’s four day Ebor Festival kicks off with a fiendishly difficult 5F heritage handicap featuring a maximum field of twenty two. Course specialist’s Dakota Gold (five wins from ten starts here) and Copper Knight (5 from 16) both have claims especially the former who won this back in 2019 and arrives in decent recent form finishing runner up at Ripon on good to soft ground. Michael Dods’s eight year old has to be part of the staking plan. Bottom weight Dusky Lord sports first time blinkers following a good run at Goodwood last time and is another with a a chance along with Tracy Waggott’s Ghantanfar who’s recent 3rd here over 6F behind useful yardstick Gale Force Maya gives him a decent chance. Waggott won the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon on Saturday with her Intrinsic Bond so has her small team in good shape and he’s the other runner I want on my side in a wide open sprint handicap where stakes should be kept small. DAKOTA GOLD 1 point each way @ 8/1 bet365 1/5th 123456 GHANTAFAR 1 point each way @ 14/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 123456 York 2.25 Nine two year olds go to post for the group 3 7F Acomb Stakes. Charlie Appleby saddles the likely favourite in Local Dynasty who impressed on his debut in a Newmarket maiden when scooting clear of his field winning by 3 1/2L. None of the defeated horses have run since so it’s hard to know what he’s beaten unlike Andrew Balding’s Chaldean who improved for his promising debut run to win a novice stakes contest at Newbury that has worked out so well with the runner up, third and fourth all winning since. Arguably the form horse is the Jane Chapple-Hyam trained Mill Stream who followed up his Doncaster maiden debut win by going down by half a length to Charlie Appleby’s Noble Style at Newmarket 19 days ago. He should run well especially now stepping up in trip. At the current prices though I want to be with Chaldean who will be ridden today by Ryan Moore for the Juddmonte operation and looks cracking each way value. None of the nine runners have run on anything away from fast ground so we’re the ground to change it would make it a no play race. CHALDEAN 1 points each way @ 7/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123 York 3.00 Only six three year old colts have declared for the group two 1m 4F Great Voltigeur Stakes but it’s an intriguing contest none the less with Charlie Appleby saddling a brace of smart sorts in Secret State who’s stepping out of handicaps having won decent races at Royal Ascot and Goodwood, the pick of William Buick and James Doyle’s mount Walk Of Stars who by all accounts has been burning up the gallops at Moultons Paddocks alongside the year older Yibir who actually won this contest last year. Aiden O’Brien has settled with Aikhal of his four runners at the five day stage. He was very impressive last time out and is stepping up to 12F for the first time today. James Ferguson’s stable star Deauville Legend is another with decent claims who was runner up in the Gordon Stakes to the useful New London giving him 3lb. If there was a downpour and the ground turned bad then that would be in the favour of James Ferguson’s other runner here El Bodegon. A tough call but I’m just coming down on the side of Secret State who’s done very little wrong this season and has also won on soft ground at Chester when winning his maiden so won’t mind if the ground did change. SECRET STATE 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill York 3.35 A small but select field of seven go to post for the group one 1m 2F 56 yard Juddmonte International Stakes which features the unbeaten superstar Baaeed who has won all nine of his starts all at a mile and steps up in trip today. He’s hard to oppose although he does have to prove that he stays this new trip. He’s won on good to firm and good to soft so unless the ground changed dramatically will handle the under foot conditions although obviously if the rain did get in then that would make it more of a test of stamina. I’m happy to watch at the likely odds although I am tempted in having a small bet on Mishriff who bolted up in this contest last year winning by 6L from the re-opposing Alenquer. An unlucky loser of the Eclipse at Sandown this season when not getting the splits at the right time he may have lost his race in the King George when slowly away at the gates. Official ratings only have him 4lb behind Baaeed and he’s worth a small interest. The only three year old in the field is the Charlie Appleby trained Native Trial, runner up in the 2000 guineas prior to winning the Irish version. He has a bit to find with Mishriff on Eclipse form although not a lot. An intriguing contest which Baaeed could run away with it but I can’t resist a small bet on John and Thady Gosden’s Mishriff. MISHRIFF 1 point win @ 4/1 bet365 York 4.10 Fifteen go to post here for this two mile class 2 Heritage handicap which has quite an open look about it. Current favourite is recent Goodwood Festival winner Master Miliner who is up 5lb for that victory. He’s two from three at this track and should be competitive for dual purpose trainer Emma Lavelle. It is that Goodwood race though that I feel today’s winner may well come from with Hugo Palmer’s Zoffee the one I like. He may well of not stayed that day with the 2m 4F trip drawing out his stamina. In fact at the two mile stage nothing was going better than Zoffee and he is now 5lb better off with Master Miliner. He has form over hurdles with give in the ground so shouldn’t be too inconvenienced were the ground to change and he looks excellent value with Ben Curtis doing the steering. The Charlie and Mark Johnstone trained Soapy Stevens comes here in good form and is another with a good chance but it’s all about Zoffee for me. ZOFFEE 2 points each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Tedthewolf, black rabbit, calva decoy and 8 others 9 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 150 york Atalis Bay 9.0 11.5 Good eye 8.8 20.0 King of stars 8.8 50.0 Wide open race and might hinge on weather but some decent prices .. and I've underrated king of stars as he was hampered last time so he looks extremely good value to me and I like to look for clues from fate and I just so happen to need 500 to pay my holiday off ?? so he will charge up the rail and spring a huge shocker ??? 3 x 10pt wins ? kensland, Tedthewolf, black rabbit and 8 others 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 Think I'll be wise & wait until tomorrow before having any bets just in case of massive going changes resulting in lots of non runners . Tedthewolf, maxironchin, Gary66 and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 (edited) https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcx4z4e44#?date=2022-08-16 Looks like fairly dry guys. Shame i have got my eye on one would love a down pour! Edited August 16, 2022 by Tedthewolf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcx4z4e44#?date=2022-08-16 Looks like fairly try guys. Shame i have got my eye on one would love a down pour! RAIN DANCE TED [ nothing else for it ] / dont be put off Bedlam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, black rabbit said: RAIN DANCE TED [ nothing else for it ] / dont be put off To be fair it has not raced on anything better than good so any thing else is unknown may well be ok and trainer has a top jock booked but if there was rain and it got into the ground i would have a decent tickle on it. black rabbit and maxironchin 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said: To be fair it has not raced on anything better than good so any thing else is unknown may well be ok and trainer has a top jock booked but if there was rain and it got into the ground i would have a decent tickle on it. well may the gods be with the horse ted / Budgie 65 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 43 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcx4z4e44#?date=2022-08-16 Looks like fairly try guys. Shame i have got my eye on one would love a down pour! Not a Dog and Duck horse is it Ted ? black rabbit, Budgie 65 and maxironchin 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: Not a Dog and Duck horse is it Ted ? No my system wouldn't be as sophisticated as "the ducks" ? The Equaliser, Budgie 65, black rabbit and 1 other 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 1.50 York Nice race to start the meeting loads of chance as 8/1 the field would suggest. Would not put anyone of Dakota Gold tough reliable genuine horse 8/1 -17/2 is fair enough but i prefer to go with bigger priced horses e/w in this with 6 places & bog. My first one is having his first run in a handicap we have not seen the best of this 3yo this year and has had his balls cut off since last seen so hopefully his mind will be on the job ahead i'm on e/w at 25's (now 20) was as big as 33's GIS A SUB i think the shrewd Kevin Ryan trained runner will give a better show today. May be a horse worth following. If my rain dance works the local trained SUNDAY SOVEREIGN 16/1 will go very close imo. Trainer loves getting winners here and Buick booked enough said. Best Of Luck All Fellow Punters yossa6133, Gary66, The Equaliser and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted August 16, 2022 Share Posted August 16, 2022 (edited) Wolverhampton. Double. 2.15. Miss Blennerhasset. 15/8... unpl 3.25. Wurlitzer....... 6/1.. 3rd singles & double Good luck all. Edited August 17, 2022 by kensland The Brigadier, The Equaliser, maxironchin and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ironjoe Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 All york 1.50 project dante 33/1 1 pt EW (7) 2.25 chaldean 11/2 1pt win 4.10 master milliner 11/2 1pt win 4.45 pink crystal 5/1 1pt win 5.20 streeta of gold 5/1 1pt win and a 0.1 lucky 31 9.1 points total Good luck ? maxironchin, The Brigadier, Budgie 65 and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 As a quick short cut, draws 1 to 7 have the best record in handicaps at York. richard-westwood, The Equaliser, Tedthewolf and 6 others 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Just put the rubbish out it's wet and a bit more than dribbling not sure if to wait now Tedthewolf, maxironchin and The Brigadier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 A good horse wins on all goings not Hy and vhy so I'm sticking with original selection 225 mill stream 300 aikhal nap 410 soapy stevens 10% lower stakes because of ground good luck black rabbit, The Brigadier and maxironchin 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 (edited) 18 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 150 york Atalis Bay 9.0 11.5 Good eye 8.8 20.0 King of stars 8.8 50.0 Wide open race and might hinge on weather but some decent prices .. and I've underrated king of stars as he was hampered last time so he looks extremely good value to me and I like to look for clues from fate and I just so happen to need 500 to pay my holiday off ?? so he will charge up the rail and spring a huge shocker ??? 3 x 10pt wins ? Hi Richard what Ur system sayin on 225 300 and 410 Edited August 17, 2022 by Budgie 65 Spelling error Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 20 minutes ago, Budgie 65 said: Hi Richard what Ur system sayin on 225 300 and 410 I've onky managed to rate the 225 so far cos been busy at work ....it was indestructible top ...e.w ....and mill stream (if he stays ...) rest were a bit behind black rabbit and Budgie 65 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 (edited) 10 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: I've onky managed to rate the 225 so far cos been busy at work ....it was indestructible top ...e.w ....and mill stream (if he stays ...) rest were a bit behind I have also top rated indestructable with my speed figures. oviedo 2nd Edited August 17, 2022 by Zilzalian Budgie 65 and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 (edited) 4.10 York - ALFRED BOUCHER 11/2 eway 4 places bet365 . 1st 5/1 5.00 Worcester - PETERBOROUGH ( cliff horse ) 11/1 eway 2 places bet365 . 1st 15/2 nice afternoon ? Edited August 17, 2022 by calva decoy results update kensland and black rabbit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 4 hours ago, MCLARKE said: As a quick short cut, draws 1 to 7 have the best record in handicaps at York. I think I will put my brown drawers on today whilst watching York races Budgie 65, black rabbit, alexcaruso808 and 1 other 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maxironchin Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 13.50 York Ghathanfar 2pt EW. Showed strength in his last race here and came a close 3rd. Has the right age and experience to take this race. The Equaliser, black rabbit and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 (edited) Nomadic empire 1 50 Y 1/10 pt ew 25/1 6 places Deauville legand 3 00 1/4 pt win 9/2 +148.25 pts Edited August 17, 2022 by black rabbit selection Tedthewolf, The Equaliser and maxironchin 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 5 hours ago, MCLARKE said: As a quick short cut, draws 1 to 7 have the best record in handicaps at York. My research over the last few days say it flips as the ground gets softer. Might be interesting to note as the week goes on if the ground gets softer by the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 (edited) Wol 400 Opticality 12/1 ew skybet 4pl. Let me down by coming last of 14 lto. Surely can do better so I'll have a small ew. 2nd. Edited August 17, 2022 by Nigwilliam Result maxironchin, The Equaliser and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maxironchin Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 I just don't believe the Moore/O'Brian combination will come away from York empty handed. I will therefore have a level stakes bet on the three entries they have here. Today's is 3.00 York Aikhal. 2pt Win The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 (edited) Only a few smallish bets with moneybCk and free bet if win offers on most. All York 1350 zarzyni 1425 childean & local dynasty mbo Fav double of secret state and baaeed in next 2 races 1610 soapy Stevens & master millnier fbiw 1645 Cuban breeze 1720 rogue spirit Good luck all Edited August 17, 2022 by fd1972uk black rabbit and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 21 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 150 york Atalis Bay 9.0 11.5 Good eye 8.8 20.0 King of stars 8.8 50.0 Wide open race and might hinge on weather but some decent prices .. and I've underrated king of stars as he was hampered last time so he looks extremely good value to me and I like to look for clues from fate and I just so happen to need 500 to pay my holiday off ?? so he will charge up the rail and spring a huge shocker ??? 3 x 10pt wins ? You must be the bravest punter I have ever known. I will back your selections each way for 6 places, your previous strategy, with a small ew bet on Makana. Total spend = 2 points. I do hope that King Of stars wins for you or at the very least one of the others black rabbit and Budgie 65 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 Badeed has amazing speed figures (all of them) often produced without looking like it, this horse really is something special although i wont be backing it at this price its not really taking anything overly special on. 4/7 is excellent value by any measures, too much is made about it will it wont it get 10f not sure what the winning distance odds are but 6-8l is probable in my book. The Equaliser, MCLARKE and yossa6133 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, The Equaliser said: You must be the bravest punter I have ever known. I will back your selections each way for 6 places, your previous strategy, with a small ew bet on Makana. Total spend = 2 points. I do hope that King Of stars wins for you or at the very least one of the others Omg ...2nd ..and 3rd.I had a place bet on only that horse too just to win my money back so fight another day ....I can't believe 2nd .??...what a rating And he was beaten in a photo ...that's sickening urrgh Edited August 17, 2022 by richard-westwood The Equaliser, DanV89, vikki37 and 4 others 3 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 17, 2022 Share Posted August 17, 2022 21 minutes ago, Zilzalian said: not sure what the winning distance odds are but 6-8l is probable in my book. >4 lengths at 3/1? Possibly better than 7/4 to beat Frankel's record! Zilzalian and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.