JdsGooner90 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Share Posted September 17, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Share Posted September 17, 2022 Bet 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 17, 2022 Author Share Posted September 17, 2022 Bet 2 lost - Missed penalty in Germany ? Attempts 55 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£38.84 aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 21, 2022 Author Share Posted September 21, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 21, 2022 Author Share Posted September 21, 2022 Bet 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 21, 2022 Author Share Posted September 21, 2022 Bet 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 21, 2022 Author Share Posted September 21, 2022 Bet 3 lost - 1 goal short ? Attempts 56 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£43.84 aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 24, 2022 Author Share Posted September 24, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 24, 2022 Author Share Posted September 24, 2022 Bet 1 lost Attempts 47 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£48.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted September 29, 2022 Author Share Posted September 29, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 4, 2022 Author Share Posted October 4, 2022 Bet 1 lost Attempts 48 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£53.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 4, 2022 Author Share Posted October 4, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 4, 2022 Author Share Posted October 4, 2022 Bet 1 lost Attempts 49 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£58.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 4, 2022 Author Share Posted October 4, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 4, 2022 Author Share Posted October 4, 2022 Bet 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 Bet 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 Bet 3 lost - Galatasaray match the only youth game with no goal in first half ? Attempts 50 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£63.84 aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 I'd knock this thread on the head mate and concentrate on something more viable, like a slow and steady double up approach. Unless you find this so enjoyable that you're happy to do it accepting it as inevitably loss making. Granted my own fixed odds endeavours hardly mark me out as any sort of guru but I was struck quite strongly by the notion of a double placed with a bookie on games in the Thai FA Cup and involving Galatasaray's U19 side. First point, what do you (or any of us) know about these teams that gives us a real chance of beating the odds (unless you are a sailor in the Thai Navy whose loins bore fruit around 18 years ago when docked in Turkey)? It's going to be hard to find value prices on these games with a bookie, let alone two at once to combine into a double. I just feel these are the sort of games that no-one should really be trying to bet on unless they are bringing some genuine specialised knowledge to bear, especially with a bookie where the margin they are adding will mean you're almost always betting at worse than fair odds. It feels like a "random" way of betting with reference to the question asked by @Skittle on another thread recently. I'm sure you could devise a different combination of staking and bet selection that gave you as much enjoyment but a better chance of hitting break even. Skittle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 Hi Harry, I do enjoy these sort of challenges its just a shame they do not work out most of the time. I know its a big if but if that bet comes in then I have a pretty good chance of completing the challenge and then the overall thread looks OK again. I started the thread over 3 months ago and a £63 loss up till now is nothing extreme although I would rather be in profit obviously. I will give it a think if I should continue or not with it, the problem is trying to come up with a system that that is profitable in the long run. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 34 minutes ago, JdsGooner90 said: the problem is trying to come up with a system that that is profitable in the long run. Yeah, that's the eternal problem regardless of bet type of price range! The bottom line is whether you find value/beat the odds or not, though at very short prices a run of good or bad luck can make it look like you've cracked it or are cursed. Sometimes the staking plan makes it an uphill struggle before you start (maybe this one, my original "juggernaut" staking which was too heavy on the loss recovery aspect). There's a lot to be said for the simple roll over approach, whether with a view to doubling up or a different target. If you're finding fair odds on average you should pretty much break even in the long run. I also think, in the goals markets at least, you're more likely to get the best price on the exchanges and will struggle if taking bookies prices. Most of my bets in here do seem to be with the bookies but they're in obscure markets that aren't readily available elsewhere. Big favourites in rugby who are a decent price to lead at any time or in football to get a corner in both halves. I think it's best to stick to the exchanges unless a bookie has an eccentric approach to pricing a particular market. Good luck whatever you decide. Maybe have a crack at spread betting! Skittle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 I completed 3 challenges in 29 attempts at the start of this thread , has now been 21 cracks at it since a winner so feel I am due one Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 Bet 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 Bet 2 lost - goal in Norway but Arsenal is still 2-0 with 80 minutes on the clock ? Attempts 51 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£68.84 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 17 minutes ago, JdsGooner90 said: Bet 2 lost - goal in Norway but Arsenal is still 2-0 with 80 minutes on the clock ? At least Vieira scored for me, shame it was too late for you. I’d assumed he’d have been subbed by that point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 17 minutes ago, harry_rag said: At least Vieira scored for me, shame it was too late for you. I’d assumed he’d have been subbed by that point. Just goes to show it doesn’t matter if you know the teams you are betting on or if it is random, that was part of the bet I was more confident with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 Did you get much of a better price as opposed to the >2.5 price? Not a market I’ve played much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Did you get much of a better price as opposed to the >2.5 price? Not a market I’ve played much. Didn’t see the odds for over 2.5 goals, probably something like 1/8. Its done now, just going through a rough patch with no luck at the moment hopefully due some soon. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 9, 2022 Author Share Posted October 9, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 9, 2022 Author Share Posted October 9, 2022 Bet 1 lost - Goal in Miami but ends 1-2 at Everton ? Attempts 52 Challenges complete 3 Thread bank -£73.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted October 13, 2022 Author Share Posted October 13, 2022 Bet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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