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Racing Chat- Sunday 17th April


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8 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

As highlighted in Notebook Horses Barati runs at Longchamp 435 it is 2/1, i wont mind betting it ends up evens

Some pretty decent races in france (longchamp) today, Fabre has a strong hand in many the only problem is they are usually very bad value so its wise to look for the "false" prices and punt against them, one that stuck out last night was Acer Alley who looked very smart on occasions last year and 12/1 represents good value in my opinion.

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These are the 3 trainer/jockey combinations I am following for April

Grant Tuer/Oliver Stammers
Runs 7 - L L L L L L L

A D Brown/Paula Muir
Runs 2 - L L

K A Ryan/Kevin Stott
Runs 22 - L L L L L L W L L L L NR L L L L L NR L L L L

Bets 31 - Profit 0 - Loss 240

Winning Price 4/1 NR NR

Around halfway through the month never shown a profit losses getting steep. Will keep going till the end of the month then revaluate the situation.

Today's Runner

Newbury
5.05 Digital 3/1

Plus a couple of my own picks

Newbury
4.31 Auriferous 9/2

5.40 Private Signal 5/2

Good luck all CNBB.

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Well, quite a few open races with my adjusted price criteria, lets' hope I do better than the UK does in the Eurovision song contest

My Trixie today is:

4.52 Sou Twentysharesofgrey 3/1

5.45 Plum Mr Yeats 7/2

6.00 Sou Down To The Kid 11/4

1 x 4 pt win Trixie = poss return of 117.38

Cover Bets

4.52 Sou Della Mare 1 pt win at 5.6, Jack Ryan 0.5 pt at 5/1 (short) and Crunchie 0.5 pts at 11/1

5.45 Plum Fred Bear 1 pt win at 5.4, Danzini 0.5 pts at 5/1 (short) and Age Of Wisdom 0.5 pts at 13/2

6.00 Sou Vaynor 1 pt win at 6.2, Foreshadow 05. pts at 5/1 (short) and Belle Of Annandale 0.5 pts at 13/2

Total stakes = 10 points

 

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16 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

As highlighted in Notebook Horses Barati runs at Longchamp 435 it is 2/1, i wont mind betting it ends up evens

 

Baratti another one from the notebook wins after being headed in the straight (looked beat), unusual performance 2/1 advised.

 

Thanks for sharing, followed you in at 7/4 ?

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10 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Well, quite a few open races with my adjusted price criteria, lets' hope I do better than the UK does in the Eurovision song contest

My Trixie today is:

4.52 Sou Twentysharesofgrey 3/1

5.45 Plum Mr Yeats 7/2

6.00 Sou Down To The Kid 11/4

1 x 4 pt win Trixie = poss return of 117.38

Cover Bets

4.52 Sou Della Mare 1 pt win at 5.6, Jack Ryan 0.5 pt at 5/1 (short) and Crunchie 0.5 pts at 11/1

5.45 Plum Fred Bear 1 pt win at 5.4, Danzini 0.5 pts at 5/1 (short) and Age Of Wisdom 0.5 pts at 13/2

6.00 Sou Vaynor 1 pt win at 6.2, Foreshadow 05. pts at 5/1 (short) and Belle Of Annandale 0.5 pts at 13/2

Total stakes = 10 points

 

RESULTS UPDATE

Not a disaster on a very challenging day.  Two seconds in the Trixie, one beaten a nose.  One singles winner which meant a loss of 4.49.  New method cum -8.13, MTD - 61.03 YTD - 216.84

Loads of meetings tomorrow so hopefully I will find some less competitive races to focus on

 

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