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Eredivisie Predictions > Apr 8th - 10th


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Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Tilburg

2022-04-08T20:00+02:00

 

Go Ahead Eagles

Doubtful: Luuk Brouwers (27/7 m, 2nd top scorer)

Out (injuries/other): Justin Bakker (9/1 d)

Suspended:

 

Willem II Tilburg

Doubtful: Ulrik Jenssen (21/0 d), Nasser El Khayati (2/0 m)

Out (injuries/other): Miquel Nelom (4/0 d), Ringo Meerveld (13/0 m), Thijs Oosting (3/2 f)

Suspended:

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Over/Under Goals
Go Ahead Eagles
14 home games
Willem II Tilburg
14 away games
79% Over 1.5 goals 71%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
21% Over 3.5 goals 29%
21% Over 4.5 goals 29%
14% Over 5.5 goals 7%
21% Under 1.5 goals 29%
50% Under 2.5 goals 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals at half-time 57%
50% Over 1.5 goals at half-time 36%
7% Over 2.5 goals at half-time 14%
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Utrecht -1.25 @2.17 & o3 @2.06

Min price to bet: -1.25 @1.95, o3 @1.97

Model +value: yes, v strong

Significant team news: - (fwd Veerman out for Utrecht, he has missed last 3; first choice lb Warmerdam doubtful)

Note: Utrecht in battle for Conf Lge playoffs, 5 pts ahead of Groningen who are chasing them; Sittard in the red zone, level on points with Sparta (releg playoff spot) and 1 point behind Willem II who are just outside the relegation zone. Considering Utrecht's position, we can say the visitors have an edge in motivation here, and also - Utrecht's form is not good, they have won just 1 of last 7 league games, none of last 4. Still, almost all stats suggest Sittard are the worst of 5 relegation candidates in Eredivise, they have the worst diffs in shots, shots on tgt and corner kicks, and at -34 by far the worst goal difference. Not all is bad though, as offensively they are not sooo bad, in fact only 6th worst in big chances created (Utrecht are 4th in the league) and also 5th from bottom in avg shots on target per game... but 60 conceded goals is joint-worst, with Cambuur. Current price on the hosts seems just too high, same goes for TG, we would go with 71% Utrecht as minimum, TG 3.30+; similar confidence in both, no real pref. Rainy weather conditions.

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