Darran Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Some of you might remember that I have a share in a filly in Australia and she has the first start of her 2nd prep on Thursday morning at Kyneton (R3 4.30am). I think she has a decent chance at a double figure price and here are my thoughts on the leading contenders. Belle Et Riche - 3rd on debut at Moe last August wasn't a bad race with the winner winning at Moonee Valley since and the 4th won on its next start. That was on a Heavy 9 but seems to handle quicker ground based on her jump outs. Kashmere Star - Good 3rd on debut at Mornington in November behind an impressive winner who had been running in Group races. Let Fly - Was 2nd on her debut last April, but then not so good in her next two starts. Returned this prep with a fast finishing 2nd over course and distance 2 weeks ago. If she can repeat that effort then has a big chance here. Whywhywhydeliah - Was sent off fav on debut, but was disappointing. Stepped up on that on her 2nd start when 3rd 3 weeks later. Beneficio - She has progressed well since her last prep and was impressive when winning a jumpout recently. Usually she would have had a trial after that, but she's in such good form that the trainer has decided to send her straight to a race instead. The downside is she has drawn the outside stall, but she has so much speed from the gates that I think she will be able to track across without using too much energy up. The only other speed in the race from what I can see will come from Excela Bella who is actually drawn inside her so they might be able to come over together. She was a bit disappointing at Ballarat on the final start of her first prep, but she didn't seem to let herself down on the ground that day and the close 2nd over course and distance was a top class effort. On that effort she has a great e/w chance here. Verdict - I think the winner will come from the above 5 and I do think Beneficio is over priced at 10/1. The question will be if she can hold off the finishers in the final furlong, but at the very least I think she can finish in the first 3. I can see why Belle Et Riche is favourite, but I think Let Fly is the one who can take this out. He has the benefit from a recent race and clearly course and distance suits well based on that 2nd a couple of weeks ago. Obviously I hope Beneficio will be able to hold on, but if Let Fly repeats her finishing effort from a couple of weeks ago then she might just lose her maiden tag. Let Fly @ 11/4 with Paddy Power, William Hill, Betfair and Coral Beneficio e/w @ 10/1 with everyone apart from William Hill The Equaliser, blueboy199, MCLARKE and 6 others 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EviL ZippY Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 BOOM son! i got 11/1 at Lads with the boost button, cracking win, real pleased for you ? BBBC, Darran, kensland and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darran Posted March 31, 2022 Author Share Posted March 31, 2022 52 minutes ago, EviL ZippY said: BOOM son! i got 11/1 at Lads with the boost button, cracking win, real pleased for you ? Thank you that was some performance and well worth getting up and watching it live! Looking forward to seeing how she gets on out of maiden company. Doedelzak, kroni, MCLARKE and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fuzzy64 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Here we go! Warwick 1.00 Here's Me Mate 33/1 e/w Redbridge Rosie 14/1 1.30 Hana Collanges 5-1 2.05 Daenerys Stormborn 12-1 2.40 Hatchet Jack 7/2 3.15 Casa Tall 100/30 3.50 Nawza kensland and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fuzzy64 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Wetherby 2:15 Quiet Flow 4/1 2.50 The Sumba Island 8/1 3.25 Faro 8/1 3.58 Highway Companion 22/1 e/w Lingfield 1.50 Latent heat 15/2 2.25 Gun Dog 8/1 3.00 The Mad Monk 2/1 3.35 Arwaag 25/1 e/w Stormbreaker 13/2 kensland and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ratty Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Nice one Darran, always the sweeter when you own a part. Darran 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 My Trixie today is: 1.00 War Flaming Ambition 9/4 3.00 Lin Safety First 7/2 3.50 War Head Law 6/5 1 x 4 pt win Trixie = poss return 63.84 Singles: 3.00 Lin Ravi Road 1 pt win at 11.00 Outsiders: 1.00 War The Silver Ginge 0.5 pt 50/1 2.30 Naas Comedaygoday 0.5 pt 16/1 4.15 Naas Lonracha 0.5 pt 16/1 5.20 Naas Nights Of Doyen 0.5 pt at 33/1 = 7 points staked fuzzy64, azzybear, LEE-GRAYS and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 wind tor 2.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 150 ling Brunel charm 8.2 8.0 Glas Vegas 7.8 10.0 Prince rock 7.5 16.0 3x 5pt wins kensland, Wildgarden and fuzzy64 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 410 ling Clas azul ultra 8.2 3.9 Sixth street 7.7 8/1 Top exhibit 7.5 6/1 5pt wins top 2 fuzzy64, Wildgarden and kensland 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 1 hour ago, richard-westwood said: 150 ling Brunel charm 8.2 8.0 Glas Vegas 7.8 10.0 Prince rock 7.5 16.0 3x 5pt wins Pipped on line 2nd and 3rd ...unlucky again ...but running well kensland 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 AW selection Chemlsford 6.45 BLUE TRAIL 5/2 The Equaliser and kensland 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 prince esculas 3.15 kensland and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 (edited) Wetherby. Double 3.25.Rose Sea Has. 11/8.... 1st 4.33.Templebredin. 2/1... unpl singles & double. Good luck all. Edited March 31, 2022 by kensland The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 (edited) Chelmsford. Doubles. 3.30.Fen Tiger 7/1... unpl 4.05.Vape. 20/1.. unpl singles & double 4.40.Dubai Emperor. 5/4... unpl 5.10.Tilsworth Ony. Ta. 11/2... 2nd singles & double Good luck all. Edited March 31, 2022 by kensland fuzzy64 and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fuzzy64 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Chelmsford 4.40 Hackbury 11/2 5.10 Tilsworth Only Ta 6/1 5.45 Henery Hawk 5/1 6.:15 Mawkeb 9/2 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 3 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 410 ling Clas azul ultra 8.2 3.9 Sixth street 7.7 8/1 Top exhibit 7.5 6/1 5pt wins top 2 Pipped on line 2nd and 3rd again .so unlucky ...just not my day ? but that's the game ...ran well fuzzy64, vikki37, Wildgarden and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannotbebeat Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 One for me tonight 6.45 Chelmsford City Dark Moon Rising 9/1 Good luck all CNBB. kroni, fuzzy64, The Equaliser and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fuzzy64 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Chelmsford 6.15 Mr Professor 6.45 La Roca Del Fuego The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 4 hours ago, MCLARKE said: AW selection Chemlsford 6.45 BLUE TRAIL 5/2 Lost. A disappointing end to the month with 8 losers. Overall for the month 5 winners from 22 selections and a LSP loss of 3.85 points. Overall 32 / 135, lsp + 4.79 The Equaliser, richard-westwood, fuzzy64 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 11 hours ago, The Equaliser said: My Trixie today is: 1.00 War Flaming Ambition 9/4 3.00 Lin Safety First 7/2 3.50 War Head Law 6/5 1 x 4 pt win Trixie = poss return 63.84 Singles: 3.00 Lin Ravi Road 1 pt win at 11.00 Outsiders: 1.00 War The Silver Ginge 0.5 pt 50/1 2.30 Naas Comedaygoday 0.5 pt 16/1 4.15 Naas Lonracha 0.5 pt 16/1 5.20 Naas Nights Of Doyen 0.5 pt at 33/1 = 7 points staked RESULTS UPDATE Pity that Safety First failed to fire. At least I got a double and a miniscule profit of 0.15 pts. MTD -43.74 & YTD -155.81. I am hoping to do better next month MCLARKE and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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