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Ligue 1 Predictions > Mar 18th - 20th


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AS Saint-Étienne vs Troyes AC

2022-03-18T21:00+01:00

 

AS Saint-Étienne

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Crivelli (0/0 f), Sow (11/2 d), Maçon (18/0 d), Hamouma (18/1 f), Gnagnon (0/0 d), Neyou (13/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Troyes AC

Doubtful: Rami (13/3 d, 2nd top scorer)

Out (injuries/other): Azamoum (7/0 m), Rodrigues (12/1 f), Moulin (0/0 g), Domingues (11/1 m), Kaboré (22/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

 

Over/Under Goals
AS Saint-Étienne
14 home games
Troyes AC
14 away games
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
64% Over 2.5 goals 50%
43% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
14% Under 1.5 goals 14%
36% Under 2.5 goals 50%
71% Over 0.5 goals at half-time 64%
21% Over 1.5 goals at half-time 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals at half-time 29%
Edited by malabgd
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Monaco vs PSG

Monaco prepares for this match after a 1:1 Europa League tied result against Braga. They got eliminated from the continental stage and can now fully focus on the domestic campaign. The hosts sit in 8th place in Ligue 1, but they still can challenge another continental qualification. It has not been often in recent times that Monaco has kept a clean sheet. It will be a concern for them that Monaco has been scored against in 5 of their previous six matches, giving up eight goals along the way. Coming into this meeting, Monaco is without a win at home for the past two league games. They now face the best team in the league and should put on an excellent display to pick up some points.

PSG will come into the match following on from a 3:0 Ligue 1 win to defeat Girondins de Bordeaux in their previous fixture. Despite an easy win in that match, the Parisiens are in a bad momentum due to being eliminated in the Champions League. Mauricio Pochettino's Paris Saint-Germain have seen their goal attempts be successful a total of 9 times in the course of their previous six matches. The overall goals that have been scored against them during those same clashes equal 8. PSG is 15 points clear from Marseille, and they will likely win the title. However, they need to stabilize the form and set up a good foundation for the next season’s challenges.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Neither team can be satisfied with its current form, and although PSG is a favorite, they lost twice in a row away from home. On the other hand, Monaco had a mid-week match against Braga, but we don’t think they will lose this one by more than one goal.

Goals Market Prediction

Both teams have participated in many high-scoring matches this season, and this one shouldn't be much different. Therefore, we expect this one to go over a 2.5 margin.

Monaco AH +1 @ 1.50

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.65

Correct score 1:1 @13.00

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Marseille -1/4 @1.85

Min price to bet: -1/4 @1.80 or -1/2 @2.10

Model +value: yes

Significant team news: Nice's cb Dante and rm Boudaoui are suspended

Note: Match of the day in France, 2nd against 3rd. Marseille have lost their last 2 home league games and are only 5-5-4 at home so far this season; record that is beaten even by Nice's away 8-3-3, plus their schedule is v congested so Nice should be the fresher side; but we still think the hosts have ~51% chance to win this. Nice were very poor at Montpellier last week even before Dante's red card (35th min), actually except for their big 1-0 win against PSG they've been quite poor recently in all games, lucky 0-0 at Strasbourg, difficult 1-0 v poor Angers and they were powerless in 2-0 loss to Lyon. If we look at these last 5, Nice have been outshot by 8.0 shots on avg, by 2.6 shots on target and they were -4.6 per game in corner kicks diff; xG is showing they were 'stealing' almost a full goal per game in last 5. Of course, this is a highly talented team, some good investments before this season and no hiding of ambition either; but for our money they are still behind both Lyon and this Marseille team, and especially behind brilliant Rennes. Weather should be ok, perhaps a bit windy but nothing serious.

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