harry_rag Posted October 20, 2022 Author Share Posted October 20, 2022 Bet 179 (15.3) 14.15 points >0.5 1st half goals in the Real Madrid Women's CL game ay 1.12 Missed the match but no goal 7 minutes in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 21, 2022 Author Share Posted October 21, 2022 Another one bites the dust! To be honest it was a borderline bet where I was seduced by the odds given the high goals expectation and supremacy for the game. Obviously we tend to remember those bets when they lose and forget the times we felt similar but the bet won. That said, there was a degree of impatience in taking that bet which I've largely managed to eliminate. Back to trying to stick to bets that I won't have any recriminations about placing in the event that they lose. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 22, 2022 Author Share Posted October 22, 2022 Bet 180 (16.1): 12 points on Man City 1+ corners in each half v Brighton at 1/33 with Hills Back on more familiar ground here. Not a cert by any means but should land at home to relatively modest opponents. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 22, 2022 Author Share Posted October 22, 2022 Bet 180 (16.2) 12 points on neither team to score 0 points in France v England (RLWC) at 1/6 with 365 England should win, maybe by less than the handicap. I expect a fired up France and think those odds are generous for neither team being shut out entirely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 22, 2022 Author Share Posted October 22, 2022 1 hour ago, harry_rag said: Bet 180 (16.2) 12 points on neither team to score 0 points in France v England (RLWC) at 1/6 with 365 England should win, maybe by less than the handicap. I expect a fired up France and think those odds are generous for neither team being shut out entirely. 18-12 at half time so weighed in. That’s actually bet 181. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 23, 2022 Author Share Posted October 23, 2022 Bet 182 (16.3): 14 points on either team to score 40+ points in Samoa v Greece at 1/8 with Sky Bet Not without risk obviously but Samoa are in for 60 points with the spread firms and should be eager to make amends for their drubbing against England. 1/50 for 30+ is obviously safer but, at the prices, I'd rather be hung for a sheep than a lamb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 23, 2022 Author Share Posted October 23, 2022 42-0 at half time! aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 24, 2022 Author Share Posted October 24, 2022 Bet 183 (16.4) 16 points on neither team to score 0 points in Tonga v Wales (RLWC) at 1/6 with 365 I envisage Tonga winning but failing to cover the spreads in the high 40s. I think Wales will score and (more importantly) that the true odds for the shut out are shorter than 1/6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 25, 2022 Author Share Posted October 25, 2022 Bet 184 (16.5) 20 points on either team to score 20+ points at 1/8 with Sky Bet in PNG v Cook Islands PNG fancied to win a high scoring game here. There were a few potential angles but this one seemed to strike the best balance in terms of value and being a bit of a bigger price. Could've got 1/6 for PNG hitting 20 but thought I'd have a bit of insurance against the game going the other way. They do hold a 5-0 head to head record, scoring an average of 38.4 points per game. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 28, 2022 Author Share Posted October 28, 2022 Bet 185 (16.6) 12 points on either team to score 40+ points in New Zealand v Ireland at 1/4 with Sky Bet Just staking what's required to achieve the double up. I expect New Zealand to steamroller Ireland here and would be surprised to see them fall short of 40 points. Same price with Betway for any player to score 2+ tries was tempting as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 28, 2022 Author Share Posted October 28, 2022 Bet 186 (17.1): 12 points on New Zealand women to score 3 unanswered tries v Wales women at 1/6 with 365 Looks very generous from my experience of this market given the sizeable handicap start received by Wales. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 29, 2022 Author Share Posted October 29, 2022 Bet 187 (17.2) 14 points on England NOT to trail in the match v Greece at 1/5 with 365 Maybe I'm being greedy here but I think the odds are generous. The same firm go 10/1 for Greece to score first and that's the only way I see them leading at all in this match. I think England win easily and from pretty much start to finish. I think they'd trail to opponents of this quality less often that once in every 6 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 29, 2022 Author Share Posted October 29, 2022 With the score 44-4 at half time I'm going to call that one a winner! England were 10-0 up when Greece scored their try. Looks like a case of "how many" from here on in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 30, 2022 Author Share Posted October 30, 2022 Bet 188 (17.3): 20 points on neither team to score 0 points in Tonga v Cook Islands at 1/14 with 365 Accidently over-staked this by 3 points but letting it ride! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 2, 2022 Author Share Posted November 2, 2022 Bet 189 (17.4): 18 points on Man City 1+ corners in each half v Sevilla at 1/20 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 5, 2022 Author Share Posted November 5, 2022 Bet 190 (17.5): 20 points on England to score a try in both halves v PNG at 1/16 Betway aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 5, 2022 Author Share Posted November 5, 2022 Bet 191 (17.6) 20 points on New Zealand to score 20+ points v Fiji at 1/20 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 6, 2022 Author Share Posted November 6, 2022 Bet 192 (17.7): 21 points on Tonga to score 10+ points v Samoa at 1/14 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 11, 2022 Author Share Posted November 11, 2022 Bet 193 (17.8): 23 points on Australia to score 14+ points v New Zealand at 1/14 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 12, 2022 Author Share Posted November 12, 2022 Another double up done. Bet 194 (18.1): 12 points on England to score 14+ points v Samoa at 1/8 with 365 aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 13, 2022 Author Share Posted November 13, 2022 Double up tally is currently 9-8 and one bet into the 18th attempt. "Juggernaut" staking plan: 122 bets and -25.6 points Double up approach: 72 bets and +21.41 points Total: 194 bets and -4.19 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 19, 2022 Author Share Posted November 19, 2022 Bet 195 (18.2): 14 points on neither team to score 0 points in Australia v Samoa at 1/20 with 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 23, 2022 Author Share Posted November 23, 2022 Bet 196 (18.3): 14 points on Costa Rica >0.5 cards v Spain at 1/18 with PP I know we've seen some shocks at this World Cup but surely CR don't navigate 100+ minutes against Spain without drawing a single card of either hue! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 23, 2022 Author Share Posted November 23, 2022 I'm not sure whether to feel lucky I got even one card or unfortunate that I didn't get more than the two for my "proper" bet on >2.5! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 24, 2022 Author Share Posted November 24, 2022 Bet 197 (18.4): 15 points on Ronaldo to have a shot from outside the box v Ghana at 21/50 with Lads Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 24, 2022 Author Share Posted November 24, 2022 Bet 198 (18.5?): 21 points on at least one card in each half in Portugal v Ghana at 1/14 Hills I think the odds of at least one 2nd half card should be much shorter than that. Bet 197 not settled yet; if it loses then this will be an overstaked bet 1 of the next attempt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 24, 2022 Author Share Posted November 24, 2022 Card didn’t take long to come, over to you Ronnie! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 24, 2022 Author Share Posted November 24, 2022 No Ronnie “attempted screamer” so the next bet will be 199 (19.2). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 26, 2022 Author Share Posted November 26, 2022 Bet 199 (19.2): 10 points on Lewandowski to have a shot on target v Saudi Arabia at evens with Hill By no means a cert but I’m happy that it’s a genuine odds on shot and worth the risk. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 28, 2022 Author Share Posted November 28, 2022 That sees me half a point short of a double up so call it done. Bet 200 (20.1): 12 points on Uruguay to get at least one card v Portugal at 1/25 with PP. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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