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Primeira Liga Predictions > Dec 28th - Jan 3rd


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  • 2 weeks later...

Sporting Lisboa vs Portimonense SC

2021-12-29T22:00+01:00

 

Sporting Lisboa

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Ugarte (8/0 m, Covid-19), Pedro Porro (11/2 d), Feddal (7/0 d), Jovane Cabral (9/1 f), Rúben Vinagre (6/0 d)

Suspended: Luís Neto (9/0 d), Bruno Tabata (9/0 f)

 

Portimonense SC

Doubtful: Nakajima (5/1 f)

Out (injuries/other): Lazaar (1/0 m)

Suspended: Carlinhos (15/2 d), Aylton Boa Morte (15/3 f)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Overall Stats
Sporting Lisboa
8 home games
Portimonense SC
7 away games
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.1 Goals conceded per game 0.7
88% Clean sheets 57%
100% Team scored 86%
50% Team scored twice 29%
25% Scored in both halves 29%
38% Goal in both halves 71%
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Guimaraes v Boavista: 12.5 points on <60 booking points at evens with Sky Bet

3 games in Portugal today and ref Rui Costa has the lowest average of the 3 officials and shows less than 60 points in more than half his games. SX go 62-66 for this game so that's a cautionary note for going low but, looking back on my betting this year it seems that unders is a more viable betting proposition that going high.

This and the game at Sporting Lisbon are bets in my 4-6 cards system, the latter game seeming the stronger bet on ref Nobre's stats (he "middles" in more than half his games). He has the highest average of today's 3 ref's but, at 54-58, the game has the lowest bookings expectation. My gut would want me to back 60+ points at 11/10 based on ref stats but my betting this year would suggest risking <50 at 5/4. I'll stick with the 4-6 cards bet for this game.

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Porto vs Benfica

Porto, along with Sporting, still hasn’t tasted a defeat this season, and they are three points behind the defending champions, with one game in hand. Sergio Conceicao’s side missed the chance to win only twice in the Primeira Liga this season, and they are among the hottest title contenders. The Dragons booked ten straight wins in the Portuguese top flight, and they want to keep up where they left off. They’ve been excellent in defense, as Porto managed to keep the clean sheet in the previous four matches in all competitions. The only concern ahead of this game is Luis Diaz’s absence due to being tested positive for Covid-19. Porto looks forward to repeating the display a week ago against the same opponent when they celebrated a 3:0 victory.

Jorge Jesus returned to Benfica’s post, but after an initial series of good results, some problems appeared in the locker room. Benfica is four points behind their upcoming rivals and seven behind Sporting, so they need to win this to stay close to the top spot. They lost in Derby de Lisboa three rounds ago, and Benfica cannot afford another failure in such an important game. Darwin Nunez and the lads are the most efficient team in the competition, but their poor defending in some games cost them vital points. Benfica needs to bounce back forget its latest display against Porto to get a chance of taking valuable points.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Although derbies are always tough to predict, we believe the hosts can continue their winning streak. The game could easily go either way, but Porto is full of confidence and the Dragons should pick up all three points.

Goals Market Prediction

Their latest clash was pretty efficient since we saw three goals already in the first half. However, this time we expect a tighter match, and both teams might be a bit more careful. Therefore, this encounter should stay under a 2.5 margin.

Porto to Win @ 1.85 

Under 2.5 FT @ 2.10 

Correct score 1:0 @ 7.60

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  • StevieDay1983 changed the title to Primeira Liga Predictions > Dec 28th - Jan 3rd

Vizela will face Moreirense at home.

 

Vizela

Vizela have improved in recent matches, with 3 wins and 3 losses in 6 matches, but their form is very inconsistent. They won 2, drew 4 and lost 2 in 8 home games, not so good.

 

Moreirense

Moreirense, who lost away to Tondela in the last round, have been in poor form with just one win, one draw and four defeats in their last six games. They are one point behind the safety zone and will have to go all out.

 

Verdict:

There is not much difference between the two sides, but the home team is in better form. The 1X2 first odds is 2.30-3.25-3.10, seems no clearly support to both side. Vizela should unbeaten in this game.

 

Pick: 1X

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