Dodging Bullets Whilst Watching Paint Dry...

[harry_rag]

Bet 59: 10 points on Holland +1 v Sweden (Women's Euros) at 1.01

[harry_rag]

25 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Bet 59: 10 points on Holland +1 v Sweden (Women's Euros) at 1.01

Let's try that again! Holland +3 v Portugal! 

[aldric]

Good luck ?.  I've placed the same bet but not matched so letting it go in play.

[harry_rag]

1 minute ago, aldric said:

Good luck ?.  I've placed the same bet but not matched so letting it go in play.

There was a bit in front of me when I put the request up, I set it to go in play and was surprised to see it matched before.

[aldric]

Nice one ?

Mine got matched, probably when Portugal scored but then got ruled out ?

[harry_rag]

Bets 60 and 61: 10 points each on Smith and McIlroy for top 10 finishes in the Open at 1.01

[harry_rag]

Bet 62: 10 points on Hahn top 10 finish at 1.01 in the 3M Open.

[harry_rag]

Bet 63: 10 points on Henley top 20 finish at 1.01 in the Rocket Mortgage Classic

[harry_rag]

Bet 64: 1.78 points on Cantlay top 10 finish at 1.01 in the same event.

Only part matched.

[harry_rag]

64 bets and bank stands at 22.12

[harry_rag]

Bet 65: 4.95 points on Benfica +3 v Midjytlland at 1.01 (partial match, balance left to go in play)

[harry_rag]

Bet 66: 10 points on Wigan to reach 10 points v Warrington at 1/80 with 365

[harry_rag]

Bet 67: 10 points on St Helens to reach 10 points v Castleford at 1/66 with 365

[harry_rag]

Bet 68: Wyndham Championship 10 points McGreevy top 20 finish at 1.01

[harry_rag]

68 bets and bank stands at 23 points.

[harry_rag]

Bet 69: 10 points on Wigan to beat Catalans at 1.02

[harry_rag]

Bet 70: 10 points on Toulouse to trail at anytime v St Helens at 1/100 with 365

[harry_rag]

Bet 71: 10 points on Zebre to trail at anytime v Munster at 1/100 with 365

[harry_rag]

71 bets and bank stands at 23.4 points.

[harry_rag]

Bet 72: 10 points on Bayern +3 v Plzen at 1.01

[harry_rag]

Bet 73: 10 points on 1 or more shots on target in Man C v Copenhagen at 1.01

(Matched for 9 so far, will confirm whether the rest gets matched before the off.) I'm no expert on this market but I'm pretty sure this isn't the match where you'd want to take 100/1 about both teams failing to register a single S.o.T.!

[harry_rag]

1 hour ago, harry_rag said:

Bet 73: 10 points on 1 or more shots on target in Man C v Copenhagen at 1.01

(Matched for 9 so far, will confirm whether the rest gets matched before the off.)

Just matched for the 9 points.

[harry_rag]

Bet 74: 9 points on 1 or more shots on target in Forest v Villa at 1.01

[Skittle]

That's some bet, which firm is doing that?

[harry_rag]

10 hours ago, Skittle said:

That's some bet, which firm is doing that?

It’s on BF for certain games, perhaps just Champions League and the EPL at the moment, markets for 1 or more through to 20 or more. Doesn’t seem to be a huge amount of liquidity yet. Might be worth researching average shots on target to get a better understanding of what the prices should be. I believe 9 is fairly typical.

[Skittle]

I'm surprised I haven't noticed it before as I'm on there for 99% of my betting. .........................Eyes peeled and ready.

[harry_rag]

Bet 75: 9 points on 1 or more shots on target in AC Milan v Chelsea at 1.01

Seems to be a bit of a theme of these bets getting taken just for the £9 though the first one was matched for the full £10 as was Everton v Man U which I didn't notice in time to post. I'm doing a bit of reading about shots stats but I think for most games that 1.01 is bigger than the true odds. (Apparently, when losing 3-0 to PSG in 2019, Real Madrid failed to register a shot on target for the first time in 587 games!)

[harry_rag]

1 hour ago, harry_rag said:

Bet 75: 9 points on 1 or more shots on target in AC Milan v Chelsea at 1.01

Well that was the only one of today's 8 games I got matched on. I was also matched for a bit on 6+ SoT at 2.4 which seems ok as 365 have 9 or more as the coin toss line. A shade under £800 was matched in total for this game so there's not a huge amount of liquidity as yet.

[Skittle]

I had a gander earlier but there was nothing of note for me. Busy after that so I missed out.

[harry_rag]

75 bets and bank stands at 23.77 points (from initial 10 point bank).

Given the current potential bets in the SoT market there's the possibility for a few more bets to be in play at any one time. With that in mind I'm going to top the bank up by 90 points (so it's a 100 point start bank rather than 10 point and, currently, 13.77 points profit). It's either that or more bets to smaller stakes. Doesn't really matter when the aim is consecutive bets but might as well stick with the target tenner stakes.

16 hours ago, harry_rag said:

I was also matched for a bit on 6+ SoT at 2.4 which seems ok as 365 have 9 or more as the coin toss line.

That bet lost, came up one short. I'd still say it was value at the price and probably scuppered by Milan's red card.