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Non-League predictions > 11th December

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York City v Chorley

Just putting this one up quite early as the price on Chorley has already shortened from 13/5 to 15/8.  Now, whilst Chorley are not amazing on the road, equally York are pretty ordinary everywhere at the moment.  The club is in disarray and the manager came out after they were comfortably outplayed by Gateshead on Tuesday and said that recruits are the only thing that will solve York's problems.  To date it doesn't appear as though that will happen in time for Saturday.  He also said booing from the fans will not help their cause. 
With ticket prices cut for Saturday there could be a large crowd but that is likely to be counter productive for City as the fans are getting very vocal in their displeasure at the level of performances they have seen this season and do not respond too well to being cajoled by the manager.
11th v 3rd, and the only reason York started as odds on favourites is their 'name'.  Hereford and Kettering have already beaten City at home and 3 goals in the last 7 games isn't going to reduce the anxiety levels.  I see this as 6/4 for both teams at best so I think there is still some value in taking Chorley.

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These are the 3 of my original tips that still offer value. I too am on Chorley although they are marginal value now.
Eastleigh v Aldershot
On the face of it Aldershot look in good form, but I think a lot of that is down to the fact they have had the right fixtures to see them get points on the board. Their xG hasn't been overly impressive despite the fact they have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 4 games and I think they face their toughest test of this run of fixtures. They blew a 2 goal lead against Altrincham last week and Eastleigh's home form has been very impressive with them winning 5 times and losing just once. The loss came in their opening home game of the season as well and they beat Notts County in their last home game. They also went to Dagenham and won in their last fixture. The slight concern is they haven't played since the 23rd November so they maybe a bit rusty, but that is factored into the price for me and they look a solid bet.
Yeovil v Barnet
A good win for Yeovil in the FA Cup last week over Stevenage which continued their strong run of form. They haven't lost in 7 league games now, but they have had a bit of fortune in that time and they did only draw against Dover recently. Barnet have done us a couple of good favours in the last few weeks and they look a big price to me here. They have deserved their last 3 wins over Torquay, Woking and Maidenhead and as I have mentioned Dean Brennan has transformed the sides fortunes. It's still a mystery as to why he hasn't been given the job on a full time basis. They are more than capable of picking up another 3 points here.
I am really keen on both Notts County and Stockport County winning on Saturday so I am going to stick them both in a double. Notts County host Southend and they still look way off the pace. Their xG in the win over Altrincham was only 0.49 and Maidenhead had a slightly higher one than them in the draw on Tuesday night. They were pretty poor in the 2nd half and I think they are going to really struggle to get anything from a trip to Meadow Lane. Stockport meanwhile travel to Torquay and if Stockport continue to play as they have been then they will gain another 3 points. They were unlucky to lose to Rotherham in the FA Cup last week and they just look a different side under Challinor. They are creating plenty of chances and scoring goals and Torquay are just nowhere near the levels that they were at last season. They did deserve to beat Weymouth last week, but they have been struggling against the better sides in the division and Stockport are certainly one of those. 
Eastleigh 2pts @ 6/5 with William Hill (take up to 5/6)
Barnet 1pt @ 5/2 with BetVictor (take up to 2/1)
Notts County/Stockport County 2.5pts double @ 2.4/1 with Bet365 and Betfred (take up to 15/8)
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