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Bundesliga II Predictions > Dec 10th - 12th


Benny1887
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Paderborn - Darmstadt (11.12.)

Paderborn (+0) @1.97 (Pinnacle)

 

I don't understand why Paderborn have such a large price here. They are one of the greatest teams in BL2, and I am aware of the fact that their home record isn't the best, however that has to do with the fact that they do not like to play against very defensive opponents. This will not be the case against Darmstadt, however, who have a very offensive philosophy. They will get a lot more space than in their home games against Rostock (1:1) or Ingolstadt (2:1) when they did not look good in both games. But yes, as I mentioned, the situation will be completely different against Darmstadt. BL2 top goalgetter Michel returns from his yellow lock for this match, and this will be a big game against a direct competitor for promotion.
 
Darmstadt come from a rather weak home display against Dusseldorf (1:3). Nevertheless, they are undoubtedly one of the most positive surprises of this season. But realistically, they have also been slightly overperforming, being over efficient in many games. They somehow subsist on the great run of Pfeiffer and Titz, who are good strikers, but I doubt that both strikers will be able to hold this high scoring rate. Defensively, Darmstadt have some weak points and pace issues, so I could imagine them to get some problems against Paderborn's offensive line, which is the fastest one in BL2.
 
Altogether, Paderborn is the slightly better team in my book. They have advantages in terms of pace and also individual quality. The fact that Darmstadt is a team with an offensive mindset that actively participates is an advantage for Paderborn and will likely make them look better than in their home games as big favourites. Paderborn are the favourites here, and those odds are clearly too large.
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Jahn Regensburg

They lose to Heidenheimer at 3-0 in last game. They are not in form recently, getting 1W-3L, which makes them down to the third in the table of the League. They play poorly on defensive, with 1.44 conceding goals in average of this season.

 

Werder Bremen

They get a 4-0 clean sheet from Erzgebirge Aue in last game under the management of their new coach, O. Werner, which inspires them a lot. It is mainly because Erzgebirge Aue are lack competitiveness. O. Werner do not have much coaching experience.

 

Verdict:

Werder Bremen win over Jahn Regensburg at 0-1 in their last clash even if they are traveller. But Jahn Regensburg have home advantage. And Werder Bremen are in adjustment. So the victory is tending to the host.

 

1X2 Pick: 1

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Jahn Regensburg vs Werder Bremen

2021-12-10T18:30+01:00

 

Jahn Regensburg

Doubtful: Makridis (11/3 f, probably in), Beste (14/3 d), Kennedy (8/1 d), Albers (14/2 f)

Out (injuries/other):

Suspended: Otto (10/2 f)

 

Werder Bremen

Doubtful: Rapp (11/2 d), Chiarodia (0/0 d)

Out (injuries/other): Weiser (10/1 d), Mai (11/0 d), Schmidt (11/1 m), Dinkci (11/0 f)(all Covid-19), Woltemade (2/0 f), Nankishi (6/0 f)

Suspended:

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics
Jahn Regensburg scored at least one goal in 100% of home games.
Jahn Regensburg scored at least two goals in 100% of home games.
Jahn Regensburg scored in both halves in 88% of home games.
69% chance that both Jahn Regensburg and Werder Bremen will score in this game.
63% chance that both Jahn Regensburg and Werder Bremen will score in second-half.
69% chance that both team will score and goal count will be over 2.5 goals.
94% chance that there will be more than 1 goal in this game.
94% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game.
57% chance that there will be more than 3 goals in this game.
94% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half.
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Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen (11.12.)

Sandhausen +1.25 @1.80 (Pinnacle)

 

This line is way too massive and odds are too one-sided. Kiel has not been stable enough in this season to be favourite on such a big handicap. Also, they are too shaky in the defense and especially through set pieces, Sandhausen should come to chances. 

There is not even much more to add. Of course, Kiel are better than the table situation, and of course, Sandhausen are among the worst teams in the league. But this line just does not make sense. Last week, Sandhausen went in +0 at home against top team Paderborn and just seven days later, they are on a +1.25 handicap? That does not make sense at all.

All in all, I expect Kiel to dominate this match, but Sandhausen can easily score through a set piece or counter. Their two most important players Diekmeier and Testroet have returned from injuries, after they had been out at the earlier stages of this season. Their squad is basically full strength, whereas Kiel miss regular player van den Bergh and creative player Mees. So as already stated, odds are way too one-sided here and should not represent the relative team strengths of both sides. 

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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen

Kick Off: 12/12/2021 12:30

 

Eintracht Frankfurt

After suffering a 3-2 defeat to Hoffenheim last weekend, Frankfurt's three successive Bundesliga victories came to an end. This disappointing result put Oliver Glasner's team in 12th place. Their relationship with the playoffs is only 5 points behind, although they are only 5 points behind the top six of the list. They drew 1-1 with Fenerbahce in the Europa League on Thursday, which is enough to ensure their top place in the group.

Bayer Leverkusen

After winning three consecutive Bundesliga games, including a 7-1 victory over Greuther Furth last weekend, Bayer Leverkusen will enter the game in an amazing domestic form. Like Sunday's opponents, when the top place of the group has been guaranteed in the Europa League, the team lost 1-0 to Ferencvarosi away. Gerardo Seoane's side have taken 15 points on the road this season - only Bayern Munich have got more away points in the Bundesliga this season.

 

Prediction

Frankfurt have won only one home league game this season. Considering this, we think the visiting team will win on Sunday because they still haven't lost in the away game of the Bundesliga this season.

 

Pick: Bayer Leverkusen

Final Results: 1-2, 1-3

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Karlsruhe - Heidenheim

Karlsruhe +0.25 @1.83 (ISN)

This line is way too massive and odds are too one-sided. Kiel has not been stable enough in this season to be favourite on such a big handicap. Also, they are too shaky in the defense and especially through set pieces, Sandhausen should come to chances. 

There is not even much more to add. Of course, Kiel are better than the table situation, and of course, Sandhausen are among the worst teams in the league. But this line just does not make sense. Last week, Sandhausen went in +0 at home against top team Paderborn and just seven days later, they are on a +1.25 handicap? That does not make sense at all.

All in all, I expect Kiel to dominate this match, but Sandhausen can easily score through a set piece or counter. Their two most important players Diekmeier and Testroet have returned from injuries, after they had been out at the earlier stages of this season. Their squad is basically full strength, whereas Kiel miss regular player van den Bergh and creative player Mees. So as already stated, odds are way too one-sided here and should not represent the relative team strengths of both sides. 

Edited by Benny1887
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On 12/8/2021 at 1:35 PM, Benny1887 said:

Paderborn - Darmstadt (11.12.)

Paderborn (+0) @1.97 (Pinnacle)

 

I don't understand why Paderborn have such a large price here. They are one of the greatest teams in BL2, and I am aware of the fact that their home record isn't the best, however that has to do with the fact that they do not like to play against very defensive opponents. This will not be the case against Darmstadt, however, who have a very offensive philosophy. They will get a lot more space than in their home games against Rostock (1:1) or Ingolstadt (2:1) when they did not look good in both games. But yes, as I mentioned, the situation will be completely different against Darmstadt. BL2 top goalgetter Michel returns from his yellow lock for this match, and this will be a big game against a direct competitor for promotion.
 
Darmstadt come from a rather weak home display against Dusseldorf (1:3). Nevertheless, they are undoubtedly one of the most positive surprises of this season. But realistically, they have also been slightly overperforming, being over efficient in many games. They somehow subsist on the great run of Pfeiffer and Titz, who are good strikers, but I doubt that both strikers will be able to hold this high scoring rate. Defensively, Darmstadt have some weak points and pace issues, so I could imagine them to get some problems against Paderborn's offensive line, which is the fastest one in BL2.
 
Altogether, Paderborn is the slightly better team in my book. They have advantages in terms of pace and also individual quality. The fact that Darmstadt is a team with an offensive mindset that actively participates is an advantage for Paderborn and will likely make them look better than in their home games as big favourites. Paderborn are the favourites here, and those odds are clearly too large.

FT 0:1 - bet lost - It was a game with basically no chances. Darmstadt were slightly more active, so their win wasn't undeserved.

On 12/11/2021 at 9:16 AM, Benny1887 said:

Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen (11.12.)

Sandhausen +1.25 @1.80 (Pinnacle)

 

This line is way too massive and odds are too one-sided. Kiel has not been stable enough in this season to be favourite on such a big handicap. Also, they are too shaky in the defense and especially through set pieces, Sandhausen should come to chances. 

There is not even much more to add. Of course, Kiel are better than the table situation, and of course, Sandhausen are among the worst teams in the league. But this line just does not make sense. Last week, Sandhausen went in +0 at home against top team Paderborn and just seven days later, they are on a +1.25 handicap? That does not make sense at all.

All in all, I expect Kiel to dominate this match, but Sandhausen can easily score through a set piece or counter. Their two most important players Diekmeier and Testroet have returned from injuries, after they had been out at the earlier stages of this season. Their squad is basically full strength, whereas Kiel miss regular player van den Bergh and creative player Mees. So as already stated, odds are way too one-sided here and should not represent the relative team strengths of both sides. 

FT 2:2 - bet won - The draw for Sandhausen was not totally undeserved but very lucky. They won because Kiel missed a few very big chances, and because they were extremely efficient, using basically every chance. Defensively they did a good job, however, and did not allow much at all.

On 12/12/2021 at 11:37 AM, Benny1887 said:

Karlsruhe - Heidenheim

Karlsruhe +0.25 @1.83 (ISN)

This line is way too massive and odds are too one-sided. Kiel has not been stable enough in this season to be favourite on such a big handicap. Also, they are too shaky in the defense and especially through set pieces, Sandhausen should come to chances. 

There is not even much more to add. Of course, Kiel are better than the table situation, and of course, Sandhausen are among the worst teams in the league. But this line just does not make sense. Last week, Sandhausen went in +0 at home against top team Paderborn and just seven days later, they are on a +1.25 handicap? That does not make sense at all.

All in all, I expect Kiel to dominate this match, but Sandhausen can easily score through a set piece or counter. Their two most important players Diekmeier and Testroet have returned from injuries, after they had been out at the earlier stages of this season. Their squad is basically full strength, whereas Kiel miss regular player van den Bergh and creative player Mees. So as already stated, odds are way too one-sided here and should not represent the relative team strengths of both sides. 

FT 3:2 - bet won - The win for Karlsruhe was extremely lucky. They were only good at the beginning of the second half when they were in full control with the lead at the back. Heidenheim were much better in the first 30 and last 30 minutes. Heidenheim also had a clear surplus on chances all in all.

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