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Premier League Predictions > Dec 4th - 6th


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West Ham vs Chelsea

It feels like only yesterday that the last round of Premier League games were getting wrapped up. Oh wait, it was! The action comes thick and fast with the next round of matches starting on Saturday at 12:30pm GMT as West Ham take on Chelsea in an epic clash at the London Stadium. Can we see a surprise package in the home team earn a shock win against league leaders who are really struggling to put decent performances in right now.

West Ham have been a breath of fresh air this season in the top flight with David Moyes leading his side to 4th in the table. The Hammers have picked up some good wins this season including beating Tottenham and Liverpool but it's now 3 league games without a victory. The 1-1 draw at home to fellow surprise performers Brighton in midweek was a disappointing result but you can also argue that West Ham were fortunate to come away with a point. The team are still unbeaten in their last 3 league matches at home. A concern is that they have only kept 1 clean sheet in their 7 home league matches so far this season with both teams scoring in 6 of those games. You can't help but feel that the absence of defender Angelo Ogbonna is really impacting their form right now. Another worry is that star striker Michail Antonio hasn't scored since 24th October in the 1-0 win at home to Tottenham.

Chelsea might still be top of the league table but Thomas Tuchel hasn't shied away from criticising his team even claiming his side were lucky to come away with a 2-1 win away to Watford in midweek. It's perhaps understandable given the absentees that the Blues have had recently in key positions but you have to wonder if their approach is being sussed out by opposition managers. Chelsea are now undefeated in their last 8 league matches. A concerning statistic for Tuchel is that his team have conceded 3 goals in their last 4 league games which is as many as they conceded in their previous 10 league matches. However, Chelsea are still undefeated on the road in the league this season and have only dropped 2 points from their 7 away league games so far.

This is an exciting clash coming up for both teams and neutrals. West Ham have already shown they can go toe-to-toe with the biggest teams in the division and this will be another tough test. It's two wins apiece for these sides over the last 4 meetings so they can both take confidence from that heading into this game. Neither side is performing as well as they were earlier in the campaign so I wouldn't be surprised if we end up seeing an anti-climactic drab affair with it ending in a draw or a narrow Chelsea win.

Chelsea to Win @ 1.83 with VBet

BTTS @ 1.98 with Novibet

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Newcastle vs Burnley

One of the "less attractive" matches in the Premier League on Saturday is the 3pm GMT kick-off between Newcastle and Burnley at St James' Park. Both of these two sides are occupying relegation zone spaces at the moment and they'll be hoping to earn a precious victory over a relegation rival here. Do either team have what it takes to take all 3 points or will they cancel each other out?

Newcastle suffered yet another defeat in midweek when Eddie Howe witnessed his team draw 1-1 against relegation favourites Norwich at home. It was a disappointing result for a Magpies side that are trying to build some momentum after changing managers and experiencing a lucrative takeover of the club. Ciaran Clark is suspended after his naïve red card against Norwich. It is now 14 league games without a win for Newcastle leaving them 3 points adrift at the bottom of the table and now 6 points off safety. Only three clubs (Sheffield United in 1990/91, Leicester in 1975/76, and Portsmouth in 1937/38) have managed such a poor start and stayed up. This is actually the club's worst run of results since 1978. Defence is clearly a major issue for Newcastle having conceded a division-high 30 goals and yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

Burnley have shown signs that they are turning things around in the league after a poor start. Sean Dyche's men are in 18th place and just 3 points off safety with a game in hand on the teams around them. The Clarets are still struggling for form on the road though having gone without a win in 8 matches on the road in a run stretching back to last season. However, they could set a club record of going four Premier League away matches without losing here. The team's unbeaten run in the league now extends to 5 league games. One interesting statistic is that Burnley clearly don't like playing at 3pm GMT on a Saturday having taken just 2 wins from their last 17 league games starting at this time. It also appears that Dyche has the hoodoo over Howe having won the past four encounters. Maxwel Cornet is a shout for anytime scorer having scored 5 goals in his last 7 league appearances.

Recent head-to-head meetings show that Newcastle have had the better of Burnley having won the last two clashes. Burnley also don't like coming to St James' Park having failed to win a league game there since 1976. I'm not convinced by Newcastle at the moment. I think Howe has a lot of work to do and Burnley just feel in a slightly better place right now. I think backing a draw could be the best option.

Draw @ 3.50 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Maxwel Cornet @ 4.20 with Unibet

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West Ham vs Chelsea

2021-12-04T13:30+01:00

 

West Ham

Doubtful: Aaron Cresswell (13/1 d)

Out (injuries/other): Angelo Ogbonna (11/1 d)

Suspended: -

 

Chelsea

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Trevoh Chalobah (9/2 m), N'Golo Kante (8/2 m), Ben Chilwell (6/3 d), Mateo Kovacic (9/1 m)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics
Chelsea didn't concede a goal in 71% of away games.
West Ham scored at least one goal in 100% of home games.
Chelsea scored at least one goal in 100% of away games.
Chelsea scored at least two goals in 71% of away games.
86% chance that there will be more than 1 goal in this game.
79% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half.
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West Ham vs Chelsea

After losing twice in a row, West Ham snatched just a point against Brighton at home. Although they earned an early lead and had another goal controversially ruled out by VAR, the opponents equalized in the last minutes of the game. Nevertheless, David Moyes’s side hangs on in the top four, being one point ahead of Arsenal. Tomas Soucek and the lads face another stern test as the league leaders come to the Olympic Stadium. West Ham has been pretty efficient so far in the season, while they kept the clean sheet just once on the previous seven occasions. The Hammers want to challenge for the Champions League spot, and they search for a positive result here.

Chelsea struggled against Watford on the road but managed to pick up all three points and stay on the top of the table. The Blues are one point ahead of Manchester City, and they go to visit the local rivals. Thomas Tuchel’s side suffered just one defeat in the Premier League campaign, but they had two hiccups in the previous four rounds. Chelsea’s rock-solid defense allowed only six goals, while Romelu Lukaku and the lads have netted 33 times so far. The Blues have been almost perfect on the road, failing to win in just one of seven outings this season. They look forward to another good display that could bring them a new valuable victory.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

It will be a tough match for Chelsea, as West Ham has been very good at the home ground this season. We believe the bookies underestimated West Ham in this one, and we don’t think the hosts will lose the game by more than one goal.

Goals Market Prediction

Although Chelsea has been very hard to crack in the back, West Ham scored in every home match this season. Therefore, the crowd should see an entertaining clash, and we don’t think either team will keep the clean sheet.

West Ham AH +1 @ 1.55 

BTTS Yes @ 1.95 

Correct score 2:2 @ 19.00

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Watford

It is surprising that they defeat Manchester United at 4-1. But then they still play poorly, suffering a two-match losing streak. They focus more on offensive after Claudio Ranieri takes charge of them. There are several players have been suspend due to injuries such as Ismaila Sarr, Julio Nicolas Nkoulou Ndoubena, which weakens them.

 

Manchester City

They are in a tough period because a few players of Man City are suspend due to injuries and yellow cards. But they still play well in recent games, getting a six-match winning streak thanks to their deep bench. They are sitting in the second place in League table now, with only one point away from the first, Chelsea.

 

Verdict:

There is a gap between Watford and Manchester City. Watford are the newly-promoted this season. Their objective of this season is to avoid relegation. Instead, Manchester City are the favourites to win the title. So Manchester City have the tendency to win in upcoming game.

 

Prediction: 0-3, 0-4

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Southampton vs Brighton

The next 3pm GMT kick-off on Saturday in the Premier League that I'm taking a look at is a battle of the south coast between Southampton and Brighton at St Mary's Stadium. These two teams experienced slightly contrasting starts to the season but their two sets of form have started to meet with both struggling to get a win over their last few games. A victory here could be the kickstart their current slumps require.

Southampton are still finding it hard to pull themselves away from the relegation zone with the team in 16th place but 5 points clear of the bottom three. It's now no win in the last 3 league games which has stalled a previous decent run of results. Ralph Hasenhuttl has been dealt a blow ahead of this game with Jan Bednarek set to join Stuart Armstrong on the sidelines with injury and keeper Fraser Forster is also a doubt. Home form is the hope for the Saints here though with the team losing just 1 of their 7 league matches at home so far. One standout statistic is that Southampton have dropped a staggering 12 points from winning positions with only Newcastle and Burnley dropping more. Che Adams is feeling the goals right now having scored 6 goals in his last 8 appearances for club and country.

Brighton might have started the season well but results and goals have started to dry up over recent weeks. Graham Potter's side responded to their fans' boos last weekend with a solid 1-1 draw away to West Ham. The former Swansea head coach will be without the injured trio of Adam Lallana, Adam Webster, and Jeremy Sarmiento who all limped off in midweek. The Seagulls are in 9th position and 5 points off the top four but it's now no win from their last 9 league matches with 7 of those being draws. It seems like the problems of old are creeping in again. Imagine what a Callum Wilson or Ollie Watkins could do in this team. Only Newcastle are currently experiencing a worse winless run than Brighton in the top flight at the moment. Away form has remained resilient though with Brighton losing just 1 of their 7 away league matches this season. 

Head-to-head statistics show that Southampton have lost just 1 of the last 8 top flight league meetings with Brighton. However, Brighton have avoided defeat on their last four visits to this stadium. Interestingly, the home team hasn't won this fixture in the last 8 encounters. I can see that run continuing here. Both sides are out of form and missing players so a draw seems like the most logical choice.

Draw @ 3.20 with Bet365

Anytime Scorer: Che Adams @ 3.60 with SpreadEx

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Wolves vs Liverpool

The final 3pm GMT kick-off on Saturday afternoon in the Premier League comes from Molineux where a stuttering Wolves will host league title chasing Liverpool in a highly-anticipated clash. The home team have impressed this season but have struggled to break teams down recently and they take on a visiting side that are looking well-placed to push for the big trophy right until the final day.

Wolves find themselves in 8th place and just 3 points outside the Champions League qualification spots heading into this game. Bruno Lage's reign is going well but it is just 1 win from their last 4 league games as their form has taken a hit. Scoring goals has been the main problem with the team failing to score in 3 of those matches and only hitting the net once. The team remains unbeaten in their last 4 home league matches. Unfortunately, scoring goals is also an issue at home with Wanderers scoring just 5 goals at Molineux this season. The game will see former Liverpool academy product Conor Coady make his 250th appearance in the league for Wolves.

Liverpool were questioned by a lot of people for their lack of investment in their squad over the summer but the return of key players from injury has appeared to be just as vital to their limited player recruitment. Jurgen Klopp's men are 3rd in the league table having won their last 3 league matches by an aggregate of 12-1 including scoring 4 goals in each of those matches. As a result, the Reds have become the first club in the history of the English top flight to score at least twice in 18 straight matches in all competitions. They have also now scored at least 2 goals in 11 away games in a row. There could be a threat from an ex-Wolves player as well with Diogo Jota having scored 6 goals in his last 6 appearances for Liverpool.

It'll be interesting to see which way this game goes with matches involving Wolves recording the lowest number of total goals in the division at 24 compared to matches involving Liverpool having the highest number of goals scored at 55. I think it's hard for any team to stop Liverpool's front line right now and I can certainly see the away side taking a win here. If Wolves are going to take anything then they need to score and they are finding that very hard right now which doesn't bode well.

Liverpool HT/FT @ 2.20 with Boylesports

Anytime Scorer: Mohamed Salah @ 1.91 with Unibet

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Watford vs Manchester City

It's a kind of David versus Goliath affair in the 5:30pm GMT kick-off in the Premier League on Saturday with struggling Watford hosting reigning champions and league title challengers Manchester City at Vicarage Road. The home side are showing glimpses of possessing enough quality to stay up but can they deliver anything against a visiting team who appear to be justifiable favourites for the title?

Watford have played a dangerous game by bringing in Claudio Ranieri as their manager when they were lower mid-table. The Hornets are now down to 17th in the table and just 3 points above the drop zone with Burnley in 18th position boasting a game in hand. Results haven't been great for the Italian since he came in with the team losing 5 of their 7 league games under his management but the two wins over Everton away and Manchester United at home have displayed signs that this team should be doing better. However, it can also be argued that those victories came against two very poor performing sides at the time. Ranieri currently has 8 first team players out injured so that's not helping. Defence is still a problem with Watford failing to keep a clean sheet in 24 Premier League games. There is hope though in the fact that Ranieri is unbeaten in his 9 league matches, including 8 wins, against Manchester City.

Manchester City sit in 2nd position in the league table and just 1 point behind the league leaders Chelsea. Pep Guardiola's side are starting to get into a stride again having won their last 4 league games and earned 6 consecutive victories in all competitions. The Citizens have the chance to equal Tottenham's record of 17 top flight away wins in a calendar year that has stood since 1960. December is historically a positive month for City with the team having not lost any of their last 10 competitive games during this month. It's also just 2 defeats from 31 matches against newly promoted opposition. Guardiola also boasts an impressive record against Watford having won all 9 encounters with the club. Raheem Sterling could be worth backing as an anytime scorer having bagged 10 goals in 8 games against Watford.

It's probably best for Watford fans to look away now but their team have failed to beat Manchester City in the Premier League and have lost the last 10 matches against them by an aggregate score-line of 37-4. City are unbeaten against Watford in the last 18 matches across all competitions. Brace yourself, Watford supporters. This could be a long and very public humiliation.

Manchester City HT/FT @ 1.73 with Novibet

Manchester City -1 @ 1.64 with Novibet

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Everton vs Arsenal

Kick Off: 12/06/2021 16:00

 

Everton

Everton lost to Liverpool 1-4 away in the last league game. Everton's dismal winless record in the Premier League has accumulated to eight games. Before Saturday's game, they found themselves 14th in the table. Six of Everton's last eight league games have been ended in failure - Benitez's team have conceded eight goals and scored only one goal in the past three consecutive defeats.

Arsenal

Mikel Arteta's team went down 3-2 to Manchester United on Monday. A truly unforgettable night in the Theatre Of Dreams witnessed Arsenal's six league unbeaten record against Manchester United. The team also missed the chance to surpass West Ham United into the top four. The fifth-placed Gunners currently only one more point than Tottenham.

 

Prediction

The Gunners won only one of the last five games against Everton in the league and lost twice last season. But Everton's form has fallen seriously this season and they need to work hard to score goals in this game.

 

Pick: Arsenal

Final Results: 0-1

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Leeds vs Brentford

The Premier League throws up a trio of matches that kick-off at 2pm GMT this Sunday afternoon and the first of those that I'll have a quick look at will be Leeds versus Brentford at Elland Road. Both clubs are treading water in the bottom half of the table but this is a chance to get 3 points and move on up towards the upper echelons of the top flight of English football.

Leeds have only lost 1 of their last 6 matches in the league and with a strong line-up in this game they will be tough to beat. The Whites have only scored 7 goals in their 7 home league matches and with Tyler Roberts set to start up top I'm not convinced we'll see a high-scoring affair here. Marcelo Bielsa will be pleased that his team are starting to pick up points now and have moved to 15th in the table and 5 points above the relegation zone but these games are must win for them.

Brentford come into this game in 12th position but are still closer in terms of their points tally to the relegation zone than the European qualification spots. No big disgrace for the top flight new boys. Thomas Frank has seen his team lose 5 of their last 7 league matches. It's now 3 away matches in the league without a victory. Star striker Ivan Toney is absent from the starting line-up so it'll be interesting to see how they cope without him up front.

This will be an interesting game but it really is Leeds' to lose. It's just 1 loss from the last 5 meetings for the Yorkshire club. The last time Brentford also picked up a win against Leeds at Elland Road was back on 7th February, 2015. I can see Leeds getting all three points here as their improving form continues to get better with the away side needing to be careful that this season doesn't start spiralling out of control.

Leeds to Win @ 2.00 with 888Sport

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.76 with SBK

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Manchester United vs Crystal Palace

The second game from the 2pm GMT kick-offs that I'm having a quick look at on Sunday in the Premier League is Manchester United versus Crystal Palace at Old Trafford. These two sides are currently experiencing contrasting periods of form with the home side now in resurgent mood as they take on a visiting team that started the season well but have started to slip away slightly.

Manchester United start life under new head coach Ralf Rangnick fully in charge. The former Schalke and RB Leipzig man has for a 4-2-3-1 line-up that is similar to the approach interim head coach Michael Carrick opted to use which brought decent success over the past few games. The Red Devils are into the last 16 of the Champions League and up to 7th in the table thanks to the upturn in results under Carrick. The 3-2 win over Arsenal in the league showed the character and resilience of this United side now and will give Rangnick optimism ahead of his tenure at the club.

Crystal Palace were looking decent under Patrick Vieira earlier in the season but the club has dropped down to 11th place after a run of 3 league matches without a win including back-to-back defeats to Leeds away and Aston Villa at home. The Eagles have struggled on the road this season picking up just 1 win in their 7 away league games which, ironically, came against Manchester City. Vieira is going with a 4-3-3 here which is brave given the set-up their opponents have opted for.

I am concerned that we could see Palace get turned over here. Manchester United have got a bit of their swagger back after the departure of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. The players look more organised and cohesive. How much of the past couple of games has been Rangnick and how much has been Carrick? We shall see in this game that I expect United to cruise to a victory in.

Manchester United to Win @ 1.62 with SpreadEx

Anytime Scorer: Cristiano Ronaldo @ 2.00 with Ladbrokes

 

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Tottenham vs Norwich

The final game I'm previewing from the 2pm GMT kick-offs on Sunday afternoon in the Premier League is Tottenham versus Norwich at the Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium. Both of these two teams are currently showing signs of benefiting from a new manager bounce but both teams can't win here so who will drop points and suffer a dent to their recovery processes in the league?

Tottenham are up to 6th in the table and 5 points off the Champions League qualification places but with two games in hand on the teams above them. Head coach Antonio Conte remains unbeaten since he took charge and he's already stamping his influence on this Spurs team. His 3-4-2-1 formation is allowing the full backs to really push on and cause problems with Sergio Reguillon in particular starting to improve his goal involvement statistics over recent weeks. The goals from Harry Kane still aren't quite arriving yet but surely they will come soon. Spurs have won 5 of their 7 home league games this season.

Norwich come into this game with a renewed sense of hope after many, including myself, had written them off as relegation fodder just a few weeks back. The controversial appointment of former Aston Villa head coach Dean Smith has seen the club pick up 1 win and 2 draws with their unbeaten run in the league now extending to 4 matches. The Canaries are back bottom of the table after Newcastle's first league win of the season on Saturday but this is only due to an inferior goal difference. Norwich have only won 1 of their 7 away league matches and have conceded a division-high 17 goals on their travels in the league.

I think despite Norwich's upturn in results recently and a clear improvement in the self belief and performance levels of the players, this is a tough ask for them. Tottenham are becoming a typical Conte team and you can already see a lot of traits appearing in this side that he's cultivated in his previous squads with Chelsea and Juventus. I think a business-like clean sheet win for Tottenham is on the cards.

Tottenham to Win to Nil @ 2.40 with BetVictor

Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 1.87 with SBK

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Aston Villa vs Leicester

The last game of the day in the Premier League on Sunday is the 4:30pm GMT kick-off between mid-table sides Aston Villa and Leicester at Villa Park. Both teams are struggling to find consistency in their results this season but will we see the home team continue to impress under new head coach Steve Gerrard or will they be beaten by an away side that really feel they should be doing better.

Aston Villa have had a disappointing campaign so far and as harsh as the sacking of Dean Smith was it does feel like it might have been necessary. The Lions are in 13th place and 6 points above the relegation zone but form is patchy at best. 6 defeats from their last 8 league matches has really prevented the team from climbing up the table and there was the threat of another relegation battle this season. Everything about their season so far has been hit and miss. Home form is 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats but it is 3 losses from their last 4 league games played at this venue.

Leicester are still trying to claw their season back after a poor start. The victory over Manchester City in the FA Community Shield offered so much hope and excitement for the Foxes but the team is down in 10th position with just 1 win in their last 5 league games. Away form has been solid enough so they can aim to get something from this game. Just 2 defeats from 7 league games on the road so far. Injuries to key players has hampered Brendan Rodgers and his players but you also feel they should be performing better than they are.

Recent results have been very varied between these two teams with 2 wins a piece and 1 draw contested over the past 5 meetings in all competitions. Leicester came away with the spoils in this fixture last season and it's a tough one to call this time around. I feel Villa will pose a real threat and are good value for the home win but you can never write this Leicester team off even when they're below par.

Draw @ 3.50 with Coral

BTTS @ 1.72 with SBK

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Everton vs Arsenal

Everton has been searching for a victory for the last two months, and they have snatched just two points during that period. That winless streak saw them declining to 16th place, being just five points from the bottom of the table. Although they had big ambitions this season, the Toffees need to escape the red zone. They go to this game after losing in the Merseyside Derby 4:1 and looked very disorganized. Rafa Benitez is under great pressure, and he needs to find the winning formula urgently. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is still out, which is a great setback for the hosts. Everton needs to improve a lot to try beating another strong opponent.

Arsenal suffered its second defeat in the last three rounds, dropping to 7th place. However, they will be just one point away from fourth-placed West Ham if they win this game. The Gunners hope to challenge for the Champions League spot this season, which looked pretty unrealistic at the start of the campaign. However, Mikel Arteta’s side needs better performances on the road, as they stayed undefeated only once in the last three outings. Pierre Aubameyang and the lads should be more productive on the away grounds, as Arsenal scored only five goals. Nevertheless, they will search for a chance to get back on the winning track at Goodison Park.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

It is going to be a close match, despite Everton being in abysmal form. The Gunners managed to beat the Toffees just once on the previous five occasions. Since Arsenal hasn’t been convincing on the road, we believe the hosts could snach a point in this one.

Goals Market Prediction

Their head-to-head clashes at Goodison Park have usually been pretty entertaining, and this one shouldn’t be much different. Since both teams have issues in the back, we don’t see either side keeping the clean sheet in this encounter.

Draw @ 3.55 

BTTS Yes @ 1.85 

Correct score 1:1 @ 6.60

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Everton vs Arsenal

The Monday night football game in the Premier League is an 8pm GMT kick-off with Everton hosting Arsenal at Goodison Park. Both of these teams suffered disappointing defeats in their most recent league games and both have also shipped 4 goals playing against Liverpool recently so this is a big game for them. Can either side come away with all 3 points to move on up the league table?

Everton find themselves in a bit of a hole right now. It's now 8 league games without a win for the Toffees including 6 defeats in their last 7 league matches with just 1 goal scored in their previous 4 league outings. Rafa Benitez and his players are down in 16th place and just 5 points above the relegation zone. There is good news that Yerry Mina has been back in training so could make the match day squad. However, Salomon Rondon has a hamstring injury. The club's 10 home league defeats in 2021 is a club record for the most defeats in the top flight during a single calendar year. If they fail to win this game then it'll be the first time since 1994 that they have gone 9 league matches without a win.

Arsenal are undoubtedly in a far better place than their opponents coming into this game but the 3-2 loss away to Manchester United will have knocked their momentum from recent weeks. The Gunners are in 7th position and just 4 points outside the Champions League qualification places but it is now 2 losses from their last 3 league matches with both defeats coming against rivals for those top four spots. Mikel Arteta will still be without the duo of Granit Xhaka and Sead Kolasinac. Scoring goals on the road has been a problem for Arsenal this season with the team failing to score in 4 of their 7 away league games. However, striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored 8 goals in his last 9 Premier League matches played on a Monday.

Despite the contrast in form and league positions right now, Everton have a chance to win three straight league encounters with Arsenal. That being said, Arsenal do have a better record against Everton than against any other team in the top flight. I feel Everton are just in a really bad place right now and, for whatever reason, there doesn't appear to be any sign of things improving. Arsenal will be kicking themselves if they don't win this. I'll back an away win because I simply cannot back Everton right now.

Arsenal to Win @ 2.12 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang @ 2.88 with SBK

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