Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

Check out the odds and ratings for the midweek matches coming up in the Premier League. Give us any predictions you have for these matches down below! 

[malabgd]

Newcastle United vs Norwich City

2021-11-30T20:30+01:00

 

Newcastle United

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Paul Dummett (0/0 d)

Suspended: Matt Ritchie (13/0 m), Jamaal Lascelles (10/1 d)

 

Norwich City

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Mathias Normann (9/1 m), Christoph Zimmermann (0/0 d), Sam Byram (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics

Newcastle United scored at least one goal in 83% of home games.

Newcastle United scored at least two goals in 67% of home games.

67% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game.

50% chance that there will be more than 3 goals in this game.

42% chance that there will be more than 4 goals in this game.

25% chance that there will be more than 5 goals in this game.

59% chance that there will be at least 2 goals in the first-half.

34% chance that there will be at least 3 goals in the first-half.

34% chance that there will be a draw at half-time and draw at full-time.

[DarrenTse]

Watford vs Chelsea

Kick Off: 12/01/2021 15:30

 

Watford

Watford lost 4-2 to Leicester City in the last league game. Unable to maintain the momentum of beating Manchester United, the Hornets currently rank 16th with 13 points out of the possible 39 points this season, four points from the relegation zone. Although the team invited Ranieri to take charge of the coach, the overall record is still poor. The main striker Dennis has made 12 appearances in the Premier League this season with 5 goals and 5 assists.

Chelsea

Thomas Tuchel's team made a 1-1 draw with Manchester United on Sunday. His European champions still lead the table with 30 points, but they are now only one more point than Manchester City, Liverpool are also within reach and are ready to attack any more disappointing results. Away game is where Chelsea did well - they won the past four league victories away without concede - and they are the only team in the Premier League this season that have not lost on the opponent's territory.

Prediction

In nearly 10 meetings between the two teams, Watford won only one victory, resulting in psychology disadvantage. The Blues have been unbeaten in 11 competitions and Tuchel's team have only conceded one goal away from home all season, so we can only imagine the blues returning to victory easily.

 

 

Pick: Chelsea

Final Results: 2-0, 3-0

 

[DarrenTse]

Everton vs Liverpool

Kick Off: 12/01/2021 16:15

 

Everton

Everton went down 1-0 to Brentford last time out. The team have suffered a winless record in the top league since the sinking of Norwich City in September - also having suffered five defeats in the last six league games - including each of their last three away games - and Everton have slipped to 14th place in the table, making the team  now only six points higher than relegation. After winning first three games at Goodison Park this season, Everton got only one point in the last nine games in the same place.

Liverpool

Jurgen Klopp's team easily made a 4-0 victory at home to Southampton. Liverpool won four consecutive Anfield's game without concede in all games, allowing the team to take advantage of the draw between Chelsea and Manchester United to move the league leader to within two points, but lagged behind the second place Manchester City with one point. The team scored 10 goals and didn't concede in the past week and a total of 39 goals this season, with the offensive and defensive performance is super first-class.

Prediction

Everton won only one game in nearly 10 meetings with Liverpool, and the team's recent performance has been a losing streak, which is difficult to compete with the strong red army. Judging from the current trend, Liverpool will undoubtedly win this trip.

 

Liverpool to win in -1/-1.5 AH

Final Results: 2-0, 3-0

[StevieDay1983]

Newcastle vs Norwich

The midweek Premier League action kicks off on Tuesday night with a 7:30pm GMT game between the two struggling sides of Newcastle and Norwich at St James' Park. It's the bottom two teams in the top flight going head-to-head and it's difficult to emphasise how devastating a defeat could be for either side here. You have to say that this is more a must-not-lose game rather than a must-win encounter.

Newcastle are still waiting for their first league win this season. The new Eddie Howe era is still yet to bring that elusive victory with the Magpies suffering a 2-0 loss away to Arsenal on the weekend to keep them rooted to the bottom of the table on just 6 points and 6 points adrift of safety. Howe will be without key duo Jamaal Lascalles and Matt Ritchie for this game which is a blow. Newcastle are one of only two teams, including Watford, in the top flight yet to keep a clean sheet this season. The club's form in midweek games isn't very encouraging either with Newcastle having lost 6 of their last 8 midweek Premier League matches. Interestingly, the last time Newcastle played a home game when starting at the bottom of the Premier League table was back in October 2015 when they faced Norwich and won 6-2.

Norwich appear to have made a wise decision in replacing former head coach Daniel Farke with Dean Smith. The Canaries have dragged themselves off the bottom of the table with 2 wins and a draw from their last 3 league games. That's quite a turn around considering they only took 6 points from their previous 25 league games in the top flight stretching back to their last run in the Premier League. One statistic that remains a concern is that Norwich have only managed a shot to goals conversion ratio of 5.2%. Norwich's record of midweek Premier League matches is even worse than Newcastle's with the club failing to win on a Tuesday in their last 14 efforts.

The head-to-head record between these two has an interesting angle to it. Newcastle haven't lost a league fixture at home against Norwich since 1988 but Norwich are unbeaten against Newcastle in the last three Premier League meetings and Smith himself is unbeaten against Newcastle in 5 meetings as a manager. I think we could see both teams play out a draw here.

Draw @ 3.75 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.77 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

The second game in the Premier League taking place on Tuesday night is the clash between Leeds and Crystal Palace at 8:15pm GMT from Elland Road. If there was one word you had to use for the form of these two sides recently it would be inconsistent yet stubborn. Neither side is getting turned over by any opposition but they are also finding it hard to build up a run of victories.

Leeds are continuing their laborious start to the season. Marcelo Bielsa's side are in 17th place and 3 points above the relegation zone with Burnley in 18th position possessing a game in hand. The Whites have only lost 1 of their last 5 league matches but it's also just 1 win during that period too. The good news coming out of the club this week is that key duo Luke Ayling and Patrick Bamford are set to start building up their match fitness with the under-23s from this week so their returns are edging closer. Leeds are averaging just 1 goal per home league game which doesn't compliment their pressing style of play. In fact, they are yet to score more than two goals in a league game this season.

Crystal Palace will still feel this season has started in a positive way despite their 2-1 loss at home to Aston Villa on the weekend. Patrick Vieira's side have now gone back-to-back matches in the league without winning leaving them down in 11th place. The Eagles have lost just 1 of their last 8 league games but have drawn 5 of those games. The team remains unbeaten in their last 3 league matches. They have also scored in 8 straight league games so they are a potent team up front. One historical statistic that is a worry is that Palace have won just 1 of their last 12 Premier League games played in midweek.

At face value it appears that this game has a draw written all over it. Both teams are struggling to turn their superiority in matches into victories. I think this will be an intriguing game with both teams capable of playing exciting football but in that respect we could end up seeing the two teams cancel each other out. I don't think either side would be disappointed with a draw either. Leeds have won 5 home league games against Crystal Palace but that run could end here.

Draw @ 3.40 with Betfred

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.97 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Southampton vs Leicester

The Premier League action continues into Wednesday night when Southampton host Leicester in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at St Mary's Stadium. These two teams experienced contrasting results on the weekend with the home team making it back-to-back defeats where as the visitors secured a much-needed win at home. Both sides will be keen to add 3 points to their tally here but can either team pull it off?

Southampton will be keen to avoid their two losses in a row from becoming a bad run of results. Ralph Hasenhuttl's side have a track record of going through periods of feast and famine. The Saints are down in 15th place and just 5 points above the relegation zone so experiencing a series of bad results now could be catastrophic. Fortunately, the team is boosted by the return of duo Jack Stephens and Ibrahima Diallo from injury. Stuart Armstrong remains sidelined though. Southampton have now lost 20 Premier League matches in a single calendar year for the first time since 1996. Their home matches have been starved of entertainment so far this season with just 9 goals being scored by either side in their 6 home league games so far. The 11 goals scored by Southampton in the league is the second worst in the division after the 7 scored by Norwich. They have only scored more than 1 goal on two occasions in the league this season.

Leicester are looking to build on their 4-2 win over Watford on the weekend in a win that lifted the club up to 10th in the table and just 5 points off the Champions League qualification places. In my preview for that game I was stating how much the Foxes were struggling to meet expectations set from previous campaigns. Amazing what a difference a win can make. Brendan Rodgers has seen his side go unbeaten for the last 3 away league matches. Their away games are also packed with entertainment with the team scoring and conceding in their last 14 league games on the road. Defensive issues continue with the club keeping just 1 clean sheet in their last 19 league games. A random pick for anytime scorer could be Ayoze Perez who has scored 7 league goals against Southampton including bagging two hat-tricks.

I never feel comfortable backing Southampton to win simply because they are so inconsistent under Hasenhuttl. He's just about keeping their heads above water and I'll admit he's had his injury issues to deal with this season. Leicester looked a lot better against Watford and the fact they are free-scoring has helped massively. I can see an away win here and I'm going to shove down that Perez anytime scorer bet.

Leicester to Win @ 3.01 with VBet

Anytime Scorer: Ayoze Perez @ 4.75 with Betway

[StefanBB]

Everton vs Liverpool

The hosts started the campaign very well, but they fell into the results crisis. Rafa Benitez’s side picked up just a point on the previous six occasions and slipped to 14^th place. However, nothing indicated such a slump after the Toffees snatched a draw against Manchester United at Old Trafford. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is still out due to an injury, while his teammates from the offense haven’t contributed enough. Everton also struggles in defense, as they conceded in six of the previous seven matches. The hosts had three straight wins at Goodison Park, but in the last three matches, they stayed undefeated just once. Everton needs to improve its form urgently in order not to enter the danger zone.

On the other hand, Liverpool bounced back after losing to West Ham with two straight victories. The away side is 3^rd in the Premier League, being just two points behind Chelsea. Jurgen Klopp’s side has been pretty convincing in the past two rounds, beating Arsenal and Southampton 4:0. Diogo Jota has been on fire lately, scoring three goals in the last two matches. Besides that, the Reds are the most productive team in the competition with 39 goals scored. Liverpool has been very good on the road, but their latest outing wasn’t successful. The visitors want to keep pace in the title battle and search for another three valuable points.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Their previous four clashes at Goodison Park ended without a winner, but Liverpool has been in a much better momentum. The Reds are hot favorites in this one, and although the Merseyside Derby is pretty tricky to predict, we believe Liverpool will take the victory.

Goals Market Prediction

Both teams have been involved in many high-scoring matches this season, and we think they’ll continue in the same fashion. Liverpool is especially efficient on the road, and we should see at least three goals in total.

Liverpool AH -1 @ 1.65 

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.60 

Correct score 1:3 @ 12.00

[ALEXXXXXXXX]

Aston Villa

They get a winning streak in recent games under the management of Steven Gerrard, which makes them up to thirteenth in the table of the League. They are good at home game, with 67% unbeaten rate as host this season.

 

Manchester City

They are on a run, getting a five-match winning streak. They play well on defensive, with only seven conceding goals this season so far. There is a bad news that Ferran Torres and Kevin De Bruyne are suspend due to injuries, which weakens their playing.

 

Verdict:

Although Manchester City take the upper hand over Aston Villa, Aston Villa still stand the chance to win. Man City have to prepare for UEFA Champions League. There are two games left before that. They will probably not try their best in upcoming games. Besides, Aston Villa are in form. So the result of upcoming game is suggested to be a draw.

 

Prediction: 1-2, 2-2

[DarrenTse]

Manchester United vs Arsenal 

Kick Off: 12/02/2021 16:15

 

Manchester United

The Red Devils took a point from their meeting with league leaders Chelsea in the last league game. They are eighth with 18 points in the table - three place and five points behind their upcoming opponents - and home is not the recent advantage of the Reds. Manchester United have taken just one point from their last four Premier League games at the Theatre of Dreams - scoring only one goal in that time. Rangnick will be the interim manager and will work as a consultant for the club in the future.

Arsenal

The Gunners beat Newcastle United 2-0 in the last league game. After West Ham United lost to Manchester City, Arteta's team are now in line with West Ham United in fourth place. Arsenal have undoubtedly benefited from the rare absence of European football this season. Before losing to Liverpool, they kept three consecutive clean sheets away from home, although the away goals were insignificant, second only to Norwich City in the league. 

Prediction

Arsenal have remained unbeaten in the last six Premier League games against Manchester United and have not conceded a goal against the Red Devils since September 2019, but Saka's absence and Aubameyang's mistakes did make Arsenal's shocking lack of away goals, we predicted Arsenal at least get one point in this game. 

 

Pick: Arsenal to be unbeaten

Final Results: 1-1, 1-2

[StevieDay1983]

Watford vs Chelsea

The next preview I'm covering for the Premier League matches this Wednesday night is the 7:30pm GMT kick-off between a struggling Watford and a table-topping Chelsea at Vicarage Road. This game will see Claudio Ranieri face-off against his former employers as he looks to defeat the odds and lead his side to a shock win against a team that are looking good value to win the title so far.

Watford continued to follow the trend of results getting worse under Ranieri after their 4-2 defeat away to Leicester on the weekend. The Hornets are now down in 16th place and just 4 points above the relegation zone with teams below boasting a game in hand. Ranieri's men have now lost 3 of their last 4 league games. Things are going from bad to worse for the Hertfordshire club with striker Emmanuel Dennis a doubt for this game and attacker Ismaila Sarr ruled out for up to a month. The absence of Dennis is a particular blow with the Nigerian bagging 5 goals and 5 assists already this season. It's now 23 Premier League games without a clean sheet for Watford.

Chelsea remain top of the top flight of English football despite being held to a 1-1 draw at home to Manchester United on the weekend. The Blues are now just 1 point above 2nd placed Manchester City though. Head coach Thomas Tuchel has seen his team now go 7 league games unbeaten including keeping 4 clean sheets during that run. A few injury concerns hit Chelsea ahead of this game with N'Golo Kante likely to  be missing again but top scorer Reece James, Balon d'Or contender Jorginho, and attacking threat Timo Werner also facing late fitness tests. The team's away form this season has been immense having won 5 and drawn 1 of their 6 league games on the road.

I think it's fair to assume that this game is likely to be a tough one for Watford. The side is not in the best of form right now and they come up against a Chelsea team who are showing exactly why they are being considered as favourites to win the league this season. Their away form is not far off being perfect. Both sides are missing key players and I think this is where the squad depth of Chelsea will prevail.

Chelsea HT/FT @ 1.97 with SBK

Chelsea -1 @ 1.94 with Novibet

[StevieDay1983]

West Ham vs Brighton

The next game up in the Wednesday night previews is the encounter between the early season surprise packages West Ham and Brighton in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at the London Stadium. Both of these teams started well this campaign but recent results haven't quite gone to plan with the home team beginning to pick up defeats and the away team getting booed by their own fans for allowing old habits of profligacy in the final third to creep back in to their game.

West Ham were being tipped as dark horses to gate crash the Champions League qualification spots just a matter of weeks ago but football is a fickle game in a state of constant flux. The Hammers have since suffered back-to-back away defeats against Wolves and Manchester City leaving the club down in 4th and clinging onto their top four place by the virtue of a superior goal difference. David Moyes is already without centre back Angelo Ogbonna and he's joined on the injury list by full back Aaron Cresswell. The goal drought of Michail Antonio undoubtedly coincides with me putting him in my fantasy team because after scoring 5 goals in his first 5 league games of the season he has since bagged just 1 goal in his last 7 league appearances. The good news is that West Ham are unbeaten in their last 7 Premier League games played in midweek including winning the last four such matches.

Brighton are another team that were raising eyebrows at the start of this season. Graham Potter appeared to have solved the team's finishing issues and they stormed to the upper echelons of the league table as they lost just 1 of their opening 8 league games. That seems a lifetime ago now though with the club now without a win in their last 8 league games and failing to even score in 4 of those matches. The Seagulls are now down in 9th position and the fans are losing patience. Their games aren't exactly packed with goals with games involving Brighton bringing just 26 goals. Only games involving Wolves have seen less goals scored. Still, Potter came out criticising his team's fans after the boos rang out loud on Saturday and that's perhaps fair enough.

Well, neither team is exactly entering crisis mode at the moment but I would much rather be in West Ham's shoes because it feels their results have come against sides that have been tough opponents. Brighton appear to be the architects of their own demise by consistently failing to take their chances again. This is where the players need to take responsibility and Brighton needed to sign a potent finisher. I think West Ham will win here and you do wonder if Potter's relationship with the fans could sour after his criticism on the weekend if things don't improve soon.

West Ham to Win @ 2.08 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.81 with VBet

[StevieDay1983]

Wolves vs Burnley

The last of the 7:30pm GMT kick-offs on Wednesday night in the Premier League comes from Molineux where we have an impressive Wolves taking on a dogged Burnley. This game won't exactly be identified as one that will lead the line-up on Match of the Day but it'll be an intriguing game for the purists as we see a clash of styles coming together but who will win?

Wolves might have started the season slowly but, under Bruno Lage, they are now looking like a team that are appearing to be a solid bet for European qualification. Wanderers are up to 6th in the table and just 3 points outside the Champions League qualification spots after a run of just 1 loss in their last 8 league games. It's now also 192 minutes of league action that the team has gone without conceding a goal. Lage will have to manage without the duo of Ruben Neves and Daniel Podence due to suspension and covid respectively. There is the opportunity for Wolves to win at least 50% of their opening 14 matches of a top flight campaign for the first time in over 42 years. Victory here would see them win four straight home league games in the top division for the first time since 1975.

Burnley will come into this game down in 18th place and 3 points adrift of safety but with a game in hand on the teams around them after their game with Tottenham at home was snowed off on the weekend. Sean Dyche faces a big problem for this game though with both James Tarkowski and Ashley Westwood missing. History suggests this will prevent a win with the team failing to win any of their 19 league games without Tarkowski and 17 league matches without Westwood. The Clarets are unbeaten in their last 4 league games though and will be fresh after not playing on the weekend. Unfortunately, they remain without a win in the league away from home in their last 7 outings in a run stretching back to last season. If you want a cheeky bet on anytime scorer then Chris Wood has bagged 5 goals in his last 3 games against Wolves.

Last season left a sour taste in the mouth for Wolves fans with Burnley earning a double over their opponents in the league including a 4-0 win at Molineux. This is a new look Wolves team though and I don't expect the same outcome here. In fact, I think revenge could be sweet for the home team who should have enough to earn a narrow win. The big question is whether they'll keep a clean sheet? I think they could.

Wolves to Win @ 2.02 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.75 with Betfair

[StevieDay1983]

Aston Villa vs Manchester City

The Premier League offers up two matches at 8:15pm GMT on Wednesday night with the first of those that I am previewing being the game between Aston Villa and Manchester City at Villa Park. These two teams are at opposite ends of the table but they both come into this game off the back of a run of wins in the league. This might not be as cut and dry for the away team as the statistics suggest.

Aston Villa are thriving under this new reign of Steven Gerrard. The former Rangers head coach has won both of his league games in charge of Villa lifting the team up to 13th in the table and 7 points above the relegation zone. Villa are without Danny Ings and Trezeguet for this clash which is not great news. If Gerrard wins this game then he'll be the first Villa manager in the club's history to win their first 3 top flight league games in charge. They are looking to become the beat the reigning league champions in back-to-back seasons at home for the first time since 1976/77. Interestingly, Villa are slow starters in games having scored 14 of their 18 league goals in the second half of their matches so far.

Manchester City come into this game with a chance of moving top of the league table if results go their way. Pep Guardiola's side still have a huge injury list to contend with but I'm not sure he'll draw much sympathy given the huge sums of money he's ploughed into the squad down the years. Kevin De Bruyne is definitely ruled out whilst there will be late fitness tests for Jack Grealish and Phil Foden. Aymeric Laporte is also unavailable through suspension. The Citizens have won their last 5 matches in a row across all competitions. They are just one league win away from equalling their record of 30 league wins in a calendar year set back in 2017 and 2019. City are about to enter December which is their worst month of the year results-wise under Guardiola. However, they have won their last 15 league games played on a Wednesday.

If Aston Villa fans are looking for optimism in the head-to-head record against Manchester City then they will be disappointed. City have won the last 7 meetings in all competitions by an aggregate score of 23-3. Villa's last win over City came in 2013 when they won 3-2. I do think City are vulnerable here with their absentees but I still think they should get past Villa here. It'll be a valiant effort from the home side though who won't make life easy for the visitors.

Aston Villa +2 @ 1.80 with QuinnBet

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.74 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Everton vs Liverpool

The final preview from the Wednesday night action in the Premier League is the 8:15pm GMT kick-off between Everton and Liverpool in a highly-anticipated Merseyside Derby at Goodison Park. It seems that all the statistics and bets are swinging towards the red half of the city but is there anything in the history books to suggest that we're writing the blue side off prematurely? Hmm, I'm not convinced.

Everton are still struggling to get over this injury crisis that has seen them fail to win any of their last 7 league games and not even manage to score in their previous 3 league matches. The Toffees are down in 14th and just 6 points off the relegation zone as a result of that dire form. Rafa Benitez needed a good start to win over the club's fans after his stint as Liverpool head coach but things are going sour quickly. In his defence, he's been without star striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin for a while now and that's seriously hampering the team's ability to score goals. Yerry Mina is also still ruled out but Richarlison is back from suspension. A loss here will make Everton the first club in history to lose 400 Premier League matches. If they draw a blank in front of goal here it'll be the first time since 2006 that they have failed to score in 4 consecutive league games. However, the positive news is that they have only lost 1 of their last 13 midweek league games. Unfortunately, Benitez has only won 1 of his 10 matches against his former clubs. The Spaniard has also only managed 1 win in 7 meetings with Jurgen Klopp.

Liverpool had been stuttering recently with dropped points coming against Brighton and West Ham but the Reds are back to their best after back-to-back 4-0 wins over Arsenal and Southampton at home in the league. Klopp's side are now up to 3rd in the table and just 2 points off the summit. They have become just the second team in Football League history to score at least twice in 17 straight matches in all competitions. Only Sunderland back in 1927 have managed that feat. Liverpool have managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 league victories. They have also already scored 39 league goals which is a club record for this stage of the season. Diogo Jota could be a tip for anytime scorer having bagged 8 goals in his last 11 starts in the league. Liverpool could also become just the second Premier League team after Manchester United in 2020 to score at least 2 goals in 10 consecutive league matches.

OK, so it's not looking good for Everton on paper but their win over Liverpool back in February did end a run of 20 league meetings without a win against their rivals. If Everton were to win here it would be the first time since 1985 that they've recorded back-to-back league wins over their neighbours. 8 of the last 9 meetings in the league between these two at Goodison Park have ended in a draw but I think this is Liverpool's game to win.

Liverpool HT/FT @ 2.08 with SBK

Liverpool to Win to Nil @ 2.35 with Unibet

[StefanBB]

Manchester United vs Arsenal

After sacking Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, Manchester United hasn’t suffered a defeat. They snatched a victory in Villarreal in the Champions League match while earning a point at Stamford Bridge. Michael Carrick stabilized the team as the caretaker manager, but another derby match is ahead of the Red Devils. Manchester United needs to improve its results in the Premier League, as they celebrated just once on the previous five occasions. Although Cristiano Ronaldo and the lads haven’t been bad in the front, their defense has had too many issues. Manchester United picked up just a point in the last four games at Old Trafford, and they should stop spilling points at home.

Arsenal had a terrible start to the campaign, but they raised the level of their game. Mikel Arteta’s side lost just once on the previous 12 occasions in all competitions, and that streak launched them to 5^th place. The Gunners are leveled with fourth-placed West Ham, and they are back in the race for the Champions League spot. However, Pierre Aubameyang and the lads should improve their finishing, as they have produced just a bit more than a goal per match. Arsenal hasn’t been convincing on the road, celebrating just twice in six outings and scoring only three times. Nevertheless, they will search for points at Old Trafford that can keep them near the Champions League zone.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

It is going to be an exciting clash, and it can easily go either way. Arsenal has been more stable recently, but Manchester United started playing more disciplined in the past few matches, and we believe they could win this encounter.

Goals Market Prediction

Although Arsenal hasn’t been too efficient on the road, Manchester United’s defense is too leaky. Their last five encounters stayed under a 2.5 margin, but we don’t expect either team to keep the clean sheet this time.

Manchester United to Win @ 2.05 

BTTS Yes @ 1.65 

Correct score 2:1 @ 9.50

[StevieDay1983]

Tottenham vs Brentford

It's an all-London affair in the 7:30pm GMT kick-off in the Premier League on Thursday night. The midweek action continues with Tottenham hosting Brentford at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Both teams have taken a draw and a win from their last two league games but which way will this encounter swing? On paper you have to fancy the home team but the away side have already taken the scalp of a north London rival this season.

Tottenham have started life under new head coach Antonio Conte very positively. Spurs remain unbeaten under the fiery Italian's leadership helping them up to 9th in the table. Conte will be without the pair of Cristian Romero and Giovani Lo Celso for this game but has the rest of his squad available. Tottenham have seen all six of their league victories this season come by a single goal. Unfortunately, scoring goals has been a problem. Harry Kane has only bagged 1 goal in 11 league appearances and Tottenham as a whole have only scored 11 goals in their 12 league games with only Norwich scoring fewer. The team's record in London derbies isn't great having lost the last five including four in this season alone. They have also lost 3 of their last 5 Premier League games played on a Thursday. I can end on an optimistic note for Tottenham fans though. Kane himself has scored 8 goals in his last 8 Premier League games that have been played on a Thursday.

Brentford come into this game having seen their form enjoy a small revival. Thomas Frank's side are now up to 11th but still just 6 points above the relegation zone. The Bees are still suffering from a number of crucial absentees including David Raya, Mathias Jorgensen, Tarique Fosu, Josh Dasilva, and Kristoffer Ajer. Away form continues to be encouraging for Brentford though with the top flight new boys only losing 1 of their 6 away league games so far this season. There is a chance here for the club to win back-to-back league games in the top flight for the first time since 1946. Set pieces have been vital for Frank's side this season with 7 of their 17 goals scored in the league coming from that method this season.

I'm keen to see how this game unfolds. This will be the first ever meeting between these two teams in the top flight. Tottenham are undefeated in the last 11 meetings across all competitions with Brentford and they are progressing well under Conte so far. You have to say that the man at the helm combined with home advantage and a superior squad suggests that we should see a business-like home win here. Tottenham will also be fresher having had their game with Burnley on the weekend postponed due to snow.

Tottenham to Win @ 1.70 with SpreadEx

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.93 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Manchester United vs Arsenal

The midweek Premier League action draws to a close with the 8:15pm GMT kick-off on Thursday night between Manchester United and Arsenal at Old Trafford. This will be a fascinating battle between two sides that are hard to judge right now. The home team are currently about the start life under a new interim head coach and the away team are asking their fans to continue to "trust the process".

Manchester United will play their first game with interim head coach Ralph Rangnick in the hot seat but Carrick will still be the man on the side as Rangnick awaits his work permit approval. The Red Devils have navigated this tricky period well under the guidance of interim interim head coach Michael Carrick that has seen them reach the last 16 of the Champions League and hold league leaders Chelsea to a draw away. This is a new era and an emphasis on a high press philosophy has already been made clear. The key duo of Raphael Varane and Paul Pogba are still out injured. It remains just 1 win in the last 8 league games for United leaving them in 10th position and 6 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification places. Defeat here would give them 7 home league defeats in a calendar year for the first time since 1986. It's also now 14 home league games without keeping a clean sheet for the club.

Arsenal were looking like a team undergoing a revival under Mikel Arteta but a brutal 4-0 loss away to Liverpool the other weekend suggested there is still a lot of work to be done. The Gunners bounced back from that loss with a comfortable 2-0 win at home to struggling Newcastle but this will be another big test for the team. Granit Xhaka and Sead Kolasinac are both unavailable for Arteta. It is 7 wins from the last 10 league games for Arsenal and the team are now in 5th position and just 1 point outside the Champions League spots with a game in hand. Arsenal are undefeated in each of the 8 league games in which they have scored. Scoring goals on the road is a problem for Arsenal this season though with the team only managing 3 goals which is the worst in the league alongside Norwich. If you want a tip for anytime scorer then Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang could become the first Arsenal player to score in three straight away games at Manchester United if he scores here. 

If there is anything to be gained from reading the head-to-head statistics then it's that Manchester United fans should be very nervous. There is the chance that they could go 7 league games without beating Arsenal for the first time in their history if they fail to win here. Arsenal also have the opportunity to win back-to-back league games at Old Trafford for the first time since 1979. Arsenal have also kept three clean sheets against United in a row. I'm not sure I can separate these two sides. It'll be interesting to see what influence Rangnick has on the game but I think opting for the draw seems like the best option.

Draw @ 3.75 with Bet365

BTTS @ 1.76 with SportNation

[Vince A]

6 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Manchester United vs Arsenal

The midweek Premier League action draws to a close with the 8:15pm GMT kick-off on Thursday night between Manchester United and Arsenal at Old Trafford. This will be a fascinating battle between two sides that are hard to judge right now. The home team are currently about the start life under a new interim head coach and the away team are asking their fans to continue to "trust the process".

Manchester United will play their first game with interim head coach Ralph Rangnick in the hot seat but Carrick will still be the man on the side as Rangnick awaits his work permit approval. The Red Devils have navigated this tricky period well under the guidance of interim interim head coach Michael Carrick that has seen them reach the last 16 of the Champions League and hold league leaders Chelsea to a draw away. This is a new era and an emphasis on a high press philosophy has already been made clear. The key duo of Raphael Varane and Paul Pogba are still out injured. It remains just 1 win in the last 8 league games for United leaving them in 10th position and 6 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification places. Defeat here would give them 7 home league defeats in a calendar year for the first time since 1986. It's also now 14 home league games without keeping a clean sheet for the club.

Arsenal were looking like a team undergoing a revival under Mikel Arteta but a brutal 4-0 loss away to Liverpool the other weekend suggested there is still a lot of work to be done. The Gunners bounced back from that loss with a comfortable 2-0 win at home to struggling Newcastle but this will be another big test for the team. Granit Xhaka and Sead Kolasinac are both unavailable for Arteta. It is 7 wins from the last 10 league games for Arsenal and the team are now in 5th position and just 1 point outside the Champions League spots with a game in hand. Arsenal are undefeated in each of the 8 league games in which they have scored. Scoring goals on the road is a problem for Arsenal this season though with the team only managing 3 goals which is the worst in the league alongside Norwich. If you want a tip for anytime scorer then Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang could become the first Arsenal player to score in three straight away games at Manchester United if he scores here. 

If there is anything to be gained from reading the head-to-head statistics then it's that Manchester United fans should be very nervous. There is the chance that they could go 7 league games without beating Arsenal for the first time in their history if they fail to win here. Arsenal also have the opportunity to win back-to-back league games at Old Trafford for the first time since 1979. Arsenal have also kept three clean sheets against United in a row. I'm not sure I can separate these two sides. It'll be interesting to see what influence Rangnick has on the game but I think opting for the draw seems like the best option.

Draw @ 3.75 with Bet365

BTTS @ 1.76 with SportNation

Firstly, I really like the way you explain the stats between the teams before kickoff. As of the time I am writing this, finally Rangnick has officially received his work permit!
Now I'm a big Manchester United fan, but when it comes to betting, the only bet I never put is on my team's games. 

I am curious to know though, do you use any algorithm to increase your odds and probabilities of winning when assessing the predictions of the market providers, such as Bet365?

[StevieDay1983]

I don't have a set algorithm outside of our ELO ratings and even then I'll still weigh up the statistics, form, injuries, and way that both teams line-up with potential formations and tactics. I think sometimes I can be guilty of over-thinking it.

[Vince A]

14 minutes ago, StevieDay1983 said:

I don't have a set algorithm outside of our ELO ratings and even then I'll still weigh up the statistics, form, injuries, and way that both teams line-up with potential formations and tactics. I think sometimes I can be guilty of over-thinking it.

Will definitely check ELO ratings, never heard of it. And as long as you're overthinking objectively, I think you're good to go  .

I was recently using Online Betting Guide (OLBG) and DBInvest, and I've been getting some more positive results, but takes some time and effort to get fully acquainted with all these tools. 

Anyway, I am new to your forum, and I look forward to checking your content from time to time. 

[StevieDay1983]

11 hours ago, Vince A said:

Will definitely check ELO ratings, never heard of it. And as long as you're overthinking objectively, I think you're good to go  .

I was recently using Online Betting Guide (OLBG) and DBInvest, and I've been getting some more positive results, but takes some time and effort to get fully acquainted with all these tools. 

Anyway, I am new to your forum, and I look forward to checking your content from time to time. 

Welcome mate! Hope you enjoy your time here! Always feel free to post up your own bets and share with us how you're getting on.