Non-League Predictions > October 30th

[Darran]

Barnet v Aldershot (Live on BT Sport)

Barnet were played off the park by Wrexham last Saturday and then went and beat Stockport on Tuesday night whilst Wrexham lost to Maidenhead. Proof that football will always throw up seemingly random results. That was Barnet's worse performance since Dean Brennan took over as manager though and I think it was just unfortunate it came against a Wrexham side who were at their best. I think they have a decent chance of beating an Aldershot side who are struggling for wins even if they do seem to be improving. They were heavily backed to beat Weymouth on Tuesday night and although the price ended up way too short I could see why people thought they would win as the Weymouth manager complained about how tired his players were after the draw against Wealdstone last Saturday. For Aldershot to fail to score against them wasn't great and their xG was low as well. What I will say is they have lost all 6 home league games now and they have performed better away from home, but even so there is no way they should be favourites for this game and Barnet are a massive price.

 

Weymouth v Kings Lynn

Although Weymouth have only won once at home against Maidenhead their 2 defeats came against Boreham Wood and Stockport and they have managed a draw against Notts County as well. I mentioned above that they were looking tired last Saturday, but they rested some key players on Tuesday night so they were able to freshen some players up whilst also managing to win. I think they should be slightly shorter in the betting here. Amazingly Kings Lynn have had more possession in 10 of their 12 league games, but their problem is they often don't have enough quality in the final 3rd to take advantage of seeing so much of the ball. They had nearly 70% of the ball against Boreham Wood on Tuesday night yet could only manage an xG of 0.9 compared to Wood's 1.79 and they lost 1-0. Only 3 times this season has their xG been higher than their opponents and that for me puts things in Weymouth's favour here.

 

Hungerford v Maidstone (National League South)

Just the one bet at Step 2 this weekend and I think the home side are overpriced here. I put Maidstone up last week and they lost 2-0 to Dorking and after a 0-0 draw at Dulwich on Tuesday night that meant they haven't scored in their last 3 league games now. You just get the sense they are in a bit of a sticky patch and this will be a tough game. Hungerford were having a cracking season last time around and they have been able to pretty much carry that into this one as well. 3 of their 4 league wins have come against the weaker sides in the league, but they have beaten Dorking and drew against Havant on Tuesday night. At home I just can't make them anywhere near as big as they are to win this and look fair value.

 

Barnet 2pts @ 2/1 with Skybet and BetVictor (take up to 11/10)

Weymouth 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365 and William Hill (take up to 5/4)

Hungerford 2pts @ 11/5 with Betfair, Paddy Power and William Hill (take up to 6/4)

[Kenton Schweppes]

2 out of 3 with the 3rd leading....with Barnet just having a goal chalked off for an awful offside decision which would have put them 2-0 up.

[Kenton Schweppes]

Great tipping there Darran, a clean sweep, I've a nice wad to collect tomorrow from the bookies after backing the treble.

To be honest, Aldershot should have at least grabbed a point after Barnet had gone in front late in the game, missing a great chance from a free header with the goal at the mercy of the Shots attacker but headed it wide.

[Darran]

Yeah Aldershot could have grabbed a point but it wouldn’t have been deserved as Barnet were the better team overall. A cracking day after some tough results in recent weeks.