mark22 Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 This Indian Wells results are strange, I´ll rather wait for next weeks when indoor hard CH continues.. where we can find better value bets just one for today. Melzer - Tirante 1 @2.22 with Marathonbet Tirante won challenger in Ambato, where he beat Austrian too. Last week Melzer got revenge by easy win (6:4 6:2). Tirante had problems in 2:1 win against Seyboth Wild in 1st round here in Santiago and it looks like he dropped in form a little bit. This week they play on same courts, so this should be advantage for Melzer. In 1st round he won against Jarry in close match. In may he returned after 2 year break from tennis and now he shows again, how good player he is. Odds should be at least 1.75 on Melzer. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 Alexander Zverev to reach the Final of the ATP Indian Wells at 1.72 with bet365 The odds for Sascha to win the ATP Indian Wells have dropped to 2.05 and it has no value at this point... But the odds for him to reach the Final are at 1.72, so I will go with this one. He will play against Fritz in the QFs. Fritz has won all his matches here in straight sets (Nakashima, Berrettini and Sinner), but his form before coming here was really poor. Moreover, neither Berrettini nor Sinner were playing good. I think Fritz is a little bit underrated for this match but I expect Sascha win it in 3 or 2 tight sets. In the SFs, he will play against Basilashvili or Tsitsipas. Tsitsipas is not playing well. He could have lost against Fognini (2-6, 6-3, 6-4) in the 2nd round, and he could have lost against De Miñaur in the 3rd round (6-7, 7-6, 6-2). De Miñaur was in a really, really bad form and that reflects how poor Tsitsipas has been playing recently. It's also hard to forget how he did in the US Open... Having said that, I wouldn't be shocked if he loses against Basilashvili. I saw a big part of Niko against Ramos. Ramos was serving for the match but he lost his opportunity to close it in 2 sets and then he was destroyed by Basilashvili's winners. Since the Olympics, Sascha has lost only 1 match (20-1), and that was a 5 set match against Djokovic (SFs of the USO). CzechPunter and Simplicity11 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simplicity11 Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 2 hours ago, Link180 said: What do people think of norrie v swartzman. I like norrie in this due to I think being bit more consistent, better head to head on outdoor hard. I also feel swartzman being a little lucky getting past Evans and even lucky to meet an injured/fatigued ruud. Ruud still managed to get break points though. Is swartzmans serve vaunerable? I’d be wary of Norrie, he’s had 3 back to back 3 setters in this tournament already and today will be another grind against Schwartzman. Both serves are vulnerable, Norrie has to contend with an elite returner, Diego will get few free points. Like CzechPunter said, I think this match is fairly priced so I’m staying away, but what do I know? ?♂️ darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 Looks like Tsitsipas has been battling a cold these last few days. That might explain his struggles in the last couple of rounds, but even without that he doesn't look in the best of form. Simplicity11 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simplicity11 Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 36 minutes ago, Torque said: Looks like Tsitsipas has been battling a cold these last few days. That might explain his struggles in the last couple of rounds, but even without that he doesn't look in the best of form. He’s overvalued against Basilashvili IMO. darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, Simplicity11 said: He’s overvalued against Basilashvili IMO. I'd agree with that. Not in great form + unwell + Basilashvili's streaky nature = possible upset. Simplicity11 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carina007 Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 7 hours ago, Link180 said: What do people think of norrie v swartzman. I like norrie in this due to I think being bit more consistent, better head to head on outdoor hard. I also feel swartzman being a little lucky getting past Evans and even lucky to meet an injured/fatigued ruud. Ruud still managed to get break points though. Is swartzmans serve vaunerable? You saved my money today... Well, depends how we look on that... Because I still have Hurkacz on the ticket. I read a lot of predictions for this match and this was probably only prediction with Norrie as suggested winner. huge huge WIN for Norrie, I really didn't expect that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carina007 Posted October 14, 2021 Share Posted October 14, 2021 (edited) Well, I made huge mistake with not covering Hurkacz when he had 6:3 4:3 (40:15). Odd on Dimitrov was 7.50 Lesson learned. And how lucky was Dimitrov in the end of second set when ball touched the net on set point (BP) and dropped on Hurkacz side... Edited October 14, 2021 by carina007 CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted October 15, 2021 Author Share Posted October 15, 2021 Very lucky indeed! Though all credit to Dimitrov. He tried his best despite the obvious physical issues, while Hurkacz wasn't able to take advantage of them as an experienced player should. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carina007 Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 After second set it was only metter of time when he will brake Hurkacz. He played better and better after every game and Hurkacz was down. Tall guy like him should use his serve much better or let say in bigger percentage Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carina007 Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 16 hours ago, Torque said: Looks like Tsitsipas has been battling a cold these last few days. That might explain his struggles in the last couple of rounds, but even without that he doesn't look in the best of form. I looked third set against De Minaur and he looked very good. When I compare this tennis with Ramos vs Basiashvilli it looked like class above Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 7 hours ago, carina007 said: I looked third set against De Minaur and he looked very good. When I compare this tennis with Ramos vs Basiashvilli it looked like class above That might have had something to do with De Minaur running out of steam - pretty sure he was cramping in that final set. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 38 minutes ago, Torque said: That might have had something to do with De Minaur running out of steam - pretty sure he was cramping in that final set. Tsitsi usually gets over the line though as is the nature of being a top 10 player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, four-leaf said: Tsitsi usually gets over the line though as is the nature of being a top 10 player. That's true. You can only go to that particular well so many times though. At the moment, for whatever reason, he doesn't look right to me and with the way Basilashvili can play lights out every now and then, I wouldn't be surprised if Tsitsipas loses. I also wouldn't be surprised though if Basilashvili lost in a sea of unforced errors and so it's not a match I'll be getting involved in. If I were forced to bet on something, it would be a straight bet on Basilashvili rather than any handicaps as I think he'll either win or lose easily. CzechPunter, Simplicity11 and four-leaf 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carina007 Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, Torque said: That's true. You can only go to that particular well so many times though. At the moment, for whatever reason, he doesn't look right to me and with the way Basilashvili can play lights out every now and then, I wouldn't be surprised if Tsitsipas loses. I also wouldn't be surprised though if Basilashvili lost in a sea of unforced errors and so it's not a match I'll be getting involved in. If I were forced to bet on something, it would be a straight bet on Basilashvili rather than any handicaps as I think he'll either win or lose easily. In that case I put my money on Basilashvili @4.50 Simplicity11 and four-leaf 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted October 15, 2021 Author Share Posted October 15, 2021 Well done to Basilashvili and his backers! Simplicity11 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carina007 Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 Wow, what a match from Fritz. I really wasn't expecting this... So powerfull shots deep in the field... Fritz - Basilashvili will be brutal match. Winner of that clash will probably win IW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link180 Posted October 15, 2021 Share Posted October 15, 2021 This is great for tennis, exiting. These four guys want it more than the big seeds. Am leaning towards dimitrov and Fritz, Fritz especially for win. What everyone think? CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simplicity11 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Potential match up issue (Dimitrov 1H-BH vs Norrie lefty forehand) got me leaning towards Norrie, odds seems fairly priced currently, but will continue watching any movement ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link180 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, Simplicity11 said: Potential match up issue (Dimitrov 1H-BH vs Norrie lefty forehand) got me leaning towards Norrie, odds seems fairly priced currently, but will continue watching any movement ? What does gut say not statts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simplicity11 Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, Link180 said: What does gut say not statts Norrie, if odds drift to 2.00 I’ll back him. You? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Ostapenko for me thank you very mutch @2.35 in-play with Unibet (pre odds 2.75 but still good enough for me) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Just sad to see Ostapenko making so many unforced errors year after year... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Having another bet on the latvian in-play at 3.60 also with Unibet You just don't know with Ostapenko if she's gonna make a winner or an unforced a double fault or an ace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Ostapenko +2.5 games at 2.23 with Unibet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Gsm Vika! Ostapenko like throwing a dice but the handicap came in nicely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Ons Jabeur to beat (-1.5 sets) Paula Badosa at 4.40 in-play with Unibet Ons is cruising this tournament. Got broken right in the first game of this match but I think she'll break back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 (edited) Wow Ons is playing horrible.. Edit: That quickly changed ? Edit 2: And quickly changed to a loss of set... Edited October 16, 2021 by four-leaf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 Ons Jabeur to beat Paula Badosa at 4.20 in-play with Unibet If she takes her chances and holds her nerves she could make a match of this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted October 16, 2021 Share Posted October 16, 2021 (edited) Ok Jabeur can't handle the pressure of reaching top 10 plus possible mental fatigue after final in Chicago the week before IW. Edited October 16, 2021 by four-leaf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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