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Racing Chat - Tuesday 5th October


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Current P/L = +1.5pts

1557 Leicester Ishvara 8/1 1.5pt win = Lost 

1605 Galway Winter Escape 5/1 2pt win = Lost

1632 Leicester Shanghai Rock 17/2 1pt win = Lost

2000 Kempton Espresso Freddo 13/2 1.5pt win = NR (Disappointing as it was backed into 4/1 before being declared a NR)

2030 Kempton Buckingham 6/1 1pt win = Lost

5.5pts staked ????

Edited by Hotspur88
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Elkstone 2:30 Huntingdon 4/1. Won this race last year off 2lb lower mark...not seen since so fitness/wellbeing taken on trust, but yard had a winner the other day, so might well be primed for a course and distance that clearly suits.

Doesn't look the strongest race, fav Larch Hill up 7lb makes life tougher and is well matched with Romanor on their last run. Demon D'aunou has the ability but it's above my pay grade to predict Jonjo's horses. 

 

Couldn't be much more wrong, ran a shocker ?

Edited by yossa6133
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A bit late posting, had some stuff to sort at the bank, never realised it was so difficult to get your own money.

October total = + 2 pts

Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G.

3.22 Leic - Diamond Cutter - 3/1 ... lost

3.40 Hunt - Blue N Yellow - 3/1 ... lost

3.57 Leic - Four Adaay - 13/8 ... lost

Edited by Bang on
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My Trixie today

4.15 Hunt Midnight Jewel 11/4

4.58 Km Thaki 5/2

7.30 Km Reelemin 11/4

One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 Poss return £89.53

Singles:

4.15 Hunt Just Toby £1 win at 16/1

4.58 Km Manumission (WB) £1 win at 15/2

7.30 Km Be Lucky My Son £2 win at 3.70 = £5.29 profit if it wins

Total stakes = £8.00

 

 

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1 hour ago, Offramp said:

Worth having a look at BELLA CAELIA in the 13:00 at Brighton. Currently 14/1. This horse has been born to like soft ground. Might be worth a very small each way bet. Pence rather than pounds. 

POCKET THE PROFIT 4/1F won clearly, then there was a scrimmage for the other places. BELLA CAELIA came in a close 5th (out of 11). Only a 2 year old and has a bright future. 

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39 minutes ago, Bang on said:

A bit late posting, had some stuff to sort at the bank, never realised it was so difficult to get your own money.

October total = + 2 pts

Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G.

3.22 Leic - Diamond Cutter - 3/1

3.40 Hunt - Blue N Yellow - 3/1

3.57 Leic - Four Adaay - 13/8

got twos urs and mclarke my picks!

Screenshot_20211004-210922.png

Screenshot_20211004-181244.png

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Last month I highlighted a very high speed figure @12F that horse runs this evening at Kempton 6:30 its name is Quilted and although i am not a big fan of  short priced horses or favs my opinion is that it should be nearer even money and not the 9/4 it is trading at the moment. 

I must admit i am stunned at that race and many will say i am arguing through my pocket but out to 5/1 and trails in last not even given a hard ride, that race stunk to me. For what it is worth I had the winner to come second to quilted in straight F/C so its all the more galling.

Edited by Zilzalian
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Tbh it only has 1 run when it beat an odds on Bartzella to its name, and because of its pedigree, but Frankel spits out 100 mares per year, lol. Actually the same race I'm sure Bartzella was outdone by a big odds horse in the same race. 

Will be interesting to see but it's form doesn't look anything as yet. Certainly wouldn't touch it at low odds. 

Edited by fd1972uk
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22 hours ago, Hotspur88 said:

Current P/L = +1.5pts

1557 Leicester Ishvara 8/1 1.5pt win = Lost 

1605 Galway Winter Escape 5/1 2pt win = Lost

1632 Leicester Shanghai Rock 17/2 1pt win = Lost

2000 Kempton Espresso Freddo 13/2 1.5pt win = NR (Disappointing as it was backed into 4/1 before being declared a NR)

2030 Kempton Buckingham 6/1 1pt win = Lost

5.5pts staked ????

Poor day today with all four selections losing. Only one I can complain about is Buckingham who I feel was given a very poor ride just now and if ridden handier, could have threatened the front two as he was in traffic and only got going late on. 

Current P/L = -4pts

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10 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

My Trixie today

4.15 Hunt Midnight Jewel 11/4

4.58 Km Thaki 5/2

7.30 Km Reelemin 11/4

One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 Poss return £89.53

Singles:

4.15 Hunt Just Toby £1 win at 16/1

4.58 Km Manumission (WB) £1 win at 15/2

7.30 Km Be Lucky My Son £2 win at 3.70 = £5.29 profit if it wins

Total stakes = £8.00

 

 

RESULTS UPDATE

Reelemin didn't do that so I only got a win double on my Trixie; I even had to contact Betfair to get my bet settled as it was left open on "Sportsbook".  Anyway after getting a hard fought for £13.13 my profit on the day was £5.13.  This makes my new balance £704.19 (Bank £1056.22)

38 Races tomorrow

Lots of soft/heavy going to contend with though Ludlow on the jumps reporting Good going.  Of course its all weather at Kempton but even that's described as being on the slow side.  Autumn is really here now ?

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15 hours ago, Hotspur88 said:

Poor day today with all four selections losing. Only one I can complain about is Buckingham who I feel was given a very poor ride just now and if ridden handier, could have threatened the front two as he was in traffic and only got going late on. 

Current P/L = -4pts

Have to agree about the ride on Buckingham, had an EW double, first leg won at 5/1, Buckingham 2nd leg. EW part was a profit but cost me a four figure sum by not winning.

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13 minutes ago, Bang on said:

Have to agree about the ride on Buckingham, had an EW double, first leg won at 5/1, Buckingham 2nd leg. EW part was a profit but cost me a four figure sum by not winning.

Yeah I try not to blame the jockeys as much as possible if a selection loses but there was no excuse for that ride yesterday. Broke well enough from a wide stall but stuck Buckingham in behind and I understand some horses need that but it bewilders me when I can see from the screen they're going to need some serious luck to get the gaps needed. He had so much traffic in front of him and there was no chance he was going to win from the position he was in. The front two had already gone and when he tried to make a move he was squeezed out of it, had to pull the horse out wide and got going far too late although he was a fast finishing 3rd. He's 100% going to be a horse I continue to back until he wins a race as I really think he can land us a nice one. 

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