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Racing Chat - Wednesday 22nd September


fd1972uk

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I have put up More Bucks in all 3 starts so far over the summer and he runs again at Perth in the 2.25 and it would be nice if we finally got a win out of him. Since he sulked at Stratford in July he has finished 2nd twice at Market Rasen and Cartmel last month. I thought he was especially unlucky not to win at Market Rasen where he was given a bold front running ride and jumped superbly. Last time at Cartmel he was taken on for the lead, which didn't help matters as he had no response to the winner. He was struck into as well which wouldn't have helped either. There is no guarantee he will get an easy lead here as some of his rivals have made the running before although not every time so I am hoping that James can get to the front without being hassled by anyone else. If that happens and he gets into a good rhythm then I hope he can get his head in front. He is still well handicapped based on his pointing form and he has form on soft ground so that shouldn't be an issue either. I'm surprised he's drifted out to 4/1 and that looks a decent price to me.
 
More Bucks 4/1 with everyone 
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BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY

B/FWD SEP -7.78 POINTS

These are not tips, just an experiment

There were going to be 8 selections today but now there are 6 because of 2 non runners

2.00 Red Vintage Choice 4/5 steady                                  Alt (3) 11/4 steady

4.53 Red Albegone 13/8 (12lbs extra!!)   DTR                    Alt (2) 13/2 (11/2 LN)

1.45 Gd Imrahor 11/4 (10/3 LN)                                      Alt (3) 5/2 Fav (11/4 LN)

2.45 List Farout 8/13 (Evens LN)                                      Alt (4) 4/1 steady

1.52 Perth Island Mahee 5/2 (was 9/4 LN)                        Alt (3) 10/3 (7/2 LN)

8.15 Km Pinball Wizard 9/4 (7/4 LN)                                Alt (12) 4/1

6 selections from 39 races = 15%

Back later with jockey booking tips/bets

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September running total = + 23.21 pts

A small loss yesterday and we seem to be stuck in a rut. Just like all good things, all bad things have to come to an end. 

Todays selections - bet365  B.O.G.

2.17 Good - Some Nightmare - 6/4 ... WON

2.35 Redcar - Dr Rio - 5/2 ... lost

2.52 Good - King Vega - 5/2 ... lost

1 winner, 2 losers. September now + 22.71 pts

Edited by Bang on
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Selections and bets at Redcar:

1.30 Red Bro (JE) 5/1 (£1 win)

3.45 Red She's A Diva (RS) 9/2 (£1 win)

4.20 Red Ginato (BC) 7/2 (£2 win at 5.6 = £9.02 if it wins)

One £1 win Trixie = £4 poss return of £244.75

One other single bet = 1.00 Pneumatic (RK) £1 win at 11/2

Total stakes = £9.00 

Will take a peak at Goodwood where  most of the top jockeys are opposing each other

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List. 3.20. Hewick 17/2

List.4.25. Conflated 5/1

List. 5.00. Busselton 9/2

Perth 5.55. The Electrician 4/1

4x1/2 point each way trebles

1/2 point each way accumulator

Perth 1.52. 2x1 point St.F’casts  Island Mahee from Cancan or Clearly Crazy

List. 3.20. 6x 1/2 point St. F’casts  Hewick,Whatucallher,Oscar Romero.

List. 4.25. 6x 1/2 point St.F’casts Aramaic,Cinflated, Born By The Sea

Tota Amount Staked = 13 points

 

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3 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Selections and bets at Redcar:

1.30 Red Bro (JE) 5/1 (£1 win)

3.45 Red She's A Diva (RS) 9/2 (£1 win)

4.20 Red Ginato (BC) 7/2 (£2 win at 5.6 = £9.02 if it wins)

One £1 win Trixie = £4 poss return of £244.75

One other single bet = 1.00 Pneumatic (RK) £1 win at 11/2

Total stakes = £9.00 

Will take a peak at Goodwood where  most of the top jockeys are opposing each other

Too late for Goodwood

Trixie at Kempton later

6.45 Monitor (SL) 7/4

7.45 Theyazin (HD) 7/2

8.15 Pinball Wizard 5/2

One £1 win Trixie = £4 = poss return of £43.31

One single bet = £1.50 to win on Theyazin at 7/2 = Poss return of £6.75

Spend = £5.50

Total spend today = £14.50

 

 

 

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12 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY

B/FWD SEP -7.78 POINTS

These are not tips, just an experiment

There were going to be 8 selections today but now there are 6 because of 2 non runners

2.00 Red Vintage Choice 4/5 steady                                  Alt (3) 11/4 steady

4.53 Red Albegone 13/8 (12lbs extra!!)   DTR                    Alt (2) 13/2 (11/2 LN)

1.45 Gd Imrahor 11/4 (10/3 LN)                                      Alt (3) 5/2 Fav (11/4 LN)

2.45 List Farout 8/13 (Evens LN)                                      Alt (4) 4/1 steady

1.52 Perth Island Mahee 5/2 (was 9/4 LN)                        Alt (3) 10/3 (7/2 LN)

8.15 Km Pinball Wizard 9/4 (7/4 LN)                                Alt (12) 4/1

6 selections from 39 races = 15%

Back later with jockey booking tips/bets

RESULTS UPDATE

The big 3 got 2 winners out of 6 selections but there was a small net loss of 0.95 points.  The carry forward is now -8.73 points.

My alternative bets produce one winner but this resulted in a - 2 points loss.  The carry forward is now -63.45 points

There are 38 races tomorrow.  May be interesting.

 

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7 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Too late for Goodwood

Trixie at Kempton later

6.45 Monitor (SL) 7/4

7.45 Theyazin (HD) 7/2

8.15 Pinball Wizard 5/2

One £1 win Trixie = £4 = poss return of £43.31

One single bet = £1.50 to win on Theyazin at 7/2 = Poss return of £6.75

Spend = £5.50

Total spend today = £14.50

 

 

 

Only one winner today and this was in a Trixie so a loss for the day of £14.50.  This makes a new balance of £696.43 (Bank £1056.22)

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