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Champions League Predictions > Aug 24th & 25th


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PSV vs Benfica

Despite losing in the first leg in Lisbon, PSV has an active result, and anything is still possible in this tie. However, things didn’t look that bright at halftime, as Roger Schmidt’s side trailed 2:0. Nevertheless, Cody Gakpo managed to find the opposition’s net and keep his team competitive in this tie. Apart from that defeat, PSV has been excellent this season. They trashed fierce rivals Ajax in the Dutch Super Cup, while the hosts also opened the Eredivisie campaign with two victories. The home side has been pretty efficient, as they scored in each of their last nine matches. PSV needs to continue that trend as it is the only way to book a place in the Champions League group stage.

Benfica has been booking nothing but wins since the start of the season. The Eagles eliminated Spartak Moscow in the previous round, while they also have a perfect record in Liga Portugal. Interestingly, Jorge Jesus’ side scored two goals in each of the six matches played so far. On the other hand, the visitors have been pretty disciplined in the back, conceding just twice. However, they will miss Haris Seferovic for the Eindhoven game since the Swiss international is out injured. Nevertheless, Benfica aims for a place in the group stage and seeks another disciplined performance.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

It is going to be a tight clash, and both teams have a chance to progress to the group stage. However, Jorge Jesus is a very experienced head coach, and he knows how to preserve the advantage. Therefore, we believe this clash might end in a draw.

Goals Market Prediction

PSV has been pretty efficient this season, and despite Benfica’s solid defending, the hosts should score. We expect to see an entertaining clash, ending with goals in both nets.

Draw @ 3.50 

BTTS Yes @ 1.70 

Correct score 1:1 @ 7.00

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Brondby IF

It is the first time for them to play for the Tournament since 2000. But they are in poor state, which have been winless for nine matches. In last round, they lose to Red Bull Salzburg at 1-2.

 

Red Bull Salzburg

They are the top team in Austrian Bundesliga. And they have thrown up many world-famous footballers such as Erling Haland, Patson Daka. They are in form, getting a nine-match winning streak even if they play many fronts in these days.

 

Verdict:

There is a gap between Brondby IF and Red Bull Salzburg. Although Brondby IF have home advantage, they are in poor state and take the lower hand over Red Bull Salzburg in every aspect. So Red Bull Salzburg have the trend to win in upcoming game.

 

Prediction: 1-3, 0-2

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PSV Eindhoven

In last game, they defeat SC Cambuur at 4-1. They are good at offensive, with 4 scoring goals in average of recent 3 games. But they are under great pressure as they lose to Benfica at 1-2 in last round.  

 

Benfica

They play well in recent games, getting a six-match winning streak, with 2 scoring goals in average of recent games. Although they are in form, the one-goal lead isn't enough. They must try their best so that they can upgrade to next stage.  

 

Verdict:

Benfica take the upper hand over PSV Eindhoven in past head to head clashes with a record of 1W-1D-2L. Benfica are leading at present. They will upgrade to next stage as long as they score one more goal than PSV Eindhoven. Benfica are more likely to win in upcoming game.

 

1x2 Pick: x2

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Shakhtar vs Monaco

Shakhtar is on a good track to securing the Champions League group stage spot after celebrating a narrow 1:0 victory in Monaco. The hosts are on a hot streak, as they booked four straight wins. During that run, Roberto De Zerbi’s side conceded just one goal while scoring twice per game on average. Lassina Traore and the lads are one point behind the leading Dynamo Kyiv in the Ukrainian Premier League and head to this clash after a 3:0 victory over Chornomorets on the road. Shakhtar already eliminated Genk, and the home side is just one step away from a place in the group stage. They need another disciplined performance to join the best 32 European teams.

On the other hand, Monaco seems to be in real trouble. Niko Kovac’s side has a very slow start, and the visitors are still searching for their first victory in Ligue 1. Kevin Volland and the lads have trouble finding the back of the oppositions’ net, and they failed to score three times in a row. Monaco picked up just one point in Ligue 1 this season, scoring only once. The away side was confident against Sparta Prague, though, and they need the same recipe for this tie. However, their rival is much more challenging, and Monaco will have a tough task to overturn Shakhtar’s advantage at the away ground.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

We expect to see a tough battle in this one, the stake is high, and both sides want to come out as winners. It can go either way, but we think Shakhtar should hold their rivals to a draw.

Goals Market Prediction

The hosts have been very disciplined so far, and it is very tough to beat them in the back. On the other hand, Monaco is short on goals this season, and we don’t expect to see more than two goals in total in this clash.

Draw @ 3.50 

Under 2.5 FT @ 2.00 

Correct score 0:0 @ 10.50

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Brondby v RB Salzburg:

Buy cross corners (home corners x away corners) for 2.5 points at 24 with SPIN and 12 points on Brondby to get most corners at 9/2 Sky Bet

Salzburg are something of a corners machine and always worth a look in that respect when playing in a Champions or Europa League game (their domestic games not getting as much coverage by the bookies). They did their bit in the first leg by getting 9 corners but Brondby let me down by failing to get any. Surely the hosts need to show a bit more attacking intent tonight, starting at 2-1 down. Hopefully, however this game unfolds, the teams can combine to cover the spread on cross corners. Brondby springing out of the traps and going 2-0 up before the break (getting around 6 corners in the process) would probably be the ideal scenario! :)

Salzburg could probably win 2-0 tonight and still force most flag kicks but, at the price, it seems worth taking a chance on the team with the greater need winning that particular match up.

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Hello everyone!

These games are really hard to cap.Betting models so early in the season are thrown out the window.Today I wil try to approach a game I like  (Shaktar vs Monaco) using common sense by studying both teams production so far.

Let's take a look at Shakhtar Donetsk as it's the team that has the most official games ,under it's belt, so far in the season (8) as opposed to Monaco (6),

Shakhtar's 6/8 games have produced >2.5 goals.

Shakhtar's 4/8 games have ended in BTTS & Over 2.5

Shakhtar is currently riding a 3 game clean sheet streak.

Shakhtar has scored in each game so far.

 

 

Monaco on the other hand have been atrocious in Ligue 1 yet managed to manhandle Slavia Prague in two games in the previous CL qualifying round.

Currently they  are being heralded as slight favorites on various booking sites at around 2.30 which makes you wonder....considering how bad they've been the past days.

Monaco hasn't managed to score in it's last three games despite the talented players they have.

 

Monaco has no choice but to attack early and I find it unlikely they go scoreless for a 4th consecutive game as well as I find it unlikely Shakhtar keeps a clean sheet for a 4th consecutive game.

Based on their recent performance and in order to chase value we'll have to pick a bet from other markets from the usual ones(At least that's what we found out yesterday after the 0-0 stalement of PSV-Benfica where veryone was expecting goals.)

 

Monaco just does not convince me that they will all of a sudden flip the switch and beat Shakhtar which is a team that is playing very well and has experience in the competition.Keep in mind that Shakhtar is playing for two results (Win or Draw gets them through) and they seem to have the talent to attack and counter attack.

If I were to make a bet today I'd focus on 

BTTS & Over 2.5 @2.12 for 0.5 unit

and/or

Shakhtar 1X && BTTS @ 2.65 for 0.5 unit

 

Good luck to everone and looking forward to discussing about this season's betting challenges.

 

 

 

 

Edited by JohnSax
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3 hours ago, JohnSax said:

Monaco on the other hand have been atrocious in Ligue 1

And Ben Yedder is yet to get off the mark so, what better way to speculate on the game than;

18 points on Ben Yedder to score at 11/4 (Power Price) with PP

Their regular price of 9/4 caught my eye earlier, since trimmed to 2/1, but the enhanced 11/4 remains available. Definitely value in my opinion though taking it on trust that class is permanent while form is temporary!

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harry_rag great call on Ben Yedder!

Monaco really bounced Shakhtar like a rag doll yesterday but couldn't finish the job.From the odds yesterday it seemed that it was expected Monaco to flip the switch (which indeed happened especially in the first half)

Changes most likely coming for Monaco .

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29 minutes ago, JohnSax said:

harry_rag great call on Ben Yedder!

Cheers, unlucky with yours in terms of one only coming in after extra time but still a small profit.

Less good call on the corners with Brondby leading 3-0 at one point before it finished with 3 each. 

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