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Racing Chat - Monday 16th August


The Equaliser
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LIST OF NAMED HORSES CHOSEN BY THE SAME THREE TIPSTERS

3.50 Lin Seneca Chief 11/10 (11/8) 3rd Evens fav

2.20 Cat Quercus 6/4 (15/8) Won 2/1

4.05 Cat Nadein 4/11 Won 2/9

5.08 Cat Genesius 15/8 (2/1) 3rd 6/5 fav

5.25. Win Rose Barton 11/10 (5/4) 3rd 7/4 Fav

6.55 Win Glen Esk 2/1 (9/4) 4th 3/1

5.00 Bang First Street 11/8 Won 13/8 Fav

6.35 Bang Kabrit 2/1 4th 2/1 Fav

8.05 Bang Sir Tivo 6/4 2nd 7/4 Fav

7.15 Ros Ciel D'afrique 5/4 Won Evens Fav

Four winners but a loss of £11.53 at SP todayfor the big 3 tipsters

Some of these may be worth a second look 🙂

Lots to choose from the big 3/4 selections above.  Quite short prices available and I have only plumped for one so far.

Looking at the top jockeys/apprentices I see that the big guns Oisin Murphy, Will Buick and Tom Marquand all vie with each other at Windsor tonight.  This makes the selection process more problematic so as an early start I have decided to focus on James Doyle 31/151 = 21% -£58 om the All weather at Lingfield and Danny Tudhope 60/344 17% -£85.99 on turf at Catterick.

Quite amazing to think that even with a 21% strike rate a jockey will only win about 1 in 5 of his races.

James has 5 rides at Catterick so should at least get 1 winner, haha.  His first ride is Scherazade in the 1.00 Disappointed at Windsor last time and now back on polytrack.  I'll pass. He has Nepal in the 1.30 which seems to have plenty to prove. He has Smooth Spirit in the 2.40 that does look a lively contender.  He has Algheed in the 3.15 and Timeform seem to have doubts about this one.  Lastly he has Seneca Chief in the 3.50 which has the blessing of the big 3 and has 4lbs extra to carry.

Danny Tudhope has now only 2 rides at Catterick but I think we can safely disregard Thesethings happen in the 4.05 at 66/1 and up against the 1/4 favourite Nadein.  This leaves Oh So Woke in the 3.30 This is his best chance today.  It has drifted a bit in the betting as the market has plumped for Mutaabeq with Ben Curtis aboard.  I still thinks its worth taking a small punt on

My Trixie today is therefore:

2.40 Ling Smooth Spirit (JD) 7/4

3.30 Catt Oh SO Woke (DT) 10/3

3.50 Ling Seneca Chief (JD) 11/8

£2 win Trixie = £8.00 poss return of £114.07

Had £2.20 win on Oh So Woke at 15/4 = £10.45 Return if it wins

Total stakes so far = £10.20

Will now grapple with the Windsor contestants

Results Update

Got out of jail with The Princes Poet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by The Equaliser
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Posted (edited)
16 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

LIST OF NAMED HORSES CHOSEN BY THE SAME THREE TIPSTERS

3.50 Lin Seneca Chief 11/10 (11/8)

2.20 Cat Quercus 6/4 (15/8)

4.05 Cat Nadein 4/11

5.08 Cat Genesius 15/8 (2/1)

5.25. Win Rose Barton 11/10 (5/4)

6.55 Win Glen Esk 2/1 (9/4)

5.00 Bang First Street 11/8

6.35 Bang Kabrit 2/1

8.05 Bang Sir Tivo 6/4

7.15 Ros Ciel D'afrique 5/4

Some of these may be worth a second look 🙂

Lots to choose from the big 3/4 selections above.  Quite short prices available and I have only plumped for one so far.

Looking at the top jockeys/apprentices I see that the big guns Oisin Murphy, Will Buick and Tom Marquand all vie with each other at Windsor tonight.  This makes the selection process more problematic so as an early start I have decided to focus on James Doyle 31/151 = 21% -£58 om the All weather at Lingfield and Danny Tudhope 60/344 17% -£85.99 on turf at Catterick.

Quite amazing to think that even with a 21% strike rate a jockey will only win about 1 in 5 of his races.

James has 5 rides at Catterick so should at least get 1 winner, haha.  His first ride is Scherazade in the 1.00 Disappointed at Windsor last time and now back on polytrack.  I'll pass. He has Nepal in the 1.30 which seems to have plenty to prove. He has Smooth Spirit in the 2.40 that does look a lively contender.  He has Algheed in the 3.15 and Timeform seem to have doubts about this one.  Lastly he has Seneca Chief in the 3.50 which has the blessing of the big 3 and has 4lbs extra to carry.

Danny Tudhope has now only 2 rides at Catterick but I think we can safely disregard Thesethings happen in the 4.05 at 66/1 and up against the 1/4 favourite Nadein.  This leaves Oh So Woke in the 3.30 This is his best chance today.  It has drifted a bit in the betting as the market has plumped for Mutaabeq with Ben Curtis aboard.  I still thinks its worth taking a small punt on

My Trixie today is therefore:

2.40 Ling Smooth Spirit (JD) 7/4

3.30 Catt Oh SO Woke (DT) 10/3

3.50 Ling Seneca Chief (JD) 11/8

£2 win Trixie = £8.00 poss return of £114.07

Had £2.20 win on Oh So Woke at 15/4 = £10.45 Return if it wins

Total stakes so far = £10.20

Will now grapple with the Windsor contestants

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Looks like people are sleeping until the York Ebor meeting. My trixie selection got beaten a neck and the first big 3 selection that I didn't back won by a neck

I will go and make some burgers now.  If I get some time later I may look at Windsor but this looks like a nightmare when viewing from a jockey/apprentice angle.  May be the top 3 tipsters have the answer with Rose Barton  and Glen Esk.

Good luck to any of the PL souls braving the racing elements today

Haha, I see that James Doyle has just won on one I didn't back!  Looks like one of those days

 

Edited by The Equaliser
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49 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

Looks like people are sleeping until the York Ebor meeting. My trixie selection got beaten a neck and the first big 3 selection that I didn't back won by a neck

I will go and make some burgers now.  If I get some time later I may look at Windsor but this looks like a nightmare when viewing from a jockey/apprentice angle.  May be the top 3 tipsters have the answer with Rose Barton  and Glen Esk.

Good luck to any of the PL souls braving the racing elements today

Haha, I see that James Doyle has just won on one I didn't back!  Looks like one of those days

 

Luckily for me I did not waste £10 on Seneca Chief at evens (I have to say that Cieron Fallon seems to be coming into his own now, well done to him)

Instead I have gone on my stakes retrieval mission with £2.50 to win on The Princes Poet with Will Buick in the saddle in the 5.55 Windsor = £10.29 profit if it wins.

On  a lonely day here at PL I will sign off and go make my burgers

Once again good luck to anyone punting on the forum

Total stakes now £12.70.  No disaster if my mission fails

 

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With a few on here betting on the 5.35 at  Bangor, thought I’d have a look at it. I won’t be parting with cash as it’s a class 5 novice chase . I’ve got the top 3 as this, which means nothing , but see how it fares .

Authorizo 11/1 nowhere 

War At Sea 4/1 4th 

The Some Dance Kid 15/2 3rd 

Edited by Villa Chris
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1 hour ago, Villa Chris said:

With a few on here betting on the 5.35 at  Bangor, thought I’d have a look at it. I won’t be parting with cash as it’s a class 5 novice chase . I’ve got the top 3 as this, which means nothing , but see how it fares .

Authorizo 11/1 nowhere 

War At Sea 4/1 4th 

The Some Dance Kid 15/2 3rd 

The winner wins on his chase debut at 28/1 . He was also a maiden hurdler. Too many unknowns in lower class novice chases for my liking. 

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3 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

Race chat I think . Will put it under racing chat next time , so it comes up under search 

I have now bookmarked the word "chat" so as to find the post(s).  I'm not a techie so I get thrown when I can't find the on going chat posts.  Many thanks

 

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