Jump to content
Announcements
** November Poker League Result : 1st Danshot, 2nd Rivrd, 3rd Elliott Sutcliffe **
** October Naps Competition Result: 1st internetmails, 2nd Donnyflyer, 3rd vangovin, 4th Peter York. KO Cup Winner mickyftm32. Most Winners waggy: **

UEFA Super Cup > 11th August


Recommended Posts

Not strictly the Champions League but thought this the best place for it...

image.thumb.png.08b1a73ad97eff37acbcce631c1e9c0c.png

Chelsea (ENG) v Villarreal (SPA)
 
Final Trends (since 2000-01)
 
ENG won 3/21 (losing 5 finals)
SPA won 12/21 (losing 7 finals)
14/21 won by UCL winner
9/21 drawn
3.00 average goals
2/21 <2 goals
11/21 >2
7/21 >3
15/21 BTTS
5/21 finished 1-1
 
England UCL/ UEL Record (4Y/ 2Y)
 
290-171-51-68 (0.70)
147-88-28-31 (0.71)
 
Spain UCL/ UEL Record (4Y/ 2Y)
 
279-144-68-67 (0.63)
133-67-30-36 (0.59)
 
Chelsea UCL/UEL (4Y/ 2Y)
 
44-27-11-6 (0.71)
2.95 average goals
10/44 <2
25/44 >2
14/44> 3
19/44 BTTS
 
21-12-5-4 (0.66)
2.62 average goals
6/21 <2
10/21 >3
5/21 >4
8/21 BTTS
 
Villarreal UEL Record (4Y/ 2Y)
 
34-19-10-5 (0.68)
2.68 average goals
9/34 <2
16/34 >2
12/34 >3
 
14-11-3-0 (0.80)
2.64 average goals
3/14 <2
6/14 >2
3/14 >3
7/14 BTTS
 
Nation H2H (4Y/ 2Y)
 
48-16-16-16
1.38-1.17
13/48 <2
24/48 >2
14/48 >3
24/48 BTTS
 
25-11-7-7
1.40-0.76
9/25 <2
10/25 >2
6/25 >3
9/25 BTTS
 
Thoughts
 
I think it's fair to say that Chelsea are the better of the two teams, with English sides also having a better European record than their Spanish counterparts over the last 4 and 2 year cycles. However the record of Spanish teams in this competition cannot be ignored, my feel is that they tend to take this more seriously than English clubs who may view this as a "European Community Shield" opposed to a genuine trophy. Personally I tend to share that opinion and won't be getting too involved; I think motivation could be a leveller and I'll stick half a point on the most common correct score over the last 20 years.
 
Bets
 
0.5pts - Draw 1-1 7/1 @ Bet365 (Bore Draw)


 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've been matched on a couple of bets so far.

25 points on 45+ booking points at 2.52 on BF (using a 5 point bonus I'd been given)

12 points on Alcacer to score at 6.6 on BF

>4.5 cards was a similar (standout) price with one firm so makes sense to effectively get 45 points onside as a winner rather than a loser. I make it more like a 5/4 shot. Hopefully the game is played at a reasonably competitive pitch, with both firms keen to get a trophy in the cabinet, rather than it having a pre-season feel

Alcacer was on my radar as a possible bet at 4/1. Hopefully the person who layed my bet just has a different opinion of the true odds rather than having advance knowledge of the line ups. Moreno looks like a decent bet at 7/2 if starting.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, harry_rag said:

Alcacer was on my radar as a possible bet at 4/1. Hopefully the person who layed my bet just has a different opinion of the true odds rather than having advance knowledge of the line ups. Moreno looks like a decent bet at 7/2 if starting.

The former is on the bench unfortunately, the latter starts and I’ve been matched for 16 points at 4.7.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

×
×
  • Create New...