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Racing Chat - Saturday 22nd May


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Its attritional conditionals at all meetings tomorrow and we’re looking for real mud larks. Lets hope that all meetings survive. Here’s my early thoughts on Saturday’s 10 ITV races. 

Goodwood 140 

Roger Charlton’s Prince Alex was not disgraced on his re-appearance at Salisbury behind the useful Opera Gift this Ralph Beckett 4 year old looks the most likely winner. He ran up a five timer last season on all types of ground including twice on soft and he still looks like he may have some juice left in his mark of 86. Jason Watson, who’s had better weeks, takes over for the first time and will be hard to beat. It wouldn’t be a surprise if local mudlark Nuits St Georges outruns his double figure odds after flopping at Ascot - he’s better than that. 

PRINCE ALEX 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill

Haydock 1.55 

Favourite Ffion must have a big chance here as a lightly raced David Loughnane 4 year old but preference at the prices is with the Ed Walker, who had a terrific York last week with pattern winners Starman and Primo Bacio, trained Molls  Memory who has her conditions to suit now. She shaped well when 5th to impressive York winner Boardman last week and the handicapper has dropped her to 84 which is the mark she won off of at Newbury last backend. The soft ground is the key to here and racing on the softest terrain she’s encountered this season can run a big race under that man Oisin Murphy again. 

MOLLS MEMORY 3 points each way @ 5/1 1/5th 5 places Skybet

Goodwood 210 

Favourite Al Zaraqaan is worth taking on here on ground that will be foreign to him having only raced on the all weather and fast ground. He’s opposed by David Simcock’s veteran gelding Desert Encounter who seemed in as good a form as he’s ever been when chasing home the progressive Waldkonig in the Group 3 Gordon Richards Stakes at Sandown last month. He handles any ground and Martin Harley gets to ride him for the first time at a track where his form figures are 212. Simcock was in fine form at the track on Friday with two winners. 

DESERT ENCOUNTER 2 points win @ 11/4 Bet365

Haydock 225 

Postileo is a progressive Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum owned Galileo colt certainly didn’t get the run of the race in the consolation Chester Cup last time when he was hampered at the start and couldn’t get into his stride. He eventually finished runner up to the easy winner Green Book who had the run of the race out in front and re-opposes here on 7lb worse terms for 4 3/4L. The selection has yet to race on a very soft surface although he was a winner at Salisbury on good to soft and the Chester run was on similar ground so hopefully even slower ground won’t inconvenience him. Regular pilot Andrea Atzeni remains at Newmarket so David Egan takes the reigns and should go close for trainer Roger Varian. 

POSTILEO 2 points win @ 4/1 Boylesports

York 2.40 

Roger Varian has some good chances around the country today none more so than his consistent 4 year old filly Believe In Love who’s won 5 of her 6 latest starts. She has to carry the burden of a 3lb penalty today for her Group 3 victory in France last October but as long as she’s straight enough (she won after a 139 day break last summer) she’s the form horse and can take this under Ray Dawson from the likes of Mighty Blue and Makawee. 

BELIEVE IN LOVE 2 points win @ 9/4 William Hill

Haydock 300 

The Silver Bowl Handicap is a handicap that is also worth following and this years renewal is no different although the size of the field is a bit disappointing. Roger Varian’s Night Of Thunder colt Raadobarg makes his handicap debut here off of what may well be a workable mark of 88. He’ll handle conditions well, having proved his effectiveness for soft ground when bolting up at odds on at Thirsk earlier this month. There are other promising types in the field but none more so than the selection and he can give Jack Mitchell a big handicap victory. 

RAADOBARG 3 points win @ 11/4 BetVictor

Curragh 320 

Aidan O’Brien has won the Tattersalls Irish 2000 Guineas a record 11 times and saddles three here today. All 3 raced in the English 2000 Guineas three weeks ago and despite the fact that Ryan Moore appears to have chosen Wembley its Van Gogh who finish 13L ahead of him that day that is my pick. He’s proven on very soft ground as he won the Group 1 Criterium International at Saint Cloud last October on heavy ground. Seamus Heffernan takes the ride and it’ll be no shock were he to confirm his Newmarket form with his stablemates and run a big race here. Lucky Vega is the one to beat who ran so well to finish 3rd in the English 2000 although Jessie Harrington’s colt has to prove he is as useful on soft ground as he is on a faster surface. 

VAN GOGH 2 points each way @ 6/1 1/5th 1234

Haydock 335 

Unbeaten favourite  Dragon Symbal looks a sprinter going places and is on a five timer  but he’s only raced on the all weather and on good to firm ground. He may turn out to be very good but there’s no way I can be backing him on the likely soggy Haydock turf.

Charlie Hills is a dab hand with sprinters and his Muhaarar colt Mujbar is two from two on soft/heavy ground and looks decent value here on his favoured ground. He probably didn’t stay in the Greenham over 7F and the drop back to 6F could be the making of him. 

MUJBAR 2 points each way @ 8/1 1/5th 123 Paddy Power

York 3.50

Copper Knight is a standing dish here at York having won 5 of his 14 starts including at the Dante meeting 9 days ago from the re-appearing Mulzim and Mondammej. He’s sure to go well although the ground is likely to be a lot softer today and preference is for Michael Dodd’s Pendleton who’s likely to turn into a decent sprinter when conditions are ideal this season. He ran a stormer following a 560 day break when just touched off by Fresh at Ascot a fortnight ago and drops a furlong today to the minimum trip. He loves soft ground and as long as he doesn’t bounce will surely be involved in the finish. 

PENDELTON 2 points each way @ 7/1 1/5th 12345

Haydock 410 

John Quinn is a fine trainer of sprinters and saddles two here in his quest to win the Group 2 Temple Stakes. Both of his fillies are rated identically with Liberty Beach currently favoured in the betting but its Keep Busy who may just prevail today. Her form figures on soft or worse read 3142251 and despite not been seen since last year’s Abbaye on Arc De Triomphe day is a progressive sprinter who’s dam Look Busy won this race in 2009 and has the added assistance of Oisin Murphy riding for the very first time. 

KEEP BUSY 2 points win @ 10/3 Bet365

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Escobar   2 05  york   1/2  pt win   8/1  betfair

Ebury   2 05  york   1/2  pt  win   23/1  betfair 

Noonday  Gun   3 15  york  1 pt  win  25/1  betfair

Indianoplis  3 40  newm   1 pt  win   32/1  betfair

Makanah  3 15  york   1 pt  win   17/1  betfair

 

 

P/L   =  +  108  pt 

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Posted (edited)

Looking through the UK racecard again today, just my fancies, most fancied per card is marked with a '*', have backed a few different bets (will post later).

Best odds are at time of posting via ATR odd guide.

 

Goodwood

13:05 Prism 9/2  /  13:40 Hochfeld 4/1   /   14:10 Al Zaraqaan 15/8   /  14:50 Aldaary *  E    /  15:25  Hukum  4/5   /   16:00  Beauty Stone  4/1   /   16:35 Chiasma  5/6

 

Haydock

13:20 Mystical Dawn  3/1  / 13:55 Sunset Breeze  13/2  / 14:25  Frankenstella 7/1   / 15:00 Wobwobwob 13/2   /  15:35 Dragon Symbol * 4/1   /  16:10 Jabbarockie 6/1   /  16:45 Trumble 4/1

 

Newmarket

13:25 My Dubawi  11/2  /  14:00 Arecibo 5/2   /   14:35  Law of One 6/4   / 15:05 Almoshahar  8/1   /   15:40 Almighwar * 3/1   /  16:15 Valparaiso 4/1   /  16:50 Bugle Major 8/1

 

York

14:05 Tomfre 3/1   /  14:40 Believe in Love * 5/2   /  15:15 Wise Eagle  9/2   /  15:50 Copper Knight  11/2   /  16:20 Shaladar 5/1   /  16:55 Northern Express 11/4   /   17:25 Parys Mountain 10/1

 

Curragh

13:35 The Acropolis 7/4  /  14:15 The Entertainer 9/4   /  14:45 Glen Shiel * 15/8  /  15:20 Poetic Flare  6/1   /  15:55 Epona Plays 5/1   / 16:25 Let's 9/2   /  17:00 Pretty Rebel 6/1   /  17:30 Montego Bay 11/4

 

Lingfield

17:20 I'm Digby 2/1  / 17:55 Reeceltic 7/2   / 18:25 Danzart 3/1   / 18:55 Eve Lodge 4/9   /  19:25 Hope Probe *  11/10   /  19:55 Dragon's Fire 11/4   /  20:25 Emjaytwentythree 7/1

 

Statford

17:40 Restandbethankful * 8/15   /   18:10 Ready And Able 3/1  /   18:40 Twin Star 17/2   /   19:10 Miss Amelia 9/4   /  19:40 San Agustin  13/8   /  20:10 Flying Verse  4/1  /   20:40 Almufeed 25/1

Edited by fd1972uk
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The going is a factor that means I will tread lightly today

1.55 Hd Molls Memory (OM) £4.30 win at 5.8, just missed the price and now 5.6

2.25 Hd Vindolanda £2 win at 14.5 and Dash Of Spice TM (Jason weaver recommends it) £1.20 win at 18/1

I have put about £2 to win on all Kevin Stott's rides at York.  2.05, 3.50, 4.20 (£1.50at 16/1) and 4.55 = £7.50 staked

£15 staked in total

Hopefully back later

 

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Posted (edited)

Will do all betfair sp as i dont like doing markets not formed as early prices too much. 

555 lingfield nicks not wonder and global art

625 lingfield hot scoop win and place

725 lingfield hope probe

755 lingfield el picaro

825 lingfield sir tadweel and emjaytwentythree

205 york adjyaal

155 haydock raatea and redarna

250 goodwood aldaary

Edited by Wildgarden
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Posted (edited)

Bets for today:

Singles

1:40 Haydock - Hochfeld 4/1  Win (Sky Money back if 2nd offer)

2:25 Haydock - Frankenstella 13/2 / Postileo 10/3  Win (Paddy Power Money back if 2-4th)

4:10 Haydock - Jabbarockie 15/2 Win

8:25 Lingfield - Emjaytwentythree 6/1 Win

 

Trixie E/W

2:50 Goodwood - Aldaary E (3),    3:20 Curragh - Wembley 4/1 (3),      4:10 Haydock - Jabbarockie 8/1 (2)

 

Acca (6)  E/W

1:55 Haydock - Sunset Breeze 6/1 (5),   2:25 Haydock  Postileo 4/1 (4),   3:00 Haydock - Wobwobwob 6/1 (4),   3:20 Curragh - Poetic Flare 11/2  (5),  3:35 Haydock - Dragon Symbol 7/2,   3:50 York - Copper Knight 9/2 (5)

*ITV7 picks are above along with last race 16:40 Haydock, Jabbarockie (11/2).

 

Acca (4) E/W

1:40 Goodwood - Indigo Times 10/1 (2),   2.35 Newmarket - Graphite 50/1 (2),   2:40 York - Urban Artist 11/2  (2), 3:50 York - Mulzim 11/1 (4)

 

Acca (4) E/W

14:50 Goodwood - Aldaary 4/5 (3), 15:35 Haydock - Dragon Symbol 4/1 (3),  15:40 Newmarket - Almighwar 11/4 (2),  15:50 York - Copper Knight 11/2 (4)

 

Acca (7) E/W

16:55 York - Northern Express 11/4 (3), 17:30 Curragh - Montego Bay 9/4 (4), 17:40 Statford - Restandbethankful 1/2 (3), 18:25 Lingfield - Danzart 11/4 (3), 19:25 Lingfield Hope Probe 11/10 (4), 19:40 Statford - San Agustin 11/8 (3), 19:55 Lingfield - Dragon's Fire 5/2 (3).

 

All small bets, max bets are £5 for singles and also free bets.

Edited by fd1972uk
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Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

Will do all betfair sp as i dont like doing markets not formed as early prices too much. 

555 lingfield nicks not wonder and global art 2nd close at big price

625 lingfield hot scoop win and place nowhere

725 lingfield hope probe 3rd

755 lingfield el picaro pipped on line 2nd

825 lingfield emjaytwentythree nowhere

205 york adjyaal 4th

155 haydock raatea and redarna nowhere

250 goodwood aldaary 3rd

results lets hope tonight pays... lots of outsiders beating favs today

all yday profit wiped -11 so giving up on mark crehan at this rate lol. defo due a win mind.

Edited by Wildgarden
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6 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

The going is a factor that means I will tread lightly today

1.55 Hd Molls Memory (OM) £4.30 win at 5.8, just missed the price and now 5.6

2.25 Hd Vindolanda £2 win at 14.5 and Dash Of Spice TM (Jason weaver recommends it) £1.20 win at 18/1

I have put about £2 to win on all Kevin Stott's rides at York.  2.05, 3.50, 4.20 (£1.50at 16/1) and 4.55 = £7.50 staked

£15 staked in total

Hopefully back later

 

RESULTS UPDATE

Just the one winner today which was Molls Memory.  I did do other selections later in the day but only ended up £2.59 better off.  One non - runner which meant a net profit of £11.53 on the day.  My new balance is £921.15 (Bank £1056.22)

Just two meetings tomorrow in the UK and the 1000 guineas meeting at the Curragh.  Soft and heavy going to contend with again for the flat meetings so may not be easy to find the winners once more.

 

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7 hours ago, Ironjoe said:

Back from a break

Haydock 1.55 molls memory 7/2 2pt win won

Newmarket 2 arecibo 11/4 2pt win won

Haydock 2.25 frankenstella 6/1 1pt win won

York 3.50 count dorsay 6/1 2pt win

Newmarket 4.50 al madhar 5/1 1pt win

Ling 5.55 reeceltic 3/1 2pt win

10 points staked

Good luck 🤙 

 

 

 

 

Break did me well 19.75 pts returned

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