Premier League Predictions > May 14th - 16th

[StefanBB]

Newcastle United vs Manchester City

It is another disappointing season for the hosts, as they needed to fight for survival in the final rounds. Thanks to ten points won in the previous five matches, the Magpies managed to keep their heads above the water. Steve Bruce’s side has been excellent in the latest clash, getting back home from Leicester with a vast 4:2 victory. That one guarantees them a place in the Premier League in the next campaign. However, Newcastle United needs to improve a lot in order to be more successful next time around. Their defense has been among the leakiest in the competition, and they spilled too many points at St. James’ Park. A very challenging task is ahead of them, as they are about to host the newly crowned champions. Newcastle United cannot count on several players due to injuries, and the biggest setback will be the absence of the team’s top scorer, Callum Wilson.

Despite a 2:1 defeat against Chelsea last weekend, the Citizens secured their third title in the previous four seasons. They had a halftime lead against the Blues but allowed the opponents to turn around the result and take all three points at Etihad Stadium. Pep Guardiola’s side is ten points ahead of Manchester United, and the visitors can focus on preparation for the Champions League finals. Ilkay Gundogan and the lads have been the most productive team in the Premier League, while their defense is the hardest to beat. Manchester City is also the best away team in the competition, and they lost only once on the road during the campaign. The visitors celebrated in the last eleven outings, and they want to keep that run going.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Newcastle United will have selection troubles, and we would be very surprised if they picked up some points from this clash. Manchester City is a firm favorite in this clash, and we think the visitors will celebrate by at least two goals.

Goals Market Prediction

The hosts cannot count on their top scorer, while the Citizens have been excellent in the back this season. Newcastle United hasn’t scored against Manchester City on the previous three occasions, and we think the away side will keep the clean sheet once again.

Manchester City AH -1.50 @ 1.85

BTTS No @ 1.80

Correct score 0:3 @ 8.00

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

Check out the odds and ratings for the weekend's Premier League games right here. It's a slightly reduced fixture schedule due to the FA Cup Final but still a number of matches that catch the eye where we could see some decent value. Give us your tips below! 

[StevieDay1983]

Newcastle vs Manchester City

The celebrations can get into full swing on Friday night as survival specialists Newcastle entertain newly crowned Premier League champions Manchester City in the first league game this weekend. It's an 8pm BST kick-off from St James' Park and there's not much for these two teams to play for now except pride. Who will come out on top in what looks like a one-sided affair on paper?

Newcastle had been embroiled in a stressful relegation battle but a mixture of a decent run of results and Fulham's form capitulating has seen the Magpies secure their place in English football's top flight with a few league games to play leaving the club currently in 16th place. Steve Bruce has seen his team lose just 1 of their last 6 league games and their 4-2 win away to Leicester in their last league outing was evidence of how dangerous a side they are right now. The team will need to finish their season without top scorer Callum Wilson which is a blow considering they haven't won any of the 9 league games he has missed this season. It's now just 1 clean sheet from their last 21 home league games.

Manchester City have regained the league title they lost to Liverpool last season. It's hard to argue against Pep Guardiola's side deserving the trophy. There is record-breaking incentive for the Citizens ahead of this game. If they manage to seal a victory then it will be an English league record of 12 straight away wins and if they avoid defeat it'll be an English league record of 23 away league games without defeat. The club are currently on a run of 19 away league wins in a row across all competitions so you begin to see just how impressive this squad have become on the road.

I'm not sure I can see anything other than a business-like win for Manchester City here. Newcastle have only managed 1 win in their last 26 top flight meetings with City. However, there is a ray of light for Newcastle fans with City having only won 1 of their last 4 away visits to Newcastle. I have to back this City team though. They'll be buzzing and confident after sealing the title.

Manchester City HT/FT @ 2.00 with RedZone

Manchester City -1 @ 1.90 with SportNation

[harry_rag]

Newcastle v Man City: 20 points on Torres to score at 3.75 on BF and 20 on Silva to assist a goal at 14/5 with Uni.

Most appealing prices for me after seeing the line ups.

[malabgd]

Brighton vs West Ham

 

Brighton

Doubtful: Joel Veltman (28/1 d), Adam Lallana (27/1 m)

Out (injuries/other): Davy Propper (7/0 m), Tariq Lamptey (11/1 d), Solly March (21/2 m), Florin Andone (0/0 f)

Suspended: Lewis Dunk (32/5 d), Neal Maupay (33/8 f)

 

West Ham

Doubtful: Arthur Masuaku (12/0 d), Mark Noble (20/0 m), Aaron Cresswell (33/0 d), Declan Rice (29/1 m), Manuel Lanzini (17/1 m)

Out (injuries/other): -

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Win/Draw/Lose
Brighton 17 home games	West Ham 17 away games

18%	Win	47%
47%	Draw	18%
35%	Lose	35%
12%	Win and over 1.5 goals	35%
29%	Lose and over 1.5 goals	29%
29%	Team won first half	24%
53%	Draw at half-time	59%
18%	Team lost first half	18%

[StevieDay1983]

Burnley vs Leeds

The Premier League has a number of dead rubber matches this weekend and one of those is this 12:30pm BST clash on Saturday afternoon when relegation survivors Burnley host mid-table Leeds at Turf Moor. There is little more than pride for both of these teams to play for but it's sometimes those kind of fixtures where the players are more relaxed that you can see more entertainment.

Burnley have completed their main aim this season of avoiding relegation and their ambitions now turn to simply finishing as high up the table as possible to maximise their potential prize money. Sean Dyche's men are in 15th place but could finish as high as 12th if results go their way. The difference in prize money for those positions is £6m to £7m roughly. Home form is continuing to plague the Clarets right now with the club having failed to win any of their last 8 top flight home games but, interestingly, they have scored in all but two of those matches. One of the reasons for that has been the scoring form of striker Chris Wood who has bagged 5 goals in his last 3 league games and has been directly involved in 11 of Burnley's last 14 goals.

Leeds are currently ranked in 10th place and, technically, there is still a chance they could gatecrash the European qualification spots but they'd need a lot of things to go their way. The Whites are 6 points adrift of the 7th placed Europa Conference League spot held by Tottenham but also have to contend with Everton and Arsenal above them. Marcel Bielsa can take a lot of credit for guiding the Yorkshire club to such an impressive first campaign back in the top flight after a long absence. The team's form at this back end of the season has been superb with them only experiencing 1 loss in their last 8 league games. It is a run that has seen them take points off the likes of Tottenham, Manchester United, Liverpool, and Manchester City. It's now 9 away games without a clean sheet for Leeds and with Patrick Bamford having scored 15 goals this season then we could see a bit of a goal fest here.

Recent history favours Burnley here with the team having won their last 3 home league games against Leeds. However, Leeds have won the last 3 encounters between these two clubs played in the top division. I'm not sure which way to back this one. I do feel Leeds are rightly the narrow favourites given their recent form but Burnley have a habit of busting the form books. Leeds have to be backed in this form and even though they'll play it down they will still be gunning for a top 7 finish until it's mathematically impossible.

Leeds to Win @ 2.20 with William Hill

BTTS @ 1.62 with SportNation

[StevieDay1983]

Southampton vs Fulham

The 3pm BST kick-off in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon will see mid-table Southampton take on an already-relegated Fulham at St Mary's Stadium. It's generally been a disappointing campaign for both of these teams so it'll be interesting to see how both sides approach this game. There is nothing to play for really so I wouldn't be surprised if both managers used this as an opportunity to experiment with next season in mind.

Southampton fans will feel that their current position of 14th place in the table isn't too bad but given how their form was earlier in the season it'll be underwhelming that the club are likely to finish in the bottom half of the table. Ralph Hasenhuttl's side has won just 3 of their last 18 league games in what has been a very poor second half of the season. However, the last of those wins actually came in their most recent league outing in a 3-1 win at home to fellow mid-table side Crystal Palace. That win ended a 4-game winless run. An unwanted statistic is that Southampton have earned the fewest points and have conceded the most goals in the top flight in 2021. It's also just 1 clean sheet in their last 18 league games which shows where one of their main issues is.

Fulham will be playing in the Championship next season. It briefly looked like an heroic survival battle for Scott Parker's men but those efforts ended up being in vain. The Cottagers are in 18th place and the fact they're 10 points adrift of safety shows how far short they have come up this season. 6 losses from their last 7 league games is evidence that the wind has kind of gone out of the team's sails. Will they play with more freedom now the pressure is off? Or will they just want to see the back of this season? You also have to question how much experimentation Parker will implement when he knows that the likes of Mario Lemina, Alphonse Areola, Ademola Lookman, Joachim Andersen, and Ruben Loftus-Cheek won't be with the club next season as their loan deals expire. Could we see players such as Marek Rodak, Michael Hector, and Joe Bryan given a chance to show they can be involved more next season?

This is one of those games that will depend heavily on how the already-relegated side handles things. Fulham can either see this as the first game of preparation for next season or they can wallow in their own failings and go missing. Southampton showed last week that they're perhaps slightly liberated now relegation is no longer a threat and that makes them a dangerous proposition. I think they're a solid bet here.

Southampton to Win @ 2.08 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Danny Ings @ 2.65 with SportNation

[harry_rag]

2 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

One of the reasons for that has been the scoring form of striker Chris Wood who has bagged 5 goals in his last 3 league games and has been directly involved in 11 of Burnley's last 14 goals.

25 points on him to score at 6/4 with Fred (under Saturday Football Specials). A shorter than usual price for me but, as you say, his form and the % of their goals he's scoring is enough for me to regard it as a decent bet.

[StevieDay1983]

Brighton vs West Ham

The final game in the Premier League on Saturday is an 8pm BST kick-off between Brighton and West Ham at the Amex Stadium. It's mission accomplished for the home team who have achieved their aim of staying up this season but they entertain a visiting club who are still in a rampant battle to qualify for next season's Champions League with a win being a must here.

Brighton can sleep easy now that their place in the top flight of English football is confirmed for next season. The Seagulls are in 17th place but 10 points clear of the drop zone with 3 league games to go. It's been a frustrating campaign if anything for Graham Potter's men and you feel that with a bit of tweaking and the right additions over the summer they could become a very dangerous team at this level. The team will be without key centre back Lewis Dunk and top scorer Neal Maupay for this game. Home form has previously been an issue for Albion over recent seasons but they are unbeaten in their last 3 home league games and have won 3 of their last 7 home matches in the league. A solid defence that has seen them keep 6 clean sheets in their 9 home league games in 2021 has been key to this improved home form.

West Ham will be looking to give themselves a best chance possible of qualifying for next season's Champions League here. The Hammers are in 6th place and 6 points off the pace of the top four with 3 league games to go but, crucially, they do have a game in hand on 4th placed Chelsea. A spanner has been thrown into the works though with Liverpool moving above them into 5th position. David Moyes has done an incredible job this season but with the team losing 3 of their last 4 league games it feels like they have run out of steam at a pivotal time. The team has also only won 2 of their 11 league games played on a Saturday this season which is a random statistic. One player to watch will be Michail Antonio who has bagged 11 goals in his last 13 away league games.

This could be a fascinating game here. I get the feeling that Brighton could play with a bit more freedom now their safety is secured and with the pressure off will they be more clinical in front of goal. Maupay missing could give a chance for someone else like Aaron Connolly or Danny Welbeck to play more central and show what they can do. I do feel that we'll see an urgent West Ham performance though and I'm seduced by the price of the draw but I do think the visitors will get the win to keep the top four fight going.

West Ham to Win @ 2.40 with Unibet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.96 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

The opening game in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon is a 12pm BST kick-off between mid-table sides Crystal Palace and Aston Villa at Selhurst Park. It's a dead rubber game with nothing for the teams to play for except pride and prize money relating to final league position. It'll be interesting to see what selections both teams make with maybe one eye already on preparations for next season.

Crystal Palace will consider this season as mission accomplished. Another campaign of sealing their place in next season's top flight. The future of Roy Hodgson as manager remains in doubt but the club know they are safe in 14th position and 14 points clear of relegation with 3 league games to play. The Eagles have suffered 4 defeats in their last 5 league games so that's an issue that will concern the fans. Scoring goals at home is an issue with the team managing just 2 goals in their last 6 home league games. This could still be a celebratory season for Palace though. If they win their final 3 league games then they'll end up on a club Premier League record of 50 points.

Aston Villa probably just want this season to be over now. So much positivity surrounded the club at the beginning of the game but things are now winding down with a whimper. Dean Smith knows Jack Grealish won't be fit to start but he could be involved off the bench again. The Lions have won just 1 of their last 6 league games but the 0-0 draw at home to Everton in midweek did see goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez equal the club Premier League record of 15 clean sheets. Another record could also be equalled in this game with Ollie Watkins just 1 goal short of Julian Joachim's club Premier League record of 14 goals that he scored back in 1998/99. The club's points total of 49 is their highest in the top flight since they hit 64 points under Martin O'Neill back in 2009/10. There is a good omen for Villa fans ahead of this game though. Their team have won all 3 of their away league games played on a Sunday so far this campaign.

This game has a feeling of anti-climax about it. Well, I say that, I'm not sure there's much build towards a climax anyway. Both teams know that they're likely to finish mid-table mediocrity and their respective management teams are already planning for next season. I wouldn't be surprised to see this game end in a dour draw as neither team has anything to motivate them.

Draw @ 3.60 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.99 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Tottenham vs Wolves

The 2:05pm BST (answers on a postcard as to why this is the regular kick-off time on a Sunday afternoon!) start in the Premier League between European football qualification chasing Tottenham and mid-table Wolves at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is crucial for the home side. Nothing less than a win will do if they want to realistically stay in the hunt for a Europa League spot next season.

Tottenham know it is make or break time for them regarding qualifying for European competition next season. Interim head coach has seen his side put in a couple of dismal displays recently with the gutless EFL Cup Final defeat to Manchester City and then the 3-1 loss away to Leeds in their last league game. Spurs are in 7th place and 3 points outside the Europa League qualification spots. Any realistic hopes of qualifying for the Champions League have gone. That creates questions surrounding Harry Kane's future at the club. There is positive news though. Tottenham have won 5 of their last 6 home league games and Gareth Bale has scored all of his 9 goals at their home stadium. He has also scored in 7 straight home games stretching across two spells with the club. The team have now also scored in 12 straight league games so they're showing they possess the fire power. 

Wolves have arguably been on holiday for the past few weeks if you want to be critical of their performances. Nuno Espirito Santo's men are in 12th place and it's another season of consolidation for the team. Wanderers put in an improved displays in the 2-1 win at home to Brighton but before that it was a couple of underwhelming performances against West Brom and Burnley. Away form has generally remained solid. The club have lost just 2 of their last 10 away league games. It is 3 wins from their past 5 matches so can we see them put in another more competent and hard-working display or is the beach calling?

The head-to-head record provides some cautionary words for Tottenham with the team having lost half of their home Premier League games to Wolves. The only team to inflict more defeats on them on their own patch is Nottingham Forest who have won 60% of their league games at Spurs. Santo has a hold over Tottenham having won his previous two away trips to the London club and could become the first manager in Premier League history to win his first three away league games at Spurs. I'm swaying between a draw and a home win. I think Tottenham could sneak it.

Tottenham to Win & BTTS @ 3.40 with Bet365

Anytime Scorer: Gareth Bale @ 3.05 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

West Brom vs Liverpool

The race for the Champions League next season could take another major twist on Sunday afternoon when the 4:30pm BST kick-off in the Premier League pits already-relegated West Brom against last season's champions Liverpool at the Hawthorns. Can a team destined to play in the Championship next season put a spanner in the works of the battle to compete at Europe's top table?

West Brom have ultimately failed to achieve what they hoped they might and have had their relegation back to the second tier of English football confirmed with 3 games left to play. Sam Allardyce has refused to comment on his future but it's clear that his first relegation from the Premier League has hit him hard. The Baggies are down in 19th place and will now be keen to finish higher than Fulham who are one place and 1 point above them. Home form has certainly been a positive for West Brom under Allardyce with the team losing just 1 of their last 7 home league games and conceding just 5 goals during that period. Here's an interesting statistic too. The last time West Brom beat a side that were the previous season's champions at the Hawthorns was back in 1980/81. The opponents that day? Liverpool.

Liverpool are beginning to look more like the team that sealed their first title since 1990 last season. The Reds are in 5th place and only 4 points outside the Champions League qualification places with a game in hand. Jurgen Klopp's men are now unbeaten in 7 league games including winning 5 of those. The latest victory was the impressive 4-2 win away to Manchester United on Thursday night. Away form has also been decent for Liverpool with the club winning 6 of their last 8 away league matches. However, one disconcerting statistic is that Liverpool have only won 2 of their 10 league games against teams that begin this weekend placed in the bottom six of the league table.

Interestingly, 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams have ended in a draw. You could say West Brom are essentially a bogey team for Liverpool. Is this when we see Liverpool get a win in convincing fashion? I feel it could be. There is no doubt it'll be a tricky clash for the away side but I just feel now the home team are relegated they might not have the fight and grit they have displayed at home recently.

Liverpool to Win & BTTS @ 2.63 with Betfair

Total Goals Scored Under 3.5 @ 1.83 with Unibet

[StevieDay1983]

Everton vs Sheffield United

The final game of the day in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon is the 7pm BST start between European competition qualification chasing Everton and already relegated Sheffield United at Goodison Park. There is everything still to play for as the home side look to end their season on a high with continental football next season but their visitors know they face a daunting return to the Championship.

Everton have a season that hangs in the balance. The Toffees are in 8th place and only outside the Europa Conference League qualification position due to an inferior goal difference to Tottenham. Carlo Ancelott's men are still very firmly in the race for the Europa League as well. It's just 1 defeat in the last 7 league games for Everton with 3 clean sheets in their last 4 league matches which shows an emphasis on defensive solidity. Home form continues to curse the team with the club suffering 8 losses in their 17 home league games so far this season. That's their worst home record since 1993/94. Only Fulham have earned less points at home in the league in 2021 than Everton.

Sheffield United remain sat bottom of the league table with just 17 points from 35 league games. It's not been the best of interim periods for head coach Paul Heckingbottom with the club winning just 1 of his 7 league games in charge and losing the other 6 matches. The Blades have had to deal with the fallout of that infamous Oli McBurnie video being leaked on social media. Just 1 goal scored in their last 5 league games shows that it's their impotency up front that is once again costing them dearly. Lose this game and they'd equal the top flight record of 29 defeats in a league season. The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 22 away league games.

I'm not entirely sure this one will be one for those that love entertainment. Everton are attrition warriors at home and that's being complimentary. Sheffield United are, well, if you've watched any football in the Premier League this season then you'll know what their games are like. I can see an odd Everton sneaking this but it's not going to be a pretty one to watch.

Everton to Win & Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 3.40 with Boylesports

Anytime Scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ 1.95 with Bet365