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Europa League Predictions > May 26th


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The Europa League Final is heading our way later this month. It will see La Liga side Villarreal play Premier League club Manchester United at the Stadion Miejski in Gdansk, Poland. Give us your predictions and chosen bets down below after reading the odds and ratings above! :ok

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  • 2 weeks later...
Posted (edited)

Villarreal (SPA) v Man Utd (ENG)

9Y - Spanish Clubs

Won 6/9
Finalists 7/18
Semi-Finalists 12/38

9Y - English Clubs
 
Won 3/9
Finalists 5/18
Semi-Finalists 8/38
 
England and Spain have provided the last 9 winners
12/18 Finalists
20/38 Semi-Finalist
 
20Y - Europa League/ UEFA Cup Finals Trends

3.40 average goals
6/20 Drawn
2/20 Under 1.5 (1/20 0-0)
13/20 Over 2.5
10/20 Over 3.5
12/20 BTTS

20Y - European Final Trends

3.13 average goals
13/40 Drawn
4/40 Under 1.5 (2/40 0-0)
24/40 Over 2.5
16/40 Over 3.5
27/40 BTTS

Nation H2H (4Y Cycle of Europa League ONLY matchups)

Spain lead 76-32-20-24
1.21 - 1.20 for a supremacy of 0.01
24/76 Under 1.5
37/76 Over 2.5
20/76 Over 3.5
34/76 BTTS

Villarreal (4Y Europa League record)

33-19-9-5
Sup 0.82
Pythagorean Rating 0.68
PpG 2.00

Man Utd 4Y Europa League record)
 
20-12-5-3
Sup 1.50
Pythagorean Rating 0.68
PpG 2.05
 
Spain 4Y Europa League record
 
135-72-30-33
Sup 0.68
Pythagorean Rating 0.65
1.82 PpG
 
England 4Y Europa League record
 
121-74-23-24
Sup 1.18
Pythagorean Rating 0.73
2.02 PpG
 
Domestic Ratings
 
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e0.thumb.PNG.ec5d7ec3d0e1c3cd3907eeb1b50ddb5e.PNG
 
 
 
Advised Bet
 
0.75pts - Over 3.5 Goals @ 16/5 Betvictor
0.35pts - Man Utd 2-1 @ 8/1 Betvictor
0.20pts - Man Utd 3-1 @ 15/1 Betvictor
0.20pts - Draw 2-2 @ 17/1 Betvictor
 
Edited by jamied02
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Had a quick look at recent goalscorers (e.g. looking back over the games it took each team to score their last 25 goals). The standouts are fairly obvious, just Moreno for Villarreal (9 goals in 7 games where the team had scored 27 goals in 14 games). He's a likely bet for me assuming the current 23/10 doesn't collapse before I make my mind up.

Man U scored 25 in 11 games and the 3 headliners are Cavani with 9 in 7, Greenwood 6 in 5 and Fernandes 4 in 3. Greenwood could be a bet if starting.

For how I've had 6 points on Cavani to score a header at 14/1 PP and Sky Bet and 5 (would have liked more) on him to have a headed shot on target at 9/2 PP.

Not a great bet necessarily but it appeals for an interest in a game I will be watching. He has 6 headed goals from 12 attempts in the PL and 1 from 1 in the EL so I'm assuming he's been lucky to some extent with his conversion rate (Harry Maguire has 2 headed league goals from 29 attempts) but both bets seem fair at worst at the prices.

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Villarreal CF vs Manchester United

 

 

Villarreal CF

Doubtful: Juan Foyth (16/0 d, probably in), Samuel Chukwueze (28/4 m)

Out (injuries/other): Vicente Iborra (13/0 m)

Suspended:

 

Manchester United

Doubtful: Harry Maguire (34/2 d, captain)

Out (injuries/other): Anthony Martial (22/4 f), Phil Jones (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Villarreal vs Manchester United

It has been quite a good season for the Yellow submarine, as they managed to secure the continental qualification through La Liga. As of now, Villarreal will participate in the Europa Conference League next season unless they win this game and book a Champions League ticket. The Spanish side finished 7th in La Liga, being three points behind Betis. They had a 1:0 lead against Real Madrid until the very finish, but Karim Benzema and Luka Modric turned around the result in the last minutes. Gerard Moreno and the lads have been pretty efficient this season, and Villarreal failed to score only once during the knockout stages in the Europa League. Unai Emery knows how to prepare the team for games like this one, as he already won this competition on three occasions. He is just one step away from lifting the Europa League trophy once again.

The Premier League runners-up wrapped up the domestic campaign with a 2:1 win in Wolverhampton. It was their first victory after three games in which they picked up just a point. However, the Red Devils were safe on the 2nd spot, and due to a demanding schedule, they rested their key players. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer cannot count on Harry Maguire, though, as he will miss out due to an injury. Manchester United has been on fire lately, as they failed to score only once in the previous 18 games. Interestingly, Marcus Rashford and the lads faced only Italian and Spanish teams in the knockout stage. The Red Devils were better than Real Sociedad, Milan, Granada, and Roma to reach the finals. As they haven’t won any trophies this season, the English side will be highly motivated to close the campaign with another victory.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Although Villarreal wasn’t one of the hottest contenders to win the Europa League, they deservedly reached the very end. They have an experienced head coach, but Manchester United is a slight favorite, and we believe they will win this competition.

Goals Market Prediction

Manchester United’s defense hasn’t been that tight lately, while Villarreal is doing very well in front of the oppositions’ net. Funny fact – all four head-to-head clashes between these two sides ended in goalless draws. However, despite the importance of this game, we believe both sides will find the back of the net.

Manchester United to Win @ 1.90

BTTS Yes @ 1.90

Correct score 1:2 @ 8.50

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A match that will historically lead to a trophy after 90 minutes or 120 will eventually have a winner and a loser this time around, as 9,500 spectators prepare to watch the grand final in Gdansk. The two clubs in any case will give everything for the conquest, I believe that the Red Devils, have the quality and experience to win the title. I will go with the victory of Manchester United
VILLARREAL vs MANCHESTER UNITED @@ MANCHESTER UNITED, odds 1.95

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Villarreal vs Manchester United

The club season takes a step closer to drawing to a close as the Europa League Final takes place on Wednesday night in an 8pm BST kick-off between La Liga side Villarreal and Premier League club Manchester United at the Stadion Energa Gdansk in Gdansk, Poland. Is this the moment that the English side take a leap back towards their glory years with winning trophies once again becoming the norm?

Villarreal have probably experienced a slightly disappointing season on the domestic front with the club finishing down in 7th place and only managing qualification for the Europa Conference League. Winning this competition would earn them a place in next season's Champions League so there's still a chance for head coach Unai Emery to deliver a positive campaign. The Spaniard has already lifted this trophy three times with Sevilla so he has the experience. The Yellow Submarine have failed to win a major trophy in their 98-year history. This is a club that comes from a town that boasts a population of just 50,000 people so it's a bit of a romantic story. Their victims so far in this competition have already been Maccabi Tel-Aviv, Sivasspor, FK Qarabag, RB Salzburg, Dynamo Kiev, Dinamo Zagreb, and Arsenal. They are unbeaten in Europe this season but is this their biggest challenge yet?

Manchester United are aiming to win this competition for the second time in 4 years after their 2016/17 success under former head coach Jose Mourinho. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is contesting just his second cup final as a manager after guiding Norwegian side FK Molde to the 2013 Norwegian Cup. The Red Devils have a number of injury concerns with Anthony Martial set to miss out and Harry Maguire's fitness set to be tested at the 11th hour. United will be pleased with their domestic campaign having finished 2nd in the league but winning a trophy under Solskjaer feels key to help the club take the next step in their evolution. This will be the 8th major European final that United have played in and is the second most number of such finals that an English club has played in after Liverpool. The team has won 5 of the last 7 of those finals.

It is perhaps a bit of an underwhelming statistic to see that Villarreal and Manchester United have met four times previously both home and away in the 2005/06 and 2008/09 Champions League with each of those games ending in 0-0 draws. I'm not saying we could be in for a similar outcome here but it's clearly going to be a closely contested game. I still feel this is Manchester United's game to lose. The fitness of Maguire could be crucial but even then this is a Villarreal team that shouldn't be under-estimated but really shouldn't be able to take the win if United play to their counter-attacking best.

Manchester United to Win @ 1.99 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.90 with SBK

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On 5/25/2021 at 4:59 PM, harry_rag said:

The standouts are fairly obvious, just Moreno for Villarreal (9 goals in 7 games where the team had scored 27 goals in 14 games). He's a likely bet for me assuming the current 23/10 doesn't collapse before I make my mind up.

 

On 5/25/2021 at 4:59 PM, harry_rag said:

Man U scored 25 in 11 games and the 3 headliners are Cavani with 9 in 7, Greenwood 6 in 5 and Fernandes 4 in 3. Greenwood could be a bet if starting.

20 points on Moreno at 3.4 and 16 on Greenwood at 4.3, both on BF.

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