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Premier League Predictions > Apr 30th - May 3rd


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Southampton vs Leicester City

 

 

Southampton

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Ryan Bertrand (29/0 d), Danny Ings (25/10 f, top scorer), Michael Obafemi (1/0 f), William Smallbone (3/0 m), Oriol Romeu (20/1 m)

Suspended: -

 

Leicester City

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Wes Morgan (3/0 d, captain), Harvey Barnes (25/9 m), James Justin (23/2 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Overall Stats
Southampton
15 home games
Leicester City
16 away games
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.0
40% Clean sheets 31%
80% Team scored 88%
47% Team scored twice 63%
33% Scored in both halves 25%
67% Goal in both halves 56%
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Southampton vs Leicester

The Premier League is entering its final days of this season and we have a Friday night game to kick-off the action this weekend when relegation-threatened Southampton take on Champions League qualification contenders Leicester in an 8pm BST start from St Mary's Stadium. Both teams have a chance to take a big step towards achieving their respective aims of survival and finishing in the top four.

Southampton are probably safe from relegation this season with the club in 15th place and 9 points above the drop zone with a game in hand on the teams below them. It doesn't mean that Ralph Hasenhuttl won't have a twitchy bum until it's mathematically impossible. The Saints have lost 12 of their last 15 league games including back-to-back league defeats. Top scorer Danny Ings will be unavailable and the team is also without the trio of Ryan Bertrand, Oriol Romeu, and Will Smallbone. The weakness of Southampton this season has been holding onto their leads. The club have dropped a league-high of 21 points from winning positions. However, if they win this game then it'll give them their most number of home wins at this level in 5 years so they have every reason to feel confident at home.

Leicester continue to show they are a team that are well-positioned to break into the so-called "established top six". The Foxes are in 3rd place and 7 points inside the Champions League qualification places. Brendan Rodgers has seen his team really flourish away from home with the team only losing 2 of their 16 away league games. If they were to win here then they would equal the club top flight record of 11 away wins in the league which was set during their historic 2015/16 title-winning campaign. Back-to-back wins have ensured that Leicester can still even catch 2nd placed Manchester United. There are two potential picks for anytime scorer as well. Kelechi Iheanacho is the obvious choice with his 14 goals from 14 appearances. Another selection is Ayoze Perez having scored 7 top flight goals against Southampton down the years.

It's only been a couple of weeks since these two sides met in a dour 1-0 win for Leicester in the FA Cup Semi-Final. Southampton were criticised for effectively no showing in such a big game and it's hard to see how, with so many key players missing, how their performance here will be any different. I would back Leicester to beat most teams in the league away from home this season and this match is no different.

Leicester to Win @ 1.98 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Kelechi Iheanacho @ 2.30 with Betfair

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Everton vs Aston Villa

After beating Arsenal at Emirates Stadium last weekend, the home side broke a six-game winless streak and stayed in the race for the continental spots. The Toffees sit in 8th place but are only six points behind Chelsea, and with one game in hand. However, Carlo Ancelotti’s side hasn’t been too convincing at the home ground this season, and they celebrated only five times in 16 matches at Goodison Park. They failed to win three times in a row in their backyard, and Everton needs to break that poor run to remain in the race for the top six. Dominic Calvert-Lewin fully recovered from the injury and should be the major threat for the opposition’s goalkeeper. Everton shouldn’t miss this chance since they don’t have such an easy schedule in the weeks to come.

Alton Villa hasn’t been enjoying a good run recently, as the visitors booked only one victory in the previous five rounds. The Villans picked up just a point from the last three games, and they slid down to the 11th spot. The continental qualification is out of the range, and the away side should remain around the current position. Dean Smith’s side produced some remarkable displays this season, but they needed just a bit more consistency to be competitive for the continental cups. The visitors will keep missing Jack Grealish, while Trezeguet still hasn’t recovered. Aston Villa has been pretty good on the road this season, as they managed to get back home with a win seven times from 16 outings. However, from the last three, they picked up just a point.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Although the Toffees have spilled too many points at home this season, they should keep the momentum and try to challenge a higher position on the standings. Aston Villa doesn’t have anything to play for except for pure pleasure, and since they have been without their best player for a while, we believe Everton should celebrate a significant victory.

Goals Market Prediction

Their head-to-head matches have been quite productive, while Aston Villa has been involved in high-scoring games lately. Since Everton conceded many goals at Goodison Park, we believe neither team will keep the clean sheet in this one.

Everton to win @ 2.05

BTTS Yes @ 1.75

Correct score 2:1 @ 9.5022Bet

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Crystal Palace vs Manchester City

The Premier League title race could take a big step towards being concluded this weekend when mid-table Crystal Palace host the league leaders Manchester City in a 12:30pm BST kick-off on Saturday afternoon at Selhurst Park. It's a simple equation. If the away side win here and Manchester United lose to Liverpool on Sunday then the title will be back on the blue side of Manchester.

Crystal Palace are already planning for next season. The Eagles are in 13th place and 11 points clear of the relegation zone. Dropping down to the Championship is still mathematically possible but realistically we should expect the team to be competing in the top flight of English football next season. Roy Hodgson's future is still up in the air so it'll be interesting to see how that develops over the next month or so. It's just 1 win from their last 7 league games including back-to-back defeats for Palace. History isn't on the club's side either with them only managing 2 wins in their 23 league games against the side that is top of the table at the time. Defensive issues have plagued Palace at home this season as well with the team conceding 25 league goals at Selhurst Park. Only Newcastle and West Brom have conceded more on their own patch.

Manchester City will win the league title this season. We can all be confident in saying that. It's just a case of when. Pep Guardiola's side have enjoyed quite the week having won the EFL Cup and beaten last season's Champions League finalists PSG 2-1 in their Semi-Final first leg in Paris. The Citizens could equal the top flight record of 11 straight away wins here. It's now 18 away wins in all competitions and shows how lethal City have become on their travels. If you're looking for a tip for anytime scorer then Raheem Sterling has managed to score 6 goals in his last 7 league starts against Palace.

I think we all remember Andros Townsend scoring that stunner at the Etihad Stadium back in 2018 that helped Crystal Palace seal a 3-2 win away to Manchester City in the league. That is a warning sign from the past. This Palace side can't be written off but I think with them having 13 of the past 17 meetings between the two sides and their season effectively at an end already we'll see Manchester City sweep to a win here.

Manchester City to Win to Nil @ 2.15 with BetVictor

Manchester City HT/FT @ 2.02 with SBK

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Brighton vs Leeds

The Premier League offers up an intriguing fixture at 3pm BST on Saturday afternoon when relegation battlers Brighton will look to take a big leap towards safety as they host mid-table Leeds at the Amex Stadium. Both of these teams have provided some of the more entertaining matches this season with their attractive style of play but both will also feel this season could've delivered more if they had found some more consistency.

Brighton currently sit in 17th place and 7 points above the relegation zone. The threat of the drop back down to the Championship just isn't going away. The Seagulls are without a win in their last 4 league matches and haven't even scored in their last 3 league games. Failing to score is a curse that has dogged Graham Potter's side for the whole season. Home form has also been an issue for Brighton throughout this season with the club winning just 2 of their 16 home league games. However, defensively, they have really tightened up at home recently with 5 clean sheets in their last 7 home league matches. Centre back Ben White is back from suspension so that'll be a boost to their back-line as well. If any statistic sums up Brighton's season though it's the fact they've had 51 shots on goal in their last 3 league games and failed to score a single goal.

Leeds have been the rock 'n' roll stars of this season's league campaign. Marcelo Bielsa's men have been all out in games and it's sometimes worked in their favour but also worked against them. The Whites are in 9th place and you might want to whisper it but they're only 6 points off the pace of qualification for the Europa Conference League. The team is unbeaten in 6 league matches which is an incredible run when you consider they've had to play Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool and Chelsea during that spell. Their record against teams in the bottom seven is also decent having won 9 of those 10 games. The only problem is that single defeat came against Brighton back in January.

There is no denying that in terms of form it's Leeds who come into this game as the favourites against Brighton. Leeds have never won at the Amex Stadium in 6 attempts but it feels like this could be their time. It seems as if the pressure of a relegation battle is getting to Brighton with the nerves crippling them in the final third of the pitch. Leeds are going all out to gate crash the European qualification places and if you have to back one team out of these right now then it has to be Leeds.

Leeds Draw No Bet @ 2.68 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.93 with SBK

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55 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Palace v Man City: 10 points on City to score in the first 15 minutes at 4/1 with Hills

One of those "Flash Odds" that looks like it's been boosted enough to be worth taking.

This is why I love having you post on this forum, Harry. These quirky bets that add some real intensity to a game. The clock is ticking. Come on City!

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Chelsea vs Fulham

The Premier League delivers a West London derby at 5:30pm BST on Saturday afternoon when Champions League qualification hopefuls Chelsea take on struggling neighbours Fulham at Stamford Bridge. Everything seems to be going right for the home side at the moment with an FA Cup Final appearance and big chance to reach the Champions League Final coming up but can they get a vital win against an away team fighting for their survival in the top flight?

Chelsea are seeing the doors of potential open up before them as this season enters its final days. The FA Cup Final against Leicester is one showpiece event their fans can look forward to and a positive result at home against Real Madrid in midweek will see them have a Champions League Final to put in their diaries too. The Blues are in 4th place in the league table and 3 points inside the Champions League qualification spots with 5 league games remaining. Head coach Thomas Tuchel has undoubtedly had a massive impact since coming in but faces the challenge now of rotating his squad to keep things fresh with important games seemingly coming up every few days now. The team has 10 clean sheets in 14 league games under Tuchel and they have lost just 1 of those 14 league matches. Chelsea do possess the best record in London derbies in the top flight this season winning 6 of their 8 such clashes.

Fulham know that time is running short for them now. Scott Parker's side are in 18th position in the table and 7 points from safety. That gap could be even bigger come kick-off here should Brighton get anything against Leeds in the earlier start. The Cottagers have managed just 1 win in their last 8 league games and have failed to win any of their last 5 league games losing 4 of those matches. It kind of feels now that Fulham are running out of gas. The 1-1 draw away to Arsenal was a pleasing point but was also tinged with disappointment after the manner in which Fulham conceded so late to deny themselves all 3 points. A most worrying stat is that Fulham haven't won any of their last 23 top flight London derbies.

It's really hard to see how Fulham are going to survive this season. You have to say they only have themselves to blame. Failure to turn even a third of their draws into wins looks like it will cost them. Here, they face a Chelsea side that are showing they can compete with the very best in world football. Will the rotations harm them or is it simply giving players an opportunity to impress and stake a place in their cup final squad? I'd be amazed if we see anything other than a Chelsea win. It might not be pretty and may even be fortunate but the home win has to be backed.

Chelsea to Win to Nil @ 2.36 with Sporting Index

Draw HT/ Chelsea FT @ 4.60 with SBK

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Everton vs Aston Villa

The last game on the schedule in the Premier League on Saturday is the 8pm BST kick-off between European competition chasing Everton and mid-table Aston Villa at Goodison Park. This is a match between two teams that enjoyed really positive starts to their respective seasons but have since fallen off the pace a little bit due to inconsistent spells of form.

Everton are still right in the hunt for qualification for the Europa League and Europa Conference League with the club in 8th place. Toffees fans may even be daring to dream of a late push for the top four if they win this one which would be a result that could potentially move them within 3 points of the Champions League qualification spots. Carlo Ancelotti's side had appeared to have blown any chance of qualifying for Europe next season after a dodgy start to 2021 but an undefeated run of 4 league games including a crucial 1-0 win away to Arsenal has allowed the club to stay in contention.  Home form continues to be a problem for Everton with the team winning just 1 of their last 9 home league games.

Aston Villa might have been leading the league table and have destroyed the reigning champions 7-2 at one point but with just a handful of league games left to play the club are in 11th place and staring at mid-table mediocrity. The prolonged absence of Jack Grealish has clearly impacted the squad with Dan Smith's men now with just 1 win in their last 8 league matches and no win in their previous 3 league games. The Lions have generally performed well on the road this season with 7 away wins in the league and 8 clean sheets kept on the road. However, it's now been 3 league matches on their travels without a victory.

A potential saving grace for Aston Villa here could be Everton's dire home form. If this was any other venue then I'd be backing Everton to get the win. I'm still not convinced Aston Villa have enough in quality or confidence to take anything here. Still, you simply can't put confidence in backing a home win when the team playing at home have struggled to get the wins at home like Everton have. I'm going to have to go for the draw and it might not be a very eventful game.

Draw @ 3.80 with Novibet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.00 with SBK

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Manchester United vs Liverpool

The hosts head to this game after beating Roma 6:2 in the Europa League semi-finals first leg. Although the Red Devils were trailing 2:1 at halftime, Edinson Cavani turned around the result by scoring a brace, while Fernandes, Pogba, and Greenwood secured a significant advantage before the trip to Rome. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side enjoys excellent form, as they missed the chance to win just once on the previous seven occasions in all competitions. Manchester United is about to finish its Premier League campaign as runners-up, as they are 13 points behind Manchester City and four ahead of Leicester City, having a game in hand. United is the second-most efficient team in the competition, while their defense has been pretty decent. Although the hosts will eye a place in the Europa League finals, they will do their best to beat their arch-rivals.

After being eliminated from the Champions League, Liverpool tied two draws in the Premier League and reduced their chances to secure another CL spot. The Reds sit in 6th place, being four points behind Chelsea, who can increase the advantage if they beat Fulham. Leeds United held Jurgen Klopp’s side first, while Newcastle United earned a last-minute draw at Anfield. Liverpool spilled too many points on the road, as they drew six times on 16 occasions and lost three times. The Europa League qualification seems a reality for Mo Salah and the lads, but if they suffer a defeat at Old Trafford, they might lose the continental spot this season since Tottenham and Everton are waiting for their chance. Liverpool needs to put a much better performance to get something from this derby match.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Manchester United is full of confidence, and they want to keep up where they left off. Although a potential victory won’t bring them more than pure satisfaction, Manchester United will be motivated to beat their fierce rivals. We believe the hosts are closer to booking a win, and they will pick up all three points from this one.

Goals Market Prediction

Liverpool should go straight on the opposition’s goal from the match kickoff, as they don’t have time to wait and calculate. The Red Devils conceded on four out of their last five home matches, and we think neither side will keep the clean sheet in this encounter.

Manchester United to win @ 2.60

BTTS Yes @ 1.70

Correct score 2:1 @ 11.0022Bet

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Newcastle vs Arsenal

The Premier League schedule begins slightly later this Sunday with the first game kicking off at 2pm BST as relegation-threatened Newcastle could all but secure their top flight status for next season with a win over a mid-table and under-achieving Arsenal side at St James' Park. Gone are the days of this being a one-sided affair. We've got some thinking to do before picking a winner here.

Newcastle have had a strange season. At times, it's looked like Steve Bruce has done the impossible and started to turn things around but then they also have spells where they look nothing more than a Championship club punching above their weight. The Magpies are in 17th place and 9 points above the drop zone. Just 1 loss in their last 8 league games has helped keep their survival hopes alive and, if we're being honest, they've probably done enough already with Fulham needing to win at least 3 of their last 4 league matches to stand any hope of staying up before this game and West Brom in a not too dissimilar situation. Newcastle are undefeated in their last 5 home league games but they have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 20 home league matches. Bruce has only won 2 of his 23 Premier League matches against Arsenal as a manager but both wins did come at home.

Arsenal are another team that have had a slightly enigmatic feel about them this campaign. Mikel Arteta's side have shown moments of progress and evolution but every time you feel they are taking steps in the right direction they put in a torrid display. The Gunners are down in 11th place and 7 points off the pace of the Europa Conference League qualification spot. The 2-1 loss way to Villarreal in the Europa League Semi-Final in midweek has also got them facing an uphill battle to secure any type of European football next season. All that said, Arsenal are currently unbeaten in their last 4 away league games but it is still just 1 win in their previous 5 league matches. If you're looking for an anytime scorer bet then Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored in his last 4 appearances against Newcastle.

In years gone by, this would be considered a done and dusted win for Arsenal. Newcastle have long been a struggling Premier League side now and Arsenal have been battling for titles and the top four. Times are changing. Neither side can look back on this season with any real joy and I'm not sure anyone can say, hand on heart, that they have total faith in one side or the other prevailing victorious. I do think Newcastle know they are realistically safe now and we could see that fight from recent games die down a little bit. This could give Arsenal an edge they need as they continue to try to sneak into Europe via the league.

Arsenal to Win @ 2.12 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.71 with SportNation

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Manchester United vs Liverpool

The big game in the Premier League this weekend is a clash between two old rivals when Manchester United face Liverpool in a 4:30pm BST kick-off at Old Trafford on Sunday afternoon. Defeat for the home side would gift the league title to their "noisy neighbours" Manchester City and a loss for the away team would throw their Champions League qualification hopes into real doubt.

Manchester United might be in 2nd place and 12 points inside the Champions League qualification spots with only a handful of league games left to play but there's no way Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will want his team surrendering the title to their city rivals this weekend. The Red Devils are unbeaten in 13 league matches and haven't lost to Liverpool at Old Trafford since 2014. United's home form has also been superb recently with the team having won their previous 4 league games at home. There is a stand out pick for anytime scorer in this game with striker Marcus Rashford having scored in his last 4 home league and cup appearances against Liverpool.

Liverpool know that losing this game isn't an option and even a draw will likely severely damage their hopes of a top four finish this season. Jurgen Klopp is yet to win at the Theatre of Dreams in the league and with the club down in 6th place and 7 points off the pace of the top four you have to feel every game is now a must-win. The Reds have won 5 of their last 7 away league matches which is encouraging but it is now 6 matches without a win away to Manchester United under Klopp. A disconcerting statistic is that Roberto Firmino has only scored 1 goal in 14 matches against Manchester United and Sadio Mane has only bagged 1 goal in 11 appearances against United.

This may very well be a match-up between two historic rivals and, arguably, two of the biggest clubs in English football but the head-to-head record doesn't make for pleasant reading for Liverpool fans at Old Trafford. It's just 1 win in their last 15 away games against Manchester United. However, home and away, United have only managed 1 win from their last 9 league meetings. I'm not sure there's a lot separating these two teams at the moment so I'm going to have to back a draw.

Draw @ 3.60 with BetVictor

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.77 with SBK

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Tottenham vs Sheffield United

The last game on Sunday in the Premier League is the 7:15pm BST kick-off between Champions League hopefuls Tottenham and already-relegated Sheffield United at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. It's now or never for the home side as they hope to eat at the top table of European football next season against a visiting team that are simply preparing for next season in the Championship.

Tottenham will feel there was a missed opportunity in the EFL Cup Final last weekend as the team didn't really turn up in their 1-0 loss to Manchester City. Interim manager Ryan Mason knows that with the club in 7th and 8 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification spots that time is running down to make a move on the top four. Spurs have only won 1 of their last 4 league games but that was their most recent outing in the league where they sealed a 2-1 win at home to Southampton. There is also reason to be positive with Tottenham having lost just 1 of their 17 league games played this season against teams in the bottom half of the table. The London side have also scored at least once in each of their last 10 league matches.

Sheffield United remain rooted to the bottom of the league table on just 17 points with the club's relegation to the second tier of English football already confirmed. The Blades ended a losing run of 5 league games last time out with a narrow 1-0 win over relegation battlers Brighton. Interim head coach Paul Heckingbottom will have been pleased with his side's showing and it's simply a case of playing for the shirt now. Before the Brighton win, United had only taken 2 points from 23 league games played on the weekend. It's been 14 defeats from 16 away league matches this season which has been a key factor in their under-performance in the league. The club has also won just 1 of their last 25 top flight league games in London.

It's been a long barren spell for Sheffield United when it comes to their trips to Tottenham. The northern club haven't registered a win at Spurs since 1991. The reverse fixture this season saw Tottenham run out as convincing 3-1 winners. This battle between two interim head coaches might not be an attractive one and I have to back Tottenham to get the win simply because they have to.

Tottenham HT/FT @ 1.96 with SBK

Tottenham -1 @ 1.95 with RedZone

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West Brom vs Wolves

The Premier League relegation battle could all but swallow another team on Monday night as struggling West Brom host rivals Wolves in a 6pm BST kick-off at the Hawthorns. It's a simple case of the home team needing a win to keep any realistic hopes of survival alive. Defeat or a draw would leave the Midlands club needing practically a miracle to stay up.

West Brom come into this game in 19th place and 11 points adrift of safety with just 5 league games left to play. It's a desperate situation and Sam Allardyce's players know they effectively have to win each of their remaining games to stand any chance of being in the Premier League next season. Just 1 loss from their last 4 league games has kept the Baggies in the fight but with their remaining fixtures including games against Liverpool, Arsenal, and West Ham you have to feel that West Brom are a dead team walking. Back-to-back clean sheets at home in the league give them hope that they can get something here. The fact West Brom have also won the last 3 league encounters with Wolves will also give them confidence.

Wolves looked like they were already on the beach in their 4-0 loss at home to Burnley last week. There is no doubt that Nuno Espirito Santo will have been annoyed with that display but where does he find the motivation to lift his team up for this one? Well, he'll need to tap into the fans and their local rivalry. Can a group of mainly Portuguese players empathise with that though? Wanderers are in 12th place and they will be playing Premier League football next season but won't be in European competition. Back-to-back away clean sheets in the league show that on the road they've kept things tight. Unfortunately, they haven't picked up a league win at the Hawthorns in any of their last 9 visits.

You know the score with my derby game betting by now. I usually favour the draw unless something stands out. I think reality is probably settling in for West Brom now and they know the opportunities have gone. Wolves will produce an improved performance on the one from last week. Or you'd like to think they will anyway. I'm tempted to back the West Brom win purely because Allardyce will want them fighting until it's confirmed but I think the higher priced draw is better value.

Draw @ 3.30 with Bet365

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.69 with SBK

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Burnley vs West Ham

The final game for this round of Premier League matches is the 8:15pm BST kick-off between relegation outsiders Burnley and Champions League chasing West Ham at Turf Moor on Monday night. Two teams that play in Claret fighting for two completely different causes at opposite ends of the table. The home team needs a win to make relegation all but impossible and the away side need a win to stay in the hunt for a top four finish.

Burnley currently sit in 16th place and 9 points above the relegation zone with only 4-5 league games left to play for the teams in and around the drop zone. Sean Dyche knows his team have probably already done enough to survive but he'll be keen to see the team build on the 4-0 win away to Wolves last weekend after the 3 defeats that had come in the league before then. The only problem is that Burnley are without a win in their last 7 matches at home. It is just one short of equalling the club record that was first set back in 1890. If you're looking for an anytime scorer tip then Chris Wood has been directly involved in 9 of the last 11 Burnley goals.

West Ham will certainly be delighted with the way this season has gone and the fact David Moyes won the Manager of the Year award shows that his work has not gone unnoticed. The Hammers are in 6th place and just 6 points outside the top four with a game in hand. Back-to-back defeats in the league have seen the team's form falter at the wrong time though. Even if they don't do enough to qualify for the Champions League next season there is enough evidence to show just how impressive a season this has been for the club. They have already equalled the club Premier League record of 16 wins this season. It's also just 7 points required from their final 5 league games to achieve their highest Premier League points tally.

Head-to-head statistics will give Burnley more optimism than it will give West Ham. The Lancashire side have won both of the games played at Turf Moor over the past two seasons and Moyes himself has lost both of his Premier League games played at Turf Moor. I'm not sure either team will necessarily be at their best with the season drawing to a close and players being tired but if I had to pick a winner I'd go for West Ham to get the job done.

West Ham Draw No Bet @ 1.73 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.76 with SportNation

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