Premier League Predictions > Apr 23rd - 26th

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

Check out the odds and ratings for this weekend's Premier League matches. It's a slightly reduced schedule with the EFL Cup Final being played but still lots to think about with issues at both ends of the table still to be sorted. Tell us your predictions and bets! 

[StefanBB]

Arsenal vs Everton

Everybody expected Arsenal to beat Fulham after trashing Slavia Prague on the road in the Europa League. However, the Gunners snatched only a point thanks to a stoppage-time equalizer. After VAR ridiculously denied Dani Ceballos’s goal, everything went wrong for the hosts. Mikel Arteta’s side remained in 9^th place, and the hosts are far from a continental spot battle. They are seven points behind the 7^th-placed Liverpool, while their form has been pretty unstable. Arsenal will have selection trouble in the final third after Alexandre Lacazette got injured, while Pierre Aubameyang’s return is not likely. The home side spilled too many points at Emirates Stadium this season, and they failed to win in their last two home matches. Arsenal’s only chance to participate in continental cups next season is to win the Europa League, and they will focus on the Villarreal game next Thursday.

Everton cannot be proud of its latest form as well since the away side failed to win in the previous five rounds. However, they are still in the race for the Europa Conference League, at least, being four points behind arch-rivals Liverpool and with one game in hand. Carlo Ancelotti’s side struggles in the back recently, and the Toffees managed to keep the clean sheet only once in the last six games in all competitions. Yerry Mina is likely to be sidelined for Friday’s clash, which is another blow for Everton’s defense. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is also doubtful, and the visitors will need to cope with the potential absence of their top scorer. The Toffees have been excellent on the road this season, and they lost only three times at the away grounds. A potential victory in this one would keep them in the game for a continental ticket.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Arsenal cannot significantly improve its position on the standings, and the Europa League became the home side’s top priority. They got to the top four in that competition, and if they win it, the Gunners will secure a place in the Champions League. Despite Everton’s poor form and the fact that they lost seven times in a row at Emirates Stadium, we believe the visitors won’t lose this match.

Goals Market Prediction

Their head-to-head clashes in London have been very efficient lately, and one of the sides managed to keep the clean sheet just once on the previous five occasions. Despite Arsenal’s injury problems, Everton hasn’t been too tight in the back lately, and we could see goals in both nets.

Everton AH +0.5 @ 1.95

BTTS Yes @ 1.90

Correct score 1:1 @ 7.50

[StevieDay1983]

Arsenal vs Everton

The Premier League action starts early this weekend with an 8pm BST kick-off on Friday evening between Arsenal and Everton at the Emirates Stadium. This is a clash where the home team will be looking to try and keep themselves in the hunt for a Champions League qualification spot against a visiting side who are slightly better placed to make such a push.

Arsenal currently sit in 9th place and lie 9 points outside the top four. Head coach Mikel Arteta must surely be wondering how much longer the Gunners board will persist with him as the club's results continue to fail to find consistency. Yes, the team are in the Europa League Semi-Finals and their progress in that competition could keep Arteta in a job. Unfortunately, the club is under-achieving in the league and defeat here could throw their European qualification hopes through the league into huge doubt. Fans will be gutted to hear that both Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette are both ruled out through illness and injury respectively. That's 50% of their goals scored in the league unavailable. Despite the wins not coming as consistently as Arteta will have liked, Arsenal have only lost 2 of their last 12 matches in all competitions but they have also only kept 3 clean sheets at home in the league this season.

Everton will see this as a big opportunity to create some space between them and their opponents for this game. The Toffees are in 8th place and 3 points ahead of Arsenal in the league table with a game in hand. Carlo Ancelotti's men are 6 points off the pace of the top four with a game in hand on 4th placed Chelsea too. It's now 5 league games without a win for the team but they have steadied the ship with 3 draws in a row. Gylfi Sigurdsson is a man on fire right now having been involved in 5 goals in his last 7 appearances for the club. This is also a chance for Everton to earn their first league double over Arsenal since the 1985/86 season having won the reverse fixture at Goodison Park by a 2-1 score-line.

History doesn't exactly side with Everton here with Arsenal having gone unbeaten in the previous 24 Premier League home matches. If there was ever a time that trend could be bucked then it is now. Arsenal's poor defensive record at home suggests they'll need to score at least twice to win this game and when you see that they're missing Aubameyang and Lacazette then you start to question where those goals are coming from? Eddie Nketiah? Bukayo Saka? Nicolas Pepe? None of those are natural scorers. I can see Everton grabbing at least a draw here and they'll be disappointed if they don't manage that.

Draw @ 3.55 with Novibet

BTTS @ 1.86 with SBK

[harry_rag]

Arsenal v Everton: 20 points on a Smith-Rowe assist at 21/5 with Uni

A market I'm shying away from backing in, barring a few standout players who I've had some success on previously. Smith-Rowe probably a better prospect that those odds imply.

[StefanBB]

West Ham United vs Chelsea

The home side enjoys an excellent campaign, although it seemed it’s going to be another average season for them. The Hammers are leveled with their upcoming rivals and have five more rounds to secure a place among the top four. David Moyes’s side lost against Newcastle United last weekend and allowed the Blues to catch them up. Tomas  Soucek and the lads managed to get back into the game after trailing 2:0, but they eventually lost 3:2. West Ham has been excellent at the home ground, and they are the second-best hosts in the league. The Hammers missed a chance to win just once in the last five games at Olympic Stadium and will rely on that good streak. A victory in this one would lift them to the top four ahead of the final four rounds.

Chelsea had an opportunity to earn a two-point advantage over their next opponent, but they failed to beat Brighton on Wednesday. The Blues didn’t create too many chances, and it seemed that the story around the European Super League distracted their focus from the important match. Thomas Tuchel’s side hasn’t been very consistent lately, and they won only twice in the last five rounds. Mason Mount and the lads have a demanding schedule ahead of them, as they will go on a trip to Madrid to face Real in the Champions League semi-finals. Players need to show a real character in the upcoming weeks if they want to be involved in the top continental competition next season.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

The bookies severely underestimate West Ham, and the hosts are not without a chance of remaining undefeated in this match. Chelsea hasn’t been too convincing recently, and the importance of the game in Madrid might impact their performance on Saturday afternoon. We think that the Hammers won’t lose this clash.

Goals Market Prediction

West Ham scored less than three goals just once in the last four matches. Despite Chelsea being pretty tight in the back, we don’t think the visitors will keep the clean sheet. Therefore, we can expect to see goals in both nets.

West Ham United AH +0.5 @ 2.10

BTTS Yes @ 1.95

Correct score 1:1 @ 7.50

[ALEXXXXXXXX]

Liverpool

They do not play well in these days because they suffer from injuries. And they are in low morale as they have been knocked out of UEFA Champions League. Now they are the seventh in the table of the League. 

 

Newcastle United

They are in form, getting a three-match unbeaten run, which makes them up to the fifteenth in the table of the League. They stand the chance to take points from Liverpool in upcoming game.

 

Verdict:

There is a big gap between Liverpooland Newcastle United. But Liverpool are in poor state. Newcastle United are in high morale. In their last clash of this season, they draw with each other at 0-0. So the result of the game is suggested to be a draw.

 

LiverpoolVSNewcastle United

Prediction: 1-1, 2-2

[StevieDay1983]

Liverpool vs Newcastle

The Premier League offers up a triple threat of games on Saturday with the action beginning at 12:30pm BST when reigning champions Liverpool take on a relegation battling Newcastle at Anfield. Both teams will have been disappointed with their respective campaigns so far this season but with results improving there is a chance to end this underwhelming season on a high.

Liverpool might well have lost their league title this season but Jurgen Klopp's men are keen to make some sort of success from this season. The Reds are in 7th place and just 2 points outside the top four with 6 league games to play. It's four league games undefeated for Liverpool now as they look to make a last minute push to qualify for next season's Champions League. One issue currently plaguing Liverpool is their slow starts at home. It's now been 7 consecutive home league games where Liverpool have conceded first. Home form has generally suffered with the absence of fans with the club losing 6 league games at Anfield for the first time since 1953/54. Still, the club's form is on the up and 3 wins from their last 4 league games shows they are edging back towards their best.

Newcastle were looking like a team in a dire situation a few weeks back but an upturn in results has pulled the Magpies away from the relegation zone. Steve Bruce's men are now in 15th place and 8 points clear of the bottom three. Just 1 loss from their last 7 league games including back-to-back wins over Burnley and West Ham have inspired the rise up the table. It's no surprise that these results have coincided with the return to fitness of key players such as Allan Saint-Maximin and Callum Wilson. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the club's last 4 league games so their games have gone from boring affairs to highly exciting encounters.

If there is one key statistic ahead of this game then it's the fact Liverpool haven't lost at home to Newcastle in 24 league games in a run that covers more than 27 years. The home team have won 20 of those games so their head-to-head record at Anfield is dominant to say the least. I feel we are seeing Liverpool starting to look more like their old selves. They remain defensively fragile without Virgil Van Dijk but they certainly seem more free flowing in attack again. Newcastle are looking much-improved but I can't see them having enough to beat Liverpool here.

Liverpool to Win & BTTS @ 2.70 with Betway

Liverpool HT/FT @ 1.83 with RedZone

[newteech]

Can I drop in this thread to ask the experts a quick question?

What effects (if any) do different weather situations have on a football match? For example, would you be inclined to go under 2.5 goals with a rainy pitch?

[StevieDay1983]

West Ham vs Chelsea

The race for the Champions League qualification places will take a big turn one way or another on Saturday afternoon when West Ham and Chelsea meet for an epic clash at 5:30pm BST from the London Stadium. Both teams are in hot contention for top four finishes this season and whoever comes out on top in this one will have a huge advantage heading into the final few games of the campaign.

West Ham are still firmly in the fight to qualify for Europe's top club competition next season despite the disappointing 3-2 defeat away to Newcastle last week. The Hammers are in 5th place with 6 league games to go and it's only an inferior goal difference keeping them outside the top four spots. David Moyes has made home form key to his team's success with the club boasting the 2nd best home record in the division this season so far. The club can equal their longest unbeaten league run at the London Stadium by avoiding defeat here. It's also interesting to note that West Ham are undefeated in their last 5 London derby matches in the league. We seem to be backing Jesse Lingard to score every week at the moment but the Manchester United loanee isn't letting us down. He's scored in 5 games straight so we're going to get on that again this week.

Chelsea have moved into pole position to fulfil that final Champions League qualification spot. Thomas Tuchel's side are now in 4th place but only inside the top four on goal difference. The Blues have only lost 1 of their 13 league games under Tuchel and have kept 15 clean sheets in 20 matches across all competitions. The German head coach could become the first Chelsea gaffer to go undefeated in his first 10 competitive away games for the club. If they win here then they'll equal the top flight record for 4 London derby away wins. 

This game has all the makings of a classic but it also feels like this could be the game to decide who takes that final Champions League qualification spot. West Ham have done well to remain in contention up until this stage but they're up against a Chelsea team that is brimming with confidence having qualified for the Champions League Semi-Finals and the FA Cup Final this past week. I can see this being a tightly contested away victory.

Chelsea to Win @ 1.80 with SportNation

Anytime Scorer: Jesse Lingard @ 3.95 with Unibet

[StevieDay1983]

25 minutes ago, newteech said:

Can I drop in this thread to ask the experts a quick question?

What effects (if any) do different weather situations have on a football match? For example, would you be inclined to go under 2.5 goals with a rainy pitch?

If anything, rainy conditions are more likely to see more goals scored because defenders struggle in those conditions more than the dry conditions.

[StevieDay1983]

Sheffield United vs Brighton

The final game in the Premier League on Saturday night might not be a crowd-puller but it could be an intriguing one. It's already-relegated Sheffield United versus relegation-threatened Brighton in an 8pm BST kick-off at Bramall Lane. It'll be fascinating to see how the home side play now relegation has been confirmed but it will also be a chance for this visiting team to distance themselves from the bottom three.

Sheffield United will be playing Championship football next season after their 1-0 loss away to Wolves last week made it 9 losses in 10 league games for the club. The Blades currently sit rock bottom of the top flight on just 14 points. It's been a season of misery for United fans but now the stress of relegation has been lifted there is an opportunity for the players to play with more freedom. Caretaker manager Paul Heckingbottom is expected to stick with the majority, if not all, of the starting line-up from the previous game. The team have the unwanted statistic of being only the third club in history to lose 26 of their opening 32 league matches of a season with Doncaster in 1904/05 and Darwen in 1898/99 the only previous holders of that accolade. Each of the 4 league wins United have earned this season have come in midweek.

Brighton are undoubtedly seeing this as a season of what could have been. Graham Potter's side are in 16th place and 7 points above the relegation zone on 34 points but based on their expected goals stats they really should be in 4th position on 58 points. The Seagulls will be without centre back Ben White after his sending off in their 0-0 draw with Chelsea in midweek. There have been more positives than negatives this season though and the club have equalled their club top flight record of 5 away wins in a single season. Unfortunately, Brighton have failed to win each one of the 7 league games played this season against teams positioned lower than them in the table.

I've generally been impressed with how Brighton have set themselves up this season. I'm sure @Tiffy has been pleased with their playing philosophy but you feel they are a clinical striker away from being a team that could really evolve. It's this inability to finish chances that has held them back and if they only had a Callum Wilson, Patrick Bamford, or Ollie Watkins then it could have been a completely different campaign. I'm backing them to win here and I can see Sheffield United going down with a whimper. The players look shot and demoralised.

Brighton to Win @ 1.63 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.75 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Wolves vs Burnley

The first game of the day in the Premier League on Sunday is being contested between mid-table Wolves and relegation battling Burnley in a 12pm BST kick-off at Molineux. There is a lot riding on this game for the away side who are hovering precariously over the bottom three where as the home team will simply be wanting to end their season on a high.

Wolves currently sit in 12th place and there's little to no hope of the club either qualifying for Europe or getting relegated this season. Nuno Espirito Santo can focus on next season and he'll be keen to see his players end their campaign on a positive note. Wanderers have won back-to-back games in the league with clean sheets including a victory over their opponent's relegation rivals Fulham. The team has their fair share of absentees though with Ruben Neves, Raul Jimenez, Pedro Neto, Marcal, and Jonny all missing. 9 of the last 11 wins for Wolves have come by a single goal so even when they earn a victory it's usually a closely fought affair.

Burnley are positioned in 17th place and remain just 6 points above the relegation zone. The Clarets do boast a game in hand over 18th placed Fulham so a win here could really be a boost to their survival hopes. Sean Dyche is expecting to have goalkeeper Nick Pope back in his line-up after he recovered from a shoulder injury. The team have now lost three league games in a row and they're hitting a slump at the wrong time. It's also only 2 wins from their last 13 league games. A problem that has plagued the club all season is losing 12 of their 16 where they have conceded first and they have lost 7 of their 8 league games played on a Sunday.

The pressure is cranking up on Burnley as the season winds down. They'll be relieved that Fulham are failing to capitalise on this poor run of form. Wolves will be their opponents here and it's a great opportunity for the away side to pinch a win. The hosts have nothing to play for except pride and if Burnley turn in a performance then they could snatch a win. I wouldn't be surprised to see them get something here. It's the typical type of game where the relegation battlers grind a result out.

Draw @ 3.40 with Unibet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.67 with Betfair

[StevieDay1983]

Leeds vs Manchester United

The focus of the day on Sunday may well be the EFL Cup Final between Manchester City and Tottenham but there is a big game in terms of pride when mid-table Leeds host their close proximity rivals Manchester United in a 2pm BST kick-off at Elland Road. This fixture is littered with classic moments and memories and if we see anything close to a repeat of the 6-2 score-line in the reverse fixture then we're in for a treat.

Leeds have enjoyed their return to the top flight of English football. Marcelo Bielsa has led his team to 10th in the table and they are still in with an outside chance of gate crashing the Europa League qualification spots if things go their way. The Whites are unbeaten in their last 5 league games but they face this game without inspirational attacker Raphinha with Rodrigo and Liam Cooper also both absent. Avoiding defeat here would see Leeds go unbeaten for 6 Premier League games for the first time since 2002. Home form has also been decent recently with the club losing just 1 of their last 6 home league matches.

Manchester United will crank the pressure up on league leaders Manchester City if they grab a win here. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's men are in 2nd place and 11 points behind City but possess a game in hand. The Red Devils are unbeaten in their last 12 league games and have won their last 5 league games on the trot. It's now 23 away league games without defeat too which is a record only bettered by Arsenal between 2003 and 2004. It could be worth backing youngster Mason Greenwood to bag a goal against this shaky Leeds defence with the striker having scored 4 goals in his last 3 league appearances.

This is a game between the two most in-form sides in the Premier League right now. It is a bitter rivalry that has produced some wonderful matches down the years. Leeds will want to give qualifying for Europe their best shot as unlikely as it looks and Manchester United will just want to keep hot on the heels of the league leaders. I think the difference in quality was clear when these sides last met and I think we'll see a similar outcome here albeit not quite as emphatic for the away side.

Manchester United to Win & BTTS @ 3.25 with Betfair

Anytime Scorer: Mason Greenwood @ 3.00 with Unibet

[betcatalog]

It has all the advantages of a very fun football game, as there is not much pressure on both teams in the Premier League, which should create an open case. The away record of Manchester United this season is amazing again, but Leeds can also find a score, performing offensively. To score more than two goals.
LEEDS UNITED vs MANCHESTER UNITED @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.60

[StefanBB]

Leeds United vs Manchester United

Leeds United sits in 10^th place, and the hosts met the primary goal of the season – survival. The Whites haven’t lost in the previous five rounds, although their schedule was everything but easy. Marcelo Bielsa’s side drew with Chelsea while they managed to beat Manchester City on the road. They head to this match after a 1:1 draw against Liverpool, and playing with the English top teams provides extra motivation to Leeds’s players. Patrick Bamford and the lads would have been more competitive in the continental cups battle if they hadn’t spilled many points against the bottom-half teams. They have been pretty productive in the final third, but their defense could have been tighter. The home side doesn’t have any pressure heading to this game, and they want to put another entertaining display.

Manchester United celebrated five times in a row in the Premier League, and they established themselves on the 2^nd spot. Despite City’s recent hiccup against Leeds, the Red Devils are still far from challenging the title. They are eleven points behind the Citizens and with one game in hand. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side wasted too many points at Old Trafford at the beginning of the campaign, and eventually, that cost them the title battle. Bruno Fernandes and the lads are the second-most productive team in the league, while their defense has been relatively solid. Manchester United will have the game against Roma in their minds, as they want to win this season’s Europa League edition. Nevertheless, the visitors want to continue their excellent run on the road, as they still haven’t lost at the away grounds this season.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

It is going to be an entertaining match in which both sides have a chance to pick up some points. Leeds United has been very good against the favorites this season, while Man Utd wants to continue the winning streak. Although the away side’s game against Roma is one of the crucial ones in the rest of the campaign, we believe Manchester United could pick up all three points at Elland Road.

Goals Market Prediction

Leeds United has been involved in some efficient games lately, and we saw goals in both nets in their previous four matches. Their encounter at Old Trafford produced eight goals, and we expect to see at least three in this one.

Manchester United to win @ 1.75

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.55

Correct score 1:2 @ 9.5022Bet

[StevieDay1983]

Aston Villa vs West Brom

The final game on Sunday in the Premier League is a 7pm BST kick-off between mid-table Aston Villa and relegation battling West Brom at Villa Park. It now seems that this season will end with the home team finishing in a consolidating position in the middle of the table and with results going against them it seems that time is almost up for the visiting side.

Aston Villa are currently in 11th place and any faint hopes of qualifying for Europe this season now appear to be almost non-existent. Dean Smith's men have only managed 1 win in their last 7 league matches and have lost 3 of their previous 4 games in the league. The Lions will need to carry on being without inspirational midfielder Jack Grealish and it seems until he returns to the first team that the results are going to be hard to turn around. Home form remains a problem for Villa with the club only winning 1 of their last 5 league games at home. Poor defensive displays are also in need of being rectified. The team has kept 14 clean sheets this season but it's now been 5 games since their last one. Ollie Watkins could be a pick for an anytime scorer bet though having bagged 7 of his 12 league goals on a Sunday this season.

West Brom know it's now or never for their survival hopes. The Baggies are down in 19th place and 10 points adrift of safety with just 6 games for them to play. A win here would reduce the deficit to 7 points with 5 league games to play but is it too little, too late? Sam Allardyce will be hoping to earn a 10th career league victory over Aston Villa. Away form is an issue this season for West Brom with the team winning just 2 of their 16 away league games this campaign. The club have failed to even score in 4 of their last 5 away league fixtures. In addition, the club have failed to win any of their 9 league games played on a Sunday. Is it too much of a stretch to imagine West Brom taking all 3 points here?

I'm going to actually back the underdog here. I've bet against West Brom a lot this season and, judging by their current predicament, rightly so. Aston Villa are one of the out-of-form teams in the division though and without Grealish they remain a club fighting with one arm tied behind their back. I think Allardyce will have his team up for this as they give survival one last push. Fail to win this and they are realistically down. I think they will win to fight another day.

West Brom Draw No Bet @ 2.64 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.97 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Leicester vs Crystal Palace

The Monday night game in the Premier League will see Champions League chasing Leicester look to consolidate their place in the top four as they take on mid-table Crystal Palace in an 8pm BST kick-off at King Power Stadium. Relegation worries still aren't mathematically impossible for the away team so they still have a job to do with this season drawing to a close.

Leicester sit in 3rd place and 4 points inside the Champions League qualification spots with a game in hand on the teams behind them. Brendan Rodgers guided his team to the FA Cup Final last week and could put them a huge step closer to a memorable season if they win here. The Foxes had lost back-to-back league games before their midweek 3-0 win at home to relegation battlers West Brom. Home form is still a concern for Leicester though with 7 of their 9 league losses coming at this ground this season. Rodgers himself is undefeated in all 5 Premier League games he's faced against Roy Hodgson and has won 4 of those encounters. Striker Kelechi Iheanacho continued his fine scoring form by bagging his 13th goal in 13 appearances in midweek. It was also good to see Jamie Vardy end his goal drought.

Crystal Palace appear to have just done enough to stay up this season. The Eagles are in 13th place and 11 points clear of the relegation zone. It would take a very unfortunate and bizarre set of results to see them go down now. Roy Hodgson's future is still unclear which isn't helping. The team have only won 1 of their last 6 league games and the last outing was a 4-1 loss at home to Chelsea. It's also only been 1 clean sheet in their last 19 league games which was a 0-0 draw versus Arsenal back in January. Scoring goals has also been a problem recently with the team failing to score more than 1 goal in any of their last 6 league matches. However, Wilfried Zaha has scored 5 goals against Leicester in the top flight down the years and that's more goals he's scored than against any other club.

Leicester to Win & BTTS @ 3.60 with Bet365

Anytime Scorer: Kelechi Iheanacho @ 2.12 with SBK